Rating 6.91 (53th pct) · G+A 17 + 5 (24% of team goals) · 66% of minutes
Team 1.53 ppg with (32) · 1.19 without (21)
Premier League · Matchweek 5
Momentum
– NEWHull City –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Waiting for statistics…
Season context
| Newcastle United | at home | Stat | league | away | Hull City |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.0 #11 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 29.2 #20 |
| 9.8 #18 | – | Shots total | 13.5 | – | 9.5 #19 |
| 3.2 #17 | – | Shots on target | 4.4 | – | 3.8 #14 |
| 4.5 #9 | – | Corners | 4.5 | – | 2.5 #19 |
| 14.2 #3 | – | Fouls | 11.7 | – | 10.0 #15 |
| 1.8 #11 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 0.8 #19 |
| 13.8 #16 | – | Tackles | 15.4 | – | 16.2 #6 |
| 78.8 #18 | – | Attacks | 96.3 | – | 71.2 #20 |
| 38.5 #14 | – | Dangerous attacks | 47.7 | – | 31.5 #20 |
| 386.5 #14 | – | Passes | 441.4 | – | 253.5 #20 |
| 2.8 #3 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 3.2 #1 |
| 1.5 #4 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | 1.0 #8 |
| – #3 | – | Btts | 52.5 | – | – #16 |
| – #8 | – | Cleansheet | 28.8 | – | – #1 |
| – #5 | – | Draw | 35.0 | – | – #5 |
| 0.9 #17 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 0.9 #19 |
| 0.8 #2 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.4 #6 |
| – #13 | – | Failed to score | 28.8 | – | – #7 |
| 1.8 #5 | 2.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 #13 |
| 2.0 #5 | 2.0 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 #18 |
| 0.2 #5 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | – |
| 4.5 #20 | – | Interceptions | 8.4 | – | 9.5 #6 |
| – #9 | – | Lost | 32.5 | – | – #14 |
| 6.7 #17 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #11 |
| 2.0 #16 | – | Shots blocked | 3.9 | – | 1.2 #20 |
| 5.5 #18 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.7 | – | 5.0 #20 |
| 4.5 #13 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 4.5 #13 |
| 4.2 #14 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.8 | – | 4.5 #9 |
| – #8 | – | Win | 32.5 | – | – #3 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 39 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.79 (home 1.41 · away 1.38)
- Home / draw / away
- 31% · 36% · 33%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 51% · 51%
- Cards / match
- 4.03 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Newcastle United · Last 365 days
Rating 6.89 (66th pct) · G+A 5 + 0 (5% of team goals) · 95% of minutes
Rating 6.75 (31th pct) · G+A 2 + 5 (8% of team goals) · 61% of minutes
Team 1.36 ppg with (33) · 1.45 without (20)
Hull City · Last 365 days
Rating 7.08 (94th pct) · G+A 16 + 6 (31% of team goals) · 72% of minutes
Team 1.72 ppg with (36) · 1.57 without (14)
Rating 6.96 (74th pct) · G+A 13 + 4 (24% of team goals) · 58% of minutes
Team 1.53 ppg with (32) · 1.94 without (18)
Rating 6.84 (41th pct) · G+A 2 + 3 (7% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 1.88 ppg with (40) · 0.9 without (10)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 5
Venue
- Stadium
- St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
- Capacity
- 52,409
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Matthias Jaissle · Sergej Jakirović
- Position
- 12 · 4
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 5-4-1
Referee
Tony Harrington
Weather
- Conditions
- light rain
- Temperature
- 17.6° (feels 16.9°)
- Wind
- 8.3
- Humidity
- 59%
Where to watch
No broadcast listings.
