Panathinaikos v Paksi SE

Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round Aggregate 4–3 · Panathinaikos went through · After Full Time

PanathinaikosPAO

2–2

Paksi SEPaksi SE

Momentum

– PAOPaksi SE –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

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Season context

Panathinaikos	at home	Stat	league	away	Paksi SE
51.8 #59	–	Ball possession	49.1	–	35.0 #146
16.5 #16	–	Shots total	8.8	–	11.5 #39
7.3 #9	–	Shots on target	3.5	–	3.0 #83
6.7 #24	–	Corners	4.8	–	5.0 #60
11.2 #109	–	Fouls	13.1	–	14.0 #51
0.8 #122	–	Offsides	1.9	–	3.0 #20
12.2 #27	–	Tackles	10.8	–	24.0 #1
145.0 #8	–	Attacks	107.8	–	110.0 #68
82.7 #16	–	Dangerous attacks	60.3	–	47.5 #115
489.8 #14	–	Passes	311.6	–	307.0 #31
2.3 #54	–	Yellowcards	2.2	–	1.5 #102
0.7 #83	–	Assists	1.1	–	1.5 #21
– #1	–	Btts	53.6	–	– #1
– #80	–	Cleansheet	23.4	–	– #80
– #11	–	Draw	25.5	–	– #11
1.4 #23	–	Expected goals	1.2	–	0.9 #33
0.4 #34	–	Expected goals difference	0.4	–	0.6 #27
– #97	–	Failed to score	30.1	–	– #97
1.8 #37	1.7	Goals	1.3	2.0	1.5 #49
1.3 #92	1.7	Goals conceded	1.6	2.0	2.0 #34
0.3 #45	–	Injury time goals	0.5	–	–
8.3 #18	–	Interceptions	6.2	–	10.0 #9
– #130	–	Lost	44.3	–	– #27
0.2 #34	–	Penalties scored	0.3	–	–
6.8 #16	–	Rating	6.5	–	6.8 #19
4.8 #13	–	Shots blocked	2.5	–	3.0 #47
9.2 #16	–	Shots insidebox	6.3	–	7.5 #20
6.0 #39	–	Shots off target	4.6	–	5.5 #49
5.5 #16	–	Shots outsidebox	3.7	–	4.0 #26
– #19	–	Win	30.2	–	– #92

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 153.

League this season · 2026/2027

Played: 258 of 366
Goals / match: 2.96 (home 1.68 · away 1.28)
Home / draw / away: 46% · 25% · 29%
BTTS · over 2.5: 53% · 57%
Cards / match: 4.26 (reds 0.12)

Lineups

Waiting for lineups…

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Panathinaikos · 2026/2027 · Europa Conference League

Stefan de Vrij 6 · Centre Back

Starts

Rating 7.08 · G+A 0 + 1 (10% of team goals) · 100% of minutes

Santino Andino 10 · Left Midfield

Starts

Rating 7.11 · G+A 1 + 0 (10% of team goals) · 71% of minutes

Andreas Tetteh 7 · Centre Forward

Starts

Rating 6.94 · G+A 2 + 0 (20% of team goals) · 56% of minutes

All key players

Paksi SE · Last 365 days

János Szabó 30 · Left Back

Starts

Rating 7.3 · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes

Milán Győrfi 6 · Right Midfield

Starts

Rating 6.97 · G+A 1 + 0 (33% of team goals) · 72% of minutes

Márió Zeke 20 · Left Back

Starts

Rating 6.89 · G+A 0 + 1 (33% of team goals) · 100% of minutes

All key players

Absences

Panathinaikos

injury Davide Calabria defender · Unknown Injury · 2 missed
injury Sverrir Ingi Ingason defender · Knee Injury · 3 missed · until 2027-06-30

Competition

Stage: 2nd Qualifying Round
Leg: 2/2

Venue

Stadium: Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis, Athens
Capacity: 69,618
Surface: grass

Teams

Coaches: Jacob Neestrup Hansen · György Bognár
Position: 1 · 2
Formation: 4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Marc Nagtegaal

Weather

Conditions: clear sky
Temperature: 26.2° (feels 26.2°)
Wind: 5.4
Humidity: 51%

Where to watch

No broadcast listings.

No table for this competition stage.

