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Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round Aggregate 1–2 · Paide went through · After Full Time

Momentum

ZiraPaide
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
2nd Qualifying Round
Leg
2/2

Venue

Stadium
Mehdi Hüseynzad? adina stadionu, Sumqayit · neutral
Capacity
10,047

Teams

Coaches
Rashad Sadygov · Tarmo Kink
Position
2 · 1
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-3-3

Referee

Patrik Kolarić

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
24.4° (feels 24.8°)
Wind
9.8
Humidity
73%

Where to watch

No broadcast listings.

No table for this competition stage.

Zira

WWL 2W 0D 1L · 6 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 1

  • L A Paide 0–1 UEFA ECL
  • W A Torpedo Kutaisi 3–0 UEFA ECL
  • W H Torpedo Kutaisi 3–0 UEFA ECL

Paide

DWW 2W 1D 0L · 7 pts (2.33 ppg) · GF 5 GA 1

  • W H Zira 1–0 UEFA ECL
  • W H Hegelmann Litauen 3–0 UEFA ECL
  • D A Hegelmann Litauen 1–1 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Zira 01 draws1 Paide

Goals 1–2 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Zira 01 draws1 Paide

Goals 1–2 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Zira 01 draws1 Paide

Goals 1–2 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • D Zira 1–1 Paide neutral UEFA ECL · 2nd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
  • L Paide 1–0 Zira neutral UEFA ECL · 2nd Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
MetricZira all · 4Zira at home · 2Paide all · 6Paide away · 3
Results
Matches6
Points per game1.33
W / D / L2 / 2 / 2
Goals for / match1.17
Goals against / match1.33
Clean sheets33%
Failed to score17%
Both teams scored50%
Over 2.533%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.74
xG against / match3.17
xG difference-2.43
Finishing vs xG-0.24
xPts / match0.29
Points vs xPts-0.29
Game state
Scored first50%
PPG when scoring first2.33
PPG when conceding first0.33
Came back from behind33%
Leads held67%
Minutes leading16%
Minutes level55%
Minutes trailing30%
First goal (min)51
First goal conceded (min)23
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half43%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.17
Late goals against0.67
Style
Possession41%
Shots7.2
On target2.8
Shot conversion16%
Shots inside box70%
Big chances created1.5
Corners3.3
xG from set plays78%
Goals from headers0%
Pressure index4.7
Dominant minutes25.7
Pass accuracy80%
Fouls11.8
Cards1.33

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Paide

0–15'02
16–30'10
31–45'32
46–60'00
61–75'20
76–90'14

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Zira · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.68

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.404
Early press (0-15, level)+0.144
Late push (76+, level)-0.182

Game state

When ahead+0.523
When level+0.334
10 min after conceding-0.452
10 min after scoring+0.683

Situations

At home+0.412
Away+0.382
4+ days rest+0.404

Opposition

As favourite+0.363

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.324
Conceded when ahead-0.343
Conceded late (76+)-0.422

Ahead vs level +0.19 · Behind vs level -0.82

Paide · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.33) · stands out: when ahead -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.336
Early press (0-15, level)-0.386
Late push (76+, level)-0.404
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.612

Game state

When ahead-0.453
When level-0.296
When behind-0.373
10 min after conceding-0.294
10 min after scoring-0.215

Situations

At home-0.393
Away-0.283
4+ days rest-0.336

Opposition

As underdog-0.394

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.416
Conceded when ahead+0.453
Conceded late (76+)+0.195

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level -0.08

Zira

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-33 75%2.332.330.33
4-2-3-11 25%0.00.01.0

Paide

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-34 67%1.251.251.00.13.06
4-2-3-11 17%0.01.04.01.373.27
4-1-4-11 17%3.01.00.0

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.18Home 78% P 75%6.0Draw 15% P 19%13.0Away 7% P 6%

Double Chance

1.01Zira IK or Draw 46%1.1Zira IK or Paide Linnameeskond 42%3.75Draw or Paide Linnameeskond 12%

Draw No Bet

1.041 90%9.02 10%

Both Teams To Score

2.5Yes 38%1.5No 62%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 56% P 54%2.15Under 44% P 46%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 75–80% · away 5–10% · 1,139 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home75%77%78%+1.0
Draw19%15%15%-0.1
Away6%8%7%-0.9

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 66%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%55%+0.8

Patrik Kolarić

Career
11 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.18 (4.0 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
25.6 · 6.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.36
Cards to home side
39%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 8 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 3.63 cards, 23.1 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-18 30 202 45'9
2025-07-31 71 352 23'12