Rating 7.3 (96th pct) · G+A 3 + 5 (12% of team goals) · 62% of minutes
Team 1.5 ppg with (26) · 1.5 without (16)
Premier League · Matchweek 5
Momentum
– BHAArsenal –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Waiting for statistics…
Season context
| Brighton & Hove Albion | at home | Stat | league | away | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70.8 #1 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 59.2 #6 |
| 19.5 #2 | – | Shots total | 13.5 | – | 13.5 #10 |
| 6.0 #1 | – | Shots on target | 4.4 | – | 5.5 #4 |
| 5.5 #5 | – | Corners | 4.5 | – | 4.8 #8 |
| 13.0 #5 | – | Fouls | 11.7 | – | 10.0 #15 |
| 3.0 #2 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 4.5 #1 |
| 12.0 #18 | – | Tackles | 15.4 | – | 11.2 #19 |
| 117.5 #3 | – | Attacks | 96.3 | – | 104.0 #5 |
| 65.8 #1 | – | Dangerous attacks | 47.7 | – | 54.2 #8 |
| 600.0 #2 | – | Passes | 441.4 | – | 498.2 #7 |
| 2.0 #9 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.5 #13 |
| 1.8 #2 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | 1.5 #4 |
| – #8 | – | Btts | 52.5 | – | – #16 |
| – #3 | – | Cleansheet | 28.8 | – | – #1 |
| – #10 | – | Draw | 35.0 | – | – #16 |
| 2.3 #1 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.9 #5 |
| 0.9 #1 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.1 #9 |
| – #13 | – | Failed to score | 28.8 | – | – #13 |
| 3.2 #1 | 2.5 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.0 #3 |
| 1.2 #10 | 0.5 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 #20 |
| 0.5 #1 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | – |
| 5.8 #16 | – | Interceptions | 8.4 | – | 8.0 #13 |
| – #9 | – | Lost | 32.5 | – | – #14 |
| 0.2 #1 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #1 |
| 7.0 #2 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.0 #3 |
| 4.0 #9 | – | Shots blocked | 3.9 | – | 4.2 #7 |
| 13.2 #1 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.7 | – | 9.0 #9 |
| 9.5 #1 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 3.8 #19 |
| 6.2 #3 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.8 | – | 4.5 #9 |
| – #3 | – | Win | 32.5 | – | – #1 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 39 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.79 (home 1.41 · away 1.38)
- Home / draw / away
- 31% · 36% · 33%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 51% · 51%
- Cards / match
- 4.03 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Brighton & Hove Albion · Last 365 days
Rating 6.96 (65th pct) · G+A 4 + 6 (15% of team goals) · 41% of minutes
Team 1.17 ppg with (18) · 1.75 without (24)
Rating 6.98 (82th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (3% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Team 1.45 ppg with (33) · 1.67 without (9)
Arsenal · Last 365 days
Rating 7.36 (98th pct) · G+A 5 + 8 (12% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 2.28 ppg with (47) · 2.7 without (10)
Rating 7.21 (93th pct) · G+A 12 + 8 (18% of team goals) · 63% of minutes
Team 2.51 ppg with (37) · 2.05 without (20)
Rating 7.13 (95th pct) · G+A 4 + 5 (8% of team goals) · 76% of minutes
Team 2.26 ppg with (43) · 2.64 without (14)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 5
Venue
- Stadium
- The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer
- Capacity
- 31,876
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Fabian Hürzeler · Mikel Arteta
- Position
- 5 · 1
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Darren England
Weather
- Conditions
- light rain
- Temperature
- 18.3° (feels 18.2°)
- Wind
- 9.3
- Humidity
- 79%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Leeds United |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 | WDDW |
| 4 |  Hull City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 5 |  Brighton & Hove Albion |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 7 | WLDW |
| 6 |  Chelsea |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 | WWLD |
| 7 |  Brentford |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WDDD |
| 8 |  Liverpool |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | DDWD |
| 9 |  Everton |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | WDDD |
| 10 |  Ipswich Town |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 |  Nottingham Forest |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | LDDW |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | DWDL |
| 13 |  Manchester United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | LWDL |
| 14 |  Sunderland |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | LWDL |
