Rating 6.33 · G+A 1 + 0 (50% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round
Momentum
– PanevėžysTobol –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Panevėžys | at home | Stat | league | away | Tobol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40.5 #129 | – | Ball possession | 49.1 | – | 55.0 #41 |
| 8.5 #68 | – | Shots total | 8.8 | – | 10.2 #51 |
| 3.5 #64 | – | Shots on target | 3.5 | – | 4.5 #42 |
| 6.0 #33 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 7.8 #13 |
| 19.0 #8 | – | Fouls | 13.1 | – | 11.5 #101 |
| 3.5 #9 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 4.0 #6 |
| 90.5 #118 | – | Attacks | 107.8 | – | 99.5 #98 |
| 49.5 #107 | – | Dangerous attacks | 60.3 | – | 68.5 #48 |
| 4.0 #7 | – | Yellowcards | 2.2 | – | 1.8 #89 |
| 0.5 #90 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | 0.8 #78 |
| – #1 | – | Btts | 53.6 | – | – #39 |
| – #80 | – | Cleansheet | 23.4 | – | – #80 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 25.5 | – | – #11 |
| – #97 | – | Failed to score | 30.1 | – | – #67 |
| 1.0 #80 | 1.0 | Goals | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 #111 |
| 1.0 #110 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.8 #54 |
| 0.5 #9 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.8 #6 |
| – #130 | – | Lost | 44.3 | – | – #27 |
| – | – | Penalties scored | 0.3 | – | 0.0 #48 |
| 6.4 #85 | – | Rating | 6.5 | – | 6.3 #111 |
| 2.0 #84 | – | Shots blocked | 2.5 | – | 4.5 #16 |
| – #65 | – | Shots insidebox | 6.3 | – | – #65 |
| 5.0 #56 | – | Shots off target | 4.6 | – | 8.0 #15 |
| – #65 | – | Shots outsidebox | 3.7 | – | – #65 |
| – #92 | – | Win | 30.2 | – | – #92 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 153.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 258 of 366
- Goals / match
- 2.96 (home 1.68 · away 1.28)
- Home / draw / away
- 46% · 25% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 53% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 4.26 (reds 0.12)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Panevėžys · Last 365 days
Rating 6.66 · G+A 1 + 0 (50% of team goals) · 65% of minutes
Rating 6.35 · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Tobol · Last 365 days
Rating 6.38 · G+A 1 + 1 (67% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.41 · G+A 1 + 0 (33% of team goals) · 72% of minutes
Rating 6.32 · G+A 0 + 1 (33% of team goals) · 91% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- 2nd Qualifying Round
- Leg
- 1/2
Venue
- Stadium
- Žemynos progimnazijos stadionas, Panevėžys
- Capacity
- 4,000
- Surface
- artificial turf
Teams
- Coaches
- Toni Korkeakunnas · Miroslav Romashchenko
- Position
- 1 · 2
- Formation
- 4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Mohammad Usman Aslam
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 15.0° (feels 14.9°)
- Wind
- 2.3
- Humidity
- 91%
Where to watch
No broadcast listings.
No table for this competition stage.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Panevėžys
No recent played matches.
Tobol
No recent played matches.
