Rating 7.23 (86th pct) · G+A 9 + 9 (41% of team goals) · 92% of minutes
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 2
Momentum
– BrestToulouse –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Stats
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Season context
| Brest | at home | Stat | league | away | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.5 #12 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 52.5 #5 |
| 22.0 #1 | – | Shots total | 14.0 | – | 15.0 #6 |
| 7.0 #1 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 4.5 #9 |
| 6.2 #5 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 4.2 #11 |
| 15.5 #2 | – | Fouls | 11.7 | – | 16.8 #1 |
| 2.5 #3 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.5 #12 |
| 18.5 #4 | – | Tackles | 16.7 | – | 15.5 #11 |
| 83.0 #11 | – | Attacks | 90.1 | – | 89.0 #7 |
| 40.2 #12 | – | Dangerous attacks | 45.5 | – | 49.0 #5 |
| 407.2 #14 | – | Passes | 480.4 | – | 512.5 #5 |
| 1.2 #10 | – | Yellowcards | 1.4 | – | 1.2 #10 |
| 1.0 #9 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.0 #9 |
| – #2 | – | Btts | 55.6 | – | – #8 |
| – #14 | – | Cleansheet | 27.8 | – | – #14 |
| – #2 | – | Draw | 36.1 | – | – #2 |
| 2.5 #1 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.8 #4 |
| -1.0 #18 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.2 | – | -0.8 #16 |
| – #8 | – | Failed to score | 27.8 | – | – #2 |
| 1.5 #6 | 1.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.0 #13 |
| 1.5 #7 | 1.5 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.8 #5 |
| 0.5 #4 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.2 #7 |
| 13.5 #3 | – | Interceptions | 10.8 | – | 9.8 #12 |
| – #9 | – | Lost | 31.9 | – | – #3 |
| 0.2 #3 | – | Penalties scored | 0.3 | – | – |
| 6.9 #6 | – | Rating | 6.9 | – | 6.8 #13 |
| 4.5 #4 | – | Shots blocked | 3.4 | – | 2.5 #11 |
| 14.8 #1 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 10.8 #4 |
| 10.5 #1 | – | Shots off target | 5.8 | – | 8.0 #2 |
| 7.2 #2 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 4.2 #11 |
| – #7 | – | Win | 31.9 | – | – #15 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 36 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.39 · away 1.36)
- Home / draw / away
- 28% · 36% · 36%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 53%
- Cards / match
- 3.03 (reds 0.11)
Trends
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Lineups
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Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Brest · Last 365 days
Rating 6.91 (58th pct) · G+A 2 + 1 (7% of team goals) · 96% of minutes
Rating 7.05 (83th pct) · G+A 7 + 4 (25% of team goals) · 58% of minutes
Team 1.64 ppg with (22) · 0.58 without (12)
Toulouse · Last 365 days
Rating 7.28 (97th pct) · G+A 2 + 6 (18% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Rating 7.31 (99th pct) · G+A 4 + 4 (18% of team goals) · 69% of minutes
Team 1.25 ppg with (24) · 1.11 without (9)
Rating 6.75 (32th pct) · G+A 5 + 4 (20% of team goals) · 47% of minutes
Team 1.56 ppg with (16) · 0.88 without (17)
Commentary
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In-Play Odds
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Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 2
Venue
- Stadium
- Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest
- Capacity
- 15,097
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 13,701
Teams
- Coaches
- Julien Lachuer · Jens Askou
- Position
- 7 · 16
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Jérôme Brisard
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 17.2° (feels 17.3°)
- Wind
- 4.1
- Humidity
- 88%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  LOSC Lille |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 | WDWW |
| 2 |  Monaco |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 | WWWD |
| 3 |  Rennes |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  Paris |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | DWWD |
| 5 |  Olympique Lyonnais |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | WDWD |
| 6 |  Strasbourg |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 | LWWD |
| 7 |  Paris Saint Germain |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 | DDLW |
| 8 |  Brest |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 | DDWL |
| 9 |  Lorient |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | DLWD |
| 10 |  Lens |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4 | WLLD |
| 11 |  Angers SCO |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | LWLD |
| 12 |  Troyes |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | DWLL |
| 13 |  Olympique Marseille |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | WLLL |
| 14 |  Le Mans |
4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 | DLDD |
