Rating 6.92 (71th pct) · G+A 17 + 2 (30% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 1.44 ppg with (34) · 1.11 without (9)
Premier League · Matchweek 5
Momentum
– Leeds UnitedCRY –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Waiting for statistics…
Season context
| Leeds United | at home | Stat | league | away | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.8 #15 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 42.0 #17 |
| 12.0 #14 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 10.2 #16 |
| 4.0 #11 | – | Shots on target | 4.4 | – | 3.5 #15 |
| 4.5 #9 | – | Corners | 4.6 | – | 2.2 #20 |
| 10.8 #13 | – | Fouls | 11.6 | – | 9.0 #18 |
| 2.2 #5 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 2.2 #5 |
| 18.2 #4 | – | Tackles | 15.5 | – | 23.8 #1 |
| 91.0 #13 | – | Attacks | 96.3 | – | 90.0 #14 |
| 35.2 #17 | – | Dangerous attacks | 47.6 | – | 35.2 #17 |
| 344.0 #18 | – | Passes | 442.3 | – | 409.5 #10 |
| 1.2 #16 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 0.8 #20 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #1 |
| 1.0 #8 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | 1.0 #8 |
| – #3 | – | Btts | 50.8 | – | – #3 |
| – #9 | – | Cleansheet | 29.5 | – | – #15 |
| – #5 | – | Draw | 34.0 | – | – #16 |
| 1.5 #12 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.1 #15 |
| 0.3 #7 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.4 #5 |
| – #14 | – | Failed to score | 29.8 | – | – #7 |
| 1.8 #6 | 2.5 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 #10 |
| 0.8 #16 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2.8 #1 |
| 0.2 #6 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | – |
| 10.8 #2 | – | Interceptions | 8.4 | – | 10.8 #2 |
| – #14 | – | Lost | 33.2 | – | – #2 |
| 6.9 #6 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #17 |
| 4.5 #7 | – | Shots blocked | 3.9 | – | 1.8 #18 |
| 8.0 #12 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.7 | – | 7.5 #14 |
| 3.5 #20 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 5.0 #6 |
| 4.0 #15 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.8 | – | 2.8 #20 |
| – #3 | – | Win | 32.8 | – | – #9 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 39 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.79 (home 1.41 · away 1.38)
- Home / draw / away
- 31% · 36% · 33%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 51% · 51%
- Cards / match
- 4.03 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Leeds United · Last 365 days
Rating 7.24 (95th pct) · G+A 6 + 3 (14% of team goals) · 64% of minutes
Team 1.21 ppg with (29) · 1.71 without (14)
Rating 6.98 (71th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (3% of team goals) · 96% of minutes
Crystal Palace · Last 365 days
Rating 7.01 (86th pct) · G+A 16 + 1 (23% of team goals) · 61% of minutes
Team 1.42 ppg with (33) · 1.27 without (22)
Rating 6.9 (51th pct) · G+A 5 + 5 (14% of team goals) · 89% of minutes
Team 1.4 ppg with (48) · 1.14 without (7)
Rating 6.99 (74th pct) · G+A 1 + 7 (11% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Team 1.44 ppg with (43) · 1.08 without (12)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 5
Venue
- Stadium
- Elland Road, Leeds
- Capacity
- 40,242
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Daniel Farke · Pierre Sage
- Position
- 4 · 16
- Formation
- 3-5-2 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Adam Herczeg
Weather
- Conditions
- scattered clouds
- Temperature
- 16.0° (feels 15.1°)
- Wind
- 5.6
- Humidity
- 55%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Brentford |
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 4 |  Leeds United |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 | WDDW |
| 5 |  Hull City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 6 |  Brighton & Hove Albion |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 7 | WLDW |
| 7 |  Chelsea |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | WWLDL |
| 8 |  Liverpool |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | DDWD |
| 9 |  Everton |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | WDDD |
| 10 |  Ipswich Town |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 |  Nottingham Forest |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | LDDW |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | DWDL |
| 13 |  Manchester United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | LWDL |
