Rating 7.08 (87th pct) · G+A 10 + 4 (22% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 1.31 ppg with (32) · 1.62 without (8)
Premier League · Matchweek 5
Momentum
– BOULiverpool –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Waiting for statistics…
Season context
| AFC Bournemouth | at home | Stat | league | away | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.0 #10 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 60.2 #4 |
| 14.8 #6 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 16.0 #4 |
| 6.0 #1 | – | Shots on target | 4.4 | – | 5.2 #5 |
| 4.5 #9 | – | Corners | 4.6 | – | 4.2 #14 |
| 12.2 #9 | – | Fouls | 11.6 | – | 13.0 #5 |
| 1.2 #15 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 2.5 #3 |
| 15.8 #8 | – | Tackles | 15.5 | – | 16.2 #5 |
| 98.5 #8 | – | Attacks | 96.3 | – | 124.8 #2 |
| 34.5 #19 | – | Dangerous attacks | 47.6 | – | 64.2 #3 |
| 407.2 #11 | – | Passes | 442.3 | – | 525.2 #6 |
| 3.2 #1 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.5 #5 |
| 0.8 #13 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | 1.2 #7 |
| – #1 | – | Btts | 50.8 | – | – #8 |
| – #15 | – | Cleansheet | 29.5 | – | – #3 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 34.0 | – | – #1 |
| 1.6 #9 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.9 #4 |
| -0.1 #12 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.4 #14 |
| – #14 | – | Failed to score | 29.8 | – | – #7 |
| 1.5 #10 | 1.5 | Goals | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.5 #10 |
| 1.8 #6 | 1.5 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 #13 |
| 0.5 #1 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | – |
| 12.8 #1 | – | Interceptions | 8.4 | – | 8.8 #10 |
| – #10 | – | Lost | 33.2 | – | – #14 |
| – | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #1 |
| 6.8 #12 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #4 |
| 4.0 #10 | – | Shots blocked | 3.9 | – | 6.8 #2 |
| 9.0 #9 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.7 | – | 9.5 #7 |
| 4.8 #8 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 4.0 #18 |
| 5.8 #4 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.8 | – | 6.5 #2 |
| – #16 | – | Win | 32.8 | – | – #9 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 39 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.79 (home 1.41 · away 1.38)
- Home / draw / away
- 31% · 36% · 33%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 51% · 51%
- Cards / match
- 4.03 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
AFC Bournemouth · Last 365 days
Rating 7.04 (83th pct) · G+A 4 + 2 (10% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Rating 6.88 (61th pct) · G+A 1 + 7 (13% of team goals) · 97% of minutes
Liverpool · Last 365 days
Rating 7.52 (99th pct) · G+A 14 + 10 (26% of team goals) · 96% of minutes
Rating 7.09 (93th pct) · G+A 7 + 3 (11% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.09 (88th pct) · G+A 7 + 8 (16% of team goals) · 71% of minutes
Team 1.56 ppg with (39) · 1.53 without (15)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 5
Venue
- Stadium
- Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
- Capacity
- 11,700
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Marco Rose · Andoni Iraola
- Position
- 15 · 8
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Michael Oliver
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 18.8° (feels 18.1°)
- Wind
- 5.6
- Humidity
- 54%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Brentford |
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 4 |  Leeds United |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 | WDDW |
| 5 |  Hull City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 6 |  Brighton & Hove Albion |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 7 | WLDW |
| 7 |  Chelsea |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | WWLDL |
| 8 |  Liverpool |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | DDWD |
| 9 |  Everton |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | WDDD |
| 10 |  Ipswich Town |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 |  Nottingham Forest |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | LDDW |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | DWDL |
| 13 |  Manchester United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | LWDL |
| 14 |  Sunderland |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | LWDL |
| 15 |  AFC Bournemouth |
4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | LDDD |
| 16 |  Crystal Palace |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 | LLWL |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 | LLDD |
| 18 |  Fulham |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | LLLD |
| 19 |  Aston Villa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 | LLDL |
| 20 |  Coventry City |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brentford |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 7 | WDDDW |
