Rating 7.06 (86th pct) · G+A 2 + 4 (10% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Team 1.15 ppg with (40) · 0.62 without (8)
Premier League · Matchweek 5
Momentum
– TOTAston Villa –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Waiting for statistics…
Season context
| Tottenham Hotspur | at home | Stat | league | away | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.8 #5 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 48.5 #9 |
| 12.8 #12 | – | Shots total | 13.5 | – | 8.2 #20 |
| 3.0 #19 | – | Shots on target | 4.4 | – | 1.5 #20 |
| 6.8 #1 | – | Corners | 4.5 | – | 3.5 #16 |
| 14.2 #3 | – | Fouls | 11.7 | – | 11.0 #11 |
| 1.8 #11 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 1.0 #16 |
| 14.5 #12 | – | Tackles | 15.4 | – | 15.8 #8 |
| 104.0 #5 | – | Attacks | 96.3 | – | 91.5 #12 |
| 58.8 #5 | – | Dangerous attacks | 47.7 | – | 38.2 #15 |
| 536.8 #5 | – | Passes | 441.4 | – | 424.0 #8 |
| 1.0 #18 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.0 #9 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #1 |
| – | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | 0.2 #17 |
| – #19 | – | Btts | 52.5 | – | – #16 |
| – #3 | – | Cleansheet | 28.8 | – | – #8 |
| – #5 | – | Draw | 35.0 | – | – #10 |
| 0.9 #16 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 0.8 #20 |
| -0.9 #20 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.5 #15 |
| – #1 | – | Failed to score | 28.8 | – | – #3 |
| 0.0 #19 | 0.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 #18 |
| 1.2 #10 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.8 #6 |
| 5.8 #16 | – | Interceptions | 8.4 | – | 5.5 #18 |
| – #5 | – | Lost | 32.5 | – | – #2 |
| 6.8 #13 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.5 #19 |
| 4.2 #7 | – | Shots blocked | 3.9 | – | 2.0 #16 |
| 7.5 #14 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.7 | – | 5.2 #19 |
| 5.5 #5 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 4.8 #9 |
| 5.2 #6 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.8 | – | 3.0 #18 |
| – #16 | – | Win | 32.5 | – | – #16 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 39 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.79 (home 1.41 · away 1.38)
- Home / draw / away
- 31% · 36% · 33%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 51% · 51%
- Cards / match
- 4.03 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Tottenham Hotspur · Last 365 days
Rating 7.03 (81th pct) · G+A 5 + 5 (16% of team goals) · 53% of minutes
Team 1.33 ppg with (24) · 0.79 without (24)
Rating 6.79 (48th pct) · G+A 10 + 4 (23% of team goals) · 51% of minutes
Team 1.0 ppg with (24) · 1.12 without (24)
Aston Villa · Last 365 days
Rating 6.93 (56th pct) · G+A 12 + 9 (22% of team goals) · 62% of minutes
Team 1.79 ppg with (39) · 2.17 without (18)
Rating 6.97 (66th pct) · G+A 11 + 8 (20% of team goals) · 61% of minutes
Team 2.05 ppg with (39) · 1.61 without (18)
Rating 6.83 (48th pct) · G+A 3 + 4 (7% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Team 1.93 ppg with (44) · 1.85 without (13)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 5
Venue
- Stadium
- Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
- Capacity
- 62,850
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Roberto De Zerbi · Unai Emery
- Position
- 17 · 19
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Samuel Barrott
Weather
- Conditions
- light rain
- Temperature
- 19.6° (feels 19.4°)
- Wind
- 6.1
- Humidity
- 70%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Leeds United |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 | WDDW |
| 4 |  Hull City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 5 |  Brighton & Hove Albion |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 7 | WLDW |
| 6 |  Chelsea |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 | WWLD |
| 7 |  Brentford |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WDDD |
| 8 |  Liverpool |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | DDWD |
| 9 |  Everton |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | WDDD |
| 10 |  Ipswich Town |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 |  Nottingham Forest |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | LDDW |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | DWDL |
| 13 |  Manchester United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | LWDL |
| 14 |  Sunderland |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | LWDL |
| 15 |  AFC Bournemouth |