| 14 |  Sunderland |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | LWDL |
| 15 |  AFC Bournemouth |
4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | LDDD |
| 16 |  Crystal Palace |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 | LLWL |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 | LLDD |
| 18 |  Fulham |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | LLLD |
| 19 |  Aston Villa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 | LLDL |
| 20 |  Coventry City |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brentford |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 7 | WDDDW |
| 2 | Arsenal |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Manchester City |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWW |
| 4 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | WLDW |
| 5 | Leeds United |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | WDDW |
| 6 | Everton |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDDD |
| 7 | Hull City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | WWDD |
| 8 | Chelsea |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | WWLDL |
| 9 | Manchester United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | LWDL |
| 10 | Ipswich Town |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Sunderland |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LWDL |
| 12 | Newcastle United |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DWDL |
| 13 | AFC Bournemouth |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | LDDD |
| 14 | Liverpool |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | DDWD |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LDDW |
| 16 | Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | LLDD |
| 17 | Fulham |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Aston Villa |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Crystal Palace |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LLWL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WWWW |
| 2 | Arsenal |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Liverpool |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | DDWD |
| 4 | Nottingham Forest |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | LDDW |
| 5 | Hull City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWDD |
| 6 | Leeds United |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | WDDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | WLDW |
| 8 | Crystal Palace |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | LLWL |
| 9 | Newcastle United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | DWDL |
| 10 | Ipswich Town |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Chelsea |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | WWLDL |
| 12 | Brentford |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | WDDDW |
| 13 | Everton |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | WDDD |
| 14 | AFC Bournemouth |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | LDDD |
| 15 | Sunderland |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LWDL |
| 16 | Fulham |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LLLD |
| 17 | Manchester United |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | LWDL |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | LLDD |
| 19 | Aston Villa |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- Relegation
Leeds United
LWDDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 7.62–8.69 · xPts 6.36
- W
H
Newcastle United
4–1
xG 1.96–0.77
UK PL
- D
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
1–1
xG 2.02–2.36
UK PL
- D
H
Brentford
1–1
xG 1.12–1.84
UK PL
- W
A
Nottingham Forest
1–0
xG 0.75–0.88
UK PL
- L
A
West Ham United
0–3
xG 1.77–2.84
UK PL
LWDDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 7.62–8.69 · xPts 6.36
- W
H
Newcastle United
4–1
xG 1.96–0.77
UK PL
- D
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
1–1
xG 2.02–2.36
UK PL
- D
H
Brentford
1–1
xG 1.12–1.84
UK PL
- W
A
Nottingham Forest
1–0
xG 0.75–0.88
UK PL
- L
A
West Ham United
0–3
xG 1.77–2.84
UK PL
Crystal Palace
LLWLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 10 GA 11 · xG 6.44–10.52 · xPts 4.98
- W
H
Lech Poznań
4–0
xG 2.07–1.36
UEFA EL - L
H
Ipswich Town
2–3
xG 0.92–1.83
UK PL
- W
A
Fulham
3–2
xG 1.04–3.89
UK PL
- L
H
Manchester City
1–4
xG 0.62–1.99
UK PL
- L
A
Everton
0–2
xG 1.79–1.45
UK PL