| 15 |  Auxerre |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | LLLW |
| 16 |  Le Havre |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | LDLD |
| 17 |  Toulouse |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 | LDLD |
| 18 |  Nice |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 | DLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rennes |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | DWWW |
| 2 | Paris |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | DWWD |
| 3 | LOSC Lille |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDWW |
| 4 | Olympique Lyonnais |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDWD |
| 5 | Strasbourg |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | LWWD |
| 6 | Olympique Marseille |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | WLLL |
| 7 | Lens |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | WLLD |
| 8 | Monaco |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | WWWD |
| 9 | Auxerre |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | LLLW |
| 10 | Le Mans |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DLDD |
| 11 | Nice |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | DLDL |
| 12 | Lorient |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | DLWD |
| 13 | Brest |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DDWL |
| 14 | Le Havre |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | LDLD |
| 15 | Troyes |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | DWLL |
| 16 | Paris Saint Germain |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | DDLW |
| 17 | Angers SCO |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LWLD |
| 18 | Toulouse |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | LDLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | WWWD |
| 2 | LOSC Lille |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WDWW |
| 3 | Paris Saint Germain |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | DDLW |
| 4 | Angers SCO |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | LWLD |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | WDWD |
| 6 | Brest |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | DDWL |
| 7 | Paris |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | DWWD |
| 8 | Lorient |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | DLWD |
| 9 | Rennes |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | DWWW |
| 10 | Strasbourg |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | LWWD |
| 11 | Troyes |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | DWLL |
| 12 | Toulouse |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | LDLD |
| 13 | Le Havre |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | LDLD |
| 14 | Le Mans |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | DLDD |
| 15 | Lens |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | WLLD |
| 16 | Olympique Marseille |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | WLLL |
| 17 | Nice |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | DLDL |
| 18 | Auxerre |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | LLLW |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Brest
LLLDD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 10 · xG 9.0–6.72 · xPts 7.96
- D
A
Le Mans
2–2
xG 3.04–0.73
FRA L1
- D
H
Angers SCO
1–1
xG 1.93–0.52
FRA L1
- L
H
Strasbourg
1–2
xG 3.08–1.82
FRA L1
- L
A
Paris Saint Germain
0–1
xG 0.27–1.95
FRA L1
- L
A
Paris
0–4
xG 0.68–1.69
FRA L1
LLLDD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 10 · xG 9.0–6.72 · xPts 7.96
- D
A
Le Mans
2–2
xG 3.04–0.73
FRA L1
- D
H
Angers SCO
1–1
xG 1.93–0.52
FRA L1
- L
H
Strasbourg
1–2
xG 3.08–1.82
FRA L1
- L
A
Paris Saint Germain
0–1
xG 0.27–1.95
FRA L1
- L
A
Paris
0–4
xG 0.68–1.69
FRA L1
Toulouse
WWL 2W 0D 1L · 6 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 4 · xG 4.63–3.27 · xPts 5.12
- L
H
Olympique Lyonnais
0–2
xG 1.99–1.06
FRA L1
- W
H
Olympique Lyonnais
2–1
xG 1.35–1.76
FRA L1
- W
A
Strasbourg
2–1
xG 1.29–0.45
FRA L1
WWL 2W 0D 1L · 6 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 4 · xG 4.63–3.27 · xPts 5.12
- L
H
Olympique Lyonnais
0–2
xG 1.99–1.06
FRA L1
- W
H
Olympique Lyonnais
2–1
xG 1.35–1.76
FRA L1
- W
A
Strasbourg
2–1
xG 1.29–0.45
FRA L1
All meetings · 17 matches since 2010
Goals 23–22 · 2.65 per match · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 35%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 21–13 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 8–8 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- D Brest 2–2 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Brest 0–2 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Toulouse 2–0 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
- W Toulouse 2–4 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