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Leeds United |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 | WDDW |
| 4 |  Hull City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 5 |  Brighton & Hove Albion |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 7 | WLDW |
| 6 |  Chelsea |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 | WWLD |
| 7 |  Brentford |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WDDD |
| 8 |  Liverpool |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | DDWD |
| 9 |  Everton |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | WDDD |
| 10 |  Ipswich Town |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 |  Nottingham Forest |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | LDDW |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | DWDL |
| 13 |  Manchester United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | LWDL |
| 14 |  Sunderland |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | LWDL |
| 15 |  AFC Bournemouth |
4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | LDDD |
| 16 |  Crystal Palace |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 | LLWL |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 | LLDD |
| 18 |  Fulham |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | LLLD |
| 19 |  Aston Villa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 | LLDL |
| 20 |  Coventry City |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | WLDW |
| 4 | Leeds United |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | WDDW |
| 5 | Brentford |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | WDDD |
| 6 | Everton |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDDD |
| 7 | Hull City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | WWDD |
| 8 | Chelsea |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | WWLD |
| 9 | Manchester United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | LWDL |
| 10 | Ipswich Town |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Sunderland |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LWDL |
| 12 | Newcastle United |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DWDL |
| 13 | AFC Bournemouth |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | LDDD |
| 14 | Liverpool |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | DDWD |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LDDW |
| 16 | Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | LLDD |
| 17 | Fulham |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Aston Villa |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Crystal Palace |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LLWL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WWWW |
| 2 | Arsenal |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Liverpool |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | DDWD |
| 4 | Nottingham Forest |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | LDDW |
| 5 | Hull City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWDD |
| 6 | Leeds United |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | WDDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | WLDW |
| 8 | Chelsea |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | WWLD |
| 9 | Crystal Palace |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | LLWL |
| 10 | Newcastle United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | DWDL |
| 11 | Ipswich Town |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | WLLW |
| 12 | Brentford |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | WDDD |
| 13 | Everton |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | WDDD |
| 14 | AFC Bournemouth |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | LDDD |
| 15 | Sunderland |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LWDL |
| 16 | Fulham |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LLLD |
| 17 | Manchester United |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | LWDL |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | LLDD |
| 19 | Aston Villa |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- Relegation
Newcastle United
LDWDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 4.12–9.98 · xPts 3.45
- L
A
Leeds United
1–4
xG 0.77–1.96
UK PL
- D
H
AFC Bournemouth
2–2
xG 0.76–1.36
UK PL
- W
A
Tottenham Hotspur
2–0
xG 0.94–1.28
UK PL
- D
H
Liverpool
2–2
xG 1.27–3.64
UK PL
- L
A
Fulham
0–2
xG 0.39–1.73
UK PL
LDWDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 4.12–9.98 · xPts 3.45
- L
A
Leeds United
1–4
xG 0.77–1.96
UK PL
- D
H
AFC Bournemouth
2–2
xG 0.76–1.36
UK PL
- W
A
Tottenham Hotspur
2–0
xG 0.94–1.28
UK PL
- D
H
Liverpool
2–2
xG 1.27–3.64
UK PL
- L
A
Fulham
0–2
xG 0.39–1.73
UK PL
Hull City
WWWDD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 2 · xG 4.82–6.52 · xPts 5.68
- D
A
Chelsea
2–2
xG 1.35–1.07
UK PL
- D
H
Aston Villa
0–0
xG 0.71–1.34
UK PL
- W
A
Coventry City
1–0
xG 0.55–1.18
UK PL
- W
H
Manchester United
2–0
xG 0.99–2.18
UK PL
- W
H
Middlesbrough
1–0
xG 1.22–0.75
UK CHAMP
WWWDD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 2 · xG 4.82–6.52 · xPts 5.68
- D
A
Chelsea
2–2
xG 1.35–1.07
UK PL
- D
H
Aston Villa
0–0
xG 0.71–1.34
UK PL
- W
A
Coventry City
1–0
xG 0.55–1.18
UK PL
- W
H
Manchester United
2–0
xG 0.99–2.18
UK PL
- W
H
Middlesbrough
1–0
xG 1.22–0.75
UK CHAMP
first meeting No meetings in the last five years
