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Europa Conference League · 1st Qualifying Round Aggregate 1–2 · Velez went through · After Full Time

Momentum

MilsamiVelez
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
1st Qualifying Round
Leg
2/2

Venue

Stadium
Complexul Sportiv Raional, Orhei
Capacity
3,160
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Alexei Savinov · Ibro Rahimić
Position
1 · 2
Formation
5-3-2 · 4-4-2

Referee

Duncan Nicolson

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
25.8° (feels 25.8°)
Wind
2.4
Humidity
53%

Where to watch

No broadcast listings.

No table for this competition stage.

Milsami

D 0W 1D 0L · 1 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 1

  • D A Velez 1–1 UEFA ECL

Velez

D 0W 1D 0L · 1 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 1

  • D H Milsami 1–1 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Milsami 01 draws1 Velez

Goals 1–2 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Milsami 01 draws1 Velez

Goals 1–2 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Milsami 01 draws1 Velez

Goals 1–2 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • L Milsami 0–1 Velez UEFA ECL · 1st Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
  • D Velez 1–1 Milsami neutral UEFA ECL · 1st Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
MetricMilsami all · 2Milsami at home · 1Velez all · 4Velez away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Milsami · 2 matches

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.352
Early press (0-15, level)+0.262
Late push (76+, level)-0.362

Game state

When level-0.332
10 min after conceding-0.452

Situations

4+ days rest-0.352

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.242
Conceded late (76+)-0.352

Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.10

Velez · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.14

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.044
Early press (0-15, level)-0.034
Late push (76+, level)-0.342
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.143

Game state

When level+0.134
When behind-0.053
10 min after conceding-0.043
10 min after scoring-0.542

Situations

At home+0.132
Away-0.052
4+ days rest+0.044

Opposition

As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.094
Conceded late (76+)-0.204

Ahead vs level -0.69 · Behind vs level -0.17

Milsami

Current: winless 3 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
5-3-22 100%0.50.51.0

Velez

Current: winless 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-21 25%1.01.01.0
4-4-21 25%3.01.00.0
3-4-31 25%0.00.01.0
4-2-3-11 25%0.00.03.01.00.99

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.15Home 41% P 38%3.2Draw 28% P 35%2.9Away 31% P 27%

Double Chance

1.3FC Milsami or Draw 35%1.28FC Milsami or Velez Mostar 36%1.57Draw or Velez Mostar 29%

Draw No Bet

1.611 58%2.22 42%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44%1.66No 56%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.37Over 39% P 37%1.53Under 61% P 63%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–40% · away 25–30% · 367 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home38%39%35%-3.7
Draw35%32%37%+4.3
Away27%29%28%-0.6

In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 38%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 35–37.5% · 819 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.537%36%41%+4.2

Duncan Nicolson

No career statistics.

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 1 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 8.0 cards, 38.0 fouls per match.