LWLLWLW 3W 0D 4L · 9 pts (1.29 ppg) · GF 12 GA 13 · xG 9.24–13.69 · xPts 7.66
- W
H
Lech Poznań
4–0
xG 2.07–1.36
UEFA EL
- L
H
Ipswich Town
2–3
xG 0.92–1.83
UK PL
- W
A
Fulham
3–2
xG 1.04–3.89
UK PL
- L
H
Manchester City
1–4
xG 0.62–1.99
UK PL
- L
A
Everton
0–2
xG 1.79–1.45
UK PL
- W
H
Rayo Vallecano
1–0
xG 1.87–0.75
UEFA ECL - L
H
Arsenal
1–2
xG 0.93–2.42
UK PL
full sample 6 meetings 2021–2026
Recurring referee: Thomas Bramall · 2 of these meetings
Last 6
Goals 7–8 · Leeds United hosting: 2W 0D 1L · Crystal Palace hosting: 1W 2D 0L
At Elland Road: 3 meetings · Leeds United 2 · draws 0 · Crystal Palace 1 · 4.0 goals per match · last away win Apr 2023
All-time since 2006: 18 meetings · Leeds United 8 · draws 4 · Crystal Palace 6
- Crystal Palace haven't beaten Leeds United since Apr 2023
This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days
| Metric | Fixture | League | Δ | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 2.50 | 2.79 | -0.29 | 6 |
| Both teams score | 50% | 58% | -8% | 6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 56% | -6% | 6 |
| Corners | 9.8 | 9.9 | -0.1 | 6 |
| Cards | 5.5 | 4.1 | +1.4 | 6 |
2 goalless · 2 with 4+ goals · 1.00 first-half goals per match · red card in 1
How these games go · 6 with event data
| Leeds United | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 4 of 6 | 0 of 6 |
| Scored first and won | 2 | 0 |
| Won from behind | 0 | 2 |
first goal on average in minute 40 · a side came back in 2 · goal after the 75th minute in 4 · penalty scored in 2
When the goals come · all goals, 4 meetings
0-15'1
16-30'2
31-45'3
46-60'3
61-75'1
76-90'5
2 equalisers · 2 penalties · 1 header
Expected goals · last 2 with xG
Deserved on xG: Leeds United 1 · level 1 · Crystal Palace 0 — actual wins in those games 1 / 0
Against the market · 6 with closing odds
Favourite won 2 (33%), drew 2, upset 2 · market favoured Leeds United 2×, Crystal Palace 4× · avg favourite 41%, avg price of the actual result 35%
Fixture specialists
- 2 Dominic Calvert-Lewin Leeds United · last Dec 2025
- 2 Eberechi Eze Crystal Palace · in 2 games · last Apr 2023
- 2 Jordan Ayew Crystal Palace · last Apr 2023
- 2 Odsonne Édouard Crystal Palace · in 2 games · last Apr 2023
- 1 Ethan Ampadu Leeds United · last Dec 2025
Last meeting · 2026-03-15 · UK PL
Crystal Palace 0-0 Leeds United · ref Thomas Bramall
xG 0.86 – 1.26 · corners 11 · cards 7 · reds 2
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·
Match result
48.9%Leeds United P 56%24.6%Draw P 24%26.5%Crystal Palace P 20%
Over / under 2.5
54.3%Over 2.5 P 55%45.7%Under 2.5 P 45%
Both teams to score
56.4%Yes43.6%No
Expected
- Leeds United goals
- 1.68 (0–3)
- Crystal Palace goals
- 1.17 (0–3)
- Corners
- 8.62 (5–13)
- Cards
- 4.1 (1–7)
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
45.3%Leeds United26.1%Draw28.5%Crystal Palace
Over / under 2.5
55.2%Over 2.544.8%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
57.1%Yes42.9%No
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 18 matches since 2006
Goals 24–24 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 56%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 14–15 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 6–8 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- D Crystal Palace 0–0 Leeds United UK PL · Regular Season
- W Leeds United 4–1 Crystal Palace UK PL · Regular Season
- L Leeds United 1–5 Crystal Palace UK PL · Regular Season
- L Crystal Palace 2–1 Leeds United UK PL · Regular Season
- D Crystal Palace 0–0 Leeds United UK PL · Regular Season
- W Leeds United 1–0 Crystal Palace UK PL · Regular Season
- W Leeds United 2–0 Crystal Palace UK PL · Regular Season
- L Crystal Palace 4–1 Leeds United UK PL · Regular Season
- D Crystal Palace 2–2 Leeds United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Leeds United 2–1 Crystal Palace UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Leeds United all · 4 | Leeds United at home · 2 | Crystal Palace all · 4 | Crystal Palace away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Leeds United · 4 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.73
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.184
Early press (0-15, level)-0.104
Late push (76+, level)-0.473
Game state
When ahead+0.173
When level-0.264
10 min after conceding-0.642
10 min after scoring+0.734
Situations
At home-0.082
Away-0.242
4+ days rest-0.184