| 2 | Arsenal |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Manchester City |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWW |
| 4 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | WLDW |
| 5 | Leeds United |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | WDDW |
| 6 | Everton |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDDD |
| 7 | Hull City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | WWDD |
| 8 | Chelsea |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | WWLDL |
| 9 | Manchester United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | LWDL |
| 10 | Ipswich Town |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Sunderland |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LWDL |
| 12 | Newcastle United |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DWDL |
| 13 | AFC Bournemouth |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | LDDD |
| 14 | Liverpool |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | DDWD |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LDDW |
| 16 | Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | LLDD |
| 17 | Fulham |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Aston Villa |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Crystal Palace |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LLWL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WWWW |
| 2 | Arsenal |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Liverpool |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | DDWD |
| 4 | Nottingham Forest |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | LDDW |
| 5 | Hull City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWDD |
| 6 | Leeds United |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | WDDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | WLDW |
| 8 | Crystal Palace |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | LLWL |
| 9 | Newcastle United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | DWDL |
| 10 | Ipswich Town |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Chelsea |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | WWLDL |
| 12 | Brentford |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | WDDDW |
| 13 | Everton |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | WDDD |
| 14 | AFC Bournemouth |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | LDDD |
| 15 | Sunderland |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LWDL |
| 16 | Fulham |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LLLD |
| 17 | Manchester United |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | LWDL |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | LLDD |
| 19 | Aston Villa |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- Relegation
AFC Bournemouth
LDDDW 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 7.56–5.62 · xPts 8.1
- W
A
Real Sociedad
2–1
xG 0.88–1.07
UEFA EL - D
H
Brentford
2–2
xG 2.09–0.52
UK PL
- D
A
Newcastle United
2–2
xG 1.36–0.76
UK PL
- D
H
Everton
1–1
xG 2.66–1.14
UK PL
- L
A
Manchester City
1–2
xG 0.57–2.13
UK PL
DLDDDW 1W 4D 1L · 7 pts (1.17 ppg) · GF 9 GA 9 · xG 8.72–7.55 · xPts 9.0
- W
A
Real Sociedad
2–1
xG 0.88–1.07
UEFA EL
- D
H
Brentford
2–2
xG 2.09–0.52
UK PL
- D
A
Newcastle United
2–2
xG 1.36–0.76
UK PL
- D
H
Everton
1–1
xG 2.66–1.14
UK PL
- L
A
Manchester City
1–2
xG 0.57–2.13
UK PL
- D
A
Nottingham Forest
1–1
xG 1.17–1.94
UK PL
Liverpool
DDWWD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 5 · xG 9.05–6.15 · xPts 8.46
- D
H
Fulham
0–0
xG 1.37–0.83
UK PL
- W
H
Atlético de Madrid
2–1
xG 1.46–0.6
UEFA CL - W
A
Ipswich Town
2–0
xG 0.71–1.03
UK PL
- D
H
Nottingham Forest
2–2
xG 1.87–2.41
UK PL
- D
A
Newcastle United
2–2
xG 3.64–1.27
UK PL
DDDWWD 2W 4D 0L · 10 pts (1.67 ppg) · GF 9 GA 6 · xG 11.86–7.53 · xPts 10.64
- D
H
Fulham
0–0
xG 1.37–0.83
UK PL
- W
H
Atlético de Madrid
2–1
xG 1.46–0.6
UEFA CL
- W
A
Ipswich Town
2–0
xG 0.71–1.03
UK PL
- D
H
Nottingham Forest
2–2
xG 1.87–2.41
UK PL
- D
A
Newcastle United
2–2
xG 3.64–1.27
UK PL
- D
H
Brentford
1–1
xG 2.81–1.38
UK PL
full sample 8 meetings 2022–2026
Last 8
Goals 7–27 · AFC Bournemouth hosting: 2W 0D 2L · Liverpool hosting: 4W 0D 0L
At Vitality Stadium: 4 meetings · AFC Bournemouth 2 · draws 0 · Liverpool 2 · 3.0 goals per match · last away win Feb 2025
All-time since 2014: 19 meetings · AFC Bournemouth 3 · draws 1 · Liverpool 15
This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days
| Metric | Fixture | League | Δ | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 4.25 | 2.79 | +1.46 | 8 |
| Both teams score | 38% | 58% | -21% | 8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 56% | +20% | 8 |
| Corners | 11.3 | 9.9 | +1.4 | 8 |
| Cards | 3.4 | 4.2 | -0.8 | 8 |
5 with 4+ goals · 2.13 first-half goals per match · red card in 1
How these games go · 8 with event data
| AFC Bournemouth | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 3 of 8 | 5 of 8 |