All-time since 2008: 8 meetings · Newcastle United 2 · draws 3 · Hull City 3
- Newcastle United unbeaten in the last 3 meetings
- Newcastle United haven't beaten Hull City since Jan 2015
- Hull City haven't beaten Newcastle United since Sep 2013
- Over 2.5 goals in the last 4 meetings
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·
Match result
61.2%Newcastle United P 59%20.8%Draw P 22%18.1%Hull City P 19%
Over / under 2.5
61.2%Over 2.5 P 59%38.8%Under 2.5 P 41%
Both teams to score
57.5%Yes42.5%No
Expected
- Newcastle United goals
- 2.1 (0–4)
- Hull City goals
- 1.06 (0–2)
- Corners
- 11.19 (7–16)
- Cards
- 5.17 (2–8)
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
47.4%Newcastle United26.6%Draw26.0%Hull City
Over / under 2.5
49.0%Over 2.550.9%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
52.3%Yes47.7%No
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 8 matches since 2008
Goals 13–10 · 2.88 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 62%
Last 10 · 8 matches
Goals 13–10 · 2.88 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 62%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 12–7 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- W Hull City 0–3 Newcastle United UK PL · Regular Season
- D Newcastle United 2–2 Hull City neutral UK PL · Regular Season
- W Hull City 1–4 Newcastle United UK PL · Regular Season
- L Newcastle United 2–3 Hull City neutral UK PL · Regular Season
- D Hull City 1–1 Newcastle United UK PL · Regular Season
- L Newcastle United 0–1 Hull City neutral UK FA Cup · 3rd Round Replays
- D Hull City 0–0 Newcastle United UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
- L Newcastle United 1–2 Hull City UK PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Newcastle United all · 4 | Newcastle United at home · 2 | Hull City all · 4 | Hull City away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Newcastle United · 4 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.19) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.28
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.194
Early press (0-15, level)+0.074
Late push (76+, level)-0.142
Game state
When ahead-0.342
When level-0.014
When behind-0.222
10 min after conceding-0.283
10 min after scoring-0.063
Situations
At home-0.372
Away+0.062
4+ days rest-0.194
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.372
Evenly matched+0.062
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.244
Conceded when ahead+0.442
Conceded late (76+)-0.133
Ahead vs level -0.33 · Behind vs level -0.21
Hull City · 4 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503
Game state
When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133
Situations
At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.583
Conceded late (76+)+0.274
Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08
Newcastle United
Current: winless 2 · scoring 4 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 100% | 1.25 | 1.75 | 2.0 | 0.93 | 2.06 |
Hull City
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-4-1 | 4 100% | 2.0 | 1.25 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.44 |
| Metric | Newcastle United all · 10 | Newcastle United at home · 10 | Hull City all · 10 | Hull City away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.90 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 3 / 4 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 5 / 4 / 1 | 3 / 3 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 1.80 | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| Goals against / match | 1.60 | 1.80 | 0.70 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 0% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 0% | 20% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 100% | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 90% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.20 | 1.57 | 1.22 | 1.14 |
| xG against / match | 1.85 | 2.21 | 1.35 | 1.86 |
| xG difference | -0.65 | -0.63 | -0.13 | -0.72 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.30 | 0.23 | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| xPts / match | 1.01 | 1.09 | 1.30 | 1.03 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.19 | 0.11 | 0.59 | 0.17 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 70% | 50% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.20 | 1.57 | 2.60 | 1.83 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.20 | 0.33 | 1.33 | 0.25 |
| Came back from behind | 20% | 20% | 75% | 33% |
| Leads held | 60% | 43% | 71% | 43% |
| Minutes leading | 31% | 34% | 22% | 27% |
| Minutes level | 33% | 40% | 69% | 55% |
| Minutes trailing | 37% | 26% | 9% | 18% |
| First goal (min) | 45 | 33 | 46 | 36 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 48 | 26 | 44 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | 44% | 46% | 42% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 61% | 57% | 71% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 49% | 49% | 37% | 41% |
| Shots | 11.5 | 13.3 | 10.2 | 11.1 |
| On target | 4.0 | 4.6 | 3.9 | 3.5 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 63% | 65% | 61% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.0 |
| Corners | 4.0 | 4.9 | 3.9 | 5.2 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 40% | 36% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 13% | 11% | 15% | 18% |