| 15 |  AFC Bournemouth |
4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | LDDD |
| 16 |  Crystal Palace |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 | LLWL |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 | LLDD |
| 18 |  Fulham |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | LLLD |
| 19 |  Aston Villa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 | LLDL |
| 20 |  Coventry City |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | WLDW |
| 4 | Leeds United |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | WDDW |
| 5 | Brentford |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | WDDD |
| 6 | Everton |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDDD |
| 7 | Hull City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | WWDD |
| 8 | Chelsea |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | WWLD |
| 9 | Manchester United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | LWDL |
| 10 | Ipswich Town |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Sunderland |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LWDL |
| 12 | Newcastle United |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DWDL |
| 13 | AFC Bournemouth |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | LDDD |
| 14 | Liverpool |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | DDWD |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LDDW |
| 16 | Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | LLDD |
| 17 | Fulham |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Aston Villa |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Crystal Palace |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LLWL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WWWW |
| 2 | Arsenal |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Liverpool |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | DDWD |
| 4 | Nottingham Forest |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | LDDW |
| 5 | Hull City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWDD |
| 6 | Leeds United |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | WDDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | WLDW |
| 8 | Chelsea |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | WWLD |
| 9 | Crystal Palace |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | LLWL |
| 10 | Newcastle United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | DWDL |
| 11 | Ipswich Town |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | WLLW |
| 12 | Brentford |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | WDDD |
| 13 | Everton |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | WDDD |
| 14 | AFC Bournemouth |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | LDDD |
| 15 | Sunderland |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LWDL |
| 16 | Fulham |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LLLD |
| 17 | Manchester United |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | LWDL |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | LLDD |
| 19 | Aston Villa |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- Relegation
Brighton & Hove Albion
WWLDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 17 GA 5 · xG 11.99–7.58 · xPts 9.5
- W
A
Coventry City
5–0
xG 2.5–1.47
UK PL
- D
H
Leeds United
1–1
xG 2.36–2.02
UK PL
- L
A
Chelsea
3–4
xG 1.36–3.37
UK PL
- W
H
Tromsø
4–0
xG 2.58–0.38
UEFA ECL - W
H
Aston Villa
4–0
xG 3.19–0.33
UK PL
LDWWLDW 3W 2D 2L · 11 pts (1.57 ppg) · GF 17 GA 8 · xG 15.14–9.87 · xPts 12.82
- W
A
Coventry City
5–0
xG 2.5–1.47
UK PL
- D
H
Leeds United
1–1
xG 2.36–2.02
UK PL
- L
A
Chelsea
3–4
xG 1.36–3.37
UK PL
- W
H
Tromsø
4–0
xG 2.58–0.38
UEFA ECL
- W
H
Aston Villa
4–0
xG 3.19–0.33
UK PL
- D
A
Tromsø
0–0
xG 1.9–0.79
UEFA ECL
- L
H
Manchester United
0–3
xG 1.25–1.49
UK PL
Arsenal
WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 1 · xG 11.33–3.18 · xPts 11.62
- W
A
Sunderland
2–0
xG 2.14–1.79
UK PL
- W
A
Napoli
1–0
xG 3.6–0.31
UEFA CL - W
H
Chelsea
2–1
xG 2.26–0.47
UK PL
- W
A
Aston Villa
1–0
xG 1.25–0.43
UK PL
- W
H
Coventry City
3–0
xG 2.08–0.19
UK PL
WDWWWWW 6W 1D 0L · 19 pts (2.71 ppg) · GF 12 GA 3 · xG 14.17–6.28 · xPts 14.24
- W
A
Sunderland
2–0
xG 2.14–1.79
UK PL
- W
A
Napoli
1–0
xG 3.6–0.31
UEFA CL
- W
H
Chelsea
2–1
xG 2.26–0.47
UK PL
- W
A
Aston Villa
1–0
xG 1.25–0.43
UK PL
- W
H
Coventry City
3–0
xG 2.08–0.19
UK PL
- D
A
Paris Saint Germain
1–1 lost on pens None–None
xG 0.43–2.17
UEFA CL - W
A
Crystal Palace
2–1
xG 2.42–0.93
UK PL
