Momentum
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Milsami | at home | Stat | league | away | Velez |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.5 #93 | – | Ball possession | 49.1 | – | 47.0 #88 |
| 4.5 #111 | – | Shots total | 8.8 | – | 5.8 #101 |
| 1.5 #122 | – | Shots on target | 3.5 | – | 1.2 #136 |
| 1.5 #146 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 3.5 #105 |
| 22.0 #1 | – | Fouls | 13.1 | – | 14.0 #51 |
| – | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 1.5 #67 |
| – | – | Tackles | 10.8 | – | 4.2 #56 |
| 118.5 #46 | – | Attacks | 107.8 | – | 113.8 #56 |
| 58.0 #82 | – | Dangerous attacks | 60.3 | – | 66.0 #56 |
| – | – | Passes | 311.6 | – | 90.2 #59 |
| 4.0 #7 | – | Yellowcards | 2.2 | – | 2.8 #34 |
| 0.5 #90 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | 0.5 #90 |
| – #60 | – | Btts | 53.6 | – | – #114 |
| – #80 | – | Cleansheet | 23.4 | – | – #59 |
| – #11 | – | Draw | 25.5 | – | – #63 |
| – | – | Expected goals | 1.2 | – | 0.2 #57 |
| – | – | Expected goals difference | 0.4 | – | 0.3 #41 |
| – #18 | – | Failed to score | 30.1 | – | – #18 |
| 0.5 #115 | 0.0 | Goals | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 #115 |
| 1.0 #110 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1.2 #96 |
| 0.5 #9 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.5 #9 |
| – | – | Interceptions | 6.2 | – | 2.2 #58 |
| – #27 | – | Lost | 44.3 | – | – #27 |
| 6.3 #110 | – | Rating | 6.5 | – | 6.4 #88 |
| 0.5 #134 | – | Shots blocked | 2.5 | – | 1.5 #100 |
| – #65 | – | Shots insidebox | 6.3 | – | 1.8 #56 |
| 3.0 #111 | – | Shots off target | 4.6 | – | 3.8 #88 |
| – #65 | – | Shots outsidebox | 3.7 | – | 1.2 #48 |
| – #92 | – | Win | 30.2 | – | – #82 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 153.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 258 of 366
- Goals / match
- 2.96 (home 1.68 · away 1.28)
- Home / draw / away
- 46% · 25% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 53% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 4.26 (reds 0.12)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Milsami · Last 365 days
Velez · Last 365 days
Absences
Milsami
- injury Veaceslav Posmac defender · Broken Collarbone · 16 missed · until 2026-08-01
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- 1st Qualifying Round
- Leg
- 2/2
Venue
- Stadium
- Complexul Sportiv Raional, Orhei
- Capacity
- 3,160
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Alexei Savinov · Ibro Rahimić
- Position
- 1 · 2
- Formation
- 5-3-2 · 4-4-2
Referee
Duncan Nicolson
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 25.8° (feels 25.8°)
- Wind
- 2.4
- Humidity
- 53%
Where to watch
No broadcast listings.
No table for this competition stage.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Milsami
D 0W 1D 0L · 1 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 1
- D
A
Velez
1–1
UEFA ECL
D 0W 1D 0L · 1 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 1
- D
A
Velez
1–1
UEFA ECL
Velez
D 0W 1D 0L · 1 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 1
- D
H
Milsami
1–1
UEFA ECL
D 0W 1D 0L · 1 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 1
- D
H
Milsami
1–1
UEFA ECL
All meetings · 2 matches since 2026
Goals 1–2 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%
Last 10 · 2 matches
Goals 1–2 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%
Last 5 · 2 matches
Goals 1–2 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%
Recent meetings
- L Milsami 0–1 Velez UEFA ECL · 1st Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
- D Velez 1–1 Milsami neutral UEFA ECL · 1st Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
| Metric | Milsami all · 2 | Milsami at home · 1 | Velez all · 4 | Velez away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Milsami · 2 matches
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Conceded
Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.10
Velez · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.14
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level -0.69 · Behind vs level -0.17
Milsami
Current: winless 3 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-3-2 | 2 100% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | – | – |
Velez
Current: winless 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 1 25% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
| 4-4-2 | 1 25% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
| 3-4-3 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.99 |
| Metric | Milsami all · 10 | Milsami at home · 6 | Velez all · 6 | Velez away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 6 | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0.83 | – |
| W / D / L | 2 / 4 / 4 | 2 / 3 / 1 | 1 / 2 / 3 | – |
| Goals for / match | 0.70 | 1.00 | 0.67 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.10 | 0.83 | 1.83 | – |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 33% | 17% | – |
| Failed to score | 60% | 50% | 33% | – |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% | 50% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 33% | 33% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | – | – | 1.00 | – |
| xG against / match | – | – | 0.99 | – |
| xG difference | – | – | 0.01 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | – | – | -1.00 | – |
| xPts / match | – | – | 1.35 | – |
| Points vs xPts | – | – | -1.35 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 20% | 17% | 17% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.67 | 1.33 | 0.40 | – |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 67% | 40% | – |
| Leads held | 67% | 100% | 100% | – |
| Minutes leading | 8% | 6% | 1% | – |
| Minutes level | 77% | 85% | 59% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 16% | 9% | 40% | – |
| First goal (min) | 60 | 62 | 73 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 64 | 62 | 42 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 86% | 83% | 100% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 100% | 100% | 54% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.33 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.17 | 0.50 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 52% | 58% | 48% | – |
| Shots | 8.8 | 8.4 | 7.8 | – |
| On target | 2.0 | 2.8 | 2.5 | – |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 14% | 13% | – |
| Shots inside box | – | – | 58% | – |
| Big chances created | – | – | 0.0 | – |
| Corners | 3.9 | 5.0 | 3.7 | – |
| xG from set plays | – | – | 19% | – |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | 0% | – |
| Pressure index | 9.6 | 15.1 | 9.3 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 49.6 | 68.7 | 49.7 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 100% | 100% | 78% | – |
| Fouls | 14.5 | 15.2 | 13.8 | – |
| Cards | 3.00 | 3.17 | 2.33 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Milsami
Velez
Milsami
Current: winless 3 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-1-4-1 | 5 50% | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | – | – |
| 4-3-3 | 3 30% | 0.67 | 0.33 | 0.67 | – | – |
| 5-3-2 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | – | – |
Velez
Current: winless 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 2 33% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | – | – |
| 4-4-2 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
| 3-4-3 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.99 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 17% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
| Metric | Milsami all · 2 | Milsami at home · 1 | Velez all · 4 | Velez away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Milsami · 2 matches
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Conceded
Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.10
Velez · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.14
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level -0.69 · Behind vs level -0.17
Milsami
Current: winless 3 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-3-2 | 2 100% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | – | – |
Velez
Current: winless 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.99 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 25% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
| 4-4-2 | 1 25% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Both Teams To Score
Goals Over/Under
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 35–40% · away 25–30% · 367 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 38% | 39% | 35% | -3.7 |
| Draw | 35% | 32% | 37% | +4.3 |
| Away | 27% | 29% | 28% | -0.6 |
In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 38%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 35–37.5% · 819 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 37% | 36% | 41% | +4.2 |
Duncan Nicolson
No career statistics.
Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 1 matches)
Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 8.0 cards, 38.0 fouls per match.