| Pressure index | 9.3 | 11.3 | 7.7 | 8.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 45.6 | 49.6 | 37.0 | 38.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 78% | 68% | 69% |
| Fouls | 11.3 | 12.8 | 9.3 | 11.1 |
| Cards | 2.10 | 2.60 | 2.30 | 3.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Newcastle United
0–15'32
16–30'21
31–45'15
46–60'12
61–75'52
76–90'34
Hull City
0–15'01
16–30'42
31–45'30
46–60'02
61–75'32
76–90'30
Newcastle United
Current: winless 2 · scoring 4 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 70% | 1.71 | 2.0 | 1.57 | 1.27 | 1.81 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.91 | 3.25 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.39 | 1.73 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.82 | 0.83 |
Hull City
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.36 | 1.49 |
| 5-4-1 | 4 40% | 2.0 | 1.25 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.44 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.57 | 0.89 |
| Metric | Newcastle United all · 53 | Newcastle United at home · 27 | Hull City all · 50 | Hull City away · 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 53 | 27 | 50 | 23 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.67 | 1.68 | 1.74 |
| W / D / L | 21 / 11 / 21 | 13 / 6 / 8 | 24 / 12 / 14 | 12 / 4 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.75 | 2.00 | 1.42 | 1.57 |
| Goals against / match | 1.60 | 1.56 | 1.22 | 1.22 |
| Clean sheets | 19% | 18% | 34% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 13% | 4% | 20% | 9% |
| Both teams scored | 72% | 78% | 56% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 82% | 56% | 65% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.67 | 1.92 | 1.31 | 1.19 |
| xG against / match | 1.63 | 1.67 | 1.61 | 1.82 |
| xG difference | 0.04 | 0.25 | -0.30 | -0.63 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 0.37 |
| xPts / match | 1.39 | 1.54 | 1.23 | 1.08 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.45 | 0.66 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 64% | 78% | 56% | 70% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.85 | 1.95 | 2.29 | 2.19 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.53 | 0.67 | 0.88 | 0.71 |
| Came back from behind | 22% | 27% | 36% | 36% |
| Leads held | 57% | 59% | 73% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 33% | 38% | 31% | 35% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 45% | 54% | 52% |
| Minutes trailing | 25% | 17% | 15% | 14% |
| First goal (min) | 36 | 36 | 34 | 36 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 45 | 53 | 42 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 49% | 55% | 44% | 47% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 71% | 56% | 68% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.42 | 0.59 | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.45 | 0.52 | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | 52% | 43% | 42% |
| Shots | 13.1 | 14.2 | 10.8 | 10.4 |
| On target | 5.1 | 5.6 | 3.8 | 4.0 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 13% | 15% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 68% | 66% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 6.3 | 4.4 | 4.7 |
| xG from set plays | 43% | 46% | 23% | 14% |
| Goals from headers | 16% | 18% | 16% | 20% |
| Pressure index | 15.0 | 16.9 | 8.8 | 8.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 52.9 | 56.1 | 38.5 | 33.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 81% | 71% | 71% |
| Fouls | 10.2 | 11.1 | 11.2 | 11.8 |
| Cards | 1.91 | 1.74 | 2.70 | 3.35 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Newcastle United
0–15'177
16–30'137
31–45'1718
46–60'816
61–75'1613
76–90'2123
Hull City
0–15'97
16–30'1510
31–45'1610
46–60'99
61–75'1111
76–90'1114
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Newcastle United · 53 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: v mid-tier opponents +0.50
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1453
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2753
Late push (76+, level)-0.0322
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1522
Game state
When ahead+0.1036
When level+0.2253
When behind+0.0827
10 min after conceding-0.1340
10 min after scoring+0.3845
Situations
With ten men+0.482
Against ten men+0.702
At home+0.1527
Away+0.1426
3 days rest or fewer+0.2416
4+ days rest+0.1037
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.0037
v mid-tier opponents+0.509
v bottom-tier opponents+1.022
As favourite+0.3225
Evenly matched+0.0720
As underdog-0.228
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0153
Conceded when ahead+0.0136
Conceded late (76+)-0.1547
Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level -0.14
Hull City · 50 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: against ten men -0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1150
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1050
Late push (76+, level)-0.2421
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3712
Game state
When ahead-0.0933
When level-0.0750
When behind-0.2522
10 min after conceding-0.3232
10 min after scoring+0.2339
Situations
With ten men+0.253
Against ten men-0.433
At home-0.1527
Away-0.0623
3 days rest or fewer-0.0715
4+ days rest-0.1235
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.384
v mid-tier opponents-0.1226
v bottom-tier opponents-0.1115
As favourite+0.206
Evenly matched-0.0720
As underdog-0.2124
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2850
