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Europa League · 1st Qualifying Round Aggregate 3–5 · CSKA Sofia went through · After Full Time

Momentum

Derry CityCSKA Sofia
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
1st Qualifying Round
Leg
2/2

Venue

Stadium
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Londonderry
Capacity
7,700

Teams

Coaches
Tiernan Lynch · Hristo Yanev
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-5-2

Referee

Jasmin Šabotić

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
19.1° (feels 19.1°)
Wind
1.7
Humidity
82%

Where to watch

No broadcast listings.

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Juventus 1100 505 3 W
2 Crystal Palace 1100 404 3 W
3 Sparta Praha 1100 413 3 W
4 Beşiktaş 1100 413 3 W
5 Union Saint-Gilloise 1100 303 3 W
6 Ferencvárosi 1100 312 3 W
7 Benfica 1100 202 3 W
8 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1100 202 3 W
9 OFI 1100 202 3 W
10 Olympique Lyonnais 1100 211 3 W
11 Torreense 1100 211 3 W
12 AFC Bournemouth 1100 211 3 W
13 Olympiacos F.C. 1100 211 3 W
14 Salzburg 1100 101 3 W
15 Omonia Nicosia 1100 101 3 W
16 Sunderland 1100 101 3 W
17 Rennes 1010 000 1 D
18 Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1010 000 1 D
19 Dinamo Zagreb 1010 000 1 D
20 Sturm Graz 1010 000 1 D
21 Jagiellonia Białystok 1001 12-1 0 L
22 Real Sociedad 1001 12-1 0 L
23 Anderlecht 1001 12-1 0 L
24 Lillestrøm 1001 12-1 0 L
25 AZ Alkmaar 1001 01-1 0 L
26 Celta de Vigo 1001 01-1 0 L
27 Levski Sofia 1001 01-1 0 L
28 Celtic 1001 13-2 0 L
29 TSG Hoffenheim 1001 02-2 0 L
30 AC Milan 1001 02-2 0 L
31 Celje 1001 02-2 0 L
32 Olympique Marseille 1001 14-3 0 L
33 Ararat-Armenia 1001 14-3 0 L
34 Viktoria Plzeň 1001 03-3 0 L
35 Lech Poznań 1001 04-4 0 L
36 NEC Nijmegen 1001 05-5 0 L
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Derry City

L 0W 0D 1L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 3

  • L A CSKA Sofia 2–3 UEFA EL

CSKA Sofia

W 1W 0D 0L · 3 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 2

  • W H Derry City 3–2 UEFA EL

All meetings · 4 matches since 2009

Derry City 01 draws3 CSKA Sofia

Goals 4–7 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Derry City 01 draws3 CSKA Sofia

Goals 4–7 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Derry City 01 draws3 CSKA Sofia

Goals 4–7 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • L Derry City 1–2 CSKA Sofia UEFA EL · 1st Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
  • L CSKA Sofia 3–2 Derry City UEFA EL · 1st Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
  • D Derry City 1–1 CSKA Sofia UEFA EL · 3rd Qualifying Round
  • L CSKA Sofia 1–0 Derry City neutral UEFA EL · 3rd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
MetricDerry City all · 2Derry City at home · 1CSKA Sofia all · 8CSKA Sofia away · 4
Results
Matches8
Points per game1.38
W / D / L3 / 2 / 3
Goals for / match1.13
Goals against / match1.38
Clean sheets38%
Failed to score50%
Both teams scored38%
Over 2.562%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.76
xG against / match1.84
xG difference-0.07
Finishing vs xG-1.76
xPts / match1.35
Points vs xPts-1.35
Game state
Scored first25%
PPG when scoring first3.00
PPG when conceding first0.75
Came back from behind25%
Leads held100%
Minutes leading19%
Minutes level51%
Minutes trailing30%
First goal (min)42
First goal conceded (min)29
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%
Goals conceded in 2nd half64%
Late goals for (76'+)0.25
Late goals against0.38
Style
Possession49%
Shots12.8
On target4.6
Shot conversion9%
Shots inside box53%
Big chances created1.0
Corners3.9
xG from set plays12%
Goals from headers0%
Pressure index10.0
Dominant minutes55.3
Pass accuracy83%
Fouls16.3
Cards3.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

CSKA Sofia

0–15'11
16–30'21
31–45'12
46–60'12
61–75'22
76–90'23

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Derry City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.30) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.304
Early press (0-15, level)-0.054
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.373

Game state

When level-0.304
When behind-0.273
10 min after conceding-0.464
10 min after scoring-0.352

Situations

At home-0.262
Away-0.342
4+ days rest-0.304

Opposition

As underdog-0.304

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.094
Conceded late (76+)-0.384

Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level +0.03

CSKA Sofia · 8 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.048
Early press (0-15, level)+0.048
Late push (76+, level)-0.523
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.303

Game state

When ahead-0.082
When level-0.038
When behind-0.044
10 min after conceding-0.105
10 min after scoring-0.044

Situations

At home-0.054
Away-0.044
4+ days rest-0.048

Opposition

As favourite+0.123
Evenly matched-0.103
As underdog-0.212

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.108
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.238

Ahead vs level -0.05 · Behind vs level -0.02

Derry City

Current: winless 4 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-21 50%0.02.03.0
4-3-31 50%0.01.02.0

CSKA Sofia

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-33 38%1.01.332.0
3-5-21 12%3.02.01.0
4-1-4-11 12%1.00.00.0
5-3-21 12%0.00.02.01.761.84
4-3-1-21 12%3.03.02.0

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.5Home 26% P 27%3.8Draw 24% P 26%1.83Away 50% P 48%

Double Chance

1.9Derry City or Draw 24%1.18Derry City or CSKA Sofia 39%1.22Draw or CSKA Sofia 37%

Draw No Bet

3.01 31%1.362 69%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 56% P 61%2.15Under 44% P 39%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 47.5–50% · 285 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home27%26%24%-2.2
Draw26%25%27%+1.9
Away48%49%49%+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 56%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.6

Jasmin Šabotić

Career
10 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
4.9 (4.5 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
30.0 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.6
Cards to home side
53%

Style in Europa League (5-year window · 1 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.0 cards, 30.0 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-07-31 72 280 38'7
2025-07-24 40 241 8'7