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Europa League · 2nd Qualifying Round Aggregate 0–0 · CSKA Sofia went through · After Penalties

Momentum

QarabağCSKA Sofia
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
2nd Qualifying Round
Leg
1/2

Venue

Stadium
Bakı Olimpiya Stadionu, Baku
Capacity
5,800
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Qurban Qurbanov · Hristo Yanev
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Daniele Chiffi

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
27.8° (feels 28.1°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
49%

Where to watch

No broadcast listings.

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Juventus 1100 505 3 W
2 Crystal Palace 1100 404 3 W
3 Sparta Praha 1100 413 3 W
4 Beşiktaş 1100 413 3 W
5 Union Saint-Gilloise 1100 303 3 W
6 Ferencvárosi 1100 312 3 W
7 Benfica 1100 202 3 W
8 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1100 202 3 W
9 OFI 1100 202 3 W
10 Olympique Lyonnais 1100 211 3 W
11 Torreense 1100 211 3 W
12 AFC Bournemouth 1100 211 3 W
13 Olympiacos F.C. 1100 211 3 W
14 Salzburg 1100 101 3 W
15 Omonia Nicosia 1100 101 3 W
16 Sunderland 1100 101 3 W
17 Rennes 1010 000 1 D
18 Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1010 000 1 D
19 Dinamo Zagreb 1010 000 1 D
20 Sturm Graz 1010 000 1 D
21 Jagiellonia Białystok 1001 12-1 0 L
22 Real Sociedad 1001 12-1 0 L
23 Anderlecht 1001 12-1 0 L
24 Lillestrøm 1001 12-1 0 L
25 AZ Alkmaar 1001 01-1 0 L
26 Celta de Vigo 1001 01-1 0 L
27 Levski Sofia 1001 01-1 0 L
28 Celtic 1001 13-2 0 L
29 TSG Hoffenheim 1001 02-2 0 L
30 AC Milan 1001 02-2 0 L
31 Celje 1001 02-2 0 L
32 Olympique Marseille 1001 14-3 0 L
33 Ararat-Armenia 1001 14-3 0 L
34 Viktoria Plzeň 1001 03-3 0 L
35 Lech Poznań 1001 04-4 0 L
36 NEC Nijmegen 1001 05-5 0 L
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Qarabağ

WW 2W 0D 0L · 6 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 0

  • W A Vestri 3–0 UEFA EL
  • W H Vestri 3–0 UEFA EL

CSKA Sofia

WW 2W 0D 0L · 6 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 3

  • W A Derry City 2–1 UEFA EL
  • W H Derry City 3–2 UEFA EL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Qarabağ 02 draws0 CSKA Sofia

Goals 0–0 · 0.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Qarabağ 02 draws0 CSKA Sofia

Goals 0–0 · 0.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Qarabağ 02 draws0 CSKA Sofia

Goals 0–0 · 0.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • D CSKA Sofia 0–0 Qarabağ pens None–None UEFA EL · 2nd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
  • D Qarabağ 0–0 CSKA Sofia UEFA EL · 2nd Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
MetricQarabağ all · 4Qarabağ at home · 2CSKA Sofia all · 8CSKA Sofia away · 4
Results
Matches8
Points per game1.38
W / D / L3 / 2 / 3
Goals for / match1.13
Goals against / match1.38
Clean sheets38%
Failed to score50%
Both teams scored38%
Over 2.562%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.76
xG against / match1.84
xG difference-0.07
Finishing vs xG-1.76
xPts / match1.35
Points vs xPts-1.35
Game state
Scored first25%
PPG when scoring first3.00
PPG when conceding first0.75
Came back from behind25%
Leads held100%
Minutes leading19%
Minutes level51%
Minutes trailing30%
First goal (min)42
First goal conceded (min)29
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%
Goals conceded in 2nd half64%
Late goals for (76'+)0.25
Late goals against0.38
Style
Possession49%
Shots12.8
On target4.6
Shot conversion9%
Shots inside box53%
Big chances created1.0
Corners3.9
xG from set plays12%
Goals from headers0%
Pressure index10.0
Dominant minutes55.3
Pass accuracy83%
Fouls16.3
Cards3.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

CSKA Sofia

0–15'11
16–30'21
31–45'12
46–60'12
61–75'22
76–90'23

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Qarabağ · 8 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.05) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.25

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.058
Early press (0-15, level)+0.218
Late push (76+, level)-0.253

Game state

When ahead-0.065
When level+0.108
10 min after conceding-0.242
10 min after scoring+0.005

Situations

At home-0.044
Away+0.144
4+ days rest+0.058

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.402
As favourite+0.174
Evenly matched-0.172
As underdog+0.042

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.078
Conceded when ahead-0.035
Conceded late (76+)-0.057

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level +0.04

CSKA Sofia · 8 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.048
Early press (0-15, level)+0.048
Late push (76+, level)-0.523
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.303

Game state

When ahead-0.082
When level-0.038
When behind-0.044
10 min after conceding-0.105
10 min after scoring-0.044

Situations

At home-0.054
Away-0.044
4+ days rest-0.048

Opposition

As favourite+0.123
Evenly matched-0.103
As underdog-0.212

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.108
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.238

Ahead vs level -0.05 · Behind vs level -0.02

Qarabağ

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%2.01.50.0

CSKA Sofia

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-33 38%1.01.332.0
4-3-1-21 12%3.03.02.0
5-3-21 12%0.00.02.01.761.84
3-5-21 12%3.02.01.0
4-4-21 12%1.00.00.0

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.5Home 61% P 64%4.2Draw 22% P 26%5.25Away 17% P 11%

Double Chance

1.12FK Qarabag or Draw 42%1.2FK Qarabag or CSKA Sofia 40%2.62Draw or CSKA Sofia 18%

Draw No Bet

1.161 80%4.52 20%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 46%1.72No 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 51%2.0Under 47% P 49%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–65% · away 10–15% · 848 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home64%63%64%+0.4
Draw26%23%23%+0.4
Away11%14%13%-0.8

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 51%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Daniele Chiffi

Career
140 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
4.09 (3.85 yellow · 0.19 red)
Fouls / match
24.4 · 5.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Europa League (5-year window · 1 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 3.0 cards, 25.0 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-10 41 221 48'7
2026-05-04 30 290 40'8
2026-04-19 20 190 24'6
2026-04-04 20 251 29'9
2026-02-22 20 190 37'7
2026-02-08 21 160 55'4
2026-01-24 30 220 51'6
2026-01-18 30 220 9'7
2026-01-03 40 260 37'8
2025-12-08 30 231 19'9