Momentum
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Waiting for statistics…
Season context
| Brentford | at home | Stat | league | away | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.2 #12 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 44.2 #13 |
| 17.0 #3 | – | Shots total | 13.5 | – | 15.0 #5 |
| 4.2 #10 | – | Shots on target | 4.4 | – | 6.0 #1 |
| 4.5 #9 | – | Corners | 4.5 | – | 5.2 #6 |
| 15.5 #2 | – | Fouls | 11.7 | – | 9.0 #18 |
| 1.0 #16 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 1.0 #16 |
| 16.8 #5 | – | Tackles | 15.4 | – | 14.2 #13 |
| 101.5 #8 | – | Attacks | 96.3 | – | 91.8 #11 |
| 54.8 #7 | – | Dangerous attacks | 47.7 | – | 44.2 #10 |
| 382.8 #15 | – | Passes | 441.4 | – | 389.5 #13 |
| 2.2 #7 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.2 #7 |
| 0.8 #12 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | 2.2 #1 |
| – #3 | – | Btts | 52.5 | – | – #1 |
| – #8 | – | Cleansheet | 28.8 | – | – #15 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 35.0 | – | – #10 |
| 1.9 #4 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.7 #7 |
| -0.2 #12 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.8 #3 |
| – #13 | – | Failed to score | 28.8 | – | – #13 |
| 1.8 #5 | 2.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2.5 #2 |
| 1.0 #13 | 0.5 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2.2 #4 |
| – | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #5 |
| 11.5 #2 | – | Interceptions | 8.4 | – | 9.2 #8 |
| – #14 | – | Lost | 32.5 | – | – #9 |
| 0.0 #7 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | – |
| 6.9 #9 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #6 |
| 5.8 #4 | – | Shots blocked | 3.9 | – | 4.0 #9 |
| 12.5 #2 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.7 | – | 9.8 #7 |
| 7.0 #4 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 5.0 #6 |
| 4.5 #9 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.8 | – | 5.2 #6 |
| – #8 | – | Win | 32.5 | – | – #3 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 39 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.79 (home 1.41 · away 1.38)
- Home / draw / away
- 31% · 36% · 33%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 51% · 51%
- Cards / match
- 4.03 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Brentford · Last 365 days
Chelsea · Last 365 days
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 5
Venue
- Stadium
- Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford
- Capacity
- 17,250
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Keith Andrews · Xabi Alonso
- Position
- 7 · 6
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Andy Madley
Weather
- Conditions
- light rain
- Temperature
- 17.1° (feels 16.3°)
- Wind
- 5.2
- Humidity
- 56%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 | Leeds United |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 | WDDW |
| 4 | Hull City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 5 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 7 | WLDW |
| 6 | Chelsea |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 | WWLD |
| 7 | Brentford |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WDDD |
| 8 | Liverpool |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | DDWD |
| 9 | Everton |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | WDDD |
| 10 | Ipswich Town |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 | Nottingham Forest |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | LDDW |
| 12 | Newcastle United |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | DWDL |
| 13 | Manchester United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | LWDL |
| 14 | Sunderland |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | LWDL |
| 15 | AFC Bournemouth |
4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | LDDD |
| 16 | Crystal Palace |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 | LLWL |
| 17 | Tottenham Hotspur |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 | LLDD |
| 18 | Fulham |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | LLLD |
| 19 | Aston Villa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 | LLDL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | WLDW |
| 4 | Leeds United |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | WDDW |
| 5 | Brentford |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | WDDD |
| 6 | Everton |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDDD |
| 7 | Hull City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | WWDD |
| 8 | Chelsea |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | WWLD |
| 9 | Manchester United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | LWDL |
| 10 | Ipswich Town |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Sunderland |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LWDL |
| 12 | Newcastle United |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DWDL |
| 13 | AFC Bournemouth |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | LDDD |
| 14 | Liverpool |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | DDWD |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LDDW |
| 16 | Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | LLDD |
| 17 | Fulham |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Aston Villa |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Crystal Palace |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LLWL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WWWW |
| 2 | Arsenal |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Liverpool |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | DDWD |
| 4 | Nottingham Forest |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | LDDW |