| Scored first and won | 2 | 5 |
| Won from behind | 0 | 1 |
first goal on average in minute 25 · a side came back in 1 · goal after the 75th minute in 4 · penalty scored in 1
When the goals come · all goals, 8 meetings
0-15'3
16-30'7
31-45'7
46-60'3
61-75'5
76-90'9
3 equalisers · 1 penalty · 1 own goal
Expected goals · last 4 with xG
Deserved on xG: AFC Bournemouth 1 · level 1 · Liverpool 2 — actual wins in those games 1 / 3
Against the market · 8 with closing odds
Favourite won 6 (75%), drew 0, upset 2 · market favoured AFC Bournemouth 0×, Liverpool 8× · avg favourite 69%, avg price of the actual result 58%
Fixture specialists
- 5 Luis Díaz Liverpool · in 3 games · last Sep 2024
- 3 Mohamed Salah Liverpool · in 2 games · last Aug 2025
- 3 Antoine Semenyo AFC Bournemouth · in 2 games · last Aug 2025
- 3 Darwin Núñez Liverpool · in 2 games · last Sep 2024
- 3 Diogo Jota Liverpool · in 2 games · last Jan 2024
Last meeting · 2026-01-24 · UK PL
AFC Bournemouth 3-2 Liverpool · ref Michael Salisbury
- 26' Evanilson assist Alex Scott 1–0
- 33' Álex Jiménez assist James Hill 2–0
- 45' Virgil van Dijk assist Dominik Szoboszlai 2–1
- 80' Dominik Szoboszlai assist Mohamed Salah 2–2
- 90+5' Amine Adli 3–2
xG 2.24 – 1.14 · corners 14 · cards 2
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·
Match result
36.4%AFC Bournemouth P 31%24.8%Draw P 25%38.8%Liverpool P 44%
Over / under 2.5
57.6%Over 2.5 P 63%42.4%Under 2.5 P 37%
Both teams to score
60.5%Yes39.5%No
Expected
- AFC Bournemouth goals
- 1.47 (0–3)
- Liverpool goals
- 1.52 (0–3)
- Corners
- 10.31 (6–15)
- Cards
- 4.7 (2–8)
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
38.3%AFC Bournemouth26.5%Draw35.3%Liverpool
Over / under 2.5
51.1%Over 2.548.9%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
55.2%Yes44.8%No
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 19 matches since 2014
Goals 15–56 · 3.74 per match · BTTS 37% · over 2.5 79%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 8–32 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 80%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–15 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- W AFC Bournemouth 3–2 Liverpool UK PL · Regular Season
- L Liverpool 4–2 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
- L AFC Bournemouth 0–2 Liverpool UK PL · Regular Season
- L Liverpool 3–0 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
- L AFC Bournemouth 0–4 Liverpool UK PL · Regular Season
- L Liverpool 3–1 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
- W AFC Bournemouth 1–0 Liverpool UK PL · Regular Season
- L Liverpool 9–0 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
- L Liverpool 2–1 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
- L AFC Bournemouth 0–3 Liverpool UK PL · Regular Season
| Metric | AFC Bournemouth all · 4 | AFC Bournemouth at home · 2 | Liverpool all · 4 | Liverpool away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
AFC Bournemouth · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.23
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.005
Early press (0-15, level)+0.215
Late push (76+, level)-0.044
Game state
When ahead+0.025
When level+0.015
When behind-0.682
10 min after conceding-0.235
10 min after scoring+0.225
Situations
At home+0.042
Away-0.033
4+ days rest-0.005
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.143
As favourite+0.112
As underdog-0.172
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.175
Conceded when ahead-0.145
Conceded late (76+)-0.205
Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level -0.69
Liverpool · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: when behind +0.57
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.115
Early press (0-15, level)-0.325
Late push (76+, level)+0.113
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.202
Game state
When ahead-0.172
When level-0.075
When behind+0.573
10 min after conceding+0.453
10 min after scoring+0.474
Situations
At home-0.043
Away+0.342
4+ days rest+0.174
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.043
As favourite+0.115
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.215
Conceded when ahead-0.072
Conceded late (76+)-0.405
Congested vs rested -0.30 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level +0.64
AFC Bournemouth
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 100% | 0.75 | 1.5 | 1.75 | 1.67 | 1.14 |
Liverpool
Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 100% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.39 |
| Metric | AFC Bournemouth all · 10 | AFC Bournemouth at home · 10 | Liverpool all · 10 | Liverpool away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 6 / 1 | 2 / 8 / 0 | 3 / 5 / 2 | 3 / 1 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.70 | 1.40 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 10% | 10% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 80% | 80% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% | 60% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.58 | 2.06 | 1.56 | 1.34 |