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.313
Evenly matched-0.143
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.174
Conceded when ahead+0.023
Conceded late (76+)+0.113
Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level -0.14
Crystal Palace · 5 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.21) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.59
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.215
Early press (0-15, level)-0.055
Late push (76+, level)+1.262
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.593
Game state
When ahead-0.023
When level-0.065
When behind-0.404
10 min after conceding-0.434
10 min after scoring+0.124
Situations
At home-0.143
Away-0.292
4+ days rest-0.215
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.333
As favourite+0.032
As underdog-0.402
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.145
Conceded when ahead+0.133
Conceded late (76+)-0.224
Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.34
Leeds United
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 2 50% | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.99 | 1.57 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 50% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.93 | 1.36 |
Crystal Palace
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 100% | 0.75 | 1.5 | 2.75 | 1.09 | 2.29 |
| Metric | Leeds United all · 10 | Leeds United at home · 10 | Crystal Palace all · 10 | Crystal Palace away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.10 | 1.30 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 4 / 2 | 6 / 2 / 2 | 3 / 2 / 5 | 4 / 1 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.40 | 1.80 | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 1.10 | 0.60 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 30% | 20% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% | 60% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 50% | 80% | 90% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.35 | 1.71 | 1.47 | 1.60 |
| xG against / match | 1.65 | 1.30 | 1.87 | 1.69 |
| xG difference | -0.30 | 0.41 | -0.40 | -0.10 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.05 | 0.09 | 0.13 | -0.10 |
| xPts / match | 1.24 | 1.65 | 1.20 | 1.38 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.36 | 0.35 | -0.10 | -0.08 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 60% | 40% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.60 | 3.00 | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.60 | 0.33 | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 60% | 33% | 29% | 29% |
| Leads held | 80% | 100% | 60% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 22% | 37% | 23% | 31% |
| Minutes level | 60% | 51% | 38% | 34% |
| Minutes trailing | 18% | 11% | 39% | 34% |
| First goal (min) | 57 | 41 | 37 | 26 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 59 | 67 | 27 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 64% | 44% | 56% | 43% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 82% | 67% | 45% | 40% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 50% | 43% | 45% |
| Shots | 11.7 | 14.4 | 11.9 | 12.1 |
| On target | 3.8 | 4.4 | 4.1 | 4.5 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 65% | 74% | 74% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 3.6 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
| xG from set plays | 37% | 32% | 26% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 8% | 6% | 14% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 9.8 | 13.5 | 8.6 | 9.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 42.2 | 53.9 | 41.5 | 43.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 75% | 79% | 80% | 79% |
| Fouls | 10.7 | 10.0 | 8.9 | 11.7 |
| Cards | 1.80 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 2.10 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Leeds United
0–15'20
16–30'01
31–45'31
46–60'32
61–75'23
76–90'44
Crystal Palace
0–15'32
16–30'12
31–45'37
46–60'45
61–75'10
76–90'44
Leeds United
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 6 60% | 1.83 | 1.67 | 1.17 | 1.6 | 1.85 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 1.25 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.97 | 1.34 |
Crystal Palace
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 7 70% | 0.71 | 1.57 | 2.43 | 1.41 | 2.16 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.97 | 1.06 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.92 | 1.52 |