Panathinaikos

W 1W 0D 0L · 3 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 1 · xG 2.08–1.25 · xPts 1.9

W A Paksi SE 2–1 xG 2.08–1.25 UEFA ECL

Paksi SE

L 0W 0D 1L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 2 · xG 1.25–2.08 · xPts 0.89

L H Panathinaikos 1–2 xG 1.25–2.08 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Panathinaikos 11 draws0 Paksi SE

Goals 4–3 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Panathinaikos 11 draws0 Paksi SE

Goals 4–3 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Panathinaikos 11 draws0 Paksi SE

Goals 4–3 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

D Panathinaikos 2–2 Paksi SE UEFA ECL · 2nd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
W Paksi SE 1–2 Panathinaikos UEFA ECL · 2nd Qualifying Round · leg 1/2

Metric	Panathinaikos all · 5	Panathinaikos at home · 2	Paksi SE all · 2	Paksi SE away · 1
Results
Matches	5	–	–	–
Points per game	2.20	–	–	–
W / D / L	3 / 2 / 0	–	–	–
Goals for / match	2.00	–	–	–
Goals against / match	1.40	–	–	–
Clean sheets	0%	–	–	–
Failed to score	0%	–	–	–
Both teams scored	100%	–	–	–
Over 2.5	100%	–	–	–
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.87	–	–	–
xG against / match	1.34	–	–	–
xG difference	0.53	–	–	–
Finishing vs xG	0.13	–	–	–
xPts / match	1.76	–	–	–
Points vs xPts	0.74	–	–	–
Game state
Scored first	80%	–	–	–
PPG when scoring first	2.50	–	–	–
PPG when conceding first	1.00	–	–	–
Came back from behind	100%	–	–	–
Leads held	75%	–	–	–
Minutes leading	31%	–	–	–
Minutes level	62%	–	–	–
Minutes trailing	7%	–	–	–
First goal (min)	54	–	–	–
First goal conceded (min)	74	–	–	–
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	75%	–	–	–
Goals conceded in 2nd half	86%	–	–	–
Late goals for (76'+)	0.60	–	–	–
Late goals against	0.80	–	–	–
Style
Possession	48%	–	–	–
Shots	17.0	–	–	–
On target	7.8	–	–	–
Shot conversion	12%	–	–	–
Shots inside box	64%	–	–	–
Big chances created	3.8	–	–	–
Corners	6.4	–	–	–
xG from set plays	33%	–	–	–
Goals from headers	12%	–	–	–
Pressure index	15.6	–	–	–
Dominant minutes	66.4	–	–	–
Pass accuracy	82%	–	–	–
Fouls	11.4	–	–	–
Cards	2.60	–	–	–

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Panathinaikos

0–15'00

16–30'00

31–45'21

46–60'31

61–75'21

76–90'14

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Panathinaikos · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.76

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.405

Early press (0-15, level)+0.435

Late push (76+, level)+0.303

Game state

When ahead+0.204

When level+0.525

10 min after conceding-0.344

10 min after scoring+0.765

Situations

At home+0.212

Away+0.553

4+ days rest+0.405

Opposition

As favourite+0.405

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.325

Conceded when ahead-0.324

Conceded late (76+)-0.345

Ahead vs level -0.31 · Behind vs level -0.23

Paksi SE · 2 matches

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.272

Early press (0-15, level)-0.372

Game state

When level-0.272

10 min after conceding-0.582

10 min after scoring+0.092

Situations

4+ days rest-0.272

Opposition

As underdog-0.272

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.542

Conceded late (76+)+0.612

Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level +0.03

Panathinaikos

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 6

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-4-2	2 40%	2.0	2.0	1.5	2.03	2.65
4-1-4-1	1 20%	3.0	2.0	1.0	2.08	1.25
4-3-3	1 20%	1.0	2.0	2.0	1.57	0.6
3-4-2-1	1 20%	3.0	2.0	1.0	1.8	0.86

Paksi SE

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 5

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	2 100%	0.5	1.5	2.0	0.93	1.82

