Rating 6.63 · G+A 1 + 1 (29% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
Europa Conference League · 1st Qualifying Round
Momentum
– PaideHELI –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Paide | at home | Stat | league | away | Hegelmann Litauen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40.8 #128 | – | Ball possession | 49.1 | – | 43.0 #107 |
| 4.5 #111 | – | Shots total | 8.8 | – | 2.5 #140 |
| 1.5 #122 | – | Shots on target | 3.5 | – | 1.5 #122 |
| 3.3 #115 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 3.5 #105 |
| 11.8 #98 | – | Fouls | 13.1 | – | 13.5 #60 |
| 1.0 #103 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 1.5 #67 |
| 5.7 #50 | – | Tackles | 10.8 | – | – |
| 85.2 #130 | – | Attacks | 107.8 | – | 106.0 #80 |
| 48.5 #113 | – | Dangerous attacks | 60.3 | – | 64.5 #63 |
| 103.3 #57 | – | Passes | 311.6 | – | – |
| 1.3 #120 | – | Yellowcards | 2.2 | – | 1.0 #132 |
| 0.8 #73 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | – |
| – #60 | – | Btts | 53.6 | – | – #60 |
| – #49 | – | Cleansheet | 23.4 | – | – #80 |
| – #50 | – | Draw | 25.5 | – | – #11 |
| 0.2 #59 | – | Expected goals | 1.2 | – | – |
| 0.9 #19 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.4 | – | – |
| – #85 | – | Failed to score | 30.1 | – | – #18 |
| 1.2 #78 | 1.7 | Goals | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 #115 |
| 1.3 #92 | 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 3.0 | 2.0 #34 |
| 0.3 #45 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.5 #9 |
| 5.8 #36 | – | Interceptions | 6.2 | – | – |
| – #92 | – | Lost | 44.3 | – | – #27 |
| – | – | Penalties scored | 0.3 | – | 0.0 #48 |
| 6.5 #61 | – | Rating | 6.5 | – | 6.2 #131 |
| 2.3 #75 | – | Shots blocked | 2.5 | – | 0.5 #134 |
| 1.2 #60 | – | Shots insidebox | 6.3 | – | – #65 |
| 2.3 #130 | – | Shots off target | 4.6 | – | 1.0 #147 |
| 0.5 #59 | – | Shots outsidebox | 3.7 | – | – #65 |
| – #73 | – | Win | 30.2 | – | – #92 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 153.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 258 of 366
- Goals / match
- 2.96 (home 1.68 · away 1.28)
- Home / draw / away
- 46% · 25% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 53% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 4.26 (reds 0.12)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Paide · 2026/2027 · Europa Conference League
Rating 6.57 · G+A 1 + 1 (29% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Rating 6.6 · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Hegelmann Litauen · Last 365 days
Rating 6.06 · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.27 · G+A 1 + 0 (100% of team goals) · 90% of minutes
Rating 6.28 · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- 1st Qualifying Round
- Leg
- 2/2
Venue
- Stadium
- Pärnu Rannastaadion, Pärnu · neutral
- Capacity
- 1,500
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Tarmo Kink · Mikel Aramburu Erneta
- Position
- 1 · 2
- Formation
- 4-3-3 · 4-4-2
Referee
Stojanche Trpchevski
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 21.9° (feels 21.9°)
- Wind
- 1.9
- Humidity
- 65%
Where to watch
No broadcast listings.