- W Brest 2–0 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
- W Toulouse 0–3 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
- D Brest 1–1 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
- W Brest 3–1 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
- D Toulouse 1–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
- W Toulouse 2–5 Brest neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
| Metric | Brest all · 4 | Brest at home · 2 | Toulouse all · 4 | Toulouse away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Brest · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: when level +0.65
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.184
Early press (0-15, level)+0.434
Late push (76+, level)+1.122
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012
Game state
When ahead-0.192
When level+0.654
When behind-0.073
10 min after conceding-0.204
10 min after scoring+0.453
Situations
At home+0.142
Away+0.212
4+ days rest+0.184
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.212
Evenly matched+0.313
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.124
Conceded when ahead+0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.204
Ahead vs level -0.84 · Behind vs level -0.72
Toulouse · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: when level +0.35
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)+0.262
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.182
Game state
When level+0.354
When behind+0.033
10 min after conceding-0.264
10 min after scoring+0.392
Situations
At home+0.422
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.204
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.422
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
Evenly matched+0.063
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.044
Conceded late (76+)+0.104
Ahead vs level -0.73 · Behind vs level -0.32
Brest
Current: winless 1 · conceding 13
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 100% | 1.25 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.39 | 1.19 |
Toulouse
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 100% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.52 |
| Metric | Brest all · 10 | Brest at home · 10 | Toulouse all · 10 | Toulouse away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| W / D / L | 1 / 5 / 4 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 2 / 3 / 5 | 3 / 2 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.20 | 1.60 | 1.30 | 1.60 |
| Goals against / match | 1.80 | 1.50 | 2.10 | 1.80 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 30% | 0% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 20% | 30% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 50% | 70% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 40% | 80% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.62 | 1.58 | 1.35 | 0.97 |
| xG against / match | 1.54 | 1.49 | 1.60 | 1.45 |
| xG difference | 0.08 | 0.09 | -0.25 | -0.49 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.42 | 0.02 | -0.05 | 0.63 |
| xPts / match | 1.43 | 1.53 | 1.31 | 1.13 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.63 | -0.33 | -0.41 | -0.03 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 60% | 30% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.50 | 1.83 | 1.33 | 1.75 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.33 | 0.25 | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| Came back from behind | 43% | 20% | 38% | 29% |
| Leads held | 25% | 50% | 50% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 20% | 30% | 20% | 26% |
| Minutes level | 39% | 36% | 47% | 50% |
| Minutes trailing | 41% | 34% | 33% | 23% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 25 | 29 | 26 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 37 | 27 | 41 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 42% | 44% | 54% | 31% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 47% | 57% | 44% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 44% | 43% | 45% |
| Shots | 14.9 | 14.5 | 12.7 | 11.8 |
| On target | 4.7 | 4.6 | 3.9 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 11% | 10% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 63% | 61% | 55% |
| Big chances created | 2.9 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.3 |
| xG from set plays | 44% | 33% | 28% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 33% | 38% | 38% | 25% |
| Pressure index | 11.8 | 11.7 | 10.7 | 9.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.6 | 44.6 | 42.8 | 41.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 79% | 82% | 82% |
| Fouls | 12.3 | 12.3 | 16.0 | 15.3 |
| Cards | 1.20 | 1.80 | 2.50 | 2.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Brest
0–15'35
16–30'22
31–45'21
46–60'23
61–75'13
76–90'24
Toulouse
0–15'41