4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | LDDD |
| 16 |  Crystal Palace |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 | LLWL |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 | LLDD |
| 18 |  Fulham |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | LLLD |
| 19 |  Aston Villa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 | LLDL |
| 20 |  Coventry City |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | WLDW |
| 4 | Leeds United |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | WDDW |
| 5 | Brentford |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | WDDD |
| 6 | Everton |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDDD |
| 7 | Hull City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | WWDD |
| 8 | Chelsea |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | WWLD |
| 9 | Manchester United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | LWDL |
| 10 | Ipswich Town |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Sunderland |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LWDL |
| 12 | Newcastle United |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DWDL |
| 13 | AFC Bournemouth |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | LDDD |
| 14 | Liverpool |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | DDWD |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LDDW |
| 16 | Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | LLDD |
| 17 | Fulham |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Aston Villa |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Crystal Palace |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LLWL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WWWW |
| 2 | Arsenal |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Liverpool |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | DDWD |
| 4 | Nottingham Forest |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | LDDW |
| 5 | Hull City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWDD |
| 6 | Leeds United |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | WDDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | WLDW |
| 8 | Chelsea |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | WWLD |
| 9 | Crystal Palace |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | LLWL |
| 10 | Newcastle United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | DWDL |
| 11 | Ipswich Town |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | WLLW |
| 12 | Brentford |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | WDDD |
| 13 | Everton |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | WDDD |
| 14 | AFC Bournemouth |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | LDDD |
| 15 | Sunderland |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LWDL |
| 16 | Fulham |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LLLD |
| 17 | Manchester United |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | LWDL |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | LLDD |
| 19 | Aston Villa |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- Relegation
Tottenham Hotspur
WLLDD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 5 · xG 5.01–7.67 · xPts 6.28
- D
H
Everton
0–0
xG 0.7–1.31
UK PL
- D
A
Nottingham Forest
0–0
xG 1.26–0.74
UK PL
- L
H
Newcastle United
0–2
xG 1.28–0.94
UK PL
- L
A
Brentford
0–3
xG 0.52–4.16
UK PL
- W
H
Everton
1–0
xG 1.24–0.51
UK PL
WLLDD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 5 · xG 5.01–7.67 · xPts 6.28
- D
H
Everton
0–0
xG 0.7–1.31
UK PL
- D
A
Nottingham Forest
0–0
xG 1.26–0.74
UK PL
- L
H
Newcastle United
0–2
xG 1.28–0.94
UK PL
- L
A
Brentford
0–3
xG 0.52–4.16
UK PL
- W
H
Everton
1–0
xG 1.24–0.51
UK PL
Aston Villa
LLDWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 9 · xG 5.38–9.13 · xPts 5.05
- L
H
Nottingham Forest
1–2
xG 1.06–2.38
UK PL
- W
A
Club Brugge
3–2
xG 2.23–1.61
UEFA CL - D
A
Hull City
0–0
xG 1.34–0.71
UK PL
- L
H
Arsenal
0–1
xG 0.43–1.25
UK PL
- L
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
0–4
xG 0.33–3.19
UK PL
WLLLDWL 2W 1D 4L · 7 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 12 · xG 7.35–10.46 · xPts 6.84
- L
H
Nottingham Forest
1–2
xG 1.06–2.38
UK PL
- W
A
Club Brugge
3–2
xG 2.23–1.61
UEFA CL
- D
A
Hull City
0–0
xG 1.34–0.71
UK PL
- L
H
Arsenal
0–1
xG 0.43–1.25
UK PL
- L
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
0–4
xG 0.33–3.19
UK PL
- L
A
Paris Saint Germain
1–2
UEFA S Cup - W
A