No table for this competition stage.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Paide
D 0W 1D 0L · 1 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 1
- D
A
Hegelmann Litauen
1–1
UEFA ECL
D 0W 1D 0L · 1 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 1
- D
A
Hegelmann Litauen
1–1
UEFA ECL
Hegelmann Litauen
D 0W 1D 0L · 1 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 1
- D
H
Paide
1–1
UEFA ECL
D 0W 1D 0L · 1 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 1
- D
H
Paide
1–1
UEFA ECL
All meetings · 2 matches since 2026
Goals 4–1 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%
Last 10 · 2 matches
Goals 4–1 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 2 matches
Goals 4–1 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%
Recent meetings
- W Paide 3–0 Hegelmann Litauen neutral UEFA ECL · 1st Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
- D Hegelmann Litauen 1–1 Paide UEFA ECL · 1st Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
| Metric | Paide all · 6 | Paide at home · 3 | Hegelmann Litauen all · 2 | Hegelmann Litauen away · 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | – | – |
| Points per game | 1.33 | – | – | – |
| W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 2 | – | – | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.17 | – | – | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.33 | – | – | – |
| Clean sheets | 33% | – | – | – |
| Failed to score | 17% | – | – | – |
| Both teams scored | 50% | – | – | – |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | – | – | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.74 | – | – | – |
| xG against / match | 3.17 | – | – | – |
| xG difference | -2.43 | – | – | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.24 | – | – | – |
| xPts / match | 0.29 | – | – | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.29 | – | – | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | – | – | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | – | – | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.33 | – | – | – |
| Came back from behind | 33% | – | – | – |
| Leads held | 67% | – | – | – |
| Minutes leading | 16% | – | – | – |
| Minutes level | 55% | – | – | – |
| Minutes trailing | 30% | – | – | – |
| First goal (min) | 51 | – | – | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 23 | – | – | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 43% | – | – | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | – | – | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.17 | – | – | – |
| Late goals against | 0.67 | – | – | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 41% | – | – | – |
| Shots | 7.2 | – | – | – |
| On target | 2.8 | – | – | – |
| Shot conversion | 16% | – | – | – |
| Shots inside box | 70% | – | – | – |
| Big chances created | 1.5 | – | – | – |
| Corners | 3.3 | – | – | – |
| xG from set plays | 78% | – | – | – |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | – | – |
| Pressure index | 4.7 | – | – | – |
| Dominant minutes | 25.7 | – | – | – |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | – | – | – |
| Fouls | 11.8 | – | – | – |
| Cards | 1.33 | – | – | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Paide
0–15'02
16–30'10
31–45'32
46–60'00
61–75'20
76–90'14
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Paide · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.33) · stands out: when ahead -0.45
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.336
Early press (0-15, level)-0.386
Late push (76+, level)-0.404
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.612
Game state
When ahead-0.453
When level-0.296
When behind-0.373
10 min after conceding-0.294
10 min after scoring-0.215
Situations
At home-0.393
Away-0.283
4+ days rest-0.336
Opposition
As underdog-0.394
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.416
Conceded when ahead+0.453
Conceded late (76+)+0.195
Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level -0.08
Hegelmann Litauen · 2 matches
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.082
Early press (0-15, level)+0.322
Game state
When level-0.202
When behind+0.562
10 min after conceding+0.852
Situations
4+ days rest+0.082
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.212
Behind vs level +0.75
Paide
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 4 67% | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 3.06 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.37 | 3.27 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
Hegelmann Litauen
Current: winless 4 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 2 100% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | – | – |
| Metric | Paide all · 10 | Paide at home · 8 | Hegelmann Litauen all · 4 | Hegelmann Litauen away · 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 8 | – | – |
| Points per game | 1.70 | 2.13 | – | – |
| W / D / L | 5 / 2 / 3 | 5 / 2 / 1 | – | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.60 | 2.13 | – | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.70 | 0.88 | – | – |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 50% | – | – |
| Failed to score | 20% | 0% | – | – |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% | – | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.74 | 1.37 | – | – |
| xG against / match | 3.17 | 3.27 | – | – |
| xG difference | -2.43 | -1.90 | – | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.24 | -0.37 | – | – |
| xPts / match | 0.29 | 0.50 | – | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.29 | -0.50 | – | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 62% | – | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.67 | 3.00 | – | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.25 | 0.67 | – | – |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 67% | – | – |
| Leads held | 83% | 100% | – | – |
| Minutes leading | 29% | 36% | – | – |
