Momentum
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Lugano | at home | Stat | league | away | Dukagjini |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.7 #24 | – | Ball possession | 49.1 | – | 32.5 #150 |
| 17.5 #14 | – | Shots total | 8.8 | – | 10.5 #47 |
| 6.0 #16 | – | Shots on target | 3.5 | – | 3.5 #64 |
| 5.7 #45 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 2.0 #139 |
| 15.0 #38 | – | Fouls | 13.1 | – | 14.0 #51 |
| 2.0 #44 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | – |
| 14.3 #18 | – | Tackles | 10.8 | – | 10.0 #34 |
| 111.7 #63 | – | Attacks | 107.8 | – | 86.5 #128 |
| 70.0 #43 | – | Dangerous attacks | 60.3 | – | 38.0 #143 |
| 515.7 #13 | – | Passes | 311.6 | – | 265.0 #33 |
| 1.0 #132 | – | Yellowcards | 2.2 | – | 1.0 #132 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.4 | – | 0.5 #2 |
| 1.7 #20 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | – |
| – #52 | – | Btts | 53.6 | – | – #60 |
| – #49 | – | Cleansheet | 23.4 | – | – #80 |
| – #50 | – | Draw | 25.5 | – | – #91 |
| 2.4 #9 | – | Expected goals | 1.2 | – | 0.9 #32 |
| -0.2 #51 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.4 | – | -0.4 #54 |
| – #97 | – | Failed to score | 30.1 | – | – #18 |
| 2.2 #22 | 1.7 | Goals | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 #115 |
| 0.8 #126 | 0.3 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.0 | 3.0 #11 |
| 7.5 #20 | – | Interceptions | 6.2 | – | 11.5 #4 |
| – #130 | – | Lost | 44.3 | – | – #1 |
| 0.2 #34 | – | Penalties scored | 0.3 | – | – |
| 7.0 #6 | – | Rating | 6.5 | – | 6.5 #51 |
| 3.5 #29 | – | Shots blocked | 2.5 | – | 1.0 #122 |
| 12.5 #8 | – | Shots insidebox | 6.3 | – | 4.5 #36 |
| 8.0 #15 | – | Shots off target | 4.6 | – | 6.0 #39 |
| 5.0 #21 | – | Shots outsidebox | 3.7 | – | 6.0 #12 |
| – #12 | – | Win | 30.2 | – | – #92 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 153.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 258 of 366
- Goals / match
- 2.96 (home 1.68 · away 1.28)
- Home / draw / away
- 46% · 25% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 53% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 4.26 (reds 0.12)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Lugano · 2026/2027 · Europa Conference League
Dukagjini · Last 365 days
Absences
Lugano
- injury Claudio Cassano midfielder · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 27 missed
- injury Martim Marques defender · Unknown Injury · 12 missed · until 2026-07-29
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- 2nd Qualifying Round
- Leg
- 1/2
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadio di Cornaredo, Lugano
- Capacity
- 6,390
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Mattia Croci-Torti · Arsim Thaçi
- Position
- 1 · 2
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 4-4-2
Referee
Viktor Shimusik
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 19.8° (feels 19.0°)
- Wind
- 3.1
- Humidity
- 47%
Where to watch
No broadcast listings.
No table for this competition stage.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Lugano
No recent played matches.
Dukagjini
No recent played matches.
All meetings · 2 matches since 2026
Goals 6–1 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%
Last 10 · 2 matches
Goals 6–1 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 2 matches
Goals 6–1 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%
Recent meetings
- W Dukagjini 1–5 Lugano neutral UEFA ECL · 2nd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
- W Lugano 1–0 Dukagjini UEFA ECL · 2nd Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
| Metric | Lugano all · 6 | Lugano at home · 3 | Dukagjini all · 2 | Dukagjini away · 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | – | – |
| Points per game | 2.33 | – | – | – |
| W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 0 | – | – | – |
| Goals for / match | 2.17 | – | – | – |
| Goals against / match | 0.83 | – | – | – |
| Clean sheets | 33% | – | – | – |
| Failed to score | 0% | – | – | – |
| Both teams scored | 67% | – | – | – |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | – | – | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.38 | – | – | – |
| xG against / match | 1.31 | – | – | – |
| xG difference | 1.07 | – | – | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.21 | – | – | – |
| xPts / match | 1.97 | – | – | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.37 | – | – | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 67% | – | – | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | – | – | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | – | – | – |
| Came back from behind | 100% | – | – | – |
| Leads held | 100% | – | – | – |
| Minutes leading | 52% | – | – | – |
| Minutes level | 37% | – | – | – |
| Minutes trailing | 11% | – | – | – |
| First goal (min) | 36 | – | – | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | – | – | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 54% | – | – | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | – | – | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | – | – | – |
| Late goals against | 0.00 | – | – | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | – | – | – |
| Shots | 17.5 | – | – | – |
| On target | 6.0 | – | – | – |
| Shot conversion | 12% | – | – | – |
| Shots inside box | 71% | – | – | – |
| Big chances created | 3.3 | – | – | – |
| Corners | 5.7 | – | – | – |
| xG from set plays | 21% | – | – | – |
| Goals from headers | 31% | – | – | – |
| Pressure index | 22.0 | – | – | – |
| Dominant minutes | 61.3 | – | – | – |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | – | – | – |
| Fouls | 15.0 | – | – | – |
| Cards | 1.33 | – | – | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lugano
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Lugano · 6 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: as favourite +0.75
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level +0.24 · Behind vs level +0.42
Dukagjini · 2 matches
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Behind vs level +0.19
Lugano
Current: unbeaten 7 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 33% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.31 | 1.18 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 2 33% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.77 | 0.93 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.46 | 1.1 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 17% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.69 | 2.54 |
Dukagjini
Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 1 50% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.79 | 2.54 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 50% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.1 | 3.46 |