full sample 10 meetings 2021–2026
Recurring referee: Chris Kavanagh · 2 of these meetings
Last 10
Goals 10–15 · Brighton & Hove Albion hosting: 0W 2D 3L · Arsenal hosting: 2W 1D 2L
At The American Express Community Stadium: 5 meetings · Brighton & Hove Albion 0 · draws 2 · Arsenal 3 · 2.4 goals per match · last away win Mar 2026
All-time since 2013: 20 meetings · Brighton & Hove Albion 5 · draws 5 · Arsenal 10
- Brighton & Hove Albion haven't beaten Arsenal since May 2023
- Arsenal unbeaten in the last 6 meetings
This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days
| Metric | Fixture | League | Δ | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 2.50 | 2.79 | -0.29 | 10 |
| Both teams score | 50% | 58% | -8% | 10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 56% | -6% | 10 |
| Corners | 10.3 | 9.9 | +0.4 | 10 |
| Cards | 5.0 | 4.2 | +0.8 | 10 |
1 goalless · 1 with 4+ goals · 0.80 first-half goals per match · red card in 1
How these games go · 10 with event data
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 2 of 10 | 7 of 10 |
| Scored first and won | 2 | 5 |
| Won from behind | 0 | 0 |
first goal on average in minute 27 · a side came back in 2 · goal after the 75th minute in 5 · penalty scored in 2
When the goals come · all goals, 9 meetings
0-15'3
16-30'2
31-45'3
46-60'5
61-75'6
76-90'6
2 equalisers · 2 penalties · 1 own goal · 1 header
Expected goals · last 4 with xG
Deserved on xG: Brighton & Hove Albion 2 · level 1 · Arsenal 1 — actual wins in those games 0 / 2
Against the market · 10 with closing odds
Favourite won 5 (50%), drew 3, upset 2 · market favoured Brighton & Hove Albion 0×, Arsenal 10× · avg favourite 59%, avg price of the actual result 42%
Fixture specialists
- 3 Bukayo Saka Arsenal · in 3 games · last Mar 2026
- 2 Martin Ødegaard Arsenal · in 2 games · last Dec 2025
- 2 João Pedro Brighton & Hove Albion · in 2 games · last Jan 2025
- 2 Kai Havertz Arsenal · in 2 games · last Aug 2024
- 1 Diego Gómez Brighton & Hove Albion · last Dec 2025
Last meeting · 2026-03-04 · UK PL
Brighton & Hove Albion 0-1 Arsenal · ref Chris Kavanagh
- 9' Bukayo Saka assist Jurriën Timber 0–1
xG 0.98 – 0.45 · corners 7 · cards 5
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·
Match result
27.4%Brighton & Hove Albion P 19%26.3%Draw P 24%46.3%Arsenal P 57%
Over / under 2.5
47.9%Over 2.5 P 55%52.1%Under 2.5 P 45%
Both teams to score
51.8%Yes48.2%No
Expected
- Brighton & Hove Albion goals
- 1.09 (0–2)
- Arsenal goals
- 1.5 (0–3)
- Corners
- 8.79 (5–13)
- Cards
- 4.06 (1–7)
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
29.0%Brighton & Hove Albion27.0%Draw44.0%Arsenal
Over / under 2.5
50.3%Over 2.549.7%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
53.9%Yes46.1%No
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 20 matches since 2013
Goals 22–31 · 2.65 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 10–15 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 3–8 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- L Brighton & Hove Albion 0–1 Arsenal UK PL · Regular Season
- L Arsenal 2–1 Brighton & Hove Albion UK PL · Regular Season
- D Brighton & Hove Albion 1–1 Arsenal UK PL · Regular Season
- D Arsenal 1–1 Brighton & Hove Albion UK PL · Regular Season
- L Brighton & Hove Albion 0–3 Arsenal UK PL · Regular Season
- L Arsenal 2–0 Brighton & Hove Albion UK PL · Regular Season
- W Arsenal 0–3 Brighton & Hove Albion UK PL · Regular Season
- L Brighton & Hove Albion 2–4 Arsenal UK PL · Regular Season
- W Arsenal 1–2 Brighton & Hove Albion UK PL · Regular Season
- D Brighton & Hove Albion 0–0 Arsenal UK PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Brighton & Hove Albion all · 4 | Brighton & Hove Albion at home · 2 | Arsenal all · 4 | Arsenal away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Brighton & Hove Albion · 6 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: when level +0.95
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.596
Early press (0-15, level)+0.676
Late push (76+, level)+0.942
Game state
When ahead-0.093
When level+0.956
When behind+0.432
10 min after conceding-0.042
10 min after scoring+0.515
Situations
At home+0.463
Away+0.673
3 days rest or fewer+0.232
4+ days rest+0.744
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.232
As favourite+0.744
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.226
Conceded when ahead-0.073
Conceded late (76+)-0.403
Congested vs rested -0.51 · Ahead vs level -1.04 · Behind vs level -0.52
