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Premier League · Matchweek 5

Momentum

EvertonIpswich Town
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
5

Venue

Stadium
Hill Dickinson Stadium
Capacity
52,888
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
David Moyes · Gary O'Neil
Position
9 · 10
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Stuart Attwell

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
18.1° (feels 18.1°)
Wind
7.6
Humidity
79%

Where to watch · 255

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 4400 817 12 WWWW
2 Manchester City 4400 826 12 WWWW
3 Brentford 5230 1046 9 WDDDW
4 Leeds United 4220 734 8 WDDW
5 Hull City 4220 523 8 WWDD
6 Brighton & Hove Albion 4211 1358 7 WLDW
7 Chelsea 5212 1012-2 7 WWLDL
8 Liverpool 4130 642 6 DDWD
9 Everton 4130 532 6 WDDD
10 Ipswich Town 4202 710-3 6 WLLW
11 Nottingham Forest 4121 440 5 LDDW
12 Newcastle United 4121 78-1 5 DWDL
13 Manchester United 4112 770 4 LWDL
14 Sunderland 4112 35-2 4 LWDL
15 AFC Bournemouth 4031 67-1 3 LDDD
16 Crystal Palace 4103 611-5 3 LLWL
17 Tottenham Hotspur 4022 05-5 2 LLDD
18 Fulham 4013 47-3 1 LLLD
19 Aston Villa 4013 17-6 1 LLDL
20 Coventry City 4004 010-10 0 LLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • Relegation

Everton

LWDDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 5.47–7.24 · xPts 5.84

  • D A Tottenham Hotspur 0–0 xG 1.31–0.7 UK PL
  • D H Manchester United 2–2 xG 1.07–0.84 UK PL
  • D A AFC Bournemouth 1–1 xG 1.14–2.66 UK PL
  • W H Crystal Palace 2–0 xG 1.45–1.79 UK PL
  • L A Tottenham Hotspur 0–1 xG 0.51–1.24 UK PL

Ipswich Town

WLLW 2W 0D 2L · 6 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 5.14–6.87 · xPts 5.46

  • W A Crystal Palace 3–2 xG 1.83–0.92 UK PL
  • L H Liverpool 0–2 xG 1.03–0.71 UK PL
  • L A Manchester United 2–5 xG 0.88–4.33 UK PL
  • W H Sunderland 2–1 xG 1.39–0.91 UK PL

thin sample 2 meetings 2024–2025

Last 2

Everton 11 draws0 Ipswich Town

Goals 4–2 · Everton hosting: 0W 1D 0L · Ipswich Town hosting: 0W 0D 1L

All-time since 2000: 6 meetings · Everton 1 · draws 2 · Ipswich Town 3

  • Ipswich Town haven't beaten Everton since Feb 2002

This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days

MetricFixtureLeagueΔn
Goals per match3.002.79+0.212
Both teams score50%58%-8%2
Over 2.5 goals50%56%-6%2
Corners8.59.9-1.42
Cards5.04.2+0.82

1 with 4+ goals · 2.50 first-half goals per match

How these games go · 2 with event data

EvertonIpswich Town
Scored first2 of 20 of 2
Scored first and won10
Won from behind00

first goal on average in minute 22 · a side came back in 1 · goal after the 75th minute in 1

When the goals come · all goals, 2 meetings

0-15'0
16-30'2
31-45'3
46-60'0
61-75'0
76-90'1

1 equaliser · 2 headers

Expected goals · last 2 with xG

Everton 0.75 xGper match1.31 xG Ipswich Town

Deserved on xG: Everton 0 · level 1 · Ipswich Town 1 — actual wins in those games 1 / 0

Fixture specialists

  • 1 Beto Everton · last May 2025
  • 1 Dwight McNeil Everton · last May 2025
  • 1 George Hirst Ipswich Town · last May 2025
  • 1 Julio Enciso Ipswich Town · last May 2025
  • 1 Iliman Ndiaye Everton · last Oct 2024