| Metric | Lugano all · 10 | Lugano at home · 10 | Dukagjini all · 2 | Dukagjini away · 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | – | – |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.10 | – | – |
| W / D / L | 5 / 3 / 2 | 6 / 3 / 1 | – | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.70 | 2.00 | – | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.30 | 1.50 | – | – |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 50% | – | – |
| Failed to score | 30% | 20% | – | – |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% | – | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.18 | 2.05 | – | – |
| xG against / match | 1.50 | 1.50 | – | – |
| xG difference | 0.69 | 0.56 | – | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.48 | -0.05 | – | – |
| xPts / match | 1.78 | 1.68 | – | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.02 | 0.42 | – | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 60% | – | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 3.00 | – | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | 0.67 | – | – |
| Came back from behind | 60% | 67% | – | – |
| Leads held | 100% | 86% | – | – |
| Minutes leading | 32% | 50% | – | – |
| Minutes level | 53% | 41% | – | – |
| Minutes trailing | 15% | 9% | – | – |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 21 | – | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 44 | 30 | – | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 59% | 42% | – | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 64% | – | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | 0.50 | – | – |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.50 | – | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 59% | 55% | – | – |
| Shots | 17.1 | 16.2 | – | – |
| On target | 5.3 | 5.2 | – | – |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 12% | – | – |
| Shots inside box | 67% | 67% | – | – |
| Big chances created | 2.7 | 3.4 | – | – |
| Corners | 5.1 | 4.7 | – | – |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 16% | – | – |
| Goals from headers | 27% | 7% | – | – |
| Pressure index | 38.0 | 18.0 | – | – |
| Dominant minutes | 64.3 | 57.4 | – | – |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 86% | – | – |
| Fouls | 14.2 | 14.7 | – | – |
| Cards | 1.90 | 2.40 | – | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lugano
Lugano
Current: unbeaten 7 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.31 | 1.18 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 2 20% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.77 | 0.93 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 2.43 | 2.59 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.64 | 0.85 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.05 | 1.09 |
Dukagjini
Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 1 50% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.79 | 2.54 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 50% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.1 | 3.46 |
| Metric | Lugano all · 6 | Lugano at home · 3 | Dukagjini all · 2 | Dukagjini away · 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | – | – |
| Points per game | 2.33 | – | – | – |
| W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 0 | – | – | – |
| Goals for / match | 2.17 | – | – | – |
| Goals against / match | 0.83 | – | – | – |
| Clean sheets | 33% | – | – | – |
| Failed to score | 0% | – | – | – |
| Both teams scored | 67% | – | – | – |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | – | – | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.38 | – | – | – |
| xG against / match | 1.31 | – | – | – |
| xG difference | 1.07 | – | – | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.21 | – | – | – |
| xPts / match | 1.97 | – | – | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.37 | – | – | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 67% | – | – | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | – | – | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | – | – | – |
| Came back from behind | 100% | – | – | – |
| Leads held | 100% | – | – | – |
| Minutes leading | 52% | – | – | – |
| Minutes level | 37% | – | – | – |
| Minutes trailing | 11% | – | – | – |
| First goal (min) | 36 | – | – | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | – | – | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 54% | – | – | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | – | – | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | – | – | – |
| Late goals against | 0.00 | – | – | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | – | – | – |
| Shots | 17.5 | – | – | – |
| On target | 6.0 | – | – | – |
| Shot conversion | 12% | – | – | – |
| Shots inside box | 71% | – | – | – |
| Big chances created | 3.3 | – | – | – |
| Corners | 5.7 | – | – | – |
| xG from set plays | 21% | – | – | – |
| Goals from headers | 31% | – | – | – |
| Pressure index | 22.0 | – | – | – |
| Dominant minutes | 61.3 | – | – | – |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | – | – | – |
| Fouls | 15.0 | – | – | – |
| Cards | 1.33 | – | – | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lugano
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Lugano · 6 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: as favourite +0.75
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level +0.24 · Behind vs level +0.42
Dukagjini · 2 matches
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Behind vs level +0.19
Lugano
Current: unbeaten 7 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-1-2 | 2 33% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.77 | 0.93 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 33% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.31 | 1.18 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.46 | 1.1 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 17% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.69 | 2.54 |
Dukagjini
Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 1 50% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.79 | 2.54 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 50% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.1 | 3.46 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Both Teams To Score
Goals Over/Under
Total Corners
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 80–85% · away 0–5% · 190 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 81% | 84% | 87% | +3.7 |
| Draw | 15% | 12% | 6% | -6.0 |
| Away | 4% | 5% | 7% | +2.3 |
In those fixtures: 3.5 goals a game · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 66%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 61% | 63% | +1.6 |
Viktor Shimusik
No career statistics.
Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 5 matches)
Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 3.2 cards, 22.4 fouls per match.
