Rating 6.51 · G+A 1 + 3 (67% of team goals) · 98% of minutes
Europa Conference League · 1st Qualifying Round
Momentum
– IlvesD03 –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Ilves | at home | Stat | league | away | Differdange 03 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.3 #69 | – | Ball possession | 49.1 | – | 42.0 #114 |
| 5.7 #102 | – | Shots total | 8.8 | – | 5.5 #103 |
| 2.2 #107 | – | Shots on target | 3.5 | – | 1.5 #122 |
| 3.8 #102 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 2.0 #139 |
| 9.3 #139 | – | Fouls | 13.1 | – | 10.0 #122 |
| 1.7 #66 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 1.5 #67 |
| 95.2 #106 | – | Attacks | 107.8 | – | 88.0 #124 |
| 57.5 #83 | – | Dangerous attacks | 60.3 | – | 44.5 #125 |
| 2.5 #40 | – | Yellowcards | 2.2 | – | 1.0 #132 |
| 0.2 #25 | – | Redcards | 0.4 | – | 1.0 #1 |
| 0.8 #73 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | 0.5 #90 |
| – #60 | – | Btts | 53.6 | – | – #60 |
| – #76 | – | Cleansheet | 23.4 | – | – #11 |
| – #50 | – | Draw | 25.5 | – | – #11 |
| – #18 | – | Failed to score | 30.1 | – | – #18 |
| 1.0 #80 | 2.0 | Goals | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 #115 |
| 0.8 #126 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 3.0 | 1.5 #59 |
| – #92 | – | Lost | 44.3 | – | – #27 |
| 0.2 #34 | – | Penalties scored | 0.3 | – | – |
| 6.4 #80 | – | Rating | 6.5 | – | 6.3 #121 |
| 1.3 #120 | – | Shots blocked | 2.5 | – | 1.5 #100 |
| – #65 | – | Shots insidebox | 6.3 | – | – #65 |
| 4.3 #73 | – | Shots off target | 4.6 | – | 4.0 #78 |
| – #65 | – | Shots outsidebox | 3.7 | – | – #65 |
| – #73 | – | Win | 30.2 | – | – #92 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 153.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 258 of 366
- Goals / match
- 2.96 (home 1.68 · away 1.28)
- Home / draw / away
- 46% · 25% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 53% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 4.26 (reds 0.12)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Ilves · 2026/2027 · Europa Conference League
Rating 6.49 · G+A 0 + 1 (17% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Rating 6.32 · G+A 0 + 1 (17% of team goals) · 99% of minutes
Differdange 03 · Last 365 days
Rating 6.09 · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.19 · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.34 · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- 1st Qualifying Round
- Leg
- 2/2
Venue
- Stadium
- Tammelan Stadion
- Capacity
- 5,040
- Surface
- artificial turf
Teams
- Coaches
- C. Speranza · Pedro Resende dos Morais
- Position
- 1 · 2
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 3-5-1-1
Referee
Jakob A. Sundberg
Weather
- Conditions
- few clouds
- Temperature
- 23.5° (feels 23.3°)
- Wind
- 2.2
- Humidity
- 52%
Where to watch
No broadcast listings.