Last meeting · 2025-05-03 · UK PL

Everton 2-2 Ipswich Town · ref Lewis Smith

  • 26' Beto assist Carlos Alcaraz 1–0
  • 35' Dwight McNeil assist Nathan Patterson 2–0
  • 41' Julio Enciso assist Cameron Burgess 2–1
  • 79' George Hirst 2–2

xG 0.54 – 1.58 · corners 5 · cards 8

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·

Match result

48.0%Everton P 53%24.6%Draw P 25%27.4%Ipswich Town P 22%

Over / under 2.5

55.1%Over 2.5 P 55%44.9%Under 2.5 P 45%

Both teams to score

57.3%Yes42.7%No

Expected

Everton goals
1.68 (0–3)
Ipswich Town goals
1.21 (0–3)
Corners
9.32 (5–14)
Cards
4.57 (2–8)

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

42.2%Everton26.3%Draw31.4%Ipswich Town

Over / under 2.5

51.1%Over 2.548.9%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

55.0%Yes45.0%No

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 6 matches since 2000

Everton 12 draws3 Ipswich Town

Goals 5–9 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 6 matches

Everton 12 draws3 Ipswich Town

Goals 5–9 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Everton 12 draws2 Ipswich Town

Goals 5–6 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Everton 2–2 Ipswich Town UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 0–2 Everton UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Everton 1–2 Ipswich Town UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 0–0 Everton UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Ipswich Town 2–0 Everton UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Everton 0–3 Ipswich Town UK PL · Regular Season
MetricEverton all · 4Everton at home · 2Ipswich Town all · 4Ipswich Town away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Everton · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.20) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.204
Early press (0-15, level)-0.564
Late push (76+, level)+0.053
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.662

Game state

When level-0.144
When behind-0.302
10 min after conceding-0.152
10 min after scoring-0.173

Situations

At home-0.182
Away-0.222
4+ days rest-0.204

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.262
v mid-tier opponents-0.142
As underdog-0.183

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.014
Conceded late (76+)-0.084

Ahead vs level -0.15 · Behind vs level -0.16

Ipswich Town · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.494
Late push (76+, level)-0.762

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.364
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.143

Situations

At home-0.202
Away-0.302
4+ days rest-0.254

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents-0.282
As underdog-0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.034
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)-0.123

Ahead vs level +0.36 · Behind vs level +0.12

Everton

Current: unbeaten 4 · winless 3 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-13 75%1.671.671.01.221.77
4-1-4-11 25%1.00.00.01.310.7

Ipswich Town

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%1.51.752.51.291.72

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 113 snapshots · last 8.0h before kick-off · biggest step: away -1.3 pts at 4.7d

1.82Home 53% · -0.6 ptsopened 1.83.87Draw 25% · +0.4 ptsopened 3.934.41Away 22% · +0.2 ptsopened 4.44
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.82 · -0.63.87 · +0.44.41 · +0.28.0h
bet3651.8 ▼ -1.73.75 · -0.44.2 ▲ +2.08.0h
Betfair1.8 · -0.53.75 · +0.84.33 · -0.38.0h
BetVictor1.8 · -0.83.8 · +0.34.33 · +0.58.0h
Coral1.75 ▲ +1.03.9 · -0.94.33 · -0.28.0h
Ladbrokes1.75 · +0.23.8 · -0.24.33 · +0.18.0h
Unibet1.79 · -0.43.8 · +0.34.35 · +0.28.0h
WilliamHill1.83 ▼ -1.73.6 · +0.34.0 ▲ +1.48.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 8.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.8Home 52% P 53%3.75Draw 25% P 25%4.2Away 22% P 22%

Double Chance

1.22Everton or Draw 38%1.25Everton or Ipswich 38%1.95Draw or Ipswich 24%

Draw No Bet

1.31 72%3.42 28%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.52.2Over 42% P 45%1.61Under 58% P 55%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 665 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home53%54%56%+2.6
Draw25%25%27%+1.4
Away22%21%17%-4.0

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 54%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%56%56%-0.2

Stuart Attwell

Career
406 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.78 (3.65 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
17.5 · 3.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Premier League (5-year window · 101 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.474.26+0.4769
Fouls / match20.621.6-0.32
Fouls per card4.85.1-0.94 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.25-0.6619
Time added8.68.4+0.3565
First card
39' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.43

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-09-05 60 270 6'5
2026-08-23 80 311 25'6
2026-08-13 30 150 29'14
2026-05-19 70 290 28'8
2026-05-13 20 170 52'6
2026-05-09 30 240 54'5
2026-04-25 · Everton 70 200 38'9
2026-04-18 40 280 34'13
2026-03-20 41 192 28'14
2026-03-16 60 220 24'9