16–30'15
31–45'13
46–60'12
61–75'35
76–90'35
Brest
Current: winless 1 · conceding 13
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 70% | 1.0 | 1.29 | 1.43 | 2.13 | 1.15 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 0.51 | 2.69 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.27 | 1.95 |
Toulouse
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 60% | 1.17 | 1.5 | 2.33 | 1.05 | 1.65 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.52 |
| Metric | Brest all · 34 | Brest at home · 17 | Toulouse all · 33 | Toulouse away · 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 33 | 16 |
| Points per game | 1.26 | 1.53 | 1.21 | 1.19 |
| W / D / L | 11 / 10 / 13 | 7 / 5 / 5 | 10 / 10 / 13 | 5 / 4 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.29 | 1.53 | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 1.24 | 1.36 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 26% | 41% | 21% | 12% |
| Failed to score | 32% | 29% | 36% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 41% | 48% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 41% | 54% | 62% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.37 | 1.63 | 1.44 | 1.15 |
| xG against / match | 1.41 | 1.32 | 1.23 | 1.41 |
| xG difference | -0.04 | 0.30 | 0.21 | -0.27 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.07 | -0.10 | -0.11 | 0.35 |
| xPts / match | 1.37 | 1.63 | 1.53 | 1.26 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.10 | -0.10 | -0.31 | -0.07 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 59% | 33% | 38% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.06 | 2.30 | 2.36 | 1.83 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Came back from behind | 28% | 17% | 41% | 42% |
| Leads held | 58% | 70% | 77% | 62% |
| Minutes leading | 26% | 33% | 23% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 43% | 47% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 31% | 24% | 30% | 31% |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 23 | 37 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 33 | 26 | 40 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 48% | 46% | 54% | 42% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 49% | 43% | 53% | 42% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.26 | 0.29 | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.18 | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 44% | 44% | 43% |
| Shots | 11.9 | 13.9 | 13.5 | 10.9 |
| On target | 3.9 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 11% | 10% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 62% | 66% | 63% |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 3.5 |
| xG from set plays | 36% | 32% | 37% | 37% |
| Goals from headers | 23% | 31% | 18% | 25% |
| Pressure index | 9.4 | 11.4 | 10.2 | 8.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 39.1 | 42.4 | 42.3 | 38.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 79% | 81% | 80% |
| Fouls | 13.2 | 13.2 | 15.1 | 15.6 |
| Cards | 1.79 | 1.82 | 2.45 | 2.69 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Brest
0–15'108
16–30'611
31–45'77
46–60'75
61–75'510
76–90'910
Toulouse
0–15'102
16–30'410
31–45'69
46–60'47
61–75'78
76–90'139
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Brest · 34 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: against ten men -0.57
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1334
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0434
Late push (76+, level)-0.2113
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1913
Game state
When ahead-0.2419
When level-0.0234
When behind-0.1918
10 min after conceding-0.3125
10 min after scoring+0.1023
Situations
With ten men-0.363
Against ten men-0.574
At home-0.0817
Away-0.1717
4+ days rest-0.1333
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.4011
v mid-tier opponents-0.019
v bottom-tier opponents-0.0410
As favourite+0.246
Evenly matched-0.1012
As underdog-0.2916
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2534
Conceded when ahead+0.3719
Conceded late (76+)+0.1932
Congested vs rested +0.19 · Ahead vs level -0.23 · Behind vs level -0.17
Toulouse · 33 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: with ten men -0.35
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0933
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0433
Late push (76+, level)-0.2416
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0617
Game state
When ahead-0.2612
When level-0.0533
When behind-0.0222
10 min after conceding-0.2826
10 min after scoring+0.1020
Situations
With ten men-0.354
Against ten men-0.203
At home-0.0217
Away-0.1516
4+ days rest-0.0933
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1412
v mid-tier opponents-0.0411
v bottom-tier opponents+0.007
As favourite-0.0613
Evenly matched-0.0810
As underdog-0.1210