Metric	Panathinaikos all · 10	Panathinaikos at home · 10	Paksi SE all · 10	Paksi SE away · 8
Results
Matches	10	10	10	8
Points per game	1.70	1.50	1.00	1.25
W / D / L	4 / 5 / 1	3 / 6 / 1	2 / 4 / 4	2 / 4 / 2
Goals for / match	1.50	1.30	0.90	1.38
Goals against / match	1.50	1.10	1.70	1.63
Clean sheets	10%	30%	20%	25%
Failed to score	10%	20%	40%	25%
Both teams scored	80%	70%	50%	50%
Over 2.5	70%	60%	70%	62%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.74	1.24	1.09	1.20
xG against / match	1.76	0.67	1.82	1.20
xG difference	-0.02	0.57	-0.72	0.00
Finishing vs xG	-0.30	0.14	0.16	0.13
xPts / match	1.41	1.76	0.91	1.37
Points vs xPts	0.37	-0.13	0.10	-0.04
Game state
Scored first	70%	50%	30%	50%
PPG when scoring first	2.14	1.60	2.33	2.00
PPG when conceding first	0.67	1.67	0.20	0.33
Came back from behind	67%	75%	20%	50%
Leads held	50%	43%	67%	50%
Minutes leading	26%	16%	14%	17%
Minutes level	60%	75%	62%	61%
Minutes trailing	14%	9%	24%	22%
First goal (min)	51	52	51	41
First goal conceded (min)	59	54	47	34
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	69%	77%	71%	50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	73%	73%	60%	46%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.40	0.20	0.00	0.25
Late goals against	0.60	0.50	0.50	0.38
Style
Possession	47%	52%	41%	49%
Shots	12.8	14.1	11.2	8.9
On target	5.1	5.5	3.8	3.5
Shot conversion	12%	9%	8%	16%
Shots inside box	61%	56%	71%	84%
Big chances created	2.2	1.5	1.7	2.2
Corners	5.1	7.1	6.0	5.1
xG from set plays	53%	39%	34%	40%
Goals from headers	15%	36%	0%	0%
Pressure index	14.2	22.4	4.5	6.0
Dominant minutes	54.7	61.3	29.4	29.9
Pass accuracy	79%	82%	70%	73%
Fouls	11.1	10.4	11.8	12.5
Cards	3.10	2.20	1.60	2.25

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Panathinaikos

0–15'12

16–30'00

31–45'32

46–60'42

61–75'33

76–90'26

Paksi SE

0–15'00

16–30'00

31–45'26

46–60'44

61–75'10

76–90'05

Panathinaikos

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 6

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	4 40%	1.5	1.5	1.25	2.15	2.06
4-4-2	2 20%	2.0	2.0	1.5	2.03	2.65
5-4-1	1 10%	0.0	0.0	4.0	0.4	2.36
3-4-3	1 10%	3.0	1.0	0.0	1.03	0.78
4-1-4-1	1 10%	3.0	2.0	1.0	2.08	1.25

Paksi SE

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 5

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-5-1-1	5 50%	0.6	0.6	1.8	–	–
3-1-4-2	2 20%	1.5	0.5	1.5	1.24	1.56
3-4-2-1	2 20%	0.5	1.5	2.0	0.93	1.82
3-4-1-2	1 10%	3.0	2.0	1.0	1.27	2.05

Metric	Panathinaikos all · 17	Panathinaikos at home · 8	Paksi SE all · 2	Paksi SE away · 1
Results
Matches	17	8	–	–
Points per game	1.65	1.38	–	–
W / D / L	7 / 7 / 3	2 / 5 / 1	–	–
Goals for / match	1.47	1.38	–	–
Goals against / match	1.35	1.25	–	–
Clean sheets	18%	25%	–	–
Failed to score	12%	12%	–	–
Both teams scored	76%	75%	–	–
Over 2.5	65%	62%	–	–
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.58	1.23	–	–
xG against / match	1.58	0.71	–	–
xG difference	0.00	0.52	–	–
Finishing vs xG	-0.14	0.05	–	–
xPts / match	1.41	1.72	–	–
Points vs xPts	0.28	-0.29	–	–
Game state
Scored first	71%	62%	–	–
PPG when scoring first	2.00	1.60	–	–
PPG when conceding first	0.75	1.00	–	–
Came back from behind	50%	67%	–	–
Leads held	54%	33%	–	–
Minutes leading	26%	18%	–	–
Minutes level	62%	73%	–	–
Minutes trailing	13%	9%	–	–
First goal (min)	49	50	–	–
First goal conceded (min)	55	54	–	–
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	61%	73%	–	–
Goals conceded in 2nd half	70%	70%	–	–
Late goals for (76'+)	0.35	0.25	–	–
Late goals against	0.47	0.63	–	–
Style
Possession	50%	54%	–	–
Shots	14.2	15.1	–	–
On target	5.1	5.1	–	–
Shot conversion	10%	9%	–	–
Shots inside box	57%	54%	–	–
Big chances created	2.2	1.6	–	–
Corners	5.5	7.4	–	–
xG from set plays	42%	42%	–	–
Goals from headers	17%	33%	–	–
Pressure index	16.0	23.2	–	–
Dominant minutes	55.3	65.0	–	–
Pass accuracy	81%	82%	–	–
Fouls	10.8	10.1	–	–
Cards	2.88	2.25	–	–