Arsenal · 5 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.56) · stands out: v top-tier opponents +0.68
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.565
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Game state
When ahead+0.275
When level+0.625
10 min after scoring+0.555
Situations
At home+0.622
Away+0.543
3 days rest or fewer+0.632
4+ days rest+0.513
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.683
v mid-tier opponents+0.342
As favourite+0.565
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.355
Conceded when ahead-0.355
Conceded late (76+)-0.354
Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level -0.36 · Behind vs level +1.76
Brighton & Hove Albion
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 100% | 1.75 | 3.25 | 1.25 | 2.35 | 1.8 |
Arsenal
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 5 · scoring 14 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 100% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.25 | 1.93 | 0.72 |
| Metric | Brighton & Hove Albion all · 10 | Brighton & Hove Albion at home · 10 | Arsenal all · 10 | Arsenal away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.90 | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 4 | 6 / 1 / 3 | 9 / 1 / 0 | 6 / 2 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 2.10 | 1.90 | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | 0.80 | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 40% | 70% | 50% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 30% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 30% | 30% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 70% | 30% | 30% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.14 | 1.85 | 1.84 | 1.74 |
| xG against / match | 1.28 | 0.84 | 0.85 | 1.23 |
| xG difference | 0.85 | 1.01 | 0.98 | 0.52 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.04 | 0.05 | -0.34 | -0.54 |
| xPts / match | 1.89 | 1.98 | 1.98 | 1.67 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.49 | -0.08 | 0.82 | 0.33 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 60% | 90% | 80% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.78 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.20 | 0.25 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 20% | 25% | 100% | 0% |
| Leads held | 100% | 100% | 90% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 33% | 51% | 44% | 22% |
| Minutes level | 37% | 24% | 54% | 71% |
| Minutes trailing | 31% | 25% | 2% | 7% |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 18 | 44 | 54 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 31 | 27 | 52 | 52 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 48% | 32% | 53% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 33% | 25% | 67% | 71% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 69% | 62% | 56% | 53% |
| Shots | 18.3 | 15.2 | 14.5 | 13.4 |
| On target | 5.8 | 5.5 | 4.7 | 4.3 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 70% | 68% | 65% | 67% |
| Big chances created | 3.4 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 3.2 |
| Corners | 6.5 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| xG from set plays | 25% | 21% | 22% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 26% | 28% | 7% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 21.5 | 17.8 | 15.7 | 14.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 69.4 | 66.0 | 60.2 | 55.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 86% | 85% | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.2 | 12.1 | 10.9 | 11.3 |
| Cards | 1.40 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.60 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Brighton & Hove Albion
0–15'34
16–30'31
31–45'53
46–60'11
61–75'41
76–90'52
Arsenal
0–15'21
16–30'20
31–45'30
46–60'50
61–75'11
76–90'21
Brighton & Hove Albion
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 1.22 | 1.89 | 1.33 | 2.09 | 1.38 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.58 | 0.38 |
Arsenal
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 5 · scoring 14 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 2.78 | 1.56 | 0.33 | 1.89 | 0.91 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.39 |
| Metric | Brighton & Hove Albion all · 42 | Brighton & Hove Albion at home · 20 | Arsenal all · 57 | Arsenal away · 30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 42 | 20 | 57 | 30 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.80 | 2.35 | 2.17 |
| W / D / L | 17 / 12 / 13 | 10 / 6 / 4 | 41 / 11 / 5 | 19 / 8 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.60 | 1.80 | 1.93 | 1.77 |
