Rating 6.38 · G+A 1 + 1 (67% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round
Momentum
– TobolPanevėžys –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Tobol | at home | Stat | league | away | Panevėžys |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55.0 #41 | – | Ball possession | 49.1 | – | 40.5 #129 |
| 10.2 #51 | – | Shots total | 8.8 | – | 8.5 #68 |
| 4.5 #42 | – | Shots on target | 3.5 | – | 3.5 #64 |
| 7.8 #13 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 6.0 #33 |
| 11.5 #101 | – | Fouls | 13.1 | – | 19.0 #8 |
| 4.0 #6 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 3.5 #9 |
| 99.5 #98 | – | Attacks | 107.8 | – | 90.5 #118 |
| 68.5 #48 | – | Dangerous attacks | 60.3 | – | 49.5 #107 |
| 1.8 #89 | – | Yellowcards | 2.2 | – | 4.0 #7 |
| 0.8 #78 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | 0.5 #90 |
| – #39 | – | Btts | 53.6 | – | – #1 |
| – #80 | – | Cleansheet | 23.4 | – | – #80 |
| – #11 | – | Draw | 25.5 | – | – #1 |
| – #67 | – | Failed to score | 30.1 | – | – #97 |
| 0.8 #111 | 1.0 | Goals | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 #80 |
| 1.8 #54 | 1.5 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 #110 |
| 0.8 #6 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.5 #9 |
| – #27 | – | Lost | 44.3 | – | – #130 |
| 0.0 #48 | – | Penalties scored | 0.3 | – | – |
| 6.3 #111 | – | Rating | 6.5 | – | 6.4 #85 |
| 4.5 #16 | – | Shots blocked | 2.5 | – | 2.0 #84 |
| – #65 | – | Shots insidebox | 6.3 | – | – #65 |
| 8.0 #15 | – | Shots off target | 4.6 | – | 5.0 #56 |
| – #65 | – | Shots outsidebox | 3.7 | – | – #65 |
| – #92 | – | Win | 30.2 | – | – #92 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 153.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 258 of 366
- Goals / match
- 2.96 (home 1.68 · away 1.28)
- Home / draw / away
- 46% · 25% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 53% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 4.26 (reds 0.12)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Tobol · Last 365 days
Rating 6.41 · G+A 1 + 0 (33% of team goals) · 72% of minutes
Rating 6.32 · G+A 0 + 1 (33% of team goals) · 91% of minutes
Panevėžys · Last 365 days
Rating 6.33 · G+A 1 + 0 (50% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.66 · G+A 1 + 0 (50% of team goals) · 65% of minutes
Rating 6.35 · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- 2nd Qualifying Round
- Leg
- 2/2
Venue
- Stadium
- Astana Arena, Astana
- Capacity
- 7,000
- Surface
- artificial turf
Teams
- Coaches
- Miroslav Romashchenko · Toni Korkeakunnas
- Position
- 1 · 2
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Referee
Denys Shurman
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 25.0° (feels 24.6°)
- Wind
- 2.9
- Humidity
- 40%
Where to watch
No broadcast listings.
No table for this competition stage.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Tobol
D 0W 1D 0L · 1 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 1
- D
A
Panevėžys
1–1
UEFA ECL
D 0W 1D 0L · 1 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 1
- D
A
Panevėžys
1–1
UEFA ECL
Panevėžys
D 0W 1D 0L · 1 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 1
- D
H
Tobyl
1–1
UEFA ECL
D 0W 1D 0L · 1 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 1
- D
H
Tobyl
1–1
UEFA ECL
All meetings · 2 matches since 2026
Goals 2–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 0%
Last 10 · 2 matches
Goals 2–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 0%
Last 5 · 2 matches
Goals 2–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 0%
Recent meetings
- D Tobyl 1–1 Panevėžys pens None–None UEFA ECL · 2nd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
- D Panevėžys 1–1 Tobyl UEFA ECL · 2nd Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
| Metric | Tobol all · 4 | Tobol at home · 2 | Panevėžys all · 2 | Panevėžys away · 1 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Tobol · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: when behind +0.32
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.053
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.263
Game state
When level+0.064
When behind+0.324
10 min after conceding-0.024
10 min after scoring-0.053
Situations
At home+0.122
Away+0.272
4+ days rest+0.204
Opposition
As favourite+0.302
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.204
Conceded late (76+)-0.394
Ahead vs level +0.52 · Behind vs level +0.26
Panevėžys · 2 matches
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.312
Early press (0-15, level)-0.202
Late push (76+, level)-0.492
Game state
When ahead-0.432
When level-0.272
10 min after conceding-0.182
10 min after scoring-0.182
Situations
4+ days rest-0.312
Opposition
As underdog-0.312
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.302
Conceded when ahead+0.572
Conceded late (76+)+0.182
Ahead vs level -0.16
Tobol
Current: winless 6 · scoring 1 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 75% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.67 | – | – |
| 4-4-2 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | – | – |
Panevėžys
Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 9 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 2 100% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
| Metric | Tobol all · 8 | Tobol at home · 4 | Panevėžys all · 10 | Panevėžys away · 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 8 | – | 10 | 5 |
| Points per game | 0.63 | – | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 5 | – | 1 / 4 / 5 | 0 / 3 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 0.88 | – | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals against / match | 2.13 | – | 1.70 | 1.60 |
