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Premier League · Matchweek 5

Momentum

MCISunderland
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
5

Venue

Stadium
Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Capacity
52,900
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Enzo Maresca · Régis Le Bris
Position
2 · 14
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Robert Jones

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
15.5° (feels 14.6°)
Wind
5.4
Humidity
56%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 4400 817 12 WWWW
2 Manchester City 4400 826 12 WWWW
3 Leeds United 4220 734 8 WDDW
4 Hull City 4220 523 8 WWDD
5 Brighton & Hove Albion 4211 1358 7 WLDW
6 Chelsea 4211 1091 7 WWLD
7 Brentford 4130 743 6 WDDD
8 Liverpool 4130 642 6 DDWD
9 Everton 4130 532 6 WDDD
10 Ipswich Town 4202 710-3 6 WLLW
11 Nottingham Forest 4121 440 5 LDDW
12 Newcastle United 4121 78-1 5 DWDL
13 Manchester United 4112 770 4 LWDL
14 Sunderland 4112 35-2 4 LWDL
15 AFC Bournemouth 4031 67-1 3 LDDD
16 Crystal Palace 4103 611-5 3 LLWL
17 Tottenham Hotspur 4022 05-5 2 LLDD
18 Fulham 4013 47-3 1 LLLD
19 Aston Villa 4013 17-6 1 LLDL
20 Coventry City 4004 010-10 0 LLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • Relegation

Manchester City

WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 2 · xG 8.97–3.08 · xPts 10.65

  • W A Manchester United 1–0 xG 0.77–0.84 UK PL
  • W A Porto 2–0 xG 2.27–0.3 UEFA CL
  • W H Coventry City 1–0 xG 1.82–0.75 UK PL
  • W A Crystal Palace 4–1 xG 1.99–0.62 UK PL
  • W H AFC Bournemouth 2–1 xG 2.13–0.57 UK PL

Sunderland

LWDLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 5 · xG 9.17–7.02 · xPts 8.12

  • W H AZ Alkmaar 1–0 xG 2.93–1.53 UEFA EL
  • L H Arsenal 0–2 xG 1.79–2.14 UK PL
  • D A Brentford 1–1 xG 2.4–1.26 UK PL
  • W H Fulham 1–0 xG 1.14–0.7 UK PL
  • L A Ipswich Town 1–2 xG 0.91–1.39 UK PL

thin sample 2 meetings 2025–2026

Last 2

Manchester City 11 draws0 Sunderland

Goals 3–0 · Manchester City hosting: 1W 0D 0L · Sunderland hosting: 0W 1D 0L

At Etihad Stadium: 1 meeting · Manchester City 1 · draws 0 · Sunderland 0 · 3.0 goals per match

All-time since 2000: 28 meetings · Manchester City 19 · draws 4 · Sunderland 5

  • Manchester City unbeaten in the last 9 meetings
  • Sunderland haven't beaten Manchester City since Nov 2013

This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days

MetricFixtureLeagueΔn
Goals per match1.502.79-1.292
Both teams score0%58%-58%2
Over 2.5 goals50%56%-6%2
Corners9.59.9-0.42
Cards2.04.2-2.22

1 goalless · 1.00 first-half goals per match · red card in 1

How these games go · 2 with event data

Manchester CitySunderland
Scored first1 of 20 of 2
Scored first and won10
Won from behind00

first goal on average in minute 31

Expected goals · last 2 with xG

Manchester City 2.52 xGper match0.68 xG Sunderland

Deserved on xG: Manchester City 2 · level 0 · Sunderland 0 — actual wins in those games 1 / 0

Fixture specialists

  • 1 Phil Foden Manchester City · last Dec 2025
  • 1 Josko Gvardiol  Manchester City · last Dec 2025
  • 1 Rúben Dias  Manchester City · last Dec 2025

Last meeting · 2026-01-01 · UK PL

Sunderland 0-0 Manchester City · ref Jarred Gillett

xG 0.89 – 2.39 · corners 8 · cards 2

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·

Match result

67.7%Manchester City P 74%20.2%Draw P 16%12.1%Sunderland P 10%

Over / under 2.5

51.8%Over 2.5 P 60%48.2%Under 2.5 P 40%

Both teams to score

44.9%Yes55.1%No

Expected

Manchester City goals
2.02 (0–4)
Sunderland goals
0.72 (0–2)
Corners
8.93 (5–13)
Cards
4.87 (2–8)