| xG against / match | 1.31 | 1.14 | 1.47 | 1.64 |
| xG difference | 0.26 | 0.93 | 0.09 | -0.29 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.02 | -0.46 | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| xPts / match | 1.54 | 1.98 | 1.43 | 1.19 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.04 | -0.58 | -0.03 | -0.19 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 80% | 50% | 40% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.63 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.14 |
| Came back from behind | 67% | 100% | 60% | 14% |
| Leads held | 33% | 33% | 60% | 100% |
| Minutes leading | 50% | 28% | 24% | 16% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 61% | 47% | 33% |
| Minutes trailing | 3% | 11% | 29% | 50% |
| First goal (min) | 34 | 44 | 40 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 62 | 54 | 33 | 30 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 38% | 56% | 65% | 71% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 75% | 67% | 53% | 55% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 52% | 57% | 54% |
| Shots | 14.0 | 16.2 | 14.8 | 14.1 |
| On target | 5.0 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 5.5 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 10% | 12% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 60% | 60% | 64% | 58% |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | 3.6 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 6.9 | 5.9 | 5.2 |
| xG from set plays | 33% | 37% | 33% | 37% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 12% | 12% | 21% |
| Pressure index | 12.9 | 14.3 | 13.9 | 12.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 51.7 | 56.9 | 56.3 | 50.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 80% | 85% | 84% |
| Fouls | 12.1 | 9.8 | 11.9 | 11.8 |
| Cards | 2.70 | 2.50 | 1.90 | 2.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AFC Bournemouth
0–15'30
16–30'20
31–45'53
46–60'42
61–75'01
76–90'26
Liverpool
0–15'33
16–30'02
31–45'32
46–60'72
61–75'04
76–90'42
AFC Bournemouth
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 1.33 | 1.56 | 1.22 | 1.66 | 1.34 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.88 | 1.07 |
Liverpool
Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 1.56 | 1.67 | 1.33 | 1.6 | 1.27 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.14 | 3.22 |
| Metric | AFC Bournemouth all · 40 | AFC Bournemouth at home · 19 | Liverpool all · 54 | Liverpool away · 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 40 | 19 | 54 | 27 |
| Points per game | 1.37 | 1.42 | 1.56 | 1.26 |
| W / D / L | 11 / 22 / 7 | 5 / 12 / 2 | 24 / 12 / 18 | 10 / 4 / 13 |
| Goals for / match | 1.58 | 1.53 | 1.72 | 1.52 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 1.16 | 1.31 | 1.59 |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 26% | 30% | 26% |
| Failed to score | 18% | 21% | 18% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 72% | 68% | 57% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 47% | 61% | 67% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.68 | 1.76 | 1.86 | 1.58 |
| xG against / match | 1.64 | 1.02 | 1.20 | 1.34 |
| xG difference | 0.03 | 0.74 | 0.66 | 0.24 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.10 | -0.23 | -0.14 | -0.06 |
| xPts / match | 1.45 | 1.85 | 1.73 | 1.52 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.08 | -0.43 | -0.17 | -0.26 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 42% | 50% | 37% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.65 | 1.63 | 2.52 | 2.80 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.13 | 1.38 | 0.54 | 0.31 |
| Came back from behind | 65% | 78% | 28% | 19% |
| Leads held | 42% | 46% | 77% | 83% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 23% | 28% | 16% |
| Minutes level | 55% | 63% | 47% | 47% |
| Minutes trailing | 16% | 14% | 25% | 37% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 45 | 45 | 54 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 45 | 50 | 40 | 32 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 59% | 61% | 76% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 59% | 64% | 61% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.53 | 0.41 | 0.48 |
| Late goals against | 0.48 | 0.37 | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 53% | 57% | 57% |
| Shots | 14.0 | 15.0 | 16.3 | 13.8 |
| On target | 5.0 | 4.8 | 5.4 | 4.8 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 10% | 10% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 60% | 60% | 66% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 2.7 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.9 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 6.0 | 6.2 | 5.6 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 35% | 25% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 10% | 12% | 18% |