| Minutes level | 45% | 40% | – | – |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | 24% | – | – |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 46 | – | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 32 | 25 | – | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 46% | – | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 53% | 57% | – | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.38 | – | – |
| Late goals against | 0.60 | 0.50 | – | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 47% | 50% | – | – |
| Shots | 8.2 | 9.6 | – | – |
| On target | 3.5 | 4.9 | – | – |
| Shot conversion | 20% | 22% | – | – |
| Shots inside box | 70% | 75% | – | – |
| Big chances created | 1.5 | 2.0 | – | – |
| Corners | 4.2 | 4.9 | – | – |
| xG from set plays | 78% | 81% | – | – |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 0% | – | – |
| Pressure index | 7.7 | 12.7 | – | – |
| Dominant minutes | 35.9 | 47.8 | – | – |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 78% | – | – |
| Fouls | 11.6 | 13.0 | – | – |
| Cards | 1.30 | 1.88 | – | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Paide
0–15'22
16–30'12
31–45'54
46–60'03
61–75'50
76–90'36
Paide
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 7 70% | 1.57 | 1.71 | 1.86 | 0.1 | 3.06 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.37 | 3.27 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
Hegelmann Litauen
Current: winless 4 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 2 50% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | – | – |
| 4-3-3 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | – | – |
| Metric | Paide all · 6 | Paide at home · 3 | Hegelmann Litauen all · 2 | Hegelmann Litauen away · 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | – | – |
| Points per game | 1.33 | – | – | – |
| W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 2 | – | – | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.17 | – | – | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.33 | – | – | – |
| Clean sheets | 33% | – | – | – |
| Failed to score | 17% | – | – | – |
| Both teams scored | 50% | – | – | – |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | – | – | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.74 | – | – | – |
| xG against / match | 3.17 | – | – | – |
| xG difference | -2.43 | – | – | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.24 | – | – | – |
| xPts / match | 0.29 | – | – | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.29 | – | – | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | – | – | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | – | – | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.33 | – | – | – |
| Came back from behind | 33% | – | – | – |
| Leads held | 67% | – | – | – |
| Minutes leading | 16% | – | – | – |
| Minutes level | 55% | – | – | – |
| Minutes trailing | 30% | – | – | – |
| First goal (min) | 51 | – | – | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 23 | – | – | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 43% | – | – | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | – | – | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.17 | – | – | – |
| Late goals against | 0.67 | – | – | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 41% | – | – | – |
| Shots | 7.2 | – | – | – |
| On target | 2.8 | – | – | – |
| Shot conversion | 16% | – | – | – |
| Shots inside box | 70% | – | – | – |
| Big chances created | 1.5 | – | – | – |
| Corners | 3.3 | – | – | – |
| xG from set plays | 78% | – | – | – |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | – | – |
| Pressure index | 4.7 | – | – | – |
| Dominant minutes | 25.7 | – | – | – |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | – | – | – |
| Fouls | 11.8 | – | – | – |
| Cards | 1.33 | – | – | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Paide
0–15'02
16–30'10
31–45'32
46–60'00
61–75'20
76–90'14
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Paide · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.33) · stands out: when ahead -0.45
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.336
Early press (0-15, level)-0.386
Late push (76+, level)-0.404
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.612
Game state
When ahead-0.453
When level-0.296
When behind-0.373
10 min after conceding-0.294
10 min after scoring-0.215
Situations
At home-0.393
Away-0.283
4+ days rest-0.336
Opposition
As underdog-0.394
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.416
Conceded when ahead+0.453
Conceded late (76+)+0.195
Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level -0.08
Hegelmann Litauen · 2 matches
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.082
Early press (0-15, level)+0.322
Game state
When level-0.202
When behind+0.562
10 min after conceding+0.852
Situations
4+ days rest+0.082
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.212
Behind vs level +0.75
Paide
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 4 67% | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 3.06 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.37 | 3.27 |
Hegelmann Litauen
Current: winless 4 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 2 100% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | – | – |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.72Home 52% P 49%3.3Draw 27% P 31%4.33Away 21% P 20%
Double Chance
1.2Paide Linnameeskond or Draw 38%1.28Paide Linnameeskond or FC Hegelmann 36%1.8Draw or FC Hegelmann 26%
Draw No Bet
1.41 66%2.752 34%
Both Teams To Score
1.72Yes 54%2.0No 46%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.9Over 50% P 52%1.9Under 50% P 48%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |
Stojanche Trpchevski
No career statistics.
Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 1 matches)
Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 4.0 cards, 25.0 fouls per match.