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Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round Aggregate 3–4 · Panathinaikos went through · After Full Time

Momentum

Paksi SEPAO
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
2nd Qualifying Round
Leg
1/2

Venue

Stadium
Fehérvári úti stadion, Paks
Capacity
6,150
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
György Bognár · Jacob Neestrup Hansen
Position
1 · 2
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Luka Bilbija

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
16.9° (feels 16.0°)
Wind
2.8
Humidity
52%

Where to watch

No broadcast listings.

No table for this competition stage.

Paksi SE

No recent played matches.

Panathinaikos

No recent played matches.

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Paksi SE 01 draws1 Panathinaikos

Goals 3–4 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Paksi SE 01 draws1 Panathinaikos

Goals 3–4 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Paksi SE 01 draws1 Panathinaikos

Goals 3–4 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • D Panathinaikos 2–2 Paksi SE UEFA ECL · 2nd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
  • L Paksi SE 1–2 Panathinaikos UEFA ECL · 2nd Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
MetricPaksi SE all · 2Paksi SE at home · 1Panathinaikos all · 5Panathinaikos away · 3
Results
Matches5
Points per game2.20
W / D / L3 / 2 / 0
Goals for / match2.00
Goals against / match1.40
Clean sheets0%
Failed to score0%
Both teams scored100%
Over 2.5100%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.87
xG against / match1.34
xG difference0.53
Finishing vs xG0.13
xPts / match1.76
Points vs xPts0.74
Game state
Scored first80%
PPG when scoring first2.50
PPG when conceding first1.00
Came back from behind100%
Leads held75%
Minutes leading31%
Minutes level62%
Minutes trailing7%
First goal (min)54
First goal conceded (min)74
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half75%
Goals conceded in 2nd half86%
Late goals for (76'+)0.60
Late goals against0.80
Style
Possession48%
Shots17.0
On target7.8
Shot conversion12%
Shots inside box64%
Big chances created3.8
Corners6.4
xG from set plays33%
Goals from headers12%
Pressure index15.6
Dominant minutes66.4
Pass accuracy82%
Fouls11.4
Cards2.60

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Panathinaikos

0–15'00
16–30'00
31–45'21
46–60'31
61–75'21
76–90'14

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paksi SE · 2 matches

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.272
Early press (0-15, level)-0.372

Game state

When level-0.272
10 min after conceding-0.582
10 min after scoring+0.092

Situations

4+ days rest-0.272

Opposition

As underdog-0.272

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.542
Conceded late (76+)+0.612

Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level +0.03

Panathinaikos · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.76

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.405
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late push (76+, level)+0.303

Game state

When ahead+0.204
When level+0.525
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.765

Situations

At home+0.212
Away+0.553
4+ days rest+0.405

Opposition

As favourite+0.405

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.325
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.345

Ahead vs level -0.31 · Behind vs level -0.23

Paksi SE

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-12 100%0.51.52.00.931.82

Panathinaikos

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-22 40%2.02.01.52.032.65
4-1-4-11 20%3.02.01.02.081.25
4-3-31 20%1.02.02.01.570.6
3-4-2-11 20%3.02.01.01.80.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

5.0Home 18% P 17%4.2Draw 22% P 21%1.55Away 60% P 62%

Double Chance

2.25Paksi or Draw 21%1.22Paksi or Panathinaikos 39%1.16Draw or Panathinaikos 41%

Draw No Bet

3.51 27%1.282 73%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.65Over 57% P 57%2.2Under 43% P 43%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 15–17.5% · away 60–62.5% · 275 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home17%16%15%-1.7
Draw21%23%20%-3.0
Away62%61%66%+4.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 61%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Luka Bilbija

Career
12 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
3.58 (3.33 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
20.7 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.25
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 9 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 4.0 cards, 21.5 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-07-08 40 172 42'5
2025-08-07 40 180 47'4
2025-07-24 40 270 45'10