Conceded when ahead+0.3733
Conceded late (76+)+0.1846
Congested vs rested +0.06 · Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level -0.17
Newcastle United
Current: winless 2 · scoring 4 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 33 62% | 1.42 | 1.76 | 1.64 | 1.81 | 1.51 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 26% | 1.57 | 2.21 | 1.71 | 1.62 | 1.9 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 6% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.0 | 0.99 | 1.82 |
| 4-5-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.87 | 1.94 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.82 | 0.83 |
Hull City
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 33 66% | 1.7 | 1.55 | 1.24 | 1.44 | 1.71 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 7 14% | 1.29 | 0.86 | 1.57 | 1.09 | 1.49 |
| 5-4-1 | 4 8% | 2.0 | 1.25 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.44 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 4% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.09 | 1.08 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 2 4% | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.25 | 1.52 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 99 snapshots · last 22.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home -2.6 pts at 4.7d
1.62Home 59% ▼ -3.9 ptsopened 1.524.39Draw 22% ▲ +1.2 ptsopened 4.655.16Away 19% ▲ +2.6 ptsopened 6.01
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.62 ▼ -3.9 | 4.39 ▲ +1.2 | 5.16 ▲ +2.6 | 22.0h |
| bet365 | 1.6 ▼ -4.5 | 4.33 ▲ +2.0 | 5.0 ▲ +2.5 | 22.0h |
| Betfair | 1.6 ▼ -3.2 | 4.4 · -0.1 | 5.0 ▲ +3.3 | 22.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.57 ▼ -4.3 | 4.2 ▲ +1.4 | 5.5 ▲ +2.9 | 22.0h |
| Coral | 1.6 ▼ -3.9 | 4.2 ▲ +1.5 | 5.0 ▲ +2.4 | 22.0h |
| Ladbrokes | 1.6 ▼ -3.6 | 4.2 ▲ +1.1 | 5.0 ▲ +2.5 | 22.0h |
| Unibet | 1.61 · +0.0 | 4.25 · +0.0 | 5.2 · +0.0 | 22.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.6 ▼ -4.7 | 4.2 ▲ +1.6 | 5.0 ▲ +3.1 | 22.0h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 99 snapshots · last 22.0h before kick-off · biggest step: yes +2.7 pts at 4.6d
1.66Yes 56% ▲ +2.5 ptsopened 1.752.1No 44% ▼ -2.5 ptsopened 2.0
Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.66 ▲ +2.5 | 2.1 ▼ -2.5 | 22.0h |
| Betfair | 1.7 · -0.4 | 2.15 · +0.4 | 22.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.62 ▲ +3.0 | 2.15 ▼ -3.0 | 22.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.67 · -0.2 | 2.05 · +0.2 | 22.0h |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 99 snapshots · last 22.0h before kick-off · biggest step: over +1.1 pts at 4.7d
1.65Over 59% · +0.5 ptsopened 1.662.34Under 41% · -0.5 ptsopened 2.31
Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.65 · +0.5 | 2.34 · -0.5 | 22.0h |
| bet365 | 1.61 · +0.0 | 2.3 · +0.0 | 22.0h |
| Betfair | 1.57 · +0.5 | 2.3 · -0.5 | 22.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.58 · +0.3 | 2.18 · -0.3 | 22.0h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 22.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.6Home 59% P 59%4.33Draw 22% P 22%5.0Away 19% P 19%
Double Chance
1.16Newcastle or Draw 40%1.2Newcastle or Hull 39%2.3Draw or Hull 20%
Draw No Bet
1.251 75%3.752 25%
Both Teams To Score
1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.61Over 59% P 59%2.3Under 41% P 41%
Total Corners
15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 33%3.512 - 14 25%6.0Over 14 14%
Number of Cards
3.51.66Over 56% P 58%2.1Under 44% P 42%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 57.5–60% · away 17.5–20% · 511 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 59% | 59% | 60% | +1.3 |
| Draw | 22% | 23% | 24% | +1.3 |
| Away | 19% | 18% | 16% | -2.6 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 57%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 59% | 60% | +0.8 |
Tony Harrington
- Career
- 272 matches · 15 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.38 (3.26 yellow · 0.07 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.7 · 6.0 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.27
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 48 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.88 | 4.26 | -0.64 | 19 |
| Fouls / match | 21.9 | 21.6 | +0.37 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.9 | 5.1 | +1.03 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.23 | 0.25 | -0.40 | 42 |
| Time added | 9.1 | 8.4 | +0.77 | 88 |
- First card
- 33' on average
- Card timing
- 18% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 45% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.2
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | – | – | 24 | – | 53' | 8 |
| 2026-09-01 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 39' | 5 |
| 2026-08-30 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 30' | 6 |
| 2026-08-22 | 4 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 34' | 9 |
| 2026-01-18 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 23' | 7 |
| 2026-01-11 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 45' | 6 |
| 2026-01-06 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 61' | 8 |
| 2026-01-01 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 19' | 10 |
| 2025-12-28 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 61' | 8 |
| 2025-12-03 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 65' | 9 |