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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 1

Momentum

OMStrasbourg
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille
Capacity
67,395
Surface
grass
Attendance
65,089

Teams

Coaches
Bruno Génésio · Hugo Filipe Carvalho Oliveira
Position
1 · 9
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Ruddy Buquet

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
24.1° (feels 24.1°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
58%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 LOSC Lille 4310 725 10 WDWW
2 Monaco 4310 624 10 WWWD
3 Rennes 4310 853 10 DWWW
4 Paris 4220 624 8 DWWD
5 Olympique Lyonnais 4220 624 8 WDWD
6 Strasbourg 4211 981 7 LWWD
7 Paris Saint Germain 4121 660 5 DDLW
8 Brest 4121 660 5 DDWL
9 Lorient 4121 440 5 DLWD
10 Lens 4112 871 4 WLLD
11 Angers SCO 4112 45-1 4 LWLD
12 Troyes 4112 49-5 4 DWLL
13 Olympique Marseille 4103 660 3 WLLL
14 Le Mans 4031 78-1 3 DLDD
15 Auxerre 4103 511-6 3 LLLW
16 Le Havre 4022 24-2 2 LDLD
17 Toulouse 4022 47-3 2 LDLD
18 Nice 4022 15-4 2 DLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Olympique Marseille

DLWW 2W 1D 1L · 7 pts (1.75 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 7.29–8.15 · xPts 5.08

  • W H Rennes 3–1 xG 2.87–2.53 FRA L1
  • W A Le Havre 1–0 xG 1.11–1.53 FRA L1
  • L A Nantes 0–3 xG 1.5–2.72 FRA L1
  • D H Nice 1–1 xG 1.81–1.38 FRA L1

Strasbourg

LLDWW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 9 · xG 7.4–8.86 · xPts 6.09

  • W H Monaco 5–4 xG 1.77–1.57 FRA L1
  • W A Brest 2–1 xG 1.82–3.08 FRA L1
  • D A Angers SCO 1–1 xG 1.89–0.82 FRA L1
  • L H Rayo Vallecano 0–1 xG 1.46–2.1 UEFA ECL
  • L H Toulouse 1–2 xG 0.45–1.29 FRA L1

All meetings · 22 matches since 2005

Olympique Marseille 1011 draws1 Strasbourg

Goals 41–23 · 2.91 per match · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Olympique Marseille 36 draws1 Strasbourg

Goals 19–11 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Olympique Marseille 22 draws1 Strasbourg

Goals 9–5 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Olympique Marseille 4–0 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 2–2 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Strasbourg 1–2 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 1–1 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Strasbourg 1–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 1–1 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Strasbourg 1–1 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 2–2 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Strasbourg 2–2 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Marseille 4–0 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricOlympique Marseille all · 4Olympique Marseille at home · 2Strasbourg all · 4Strasbourg away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Olympique Marseille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.064

Game state

When level+0.245
When behind-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.563

Situations

At home+0.282
Away-0.033
4+ days rest+0.105

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.173
As favourite+0.282
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.065
Conceded late (76+)-0.325

Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.27

Strasbourg · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.044
Early press (0-15, level)+0.114
Late push (76+, level)-0.532

Game state

When ahead+0.393
When level-0.044
When behind-0.063
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+1.023

Situations

At home+0.082
Away+0.002
4+ days rest+0.044

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.053
Evenly matched-0.022
As underdog+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.053
Conceded late (76+)+0.044

Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level -0.02

Olympique Marseille

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-1-4-12 50%0.01.02.01.332.24
4-2-3-12 50%1.52.01.02.070.71

Strasbourg

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 12

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-33 75%2.333.01.331.82.11
4-2-3-11 25%0.00.04.00.292.27

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 29.0h before kick-off · 30 snapshots · last 45m before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.1 pts at 7.8h

1.74Home 56% · +0.4 ptsopened 1.754.14Draw 23% · +0.2 ptsopened 4.174.61Away 21% · -0.6 ptsopened 4.47
24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.74 · +0.44.14 · +0.24.61 · -0.645m
bet3651.72 · +0.04.1 · +0.04.33 · +0.045m
Betfair1.7 · -0.24.0 · +0.64.33 · -0.545m
BetVictor1.7 ▲ +1.34.1 · -0.64.33 · -0.745m
Coral1.73 · +0.74.0 · +0.04.33 · -0.745m
Ladbrokes1.7 · +0.84.0 · -0.14.33 · -0.745m
Unibet1.72 ▼ -1.13.85 · +0.44.35 · +0.845m
WilliamHill1.73 · -0.44.0 · +0.24.0 · +0.245m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.8h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.72Home 55% P 56%4.1Draw 23% P 23%4.33Away 22% P 21%

Double Chance

1.2Marseille or Draw 39%1.22Marseille or Strasbourg 38%2.05Draw or Strasbourg 23%

Draw No Bet

1.31 72%3.42 28%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 62% P 62%2.5Under 38% P 38%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54% P 53%2.0Under 46% P 47%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 20–22.5% · 298 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home56%56%60%+4.1
Draw23%23%21%-1.7
Away21%21%18%-2.4

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 59%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.562%61%63%+1.5

Ruddy Buquet

Career
355 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
4.37 (4.08 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
20.3 · 3.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 76 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.334.06+0.4880
Fouls / match24.024.3-0.08
Fouls per card5.56.0-0.66 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.350.36-0.0736
Time added7.16.7+0.3764
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.26

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-17 · Olympique Marseille 40 210 49'9
2026-05-02 20 250 62'9
2026-04-25 30 260 52'11
2026-04-19 · Strasbourg 10 220 44'6
2026-04-05 30 270 46'7
2026-03-06 40 180 45'16
2026-03-01 40 210 20'9
2026-02-22 · Strasbourg 30 231 54'13
2026-01-31 30 240 12'12
2026-01-17 · Olympique Marseille 20 170 68'9