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Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round Aggregate 3–4 · Jablonec went through · After Full Time

Momentum

VaraždinJablonec
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
2nd Qualifying Round
Leg
1/2

Venue

Stadium
Stadion Anđelko Herjavec, Varaždin
Capacity
10,800
Surface
grass
Attendance
3,580

Teams

Coaches
Nikola Šafarić · Luboš Kozel
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3

Referee

Matteo Marchetti

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
14.4° (feels 13.1°)
Wind
1.1
Humidity
45%

Where to watch

No broadcast listings.

No table for this competition stage.

Varaždin

No recent played matches.

Jablonec

No recent played matches.

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Varaždin 10 draws1 Jablonec

Goals 3–4 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Varaždin 10 draws1 Jablonec

Goals 3–4 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Varaždin 10 draws1 Jablonec

Goals 3–4 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • L Jablonec 2–0 Varaždin UEFA ECL · 2nd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
  • W Varaždin 3–2 Jablonec UEFA ECL · 2nd Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
MetricVaraždin all · 2Varaždin at home · 1Jablonec all · 6Jablonec away · 3
Results
Matches6
Points per game2.00
W / D / L4 / 0 / 2
Goals for / match1.50
Goals against / match0.83
Clean sheets50%
Failed to score17%
Both teams scored33%
Over 2.533%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.57
xG against / match3.34
xG difference-0.77
Finishing vs xG-2.07
xPts / match0.90
Points vs xPts0.60
Game state
Scored first67%
PPG when scoring first3.00
PPG when conceding first0.00
Came back from behind0%
Leads held80%
Minutes leading49%
Minutes level42%
Minutes trailing9%
First goal (min)30
First goal conceded (min)37
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half44%
Goals conceded in 2nd half60%
Late goals for (76'+)0.00
Late goals against0.17
Style
Possession46%
Shots11.8
On target4.7
Shot conversion15%
Shots inside box67%
Big chances created0.5
Corners3.7
xG from set plays79%
Goals from headers0%
Pressure index9.4
Dominant minutes51.3
Pass accuracy83%
Fouls13.8
Cards1.50

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Jablonec

0–15'10
16–30'41
31–45'01
46–60'31
61–75'11
76–90'01

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Varaždin · 2 matches

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.152
Early press (0-15, level)-0.252

Game state

When level-0.012
When behind-0.282
10 min after conceding-0.262

Situations

4+ days rest-0.152

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.162
Conceded late (76+)-0.592

Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level -0.27

Jablonec · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.26

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.126
Early press (0-15, level)-0.066
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.062

Game state

When ahead-0.205
When level+0.016
When behind-0.252
10 min after conceding-0.263
10 min after scoring+0.035

Situations

Against ten men-0.102
At home-0.073
Away-0.163
4+ days rest-0.126

Opposition

As favourite-0.252
Evenly matched+0.112
As underdog-0.202

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.006
Conceded when ahead+0.065
Conceded late (76+)-0.066

Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.26

Varaždin

Current: winless 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-12 100%1.51.52.0

Jablonec

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-12 33%1.51.00.50.242.03
3-5-1-11 17%3.02.00.0
3-5-21 17%3.02.01.0
3-4-31 17%0.02.03.0
4-1-4-11 17%3.01.00.04.914.66

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.4Home 37% P 35%3.5Draw 26% P 29%2.4Away 37% P 37%

Double Chance

1.5NK Varazdin or Draw 30%1.22NK Varazdin or FK Jablonec 37%1.4Draw or FK Jablonec 32%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51%1.9No 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.95Over 49% P 49%1.85Under 51% P 51%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 35–37.5% · 692 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home35%34%34%+0.6
Draw29%30%27%-2.5
Away37%36%38%+2.0

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Matteo Marchetti

Career
63 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
4.41 (4.13 yellow · 0.24 red)
Fouls / match
25.5 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 1 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.0 cards, 28.0 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-17 20 230 23'6
2026-04-11 20 230 16'4
2026-03-21 30 141 64'14
2026-03-15 30 310 6'12
2026-03-01 41 160 12'12
2026-02-14 61 261 49'6
2026-01-16 30 230 40'5
2026-01-07 30 221 28'11
2025-12-27 60 340 22'6
2025-12-13 32 220 42'7