All meetings · 2 matches since 2026
Goals 2–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 0%
Last 10 · 2 matches
Goals 2–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 0%
Last 5 · 2 matches
Goals 2–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 0%
Recent meetings
- D Tobyl 1–1 Panevėžys pens None–None UEFA ECL · 2nd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
- D Panevėžys 1–1 Tobyl UEFA ECL · 2nd Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
| Metric | Panevėžys all · 2 | Panevėžys at home · 1 | Tobol all · 4 | Tobol away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Panevėžys · 2 matches
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.312
Early press (0-15, level)-0.202
Late push (76+, level)-0.492
Game state
When ahead-0.432
When level-0.272
10 min after conceding-0.182
10 min after scoring-0.182
Situations
4+ days rest-0.312
Opposition
As underdog-0.312
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.302
Conceded when ahead+0.572
Conceded late (76+)+0.182
Ahead vs level -0.16
Tobol · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: when behind +0.32
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.053
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.263
Game state
When level+0.064
When behind+0.324
10 min after conceding-0.024
10 min after scoring-0.053
Situations
At home+0.122
Away+0.272
4+ days rest+0.204
Opposition
As favourite+0.302
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.204
Conceded late (76+)-0.394
Ahead vs level +0.52 · Behind vs level +0.26
Panevėžys
Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 9 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 2 100% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
Tobol
Current: winless 6 · scoring 1 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 75% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.67 | – | – |
| 4-4-2 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | – | – |
| Metric | Panevėžys all · 10 | Panevėžys at home · 5 | Tobol all · 8 | Tobol away · 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 5 | 8 | – |
| Points per game | 0.70 | 0.80 | 0.63 | – |
| W / D / L | 1 / 4 / 5 | 1 / 1 / 3 | 1 / 2 / 5 | – |
| Goals for / match | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.88 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.70 | 1.80 | 2.13 | – |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% | 12% | – |
| Failed to score | 40% | 40% | 25% | – |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% | 62% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 80% | 50% | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 40% | 38% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.67 | 2.00 | 1.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.50 | – |
| Came back from behind | 17% | 0% | 33% | – |
| Leads held | 33% | 50% | 33% | – |
| Minutes leading | 13% | 25% | 17% | – |
| Minutes level | 51% | 31% | 60% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 36% | 44% | 23% | – |
| First goal (min) | 50 | 44 | 30 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 37 | 38 | 40 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 60% | 17% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 50% | 54% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.13 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.60 | 0.50 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 41% | 42% | 52% | – |
| Shots | 6.0 | 7.3 | 11.7 | – |
| On target | 2.5 | 2.6 | 4.9 | – |
| Shot conversion | 22% | 23% | 8% | – |
| Shots inside box | – | – | 55% | – |
| Big chances created | – | – | 0.0 | – |
| Corners | 3.3 | 3.4 | 6.3 | – |
| Pressure index | 2.7 | 3.0 | 12.2 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 22.4 | 24.6 | 49.4 | – |
| Pass accuracy | – | – | 82% | – |
| Fouls | 11.9 | 11.5 | 11.6 | – |
| Cards | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.88 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Panevėžys
0–15'04
16–30'12
31–45'33
46–60'02
61–75'33
76–90'14
Tobol
0–15'31
16–30'00
31–45'25
46–60'01
61–75'02
76–90'14
Panevėžys
Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 9 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-1-4-1 | 4 40% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.25 | – | – |
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 0.25 | 0.5 | 2.5 | – | – |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
Tobol
Current: winless 6 · scoring 1 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 50% | 0.5 | 0.75 | 2.25 | – | – |
| 4-4-2 | 1 12% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | – | – |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 12% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
| 3-5-2 | 1 12% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | – | – |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 12% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | – | – |
| Metric | Panevėžys all · 2 | Panevėžys at home · 1 | Tobol all · 4 | Tobol away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Panevėžys · 2 matches
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.312
Early press (0-15, level)-0.202
Late push (76+, level)-0.492
Game state
When ahead-0.432
When level-0.272
10 min after conceding-0.182
10 min after scoring-0.182
Situations
4+ days rest-0.312
Opposition
As underdog-0.312
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.302
Conceded when ahead+0.572
Conceded late (76+)+0.182
Ahead vs level -0.16
Tobol · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: when behind +0.32
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.053
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.263
Game state
When level+0.064
When behind+0.324
10 min after conceding-0.024
10 min after scoring-0.053
Situations
At home+0.122
Away+0.272
4+ days rest+0.204
Opposition
As favourite+0.302
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.204
Conceded late (76+)-0.394
Ahead vs level +0.52 · Behind vs level +0.26
Panevėžys
Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 9 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 2 100% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
Tobol
Current: winless 6 · scoring 1 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 75% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.67 | – | – |
| 4-4-2 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | – | – |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
3.6Home 25% P 24%3.5Draw 26% P 26%1.8Away 50% P 50%
Double Chance
1.8FK Panevezys or Draw 26%1.25FK Panevezys or Tobol Kostanay 37%1.25Draw or Tobol Kostanay 37%
Draw No Bet
2.251 41%1.572 59%
Both Teams To Score
2.1Yes 44%1.66No 56%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.2Over 43% P 43%1.65Under 57% P 57%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 50–52.5% · 348 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 24% | 24% | 27% | +3.4 |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | 29% | +3.7 |
| Away | 50% | 51% | 44% | -7.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 54%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 44% | 43% | -1.2 |
Mohammad Usman Aslam
No career statistics.
Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 6 matches)
Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 6.0 cards, 29.0 fouls per match.
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | 6 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 37' | 6 |
| 2025-11-06 | 5 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 45' | 12 |
| 2025-07-31 | 8 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 43' | 13 |