| Metric | Leeds United all · 43 | Leeds United at home · 20 | Crystal Palace all · 55 | Crystal Palace away · 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 43 | 20 | 55 | 27 |
| Points per game | 1.37 | 1.75 | 1.36 | 1.33 |
| W / D / L | 14 / 17 / 12 | 10 / 5 / 5 | 21 / 12 / 22 | 11 / 3 / 13 |
| Goals for / match | 1.49 | 1.80 | 1.35 | 1.33 |
| Goals against / match | 1.35 | 1.15 | 1.36 | 1.52 |
| Clean sheets | 19% | 25% | 29% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 23% | 20% | 24% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 60% | 56% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 65% | 62% | 67% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.73 | 1.80 | 1.68 | 1.52 |
| xG against / match | 1.66 | 1.31 | 1.34 | 1.45 |
| xG difference | 0.07 | 0.49 | 0.35 | 0.07 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.24 | 0.00 | -0.34 | -0.19 |
| xPts / match | 1.46 | 1.70 | 1.59 | 1.43 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.08 | 0.05 | -0.23 | -0.10 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 49% | 60% | 54% | 59% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 2.58 | 1.93 | 1.81 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.74 | 0.43 | 0.60 | 0.64 |
| Came back from behind | 46% | 38% | 24% | 19% |
| Leads held | 58% | 77% | 64% | 61% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 35% | 27% | 29% |
| Minutes level | 53% | 50% | 49% | 47% |
| Minutes trailing | 19% | 15% | 24% | 24% |
| First goal (min) | 42 | 40 | 39 | 38 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 51 | 58 | 41 | 41 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 47% | 47% | 40% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 71% | 74% | 55% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.28 | 0.35 | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| Late goals against | 0.44 | 0.35 | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Shots | 13.2 | 14.2 | 12.8 | 11.9 |
| On target | 4.4 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 4.3 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 13% | 10% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 68% | 73% | 74% |
| Big chances created | 2.6 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 5.6 | 4.4 | 4.1 |
| xG from set plays | 42% | 39% | 35% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 15% | 24% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 12.3 | 13.1 | 12.6 | 12.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 46.2 | 50.3 | 47.0 | 44.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 79% | 79% | 79% |
| Fouls | 10.7 | 10.3 | 11.2 | 11.5 |
| Cards | 1.77 | 1.65 | 1.93 | 2.15 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Leeds United
0–15'84
16–30'78
31–45'165
46–60'119
61–75'1013
76–90'1219
Crystal Palace
0–15'95
16–30'103
31–45'2026
46–60'919
61–75'87
76–90'1715
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Leeds United · 43 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.93
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0343
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2443
Late push (76+, level)-0.3220
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.2613
Game state
When ahead-0.0124
When level+0.0343
When behind+0.0821
10 min after conceding-0.2933
10 min after scoring+0.4633
Situations
With ten men+0.242
At home-0.0420
Away+0.0923
3 days rest or fewer-0.124
4+ days rest+0.0539
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1128
v mid-tier opponents+0.1510
v bottom-tier opponents+0.933
As favourite+0.369
Evenly matched+0.0715
As underdog-0.1419
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1843
Conceded when ahead+0.2524
Conceded late (76+)+0.0740
Congested vs rested -0.17 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.05
Crystal Palace · 55 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.29
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0255
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0255
Late push (76+, level)-0.0121
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1526
Game state
When ahead+0.0233
When level+0.0355
When behind-0.1529
10 min after conceding-0.2939
10 min after scoring+0.2542
Situations
With ten men-0.074
Against ten men-0.016
At home-0.0328
Away+0.0027
3 days rest or fewer-0.1819
4+ days rest+0.0736
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2329