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Panathinaikos

0–15'32

16–30'31

31–45'34

46–60'53

61–75'55

76–90'48

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Panathinaikos · 17 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.23) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.2317

Early press (0-15, level)+0.2917

Late push (76+, level)+0.0111

Late chase (76+, behind)+0.304

Game state

When ahead+0.0213

When level+0.3317

When behind+0.096

10 min after conceding-0.0113

10 min after scoring+0.4515

Situations

Against ten men+0.572

At home+0.308

Away+0.159

4+ days rest+0.2317

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.202

As favourite+0.449

Evenly matched-0.034

As underdog-0.054

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.1217

Conceded when ahead-0.0813

Conceded late (76+)-0.3415

Ahead vs level -0.31 · Behind vs level -0.24

Paksi SE · 2 matches

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.272

Early press (0-15, level)-0.372

Game state

When level-0.272

10 min after conceding-0.582

10 min after scoring+0.092

Situations

4+ days rest-0.272

Opposition

As underdog-0.272

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.542

Conceded late (76+)+0.612

Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level +0.03

Panathinaikos

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 6

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	4 24%	1.5	1.5	1.25	2.15	2.06
4-2-3-1	3 18%	2.33	1.67	0.33	1.61	1.31
4-3-3	3 18%	0.33	1.33	2.33	1.67	1.33
5-4-1	2 12%	0.5	0.5	2.5	0.56	2.03
3-4-3	2 12%	3.0	1.5	0.5	0.78	0.57

Paksi SE

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 5

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	2 100%	0.5	1.5	2.0	0.93	1.82

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.25Home 74% P 78%5.5Draw 17% P 13%10.0Away 9% P 9%

Double Chance

1.04Panathinaikos or Draw 45%1.14Panathinaikos or Paksi 41%3.5Draw or Paksi 13%

Draw No Bet

1.081 87%7.02 13%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49%1.8No 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 65% P 67%2.62Under 35% P 33%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.629 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 77.5–80% · away 7.5–10% · 182 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	78%	78%	79%	+0.7
Draw	13%	13%	14%	+0.2
Away	9%	8%	7%	-0.9

In those fixtures: 3.6 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 73%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	67%	66%	69%	+3.2

Marc Nagtegaal

Career: 90 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match: 2.73 (2.63 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match: 19.5 · 7.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.24
Cards to home side: 44%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 4 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 3.5 cards, 25.2 fouls per match.

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2026-05-21	5	0	30	0	40'	7
2026-05-17	4	0	31	1	27'	12
2026-05-10	1	0	19	0	30'	5
2026-04-23	2	0	14	0	41'	2
2026-04-12	2	0	15	0	42'	6
2026-03-22	2	1	9	0	39'	7
2026-03-15	4	0	17	0	18'	6
2026-03-08	1	0	17	0	27'	5
2026-02-15	4	1	26	1	15'	10
2026-02-08	2	0	17	0	47'	5

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2026/2027

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Panathinaikos · 2026/2027 · Europa Conference League

Paksi SE · Last 365 days

Absences

Panathinaikos

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch

Panathinaikos

Paksi SE

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Last 10 · 2 matches

Last 5 · 2 matches

Recent meetings

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Panathinaikos

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Panathinaikos · 5 matches

Paksi SE · 2 matches

Panathinaikos

Paksi SE

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Panathinaikos

Paksi SE

Panathinaikos

Paksi SE

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Panathinaikos

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Panathinaikos · 17 matches

Paksi SE · 2 matches

Panathinaikos

Paksi SE

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 77.5–80% · away 7.5–10% · 182 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

Marc Nagtegaal

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 4 matches)

Recent matches