| 5 | Hull City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWDD |
| 6 | Leeds United |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | WDDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | WLDW |
| 8 | Chelsea |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | WWLD |
| 9 | Crystal Palace |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | LLWL |
| 10 | Newcastle United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | DWDL |
| 11 | Ipswich Town |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | WLLW |
| 12 | Brentford |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | WDDD |
| 13 | Everton |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | WDDD |
| 14 | AFC Bournemouth |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | LDDD |
| 15 | Sunderland |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LWDL |
| 16 | Fulham |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LLLD |
| 17 | Manchester United |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | LWDL |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | LLDD |
| 19 | Aston Villa |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- Relegation
Brentford
DWDDD 1W 4D 0L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 5 · xG 9.16–8.93 · xPts 6.55
- D
A
AFC Bournemouth
2–2
xG 0.52–2.09
UK PL - D
H
Sunderland
1–1
xG 1.26–2.4
UK PL - D
A
Leeds United
1–1
xG 1.84–1.12
UK PL - W
H
Tottenham Hotspur
3–0
xG 4.16–0.52
UK PL - D
A
Liverpool
1–1
xG 1.38–2.81
UK PL
DWDDD 1W 4D 0L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 5 · xG 9.16–8.93 · xPts 6.55
- D
A
AFC Bournemouth
2–2
xG 0.52–2.09
UK PL - D
H
Sunderland
1–1
xG 1.26–2.4
UK PL - D
A
Leeds United
1–1
xG 1.84–1.12
UK PL - W
H
Tottenham Hotspur
3–0
xG 4.16–0.52
UK PL - D
A
Liverpool
1–1
xG 1.38–2.81
UK PL
Chelsea
LWWLD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 11 GA 11 · xG 7.63–8.29 · xPts 6.25
- D
H
Hull City
2–2
xG 1.07–1.35
UK PL - L
A
Arsenal
1–2
xG 0.47–2.26
UK PL - W
H
Brighton & Hove Albion
4–3
xG 3.37–1.36
UK PL - W
A
Fulham
3–2
xG 1.92–1.51
UK PL - L
A
Sunderland
1–2
xG 0.81–1.81
UK PL
LWWLD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 11 GA 11 · xG 7.63–8.29 · xPts 6.25
- D
H
Hull City
2–2
xG 1.07–1.35
UK PL - L
A
Arsenal
1–2
xG 0.47–2.26
UK PL - W
H
Brighton & Hove Albion
4–3
xG 3.37–1.36
UK PL - W
A
Fulham
3–2
xG 1.92–1.51
UK PL - L
A
Sunderland
1–2
xG 0.81–1.81
UK PL
full sample 10 meetings 2021–2026
Recurring referee: Jarred Gillett · 2 of these meetings
Last 10
Goals 13–10 · Brentford hosting: 0W 4D 1L · Chelsea hosting: 2W 0D 3L
At Gtech Community Stadium: 5 meetings · Brentford 0 · draws 4 · Chelsea 1 · 1.8 goals per match · last away win Oct 2021
All-time since 2013: 13 meetings · Brentford 3 · draws 5 · Chelsea 5
- Brentford haven't beaten Chelsea since Oct 2023
- Chelsea unbeaten in the last 5 meetings
This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days
| Metric | Fixture | League | Δ | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 2.30 | 2.79 | -0.49 | 10 |
| Both teams score | 40% | 58% | -18% | 10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 56% | -16% | 10 |
| Corners | 10.6 | 9.9 | +0.7 | 10 |
| Cards | 4.3 | 4.2 | +0.1 | 8 |
2 goalless · 3 with 4+ goals · 0.60 first-half goals per match · red card in 1
How these games go · 10 with event data
| Brentford | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 3 of 10 | 5 of 10 |
| Scored first and won | 2 | 3 |
| Won from behind | 1 | 0 |
first goal on average in minute 41 · a side came back in 3 · goal after the 75th minute in 7 · penalty scored in 1
When the goals come · all goals, 8 meetings
5 equalisers · 1 penalty · 1 own goal · 1 header
Expected goals · last 4 with xG
Deserved on xG: Brentford 0 · level 3 · Chelsea 1 — actual wins in those games 0 / 2
Against the market · 10 with closing odds
Favourite won 3 (30%), drew 4, upset 3 · market favoured Brentford 0×, Chelsea 10× · avg favourite 55%, avg price of the actual result 33%
Fixture specialists
- 2 Cole Palmer Chelsea · in 2 games · last Jan 2026
- 2 Nicolas Jackson Chelsea · in 2 games · last Dec 2024
- 2 Yoane Wissa Brentford · in 2 games · last Mar 2024
- 2 Bryan Mbeumo Brentford · in 2 games · last Oct 2023
- 2 Vitaly Janelt Brentford · last Apr 2022
Last meeting · 2026-01-17 · UK PL
Chelsea 2-0 Brentford · ref John Brooks
- 26' João Pedro assist Enzo Fernández 1–0
- 76' Cole Palmer (pen) 2–0
xG 1.58 – 1.46 · corners 12 · cards 5
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Expected
- Brentford goals
- 1.72 (0–3)
- Chelsea goals
- 1.67 (0–3)
- Corners
- 9.57 (6–14)
- Cards
- 4.85 (2–8)
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 13 matches since 2013
Goals 15–20 · 2.69 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 54%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 13–10 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–8 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L Chelsea 2–0 Brentford UK PL · Regular Season
- D Brentford 2–2 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
- D Brentford 0–0 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
- L Chelsea 2–1 Brentford UK PL · Regular Season
- D Brentford 2–2 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
- W Chelsea 0–2 Brentford UK PL · Regular Season
- W Chelsea 0–2 Brentford UK PL · Regular Season
- D Brentford 0–0 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
- W Chelsea 1–4 Brentford UK PL · Regular Season
- L Brentford 0–1 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Brentford all · 4 | Brentford at home · 2 | Chelsea all · 4 | Chelsea away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Brentford · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.49