v mid-tier opponents+0.1410
v bottom-tier opponents+0.242
As favourite+0.2025
Evenly matched-0.1315
As underdog-0.2615
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1255
Conceded when ahead+0.1233
Conceded late (76+)+0.0353
Congested vs rested -0.25 · Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level -0.18
Leeds United
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 14 33% | 1.79 | 1.71 | 1.07 | 1.73 | 1.51 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 11 26% | 1.55 | 1.45 | 1.27 | 2.01 | 1.91 |
| 4-3-3 | 8 19% | 0.87 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.68 | 1.53 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 7% | 1.67 | 1.0 | 0.33 | 1.5 | 0.67 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 7% | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.38 | 2.5 |
Crystal Palace
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 38 69% | 1.05 | 1.16 | 1.55 | 1.54 | 1.45 |
| 3-4-3 | 16 29% | 2.19 | 1.88 | 0.81 | 2.08 | 1.05 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.92 | 1.52 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 91 snapshots · last 30.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.3 pts at 45.0h
1.72Home 56% ▲ +2.1 ptsopened 1.793.96Draw 24% · -0.7 ptsopened 3.854.9Away 20% ▼ -1.4 ptsopened 4.57
Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.72 ▲ +2.1 | 3.96 · -0.7 | 4.9 ▼ -1.4 | 30.0h |
| bet365 | 1.72 ▲ +4.2 | 3.9 · -0.9 | 4.75 ▼ -3.4 | 30.0h |
| Betfair | 1.73 ▲ +1.7 | 3.9 · -0.5 | 4.75 ▼ -1.2 | 30.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.7 ▲ +2.6 | 4.0 ▼ -1.1 | 4.6 ▼ -1.5 | 30.0h |
| Coral | 1.73 ▲ +2.8 | 4.0 ▼ -1.7 | 4.4 ▼ -1.1 | 30.0h |
| Ladbrokes | 1.73 ▲ +3.2 | 3.9 ▼ -1.2 | 4.4 ▼ -2.0 | 30.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.75 · +0.5 | 3.6 · +0.3 | 4.4 · -0.8 | 30.0h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 91 snapshots · last 30.0h before kick-off · biggest step: yes +1.2 pts at 2.1d
1.7Yes 55% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.72.05No 45% · +0.0 ptsopened 2.05
Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.7 · +0.0 | 2.05 · +0.0 | 30.0h |
| Betfair | 1.65 · +0.9 | 2.2 · -0.9 | 30.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.65 · +0.0 | 2.1 · +0.0 | 30.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.67 · -0.2 | 2.05 · +0.2 | 30.0h |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 91 snapshots · last 30.0h before kick-off
1.74Over 55% ▲ +1.1 ptsopened 1.782.17Under 45% ▼ -1.1 ptsopened 2.12
Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.74 ▲ +1.1 | 2.17 ▼ -1.1 | 30.0h |
| bet365 | 1.72 · +0.0 | 2.1 · +0.0 | 30.0h |
| Betfair | 1.73 · +0.6 | 2.05 · -0.6 | 30.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.67 · +0.9 | 2.03 · -0.9 | 30.0h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 30.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.72Home 55% P 56%3.9Draw 24% P 24%4.75Away 20% P 20%
Double Chance
1.18Leeds or Draw 40%1.25Leeds or Crystal Palace 37%2.05Draw or Crystal Palace 23%
Draw No Bet
1.281 73%3.52 27%
Both Teams To Score
1.7Yes 55%2.05No 45%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
3.51.83Over 50% P 54%1.83Under 50% P 46%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 56% | 56% | 53% | -2.8 |
| Draw | 24% | 25% | 26% | +1.0 |
| Away | 20% | 19% | 21% | +1.8 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 56% | 56% | -0.2 |
Adam Herczeg
- Career
- 41 matches · 6 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.66 (3.54 yellow · 0.1 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.8 · 5.8 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.12
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 53' | 6 |
| 2026-09-06 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 51' | 9 |
| 2026-08-29 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 4' | 8 |
| 2026-08-15 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 13' | 5 |
| 2026-04-25 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 74' | 7 |
| 2026-04-18 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 47' | 7 |
| 2026-04-06 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 38' | 10 |
| 2026-03-17 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 81' | 10 |
| 2026-03-11 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 39' | 7 |
| 2026-02-28 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 57' | 8 |