| Goals against / match | 1.17 | 0.95 | 0.67 | 0.77 |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 35% | 51% | 43% |
| Failed to score | 24% | 20% | 5% | 3% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% | 49% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 60% | 53% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.62 | 1.70 | 1.96 | 1.84 |
| xG against / match | 1.39 | 1.15 | 0.93 | 1.12 |
| xG difference | 0.23 | 0.55 | 1.03 | 0.72 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.03 | 0.10 | -0.03 | -0.07 |
| xPts / match | 1.53 | 1.71 | 2.00 | 1.82 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.03 | 0.09 | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 45% | 60% | 74% | 67% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.47 | 2.42 | 2.74 | 2.60 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.65 | 0.86 | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Came back from behind | 41% | 50% | 62% | 67% |
| Leads held | 81% | 77% | 87% | 79% |
| Minutes leading | 30% | 43% | 43% | 37% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 37% | 50% | 56% |
| Minutes trailing | 27% | 21% | 8% | 8% |
| First goal (min) | 42 | 34 | 39 | 43 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 42 | 41 | 42 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 55% | 44% | 56% | 62% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 45% | 42% | 58% | 61% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.45 | 0.40 | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.26 | 0.20 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 59% | 56% | 56% |
| Shots | 14.5 | 15.1 | 15.1 | 13.7 |
| On target | 4.9 | 5.1 | 5.4 | 5.2 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 64% | 72% | 75% |
| Big chances created | 2.6 | 2.3 | 3.4 | 3.3 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 5.3 | 5.7 | 5.3 |
| xG from set plays | 25% | 22% | 33% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 15% | 14% | 22% | 25% |
| Pressure index | 15.5 | 17.3 | 22.8 | 19.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 54.8 | 60.3 | 66.2 | 61.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 85% | 84% | 84% |
| Fouls | 12.2 | 11.0 | 10.5 | 10.4 |
| Cards | 2.12 | 1.70 | 1.42 | 1.73 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Brighton & Hove Albion
0–15'119
16–30'76
31–45'1212
46–60'65
61–75'126
76–90'1911
Arsenal
0–15'155
16–30'143
31–45'208
46–60'216
61–75'206
76–90'2010
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Brighton & Hove Albion · 42 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.44
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1742
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4042
Late push (76+, level)+0.4418
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0616
Game state
When ahead+0.0621
When level+0.3242
When behind+0.0422
10 min after conceding-0.0928
10 min after scoring+0.4332
Situations
Against ten men-0.334
At home+0.1820
Away+0.1722
3 days rest or fewer+0.258
4+ days rest+0.1634
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.1224
v mid-tier opponents+0.029
v bottom-tier opponents+0.742
As favourite+0.2921
Evenly matched+0.1811
As underdog-0.0810
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0042
Conceded when ahead-0.1021
Conceded late (76+)-0.1336
Congested vs rested +0.10 · Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.28
Arsenal · 57 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.86
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.5957
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4557
Late push (76+, level)+0.1419
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.867
Game state
When ahead+0.6047
When level+0.5557
When behind+0.7713
10 min after conceding+0.4327
10 min after scoring+0.8354
Situations
Against ten men+0.093
At home+0.7027
Away+0.4930
3 days rest or fewer+0.7224
4+ days rest+0.5033
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.4833
v mid-tier opponents+0.7812
v bottom-tier opponents+0.263
As favourite+0.6351
Evenly matched+0.355
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2557
Conceded when ahead-0.3047
Conceded late (76+)-0.4048
Congested vs rested +0.22 · Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level +0.23
Brighton & Hove Albion
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 35 83% | 1.6 | 1.66 | 1.14 | 1.66 | 1.35 |
| 4-3-3 | 6 14% | 1.17 | 1.33 | 1.17 | 1.52 | 1.28 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.99 | 3.32 |
