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Champions League · 2nd Qualifying Round Aggregate 5–5 · AGF went through · After Penalties

Momentum

AGFLech Poznań
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
2nd Qualifying Round
Leg
1/2

Venue

Stadium
Cepheus Park Randers, Randers · neutral
Capacity
12,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
8,943

Teams

Coaches
Jakob Poulsen · Niels Frederiksen
Position
1 · 2
Formation
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Oliver Reitala

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
16.4° (feels 16.0°)
Wind
6.6
Humidity
74%

Where to watch

No broadcast listings.

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 1100 615 3 W
2 FC Bayern München 1100 505 3 W
3 FC Barcelona 1100 514 3 W
4 Manchester United 1100 404 3 W
5 Como 1100 413 3 W
6 Sporting CP 1100 312 3 W
7 VfB Stuttgart 1100 312 3 W
8 Manchester City 1100 202 3 W
9 Real Betis 1100 321 3 W
10 Lens 1100 321 3 W
11 Aston Villa 1100 321 3 W
12 Borussia Dortmund 1100 321 3 W
13 Real Madrid 1100 211 3 W
14 Liverpool 1100 211 3 W
15 Arsenal 1100 101 3 W
16 AEK Athens 1100 101 3 W
17 Roma 1010 110 1 D
18 Shakhtar Donetsk 1010 110 1 D
19 Fenerbahçe 1010 110 1 D
20 PSV 1010 110 1 D
21 Villarreal 1001 23-1 0 L
22 Slavia Praha 1001 23-1 0 L
23 Club Brugge 1001 23-1 0 L
24 LOSC Lille 1001 23-1 0 L
25 Atlético de Madrid 1001 12-1 0 L
26 Inter 1001 12-1 0 L
27 LASK 1001 01-1 0 L
28 Napoli 1001 01-1 0 L
29 Galatasaray 1001 13-2 0 L
30 Viking 1001 13-2 0 L
31 Porto 1001 02-2 0 L
32 RB Leipzig 1001 14-3 0 L
33 Feyenoord 1001 15-4 0 L
34 Sabah 1001 04-4 0 L
35 Slovan Bratislava 1001 16-5 0 L
36 Bodø / Glimt 1001 05-5 0 L
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

AGF

No recent played matches.

Lech Poznań

No recent played matches.

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

AGF 10 draws1 Lech Poznań

Goals 5–5 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 2 matches

AGF 10 draws1 Lech Poznań

Goals 5–5 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 2 matches

AGF 10 draws1 Lech Poznań

Goals 5–5 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Lech Poznań 1–4 AGF pens None–None UEFA CL · 2nd Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
  • L AGF 1–4 Lech Poznań neutral UEFA CL · 2nd Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
MetricAGF all · 3AGF at home · 1Lech Poznań all · 2Lech Poznań away · 1

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

AGF · 5 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.39) · stands out: when behind -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.395
Early press (0-15, level)-0.295
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.373

Game state

When level-0.255
When behind-0.494
10 min after conceding-0.474
10 min after scoring-0.264

Situations

At home-0.442
Away-0.353
4+ days rest-0.395

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.542
As underdog-0.414

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.565
Conceded late (76+)+0.363

Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level -0.24

Lech Poznań · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.26) · stands out: at home +0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.267
Early press (0-15, level)+0.007
Late push (76+, level)+0.202

Game state

When ahead+0.155
When level+0.317
When behind+0.283
10 min after conceding-0.094
10 min after scoring+0.395

Situations

At home+0.443
Away+0.124
4+ days rest+0.267

Opposition

As favourite+0.244
Evenly matched+0.242

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.287
Conceded when ahead-0.515
Conceded late (76+)-0.432

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level -0.03

AGF

Current: winless 3 · scoring 2 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-11 33%3.04.01.02.342.51
3-4-31 33%0.01.04.00.941.37
3-1-4-21 33%0.00.04.01.262.89

Lech Poznań

Current: winless 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-12 100%1.52.52.51.941.64

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.62Home 35% P 36%3.1Draw 29% P 28%2.55Away 36% P 36%

Double Chance

1.33AGF Aarhus or Draw 36%1.36AGF Aarhus or Lech Poznan 35%1.66Draw or Lech Poznan 29%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50%1.83No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 48%1.7Under 55% P 52%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 35–37.5% · 584 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home36%36%35%-0.6
Draw28%28%28%+0.2
Away36%36%36%+0.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 53%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Oliver Reitala

No career statistics.

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 1 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 4.0 cards, 23.0 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-06 11 190 16'11