| Clean sheets | 12% | – | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 25% | – | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | – | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | – | 60% | 40% |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 38% | – | 30% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.00 | – | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | – | 0.17 | 0.33 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | – | 17% | 33% |
| Leads held | 33% | – | 33% | 0% |
| Minutes leading | 17% | – | 13% | 2% |
| Minutes level | 60% | – | 51% | 70% |
| Minutes trailing | 23% | – | 36% | 27% |
| First goal (min) | 30 | – | 50 | 55 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | – | 37 | 35 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 17% | – | 50% | 33% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 54% | – | 50% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.13 | – | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | – | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 52% | – | 41% | 40% |
| Shots | 11.7 | – | 6.0 | 4.7 |
| On target | 4.9 | – | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | – | 22% | 21% |
| Shots inside box | 55% | – | – | – |
| Big chances created | 0.0 | – | – | – |
| Corners | 6.3 | – | 3.3 | 3.2 |
| Pressure index | 12.2 | – | 2.7 | 2.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 49.4 | – | 22.4 | 20.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | – | – | – |
| Fouls | 11.6 | – | 11.9 | 12.2 |
| Cards | 2.88 | – | 2.90 | 2.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Tobol
0–15'31
16–30'00
31–45'25
46–60'01
61–75'02
76–90'14
Panevėžys
0–15'04
16–30'12
31–45'33
46–60'02
61–75'33
76–90'14
Tobol
Current: winless 6 · scoring 1 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 50% | 0.5 | 0.75 | 2.25 | – | – |
| 3-5-2 | 1 12% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | – | – |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 12% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
| 4-4-2 | 1 12% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | – | – |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 12% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
Panevėžys
Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 9 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-1-4-1 | 4 40% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.25 | – | – |
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 0.25 | 0.5 | 2.5 | – | – |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
| Metric | Tobol all · 4 | Tobol at home · 2 | Panevėžys all · 2 | Panevėžys away · 1 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Tobol · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: when behind +0.32
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.053
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.263
Game state
When level+0.064
When behind+0.324
10 min after conceding-0.024
10 min after scoring-0.053
Situations
At home+0.122
Away+0.272
4+ days rest+0.204
Opposition
As favourite+0.302
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.204
Conceded late (76+)-0.394
Ahead vs level +0.52 · Behind vs level +0.26
Panevėžys · 2 matches
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.312
Early press (0-15, level)-0.202
Late push (76+, level)-0.492
Game state
When ahead-0.432
When level-0.272
10 min after conceding-0.182
10 min after scoring-0.182
Situations
4+ days rest-0.312
Opposition
As underdog-0.312
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.302
Conceded when ahead+0.572
Conceded late (76+)+0.182
Ahead vs level -0.16
Tobol
Current: winless 6 · scoring 1 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 75% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.67 | – | – |
| 4-4-2 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | – | – |
Panevėžys
Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 9 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 2 100% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.25Home 71% P 76%4.5Draw 20% P 15%10.0Away 9% P 8%
Double Chance
1.04Tobol Kostanay or Draw 45%1.16Tobol Kostanay or FK Panevezys 40%3.0Draw or FK Panevezys 15%
Draw No Bet
1.071 88%7.52 12%
Both Teams To Score
2.0Yes 46%1.72No 54%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.61Over 58% P 58%2.25Under 42% P 42%
Total Corners
17.0Under 6 5%4.336 - 8 20%2.759 - 11 32%3.412 - 14 26%5.5Over 14 16%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 75–77.5% · away 7.5–10% · 515 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 76% | 76% | 77% | +0.9 |
| Draw | 15% | 15% | 15% | -0.5 |
| Away | 8% | 9% | 8% | -0.4 |
In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 66%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 59% | 60% | +0.8 |
Denys Shurman
- Career
- 14 matches · 9 seasons
- Cards / match
- 5.5 (5.14 yellow · 0.14 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.5 · 3.8 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.5
- Cards to home side
- 52%
Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 10 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.4 | 4.92 | -0.75 | 22 |
| Fouls / match | 20.4 | 23.8 | -1.28 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.5 | 4.8 | -0.39 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.4 | 0.29 | +0.64 | 65 |
| Time added | 5.7 | 6.5 | -1.08 | 14 |
- First card
- 40' on average
- Card timing
- 11% in first 30' · 43% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 45% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 2.0
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-27 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 90' | 4 |
| 2025-08-14 | 9 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 18' | 8 |