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

70.9%Manchester City17.9%Draw11.2%Sunderland

Over / under 2.5

58.0%Over 2.542.0%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

49.3%Yes50.7%No

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 28 matches since 2000

Manchester City 194 draws5 Sunderland

Goals 58–24 · 2.93 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 61%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Manchester City 72 draws1 Sunderland

Goals 21–8 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Manchester City 41 draws0 Sunderland

Goals 8–1 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Sunderland 0–0 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Manchester City 3–0 Sunderland UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Sunderland 0–2 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Manchester City 2–1 Sunderland neutral UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Sunderland 0–1 Manchester City neutral UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Manchester City 4–1 Sunderland neutral UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Manchester City 3–2 Sunderland neutral UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Sunderland 1–4 Manchester City neutral UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Manchester City 2–2 Sunderland UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Sunderland 1–0 Manchester City neutral UK PL · Regular Season
MetricManchester City all · 4Manchester City at home · 2Sunderland all · 4Sunderland away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Manchester City · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.41) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.60

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.415
Early press (0-15, level)+0.025

Game state

When ahead+0.395
When level+0.535
10 min after conceding-0.042
10 min after scoring+0.605

Situations

At home+0.222
Away+0.543
4+ days rest+0.314

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.443
v mid-tier opponents+0.362
As favourite+0.444

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.385
Conceded when ahead-0.435
Conceded late (76+)-0.525

Congested vs rested +0.49 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.43

Sunderland · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.00) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.005
Early press (0-15, level)-0.235
Late push (76+, level)+0.062
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.223

Game state

When ahead-0.022
When level+0.075
When behind-0.253
10 min after conceding-0.413
10 min after scoring+0.434

Situations

At home+0.133
Away-0.182
4+ days rest+0.005

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.074
Evenly matched-0.102
As underdog-0.072

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.125
Conceded when ahead-0.152
Conceded late (76+)-0.135

Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.32

Manchester City

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 18 · clean sheets 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%3.02.00.51.680.69

Sunderland

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%1.00.751.251.561.37

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 77 snapshots · last 44.0h before kick-off

1.3Home 74% · -0.1 ptsopened 1.35.95Draw 16% · +0.0 ptsopened 5.979.86Away 10% · +0.1 ptsopened 10.01
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 10%20%30%40%50%60%70%

Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.3 · -0.15.95 · +0.09.86 · +0.144.0h
bet3651.3 · +0.95.5 ▼ -1.29.0 · +0.344.0h
Betfair1.3 · -0.85.5 · +0.510.0 · +0.344.0h
BetVictor1.29 ▲ +2.65.5 ▼ -2.010.5 · -0.644.0h
Coral1.3 · +0.16.0 · -0.78.5 · +0.644.0h
Ladbrokes1.3 · +0.05.75 · +0.08.5 · +0.044.0h
WilliamHill1.3 ▲ +1.15.5 ▼ -1.39.5 · +0.244.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 44.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.3Home 72% P 74%5.5Draw 17% P 16%9.0Away 10% P 10%

Double Chance

1.07Man City or Draw 44%1.14Man City or Sunderland 42%3.4Draw or Sunderland 14%

Draw No Bet

1.081 88%8.02 12%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48%1.8No 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 60%2.37Under 40% P 40%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 33%3.512 - 14 25%6.0Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 52%1.83Under 50% P 48%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 72.5–75% · away 7.5–10% · 458 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home74%74%74%+0.5
Draw16%17%18%+0.9
Away10%9%8%-1.5

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 60%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.560%59%60%+0.8

Robert Jones

Career
222 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
3.84 (3.75 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
23.9 · 5.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.27
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Premier League (5-year window · 95 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.514.26+0.5581
Fouls / match23.021.6+1.00
Fouls per card5.35.1-0.05 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.30.25+0.5269
Time added8.78.4+0.4373
First card
32' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.23

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-09-13 30 270 2'9
2026-09-05 50 350 28'9
2026-08-28 30 230 7'7
2026-08-22 30 290 18'5
2026-05-24 40 190 64'13
2026-05-03 20 211 6'8
2026-04-25 40 181 14'8
2026-04-12 · Sunderland 60 290 28'16
2026-04-06 50 180 23'4
2026-02-10 80 222 8'9