Manchester City
2–1
xG 1.97–1.32
UK PL
full sample 10 meetings 2023–2026 · 8 in this competition · 2 elsewhere
Recurring referee: Craig Pawson · 2 of these meetings
Last 10
Goals 15–16 · Tottenham Hotspur hosting: 1W 0D 4L · Aston Villa hosting: 3W 0D 2L
At Tottenham Hotspur Stadium: 5 meetings · Tottenham Hotspur 1 · draws 0 · Aston Villa 4 · 3.2 goals per match · last away win Jan 2026
All-time since 2000: 49 meetings · Tottenham Hotspur 25 · draws 10 · Aston Villa 14
- Both teams have scored in the last 3 meetings
- Over 2.5 goals in the last 3 meetings
This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days
| Metric | Fixture | League | Δ | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 3.10 | 2.79 | +0.31 | 10 |
| Both teams score | 70% | 58% | +12% | 10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 56% | +24% | 10 |
| Corners | 10.2 | 9.9 | +0.3 | 10 |
| Cards | 4.2 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 10 |
2 with 4+ goals · 1.10 first-half goals per match · red card in 1
How these games go · 10 with event data
| Tottenham Hotspur | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 4 of 10 | 6 of 10 |
| Scored first and won | 2 | 5 |
| Won from behind | 1 | 2 |
first goal on average in minute 26 · a side came back in 3 · goal after the 75th minute in 6 · penalty scored in 1
When the goals come · all goals, 10 meetings
0-15'4
16-30'3
31-45'4
46-60'6
61-75'6
76-90'8
3 equalisers · 1 penalty · 2 headers
Expected goals · last 6 with xG
Deserved on xG: Tottenham Hotspur 0 · level 3 · Aston Villa 3 — actual wins in those games 3 / 4
Against the market · 10 with closing odds
Favourite won 5 (50%), drew 0, upset 5 · market favoured Tottenham Hotspur 4×, Aston Villa 6× · avg favourite 48%, avg price of the actual result 42%
Fixture specialists
- 4 Emiliano Buendía Aston Villa · in 4 games · last May 2026
- 4 Morgan Rogers Aston Villa · in 4 games · last Jan 2026
- 2 Jacob Ramsey Aston Villa · in 2 games · last Feb 2025
- 2 Dominic Solanke Tottenham Hotspur · last Nov 2024
- 1 Conor Gallagher Tottenham Hotspur · last May 2026
Last meeting · 2026-05-03 · UK PL
Aston Villa 1-2 Tottenham Hotspur · ref Samuel Barrott
- 12' Conor Gallagher 0–1
- 25' Richarlison assist Mathys Tel 0–2
- 90+6' Emiliano Buendía assist Matty Cash 1–2
xG 0.48 – 0.85 · corners 10 · cards 7
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·
Match result
35.7%Tottenham Hotspur P 48%27.2%Draw P 26%37.1%Aston Villa P 26%
Over / under 2.5
46.7%Over 2.5 P 52%53.3%Under 2.5 P 48%
Both teams to score
52.0%Yes48.0%No
Expected
- Tottenham Hotspur goals
- 1.26 (0–3)
- Aston Villa goals
- 1.29 (0–3)
- Corners
- 9.33 (5–14)
- Cards
- 4.45 (2–7)
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
37.9%Tottenham Hotspur25.1%Draw37.1%Aston Villa
Over / under 2.5
58.1%Over 2.541.9%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
60.5%Yes39.5%No
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 49 matches since 2000
Goals 80–48 · 2.61 per match · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 53%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 15–16 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 80%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–9 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- W Aston Villa 1–2 Tottenham Hotspur UK PL · Regular Season
- L Tottenham Hotspur 1–2 Aston Villa UK FA Cup · Round 3
- L Tottenham Hotspur 1–2 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- L Aston Villa 2–0 Tottenham Hotspur UK PL · Regular Season
- L Aston Villa 2–1 Tottenham Hotspur UK FA Cup · 4th Round
- W Tottenham Hotspur 4–1 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- W Aston Villa 0–4 Tottenham Hotspur UK PL · Regular Season
- L Tottenham Hotspur 1–2 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- L Aston Villa 2–1 Tottenham Hotspur UK PL · Regular Season
- L Tottenham Hotspur 0–2 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Tottenham Hotspur all · 4 | Tottenham Hotspur at home · 2 | Aston Villa all · 4 | Aston Villa away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Tottenham Hotspur · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.51
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.034
Early press (0-15, level)+0.514
Late push (76+, level)-0.242
Game state
When level+0.144
When behind-0.402
10 min after conceding-0.492
Situations
At home-0.092
Away+0.182
4+ days rest+0.034
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.223
