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Champions League · 2nd Qualifying Round Aggregate 5–5 · AGF went through · After Penalties

Momentum

Lech PoznańAGF
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
2nd Qualifying Round
Leg
2/2

Venue

Stadium
Enea stadion, Poznań
Capacity
42,837
Surface
grass
Attendance
36,215

Teams

Coaches
Niels Frederiksen · Jakob Poulsen
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Juxhin Xhaja

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
21.3° (feels 21.1°)
Wind
3.2
Humidity
63%

Where to watch

No broadcast listings.

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 1100 615 3 W
2 FC Bayern München 1100 505 3 W
3 FC Barcelona 1100 514 3 W
4 Manchester United 1100 404 3 W
5 Como 1100 413 3 W
6 Sporting CP 1100 312 3 W
7 VfB Stuttgart 1100 312 3 W
8 Manchester City 1100 202 3 W
9 Real Betis 1100 321 3 W
10 Lens 1100 321 3 W
11 Aston Villa 1100 321 3 W
12 Borussia Dortmund 1100 321 3 W
13 Real Madrid 1100 211 3 W
14 Liverpool 1100 211 3 W
15 Arsenal 1100 101 3 W
16 AEK Athens 1100 101 3 W
17 Roma 1010 110 1 D
18 Shakhtar Donetsk 1010 110 1 D
19 Fenerbahçe 1010 110 1 D
20 PSV 1010 110 1 D
21 Villarreal 1001 23-1 0 L
22 Slavia Praha 1001 23-1 0 L
23 Club Brugge 1001 23-1 0 L
24 LOSC Lille 1001 23-1 0 L
25 Atlético de Madrid 1001 12-1 0 L
26 Inter 1001 12-1 0 L
27 LASK 1001 01-1 0 L
28 Napoli 1001 01-1 0 L
29 Galatasaray 1001 13-2 0 L
30 Viking 1001 13-2 0 L
31 Porto 1001 02-2 0 L
32 RB Leipzig 1001 14-3 0 L
33 Feyenoord 1001 15-4 0 L
34 Sabah 1001 04-4 0 L
35 Slovan Bratislava 1001 16-5 0 L
36 Bodø / Glimt 1001 05-5 0 L
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Lech Poznań

W 1W 0D 0L · 3 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 1 · xG 1.37–0.94 · xPts 1.68

  • W A AGF 4–1 xG 1.37–0.94 UEFA CL

AGF

L 0W 0D 1L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 4 · xG 0.94–1.37 · xPts 1.04

  • L H Lech Poznań 1–4 xG 0.94–1.37 UEFA CL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Lech Poznań 10 draws1 AGF

Goals 5–5 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Lech Poznań 10 draws1 AGF

Goals 5–5 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Lech Poznań 10 draws1 AGF

Goals 5–5 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L Lech Poznań 1–4 AGF pens None–None UEFA CL · 2nd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
  • W AGF 1–4 Lech Poznań neutral UEFA CL · 2nd Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
MetricLech Poznań all · 2Lech Poznań at home · 1AGF all · 3AGF away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Lech Poznań · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.26) · stands out: at home +0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.267
Early press (0-15, level)+0.007
Late push (76+, level)+0.202

Game state

When ahead+0.155
When level+0.317
When behind+0.283
10 min after conceding-0.094
10 min after scoring+0.395

Situations

At home+0.443
Away+0.124
4+ days rest+0.267

Opposition

As favourite+0.244
Evenly matched+0.242

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.287
Conceded when ahead-0.515
Conceded late (76+)-0.432

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level -0.03

AGF · 5 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.39) · stands out: when behind -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.395
Early press (0-15, level)-0.305
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.373

Game state

When level-0.255
When behind-0.494
10 min after conceding-0.474
10 min after scoring-0.264

Situations

At home-0.442
Away-0.353
4+ days rest-0.395

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.542
As underdog-0.414

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.565
Conceded late (76+)+0.363

Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level -0.24

Lech Poznań

Current: winless 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-12 100%1.52.52.51.941.64

AGF

Current: winless 3 · scoring 2 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-31 33%0.01.04.00.941.37
3-1-4-21 33%0.00.04.01.262.89
3-4-2-11 33%3.04.01.02.342.51

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.75Home 52% P 55%3.8Draw 24% P 24%3.9Away 24% P 21%

Double Chance

1.2Lech Poznan or Draw 40%1.25Lech Poznan or AGF Aarhus 38%2.1Draw or AGF Aarhus 23%

Draw No Bet

1.31 72%3.42 28%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 58% P 61%2.25Under 42% P 39%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 20–22.5% · 299 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home55%56%60%+4.2
Draw24%23%21%-1.7
Away21%21%18%-2.5

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 59%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.6

Juxhin Xhaja

Career
29 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
5.48 (5.14 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
23.9 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.45
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 2 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.5 cards, 23.5 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-19 81 310 37'8
2026-01-29 30 250 38'6
2025-12-18 50 190 45'7
2025-12-11 30 140 33'6
2025-11-06 51 281 8'8
2025-08-21 60 240 41'8
2025-08-14 80 261 38'8