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1133
Conceded when ahead+0.4312
Conceded late (76+)+0.0630
Ahead vs level -0.20 · Behind vs level +0.03
Brest
Current: winless 1 · conceding 13
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 28 82% | 1.39 | 1.39 | 1.43 | 1.5 | 1.35 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 0.51 | 2.69 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.52 | 0.91 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.27 | 1.95 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.43 |
Toulouse
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 23 70% | 1.0 | 1.04 | 1.39 | 1.25 | 1.2 |
| 3-4-3 | 6 18% | 2.5 | 2.67 | 1.0 | 1.93 | 1.12 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 12% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.52 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 45m before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.1 pts at 2.2d
2.72Home 36% · +0.2 ptsopened 2.723.41Draw 29% · +0.2 ptsopened 3.422.73Away 36% · -0.5 ptsopened 2.68
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.72 · +0.2 | 3.41 · +0.2 | 2.73 · -0.5 | 45m |
| bet365 | 2.62 · +0.0 | 3.4 · -0.1 | 2.62 · +0.0 | 45m |
| Betfair | 2.63 · -0.6 | 3.4 · +0.7 | 2.7 · -0.1 | 45m |
| BetVictor | 2.6 · +0.4 | 3.4 · -0.4 | 2.63 · -0.0 | 45m |
| Coral | 2.62 · -0.5 | 3.3 · +0.7 | 2.62 · -0.2 | 45m |
| Ladbrokes | 2.6 · -0.2 | 3.3 · +0.7 | 2.62 · -0.5 | 45m |
| Unibet | 2.65 ▼ -1.5 | 3.15 ▲ +1.3 | 2.63 · +0.2 | 45m |
| WilliamHill | 2.6 · +0.3 | 3.25 · +0.0 | 2.62 · -0.3 | 45m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 45m before kick-off
1.75Yes 53% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.752.0No 47% · +0.0 ptsopened 2.0
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.75 · +0.0 | 2.0 · +0.0 | 45m |
| Betfair | 1.67 ▲ +2.1 | 2.15 ▼ -2.1 | 45m |
| BetVictor | 1.67 ▲ +1.1 | 2.05 ▼ -1.1 | 45m |
| Unibet | 1.73 · +0.0 | 2.02 · +0.0 | 45m |
| WilliamHill | 1.75 · +0.0 | 2.05 · +0.0 | 45m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 45m before kick-off · biggest step: under -1.0 pts at 8.8h
1.97Over 49% ▲ +1.2 ptsopened 2.011.93Under 51% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 1.88
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.97 ▲ +1.2 | 1.93 ▼ -1.2 | 45m |
| bet365 | 1.9 ▲ +2.6 | 1.9 ▼ -2.6 | 45m |
| Betfair | 1.9 ▲ +1.1 | 1.87 ▼ -1.1 | 45m |
| BetVictor | 1.86 ▲ +1.1 | 1.81 ▼ -1.1 | 45m |
| Unibet | 2.0 ▼ -1.1 | 1.79 ▲ +1.1 | 45m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.8h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.62Home 36% P 36%3.4Draw 28% P 29%2.62Away 36% P 36%
Double Chance
1.44Brest or Draw 32%1.3Brest or Toulouse 36%1.44Draw or Toulouse 32%
Draw No Bet
1.831 50%1.832 50%
Both Teams To Score
1.75Yes 53%2.0No 47%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%
Total Corners
8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%11.0Over 14 8%
Number of Cards
4.51.83Over 50% P 47%1.83Under 50% P 53%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 35–37.5% · 584 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 36% | 36% | 35% | -0.6 |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | 28% | +0.2 |
| Away | 36% | 36% | 36% | +0.4 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 53%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 49% | 50% | +1.3 |
Jérôme Brisard
- Career
- 207 matches · 11 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.0 (3.73 yellow · 0.2 red)
- Fouls / match
- 24.4 · 6.1 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.35
- Cards to home side
- 47%
Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 89 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.91 | 4.06 | -0.38 | 28 |
| Fouls / match | 23.4 | 24.3 | -0.39 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.1 | 6.0 | +0.13 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.36 | 0.36 | -0.03 | 44 |
| Time added | 7.4 | 6.7 | +0.59 | 88 |
- First card
- 32' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 50% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.1
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 45' | 8 |
| 2026-05-10 · Brest | – | – | 17 | – | – | 13 |
| 2026-04-19 | 6 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 13' | 10 |
| 2026-04-05 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 38' | 7 |
| 2026-03-15 | 7 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 16' | 15 |
| 2026-03-01 | 5 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 30' | 16 |
| 2026-02-15 · Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 2' | 12 |
| 2026-01-16 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 62' | 6 |
| 2026-01-03 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 7' | 13 |
| 2025-12-05 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 26' | 9 |