Arsenal
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 5 · scoring 14 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 29 51% | 2.34 | 1.9 | 0.66 | 2.01 | 0.99 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 27 47% | 2.33 | 1.96 | 0.67 | 1.9 | 0.82 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.22 | 2.32 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 99 snapshots · last 22.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.2 pts at 4.7d
5.02Home 19% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 4.734.06Draw 24% · +0.2 ptsopened 4.091.69Away 57% ▲ +1.0 ptsopened 1.72
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 5.02 ▼ -1.2 | 4.06 · +0.2 | 1.69 ▲ +1.0 | 22.0h |
| bet365 | 5.0 · -0.5 | 3.9 · -0.4 | 1.66 · +0.9 | 22.0h |
| Betfair | 5.0 ▼ -1.1 | 3.9 · -0.3 | 1.7 ▲ +1.5 | 22.0h |
| BetVictor | 4.8 · +0.1 | 4.0 · -0.9 | 1.67 · +0.8 | 22.0h |
| Coral | 4.6 · +0.9 | 3.9 · +0.0 | 1.73 · -0.9 | 22.0h |
| Ladbrokes | 4.5 · +0.6 | 3.8 · +0.1 | 1.73 · -0.7 | 22.0h |
| Unibet | 5.1 · +0.0 | 3.95 · +0.0 | 1.67 · +0.0 | 22.0h |
| WilliamHill | 4.6 · -0.3 | 3.8 · -0.1 | 1.7 · +0.4 | 22.0h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 99 snapshots · last 22.0h before kick-off · biggest step: no -1.3 pts at 46.0h
1.7Yes 55% ▲ +1.3 ptsopened 1.752.05No 45% ▼ -1.3 ptsopened 2.0
Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.7 ▲ +1.3 | 2.05 ▼ -1.3 | 22.0h |
| Betfair | 1.67 ▲ +2.0 | 2.2 ▼ -2.0 | 22.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.67 ▲ +1.1 | 2.05 ▼ -1.1 | 22.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.67 ▲ +1.8 | 2.05 ▼ -1.8 | 22.0h |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 99 snapshots · last 22.0h before kick-off · biggest step: under -1.4 pts at 4.7d
1.75Over 55% ▲ +2.3 ptsopened 1.842.15Under 45% ▼ -2.3 ptsopened 2.06
Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.75 ▲ +2.3 | 2.15 ▼ -2.3 | 22.0h |
| bet365 | 1.72 ▲ +2.3 | 2.1 ▼ -2.3 | 22.0h |
| Betfair | 1.67 ▲ +2.7 | 2.15 ▼ -2.7 | 22.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.68 ▲ +1.9 | 2.02 ▼ -1.9 | 22.0h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 22.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
5.0Home 19% P 19%3.9Draw 24% P 24%1.66Away 57% P 57%
Double Chance
2.15Brighton or Draw 22%1.25Brighton or Arsenal 38%1.16Draw or Arsenal 41%
Draw No Bet
3.751 25%1.252 75%
Both Teams To Score
1.7Yes 55%2.05No 45%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%
Total Corners
8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%
Number of Cards
3.51.66Over 56% P 59%2.1Under 44% P 41%
4.52.1Over 44% P 41%1.66Under 56% P 59%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 55–57.5% · 338 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 19% | 19% | 20% | +0.6 |
| Draw | 24% | 25% | 22% | -3.1 |
| Away | 57% | 56% | 59% | +2.5 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 53%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 56% | 56% | -0.2 |
Darren England
- Career
- 247 matches · 15 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.94 (3.83 yellow · 0.06 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.8 · 5.5 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.26
- Cards to home side
- 44%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 86 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.44 | 4.26 | +0.41 | 65 |
| Fouls / match | 21.9 | 21.6 | +0.39 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.0 | 5.1 | -0.58 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.22 | 0.25 | -0.50 | 35 |
| Time added | 8.5 | 8.4 | +0.26 | 54 |
- First card
- 40' on average
- Card timing
- 12% in first 30' · 40% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.09
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 68' | 5 |
| 2026-09-04 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 10' | 7 |
| 2026-08-22 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 34' | 8 |
| 2026-05-24 | 5 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 78' | 13 |
| 2026-05-16 | 4 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 29' | 8 |
| 2026-05-03 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 49' | 9 |
| 2026-04-24 | 7 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 51' | 10 |
| 2026-04-20 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 21' | 8 |
| 2026-03-21 · Brighton & Hove Albion | 10 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 25' | 16 |
| 2026-03-08 | 5 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 25' | 9 |