Evenly matched-0.012
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.034
Conceded late (76+)-0.043
Behind vs level -0.54
Aston Villa · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: when behind -0.62
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.455
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.762
Game state
When level+0.125
When behind-0.623
10 min after conceding-0.484
10 min after scoring+0.382
Situations
At home-0.392
Away+0.163
4+ days rest-0.134
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.353
Evenly matched-0.133
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.175
Conceded late (76+)-0.064
Congested vs rested +0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.22 · Behind vs level -0.74
Tottenham Hotspur
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 100% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.25 | 0.94 | 1.79 |
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 100% | 0.25 | 0.25 | 1.75 | 0.79 | 1.88 |
| Metric | Tottenham Hotspur all · 10 | Tottenham Hotspur at home · 10 | Aston Villa all · 10 | Aston Villa away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.30 | 0.90 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 4 / 3 | 2 / 3 / 5 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 3 / 3 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 0.80 | 1.00 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals against / match | 1.10 | 1.90 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 30% | 30% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 60% | 80% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.11 | 1.37 | 1.41 | 1.36 |
| xG against / match | 1.21 | 1.47 | 1.49 | 1.43 |
| xG difference | -0.10 | -0.10 | -0.07 | -0.06 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.31 | -0.37 | 0.25 | -0.14 |
| xPts / match | 1.43 | 1.34 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.13 | -0.44 | 0.15 | -0.07 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 50% | 30% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.20 | 1.60 | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| Leads held | 60% | 40% | 80% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 20% | 15% | 22% | 19% |
| Minutes level | 61% | 62% | 50% | 52% |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | 23% | 28% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 50 | 42 | 43 | 35 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 50 | 49 | 29 | 29 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 50% | 50% | 33% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 64% | 63% | 50% | 29% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 56% | 51% | 47% | 51% |
| Shots | 13.1 | 14.6 | 13.0 | 13.4 |
| On target | 3.3 | 4.4 | 4.6 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 6% | 7% | 12% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 67% | 68% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| Corners | 6.9 | 7.2 | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| xG from set plays | 37% | 43% | 31% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 25% | 20% | 12% | 8% |
| Pressure index | 13.9 | 10.4 | 11.8 | 13.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 54.0 | 47.0 | 45.9 | 50.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 82% | 84% | 85% |
| Fouls | 13.5 | 14.5 | 10.7 | 10.0 |
| Cards | 2.50 | 2.40 | 2.20 | 1.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Tottenham Hotspur
0–15'11
16–30'11
31–45'22
46–60'11
61–75'14
76–90'22
Aston Villa
0–15'12
16–30'15
31–45'61
46–60'44
61–75'32
76–90'12
Tottenham Hotspur
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.11 | 1.25 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.16 | 0.86 |
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.41 | 1.49 |
| Metric | Tottenham Hotspur all · 48 | Tottenham Hotspur at home · 24 | Aston Villa all · 57 | Aston Villa away · 30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 48 | 24 | 57 | 30 |
| Points per game | 1.06 | 1.04 | 1.91 | 1.70 |
| W / D / L | 12 / 15 / 21 | 6 / 7 / 11 | 34 / 7 / 16 | 15 / 6 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.29 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.43 |
| Goals against / match | 1.60 | 1.50 | 1.19 | 1.33 |
| Clean sheets | 27% | 25% | 30% | 23% |
| Failed to score | 23% | 17% | 18% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 62% | 56% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 62% | 58% | 57% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.26 | 1.43 | 1.46 | 1.29 |