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level +1.12
Chelsea · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.40
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level +0.14 · Behind vs level +0.24
Brentford
Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 3 · scoring 6 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 100% | 1.5 | 1.75 | 1.0 | 1.94 | 1.53 |
Chelsea
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 75% | 2.0 | 2.67 | 2.33 | 1.92 | 1.71 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 25% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.07 | 1.35 |
| Metric | Brentford all · 10 | Brentford at home · 10 | Chelsea all · 10 | Chelsea away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 6 / 2 | 2 / 6 / 2 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 3 / 1 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.70 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.70 | 2.30 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% | 10% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 30% | 10% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% | 70% | 90% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.64 | 2.06 | 1.30 | 1.23 |
| xG against / match | 1.71 | 1.27 | 1.42 | 1.49 |
| xG difference | -0.07 | 0.79 | -0.11 | -0.26 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.24 | -0.66 | 0.30 | 0.47 |
| xPts / match | 1.35 | 1.82 | 1.24 | 1.17 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.15 | -0.62 | 0.16 | -0.17 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 50% | 60% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.80 | 1.80 | 2.17 | 1.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.25 | 0.88 |
| Came back from behind | 60% | 50% | 33% | 33% |
| Leads held | 40% | 40% | 67% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 24% | 30% | 38% | 18% |
| Minutes level | 55% | 46% | 32% | 36% |
| Minutes trailing | 21% | 24% | 30% | 47% |
| First goal (min) | 44 | 31 | 26 | 30 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 48 | 37 | 32 | 17 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 57% | 50% | 38% | 40% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 67% | 50% | 47% | 52% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 51% | 50% | 53% |
| Shots | 13.6 | 14.1 | 11.9 | 11.7 |
| On target | 3.8 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 10% | 13% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 74% | 74% | 61% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 2.9 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 5.2 | 4.8 | 5.0 |
| xG from set plays | 50% | 58% | 31% | 22% |
| Goals from headers | 29% | 29% | 7% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 12.7 | 16.8 | 11.8 | 10.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 52.0 | 56.4 | 47.5 | 46.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 80% | 83% | 86% |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 10.9 | 11.7 | 10.1 |
| Cards | 2.00 | 1.30 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Brentford
Chelsea
Brentford
Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 3 · scoring 6 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 1.33 | 1.56 | 1.0 | 1.78 | 1.53 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.35 | 3.3 |
Chelsea
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.13 | 1.21 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.64 | 1.58 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.81 | 1.81 |
| Metric | Brentford all · 41 | Brentford at home · 19 | Chelsea all · 53 | Chelsea away · 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 41 | 19 | 53 | 26 |
| Points per game | 1.51 | 1.68 | 1.55 | 1.46 |
| W / D / L | 16 / 14 / 11 | 8 / 8 / 3 | 24 / 10 / 19 | 11 / 5 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.51 | 1.79 | 1.85 | 1.92 |
| Goals against / match | 1.24 | 1.05 | 1.45 | 1.62 |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 26% | 24% | 19% |
| Failed to score | 29% | 26% | 15% | 12% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 58% | 62% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 58% | 72% | 81% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.80 | 2.02 | 1.85 | 1.66 |
| xG against / match | 1.64 | 1.49 | 1.32 | 1.45 |
| xG difference | 0.16 | 0.53 | 0.52 | 0.22 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.29 | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.26 |
| xPts / match | 1.46 | 1.66 | 1.63 | 1.47 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.06 | 0.02 | -0.08 | 0.00 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 54% | 58% | 58% | 46% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.18 | 2.27 | 2.19 | 2.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.67 | 0.83 | 0.62 | 0.69 |
| Came back from behind | 39% | 50% | 34% | 41% |
| Leads held | 67% | 67% | 69% | 79% |
| Minutes leading | 29% | 36% | 34% | 26% |
| Minutes level | 48% | 45% | 40% | 42% |
| Minutes trailing | 23% | 19% | 26% | 32% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 34 | 33 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 44 | 36 | 29 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 55% | 59% | 52% | 58% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 53% | 50% | 52% | 48% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.41 | 0.53 | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| Late goals against | 0.34 | 0.37 | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 49% | 57% | 56% |
| Shots | 12.0 | 13.2 | 13.9 | 12.8 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.3 | 5.0 | 5.1 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 13% | 15% |