No table for this competition stage.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Ilves
D 0W 1D 0L · 1 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 0 GA 0
- D
A
Differdange 03
0–0
UEFA ECL
D 0W 1D 0L · 1 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 0 GA 0
- D
A
Differdange 03
0–0
UEFA ECL
Differdange 03
D 0W 1D 0L · 1 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 0 GA 0
- D
H
Ilves
0–0
UEFA ECL
D 0W 1D 0L · 1 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 0 GA 0
- D
H
Ilves
0–0
UEFA ECL
All meetings · 2 matches since 2026
Goals 3–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%
Last 10 · 2 matches
Goals 3–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 2 matches
Goals 3–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%
Recent meetings
- W Ilves 3–1 Differdange 03 UEFA ECL · 1st Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
- D Differdange 03 0–0 Ilves UEFA ECL · 1st Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
| Metric | Ilves all · 6 | Ilves at home · 3 | Differdange 03 all · 2 | Differdange 03 away · 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | – | – |
| Points per game | 1.33 | – | – | – |
| W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 2 | – | – | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.00 | – | – | – |
| Goals against / match | 0.83 | – | – | – |
| Clean sheets | 17% | – | – | – |
| Failed to score | 50% | – | – | – |
| Both teams scored | 50% | – | – | – |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | – | – | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 33% | – | – | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | – | – | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | – | – | – |
| Came back from behind | 33% | – | – | – |
| Leads held | 67% | – | – | – |
| Minutes leading | 16% | – | – | – |
| Minutes level | 68% | – | – | – |
| Minutes trailing | 16% | – | – | – |
| First goal (min) | 58 | – | – | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 64 | – | – | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 100% | – | – | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | – | – | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.17 | – | – | – |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | – | – | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | – | – | – |
| Shots | 9.2 | – | – | – |
| On target | 2.8 | – | – | – |
| Shot conversion | 13% | – | – | – |
| Corners | 3.8 | – | – | – |
| Pressure index | 9.2 | – | – | – |
| Dominant minutes | 48.0 | – | – | – |
| Fouls | 9.3 | – | – | – |
| Cards | 2.00 | – | – | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Ilves
0–15'00
16–30'01
31–45'01
46–60'20
61–75'31
76–90'01
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Ilves · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: when behind -0.25
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.146
Early press (0-15, level)+0.096
Late push (76+, level)-0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.612
Game state
When ahead-0.203
When level-0.096
When behind-0.253
10 min after conceding-0.134
10 min after scoring-0.213
Situations
At home-0.033
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.146
Opposition
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched-0.212
As underdog-0.212
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.066
Conceded when ahead-0.223
Conceded late (76+)-0.226
Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level -0.16
Differdange 03 · 2 matches
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.182
Early press (0-15, level)-0.202
Game state
When level-0.162
Situations
4+ days rest-0.182
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.072
Conceded late (76+)-0.562
Ahead vs level -0.32 · Behind vs level +0.00
Ilves
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 3 50% | 0.33 | 0.33 | 1.0 | – | – |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 33% | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | – | – |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 17% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
Differdange 03
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 1 50% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 50% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | – | – |
| Metric | Ilves all · 10 | Ilves at home · 7 | Differdange 03 all · 10 | Differdange 03 away · 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.14 | 1.00 | 0.86 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 3 / 4 | 4 / 3 / 0 | 3 / 1 / 6 | 2 / 0 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.00 | 1.86 | 1.10 | 1.29 |
| Goals against / match | 1.90 | 1.14 | 1.40 | 1.86 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 14% | 30% | 14% |
| Failed to score | 60% | 14% | 30% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 86% | 50% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 57% | 50% | 57% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.98 | 1.54 | – | – |
| xG against / match | 4.18 | 2.71 | – | – |
| xG difference | -3.20 | -1.17 | – | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 1.02 | 2.46 | – | – |
| xPts / match | 0.40 | 0.78 | – | – |
| Points vs xPts | 1.10 | 2.22 | – | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 57% | 40% | 57% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | 2.50 | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.60 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 20% | 100% | 0% | 0% |
| Leads held | 75% | 80% | 75% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 15% | 26% | 11% | 15% |
| Minutes level | 61% | 70% | 60% | 55% |
| Minutes trailing | 24% | 3% | 29% | 30% |
| First goal (min) | 45 | 50 | 50 | 48 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 48 | 59 | 47 | 48 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 78% | 82% | 56% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 67% | 62% | 64% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.14 | 0.40 | 0.57 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | 0.29 | 0.30 | 0.57 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 47% | 48% | 48% | 44% |