| xG against / match | 1.50 | 1.27 | 1.25 | 1.39 |
| xG difference | -0.23 | 0.16 | 0.21 | -0.10 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.03 | -0.10 | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| xPts / match | 1.29 | 1.52 | 1.51 | 1.31 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.23 | -0.47 | 0.44 | 0.45 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 42% | 46% | 56% | 43% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 1.91 | 2.53 | 2.31 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.29 | 0.25 | 1.13 | 1.27 |
| Came back from behind | 28% | 21% | 38% | 44% |
| Leads held | 57% | 50% | 83% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 19% | 23% | 32% | 26% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 47% | 48% | 52% |
| Minutes trailing | 34% | 30% | 20% | 22% |
| First goal (min) | 46 | 45 | 40 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 41 | 40 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 61% | 59% | 56% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 51% | 53% | 56% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.38 | 0.29 | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| Late goals against | 0.31 | 0.29 | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 51% | 52% | 52% |
| Shots | 12.0 | 13.7 | 12.7 | 11.9 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.6 | 4.8 | 4.3 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 10% | 13% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 70% | 65% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 6.3 | 5.0 | 4.7 |
| xG from set plays | 33% | 36% | 29% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 25% | 16% | 17% | 19% |
| Pressure index | 13.9 | 15.5 | 15.0 | 14.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 48.1 | 53.3 | 52.0 | 48.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 82% | 85% | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.2 | 12.8 | 10.6 | 10.5 |
| Cards | 2.63 | 2.92 | 1.67 | 1.97 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Tottenham Hotspur
0–15'410
16–30'96
31–45'1122
46–60'1111
61–75'913
76–90'1815
Aston Villa
0–15'99
16–30'128
31–45'2113
46–60'1714
61–75'1411
76–90'2213
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Tottenham Hotspur · 48 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: as favourite +0.56
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1048
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1948
Late push (76+, level)-0.0420
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1826
Game state
When ahead+0.3421
When level+0.1448
When behind-0.0929
10 min after conceding-0.2635
10 min after scoring+0.5336
Situations
With ten men-0.104
Against ten men+0.652
At home+0.0724
Away+0.1424
3 days rest or fewer+0.1213
4+ days rest+0.1035
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0333
v mid-tier opponents+0.468
As favourite+0.5612
Evenly matched-0.0123
As underdog-0.1413
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0948
Conceded when ahead-0.1721
Conceded late (76+)+0.0145
Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level +0.19 · Behind vs level -0.23
Aston Villa · 57 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.19) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.48
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1957
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2157
Late push (76+, level)+0.3316
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0615
Game state
When ahead+0.2541
When level+0.2357
When behind+0.0126
10 min after conceding-0.0940
10 min after scoring+0.4846
Situations
Against ten men+0.102
At home+0.1627
Away+0.2230
3 days rest or fewer+0.1020
4+ days rest+0.2537
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0733
v mid-tier opponents+0.2213
v bottom-tier opponents+0.262
As favourite+0.4025
Evenly matched+0.0822
As underdog-0.0510
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0457
Conceded when ahead-0.1741
Conceded late (76+)-0.2652
Congested vs rested -0.15 · Ahead vs level +0.02 · Behind vs level -0.22
Tottenham Hotspur
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 29 60% | 1.41 | 1.28 | 1.1 | 1.27 | 1.37 |