| Shots inside box | 75% | 74% | 66% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 3.3 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 2.9 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 4.6 | 5.8 | 4.7 |
| xG from set plays | 50% | 50% | 29% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 21% | 21% | 15% | 11% |
| Pressure index | 14.4 | 15.3 | 18.3 | 15.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 49.4 | 51.3 | 57.6 | 52.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 79% | 86% | 86% |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 10.3 | 11.2 | 11.4 |
| Cards | 1.78 | 1.47 | 2.64 | 2.96 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Brentford
Chelsea
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Brentford · 41 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: 3 days rest or fewer +0.56
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested +0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level -0.08
Chelsea · 53 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.32) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +1.43
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level -0.29
Brentford
Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 3 · scoring 6 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 33 80% | 1.7 | 1.73 | 1.21 | 2.03 | 1.67 |
| 5-3-2 | 4 10% | 0.25 | 0.25 | 1.5 | 0.51 | 1.2 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 5% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13 | 1.19 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.19 | 1.63 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.35 | 3.3 |
Chelsea
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 41 77% | 1.56 | 1.73 | 1.29 | 1.83 | 1.25 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 9% | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.73 | 1.63 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 8% | 1.5 | 2.75 | 1.75 | 2.42 | 1.37 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.62 | 2.02 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.81 | 1.81 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 116 snapshots · last 5.0h before kick-off · biggest step: away -1.7 pts at 2.0d
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.67 ▲ +3.3 | 3.78 ▲ +1.1 | 2.57 ▼ -4.4 | 5.0h |
| bet365 | 2.55 ▲ +5.1 | 3.75 · +0.2 | 2.5 ▼ -5.3 | 5.0h |
| Betfair | 2.63 ▲ +4.2 | 3.75 · +0.5 | 2.55 ▼ -4.7 | 5.0h |
| BetVictor | 2.6 ▲ +3.4 | 3.6 ▲ +1.6 | 2.55 ▼ -5.0 | 5.0h |
| Coral | 2.5 ▲ +4.3 | 3.75 · -0.4 | 2.5 ▼ -3.9 | 5.0h |
| Ladbrokes | 2.5 ▲ +4.2 | 3.75 · -0.2 | 2.5 ▼ -4.0 | 5.0h |
| Unibet | 2.55 ▲ +3.2 | 3.7 · +0.2 | 2.55 ▼ -3.4 | 5.0h |
| WilliamHill | 2.6 ▲ +3.2 | 3.5 ▲ +1.2 | 2.5 ▼ -4.3 | 5.0h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 116 snapshots · last 5.0h before kick-off · biggest step: no +1.7 pts at 5.0h
Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.44 · +0.0 | 2.62 · +0.0 | 5.0h |
| Betfair | 1.4 ▲ +3.0 | 3.0 ▼ -3.0 | 5.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.36 ▲ +2.1 | 2.88 ▼ -2.1 | 5.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.4 ▲ +1.3 | 2.7 ▼ -1.3 | 5.0h |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 116 snapshots · last 5.0h before kick-off · biggest step: under -1.3 pts at 3.5d
Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.5 · +0.7 | 2.66 · -0.7 | 5.0h |
| bet365 | 1.5 · +0.0 | 2.62 · +0.0 | 5.0h |
| Betfair | 1.44 · +0.9 | 2.63 · -0.9 | 5.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.48 · -0.4 | 2.41 · +0.4 | 5.0h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 5.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Both Teams To Score
Goals Over/Under
Total Corners
Number of Cards
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 37.5–40% · 153 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 36% | 36% | 35% | -1.3 |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 30% | +4.3 |
| Away | 38% | 38% | 35% | -3.0 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 53%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 64% | 63% | -0.4 |
Andy Madley
- Career
- 313 matches · 16 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.42 (3.29 yellow · 0.08 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.8 · 5.7 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.2
- Cards to home side
- 45%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 95 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.09 | 4.26 | -0.24 | 31 |
| Fouls / match | 22.7 | 21.6 | +0.83 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.2 | 5.1 | +1.71 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.17 | 0.25 | -1.14 | 12 |
| Time added | 8.3 | 8.4 | +0.09 | 38 |
- First card
- 36' on average
- Card timing
- 13% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.21
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | 7 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 43' | 10 |
| 2026-09-05 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 58' | 11 |
| 2026-08-28 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 33' | 6 |
| 2026-08-13 | 6 | 0 | 49 | 0 | 16' | 2 |
| 2026-07-14 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 17' | 2 |
| 2026-05-24 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 82' | 13 |
| 2026-05-12 | 8 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 13' | 11 |
| 2026-05-09 | 6 | 2 | 33 | 0 | 41' | 9 |
| 2026-04-25 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 19' | 11 |
| 2026-04-22 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 37' | 15 |

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