| Shots | 8.3 | 10.6 | 9.4 | 8.8 |
| On target | 2.7 | 4.6 | 4.0 | 3.6 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 24% | 12% | 17% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 60% | – | – |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.5 | – | – |
| Corners | 3.1 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 3.4 |
| xG from set plays | 20% | 22% | – | – |
| Goals from headers | 25% | 25% | – | 0% |
| Pressure index | 6.0 | 8.3 | 8.0 | 6.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 33.7 | 43.9 | 41.0 | 31.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 76% | 100% | 100% |
| Fouls | 8.6 | 10.0 | 14.5 | 14.1 |
| Cards | 1.50 | 1.43 | 2.80 | 3.29 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Ilves
0–15'10
16–30'05
31–45'14
46–60'21
61–75'54
76–90'04
Differdange 03
0–15'02
16–30'23
31–45'20
46–60'12
61–75'24
76–90'22
Ilves
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 2.25 | 2.25 | 2.5 | 0.98 | 4.18 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 30% | 0.33 | 0.33 | 1.0 | – | – |
| 3-4-3 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | – | – |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
Differdange 03
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 4 40% | 1.75 | 1.0 | 0.5 | – | – |
| 3-5-2 | 3 30% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.33 | – | – |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | – | – |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | – | – |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | – | – |
| Metric | Ilves all · 6 | Ilves at home · 3 | Differdange 03 all · 2 | Differdange 03 away · 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | – | – |
| Points per game | 1.33 | – | – | – |
| W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 2 | – | – | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.00 | – | – | – |
| Goals against / match | 0.83 | – | – | – |
| Clean sheets | 17% | – | – | – |
| Failed to score | 50% | – | – | – |
| Both teams scored | 50% | – | – | – |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | – | – | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 33% | – | – | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | – | – | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | – | – | – |
| Came back from behind | 33% | – | – | – |
| Leads held | 67% | – | – | – |
| Minutes leading | 16% | – | – | – |
| Minutes level | 68% | – | – | – |
| Minutes trailing | 16% | – | – | – |
| First goal (min) | 58 | – | – | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 64 | – | – | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 100% | – | – | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | – | – | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.17 | – | – | – |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | – | – | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | – | – | – |
| Shots | 9.2 | – | – | – |
| On target | 2.8 | – | – | – |
| Shot conversion | 13% | – | – | – |
| Corners | 3.8 | – | – | – |
| Pressure index | 9.2 | – | – | – |
| Dominant minutes | 48.0 | – | – | – |
| Fouls | 9.3 | – | – | – |
| Cards | 2.00 | – | – | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Ilves
0–15'00
16–30'01
31–45'01
46–60'20
61–75'31
76–90'01
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Ilves · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: when behind -0.25
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.146
Early press (0-15, level)+0.096
Late push (76+, level)-0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.612
Game state
When ahead-0.203
When level-0.096
When behind-0.253
10 min after conceding-0.134
10 min after scoring-0.213
Situations
At home-0.033
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.146
Opposition
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched-0.212
As underdog-0.212
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.066
Conceded when ahead-0.223
Conceded late (76+)-0.226
Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level -0.16
Differdange 03 · 2 matches
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.182
Early press (0-15, level)-0.202
Game state
When level-0.162
Situations
4+ days rest-0.182
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.072
Conceded late (76+)-0.562
Ahead vs level -0.32 · Behind vs level +0.00
Ilves
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 3 50% | 0.33 | 0.33 | 1.0 | – | – |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 33% | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | – | – |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 17% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
Differdange 03
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 1 50% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 50% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | – | – |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.6Home 56% P 58%3.5Draw 26% P 26%5.0Away 18% P 16%
Double Chance
1.12FC Ilves or Draw 40%1.25FC Ilves or FC 03 Differdange 36%1.95Draw or FC 03 Differdange 23%
Draw No Bet
1.221 77%4.02 23%
Both Teams To Score
1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.7Over 55% P 57%2.1Under 45% P 43%
Total Corners
7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 57.5–60% · away 15–17.5% · 555 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 58% | 59% | 57% | -1.5 |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | 28% | +3.8 |
| Away | 16% | 16% | 14% | -2.2 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 49%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 56% | 56% | -0.2 |
Jakob A. Sundberg
- Career
- 11 matches · 5 seasons
- Cards / match
- 6.09 (5.55 yellow · 0.36 red)
- Fouls / match
- 24.6 · 3.7 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.46
- Cards to home side
- 55%
Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 9 matches)
Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 6.33 cards, 23.1 fouls per match.
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-14 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 31' | 7 |
| 2025-07-29 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 69' | 5 |