| 4-3-3 | 6 12% | 0.67 | 1.17 | 1.67 | 1.28 | 1.75 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 8% | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.75 | 1.27 | 1.77 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 6% | 0.33 | 0.67 | 2.0 | 1.11 | 1.77 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 3 6% | 0.0 | 1.67 | 3.0 | 1.26 | 1.25 |
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 53 93% | 1.83 | 1.6 | 1.23 | 1.45 | 1.22 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 5% | 3.0 | 2.67 | 0.67 | 1.66 | 2.08 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.37 | 0.4 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 100 snapshots · last 20.5h before kick-off
2.03Home 48% · -0.6 ptsopened 2.03.66Draw 26% · +0.7 ptsopened 3.763.73Away 26% · -0.1 ptsopened 3.71
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.03 · -0.6 | 3.66 · +0.7 | 3.73 · -0.1 | 20.5h |
| bet365 | 2.0 · -0.6 | 3.5 · +0.3 | 3.7 · +0.3 | 20.5h |
| Betfair | 2.0 · -0.0 | 3.5 ▲ +1.4 | 3.9 ▼ -1.4 | 20.5h |
| BetVictor | 2.0 · -0.3 | 3.6 · +0.5 | 3.6 · -0.2 | 20.5h |
| Coral | 2.0 · -0.3 | 3.6 · +0.5 | 3.5 · -0.2 | 20.5h |
| Ladbrokes | 2.0 · +0.0 | 3.6 · +0.0 | 3.5 · +0.0 | 20.5h |
| Unibet | 2.0 · +0.0 | 3.55 · +0.0 | 3.7 · +0.0 | 20.5h |
| WilliamHill | 2.0 · -0.6 | 3.5 · +0.3 | 3.5 · +0.3 | 20.5h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 100 snapshots · last 20.5h before kick-off · biggest step: yes -1.9 pts at 4.3d
1.66Yes 56% ▼ -1.9 ptsopened 1.612.1No 44% ▲ +1.9 ptsopened 2.2
Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.66 ▼ -1.9 | 2.1 ▲ +1.9 | 20.5h |
| Betfair | 1.65 ▼ -1.3 | 2.25 ▲ +1.3 | 20.5h |
| BetVictor | 1.65 ▼ -1.9 | 2.1 ▲ +1.9 | 20.5h |
| WilliamHill | 1.62 · +0.4 | 2.15 · -0.5 | 20.5h |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 100 snapshots · last 20.5h before kick-off · biggest step: under +1.0 pts at 4.1d
1.85Over 52% ▼ -1.9 ptsopened 1.782.04Under 48% ▲ +1.9 ptsopened 2.12
Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.85 ▼ -1.9 | 2.04 ▲ +1.9 | 20.5h |
| bet365 | 1.8 ▼ -2.3 | 2.0 ▲ +2.3 | 20.5h |
| Betfair | 1.8 ▼ -4.0 | 1.95 ▲ +4.0 | 20.5h |
| BetVictor | 1.76 ▼ -2.1 | 1.92 ▲ +2.2 | 20.5h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 20.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.0Home 47% P 48%3.5Draw 27% P 26%3.7Away 26% P 26%
Double Chance
1.28Tottenham or Draw 37%1.28Tottenham or Aston Villa 37%1.8Draw or Aston Villa 26%
Draw No Bet
1.441 65%2.622 35%
Both Teams To Score
1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.8Over 53% P 52%2.0Under 47% P 48%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%
Number of Cards
3.51.61Over 58% P 62%2.2Under 42% P 38%
4.52.2Over 42% P 43%1.61Under 58% P 57%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 25–27.5% · 375 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 48% | 48% | 47% | -1.0 |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 27% | +1.9 |
| Away | 26% | 26% | 25% | -0.9 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 57%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |
Samuel Barrott
- Career
- 113 matches · 9 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.87 (3.82 yellow · 0.02 red)
- Fouls / match
- 20.2 · 5.1 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.24
- Cards to home side
- 45%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 62 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.1 | 4.26 | -0.22 | 35 |
| Fouls / match | 19.9 | 21.6 | -0.66 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.0 | 5.1 | -0.53 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.26 | 0.25 | -0.05 | 58 |
| Time added | 9.3 | 8.4 | +0.94 | 92 |
- First card
- 36' on average
- Card timing
- 16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 43% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.17
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | – | – | 12 | – | – | 8 |
| 2026-08-29 | 6 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 44' | 8 |
| 2026-08-20 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 36' | 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 39' | 6 |
| 2026-07-28 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 50' | 10 |
| 2026-05-24 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 45' | 9 |
| 2026-05-17 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 83' | 14 |
| 2026-05-11 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 10' | 11 |
| 2026-05-03 · Tottenham Hotspur · Aston Villa | 7 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 27' | 6 |
| 2026-04-25 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 57' | 10 |