| Pressure index | 12.8 | 16.1 | 20.4 | 19.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 48.1 | 56.6 | 60.8 | 59.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 80% | 86% | 86% |
| Fouls | 12.2 | 11.1 | 10.7 | 10.7 |
| Cards | 2.48 | 2.26 | 1.50 | 1.89 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AFC Bournemouth
0–15'85
16–30'97
31–45'1312
46–60'78
61–75'109
76–90'1518
Liverpool
0–15'811
16–30'87
31–45'2010
46–60'2112
61–75'1413
76–90'2218
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
AFC Bournemouth · 40 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.08) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.44
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0840
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1140
Late push (76+, level)-0.1625
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.4412
Game state
When ahead-0.0526
When level+0.0940
When behind+0.3020
10 min after conceding-0.1231
10 min after scoring+0.4133
Situations
With ten men-0.382
Against ten men-0.432
At home+0.1919
Away-0.0221
3 days rest or fewer+0.035
4+ days rest+0.0935
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0325
v mid-tier opponents+0.047
v bottom-tier opponents+0.562
As favourite+0.4112
Evenly matched-0.0215
As underdog-0.1113
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0540
Conceded when ahead+0.2026
Conceded late (76+)+0.0539
Congested vs rested -0.06 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level +0.21
Liverpool · 54 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.45) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.71
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4554
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1654
Late push (76+, level)+0.1022
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.5519
Game state
When ahead+0.3931
When level+0.4754
When behind+0.4825
10 min after conceding+0.1038
10 min after scoring+0.7144
Situations
Against ten men+1.112
At home+0.4227
Away+0.4827
3 days rest or fewer+0.5620
4+ days rest+0.3934
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.2332
v mid-tier opponents+0.6314
As favourite+0.6041
Evenly matched-0.058
As underdog+0.065
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1654
Conceded when ahead-0.1831
Conceded late (76+)-0.2348
Congested vs rested +0.17 · Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level +0.01
AFC Bournemouth
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 39 98% | 1.33 | 1.56 | 1.51 | 1.7 | 1.66 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.88 | 1.07 |
Liverpool
Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 44 82% | 1.64 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.14 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 4 7% | 0.75 | 1.75 | 2.5 | 1.37 | 2.05 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 3 6% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.67 | 2.18 | 1.04 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.25 | 1.94 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.14 | 1.21 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 90 snapshots · last 31.0h before kick-off · biggest step: away +1.0 pts at 2.1d
3.16Home 31% · +0.4 ptsopened 3.23.84Draw 25% · +0.3 ptsopened 3.892.19Away 44% · -0.7 ptsopened 2.16
Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.16 · +0.4 | 3.84 · +0.3 | 2.19 · -0.7 | 31.0h |
| bet365 | 3.1 · +0.8 | 3.8 · +0.0 | 2.15 · -0.9 | 31.0h |
| Betfair | 3.1 · +0.8 | 3.8 · +0.0 | 2.2 · -0.9 | 31.0h |
| BetVictor | 3.0 · +0.5 | 3.9 · -0.2 | 2.15 · -0.3 | 31.0h |
| Coral | 3.1 · +0.1 | 3.8 · +0.7 | 2.15 · -0.9 | 31.0h |
| Ladbrokes | 3.1 · +0.0 | 3.75 · +1.0 | 2.1 ▼ -1.0 | 31.0h |
| WilliamHill | 3.0 ▲ +1.0 | 3.6 · +0.0 | 2.15 ▼ -1.0 | 31.0h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 90 snapshots · last 31.0h before kick-off
1.44Yes 65% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.442.62No 35% · +0.0 ptsopened 2.62
Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.44 · +0.0 | 2.62 · +0.0 | 31.0h |
| Betfair | 1.4 · +0.0 | 2.88 · +0.0 | 31.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.4 · +0.0 | 2.7 · +0.0 | 31.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.4 · -0.0 | 2.62 · +0.0 | 31.0h |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 90 snapshots · last 31.0h before kick-off
1.52Over 63% · -0.8 ptsopened 1.52.57Under 37% · +0.8 ptsopened 2.62
Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.52 · -0.8 | 2.57 · +0.8 | 31.0h |
| bet365 | 1.5 · +0.0 | 2.62 · +0.0 | 31.0h |
| Betfair | 1.4 · +0.4 | 2.8 · -0.4 | 31.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.47 · -0.3 | 2.45 · +0.4 | 31.0h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 31.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
3.1Home 31% P 31%3.8Draw 25% P 25%2.15Away 44% P 44%
Double Chance
1.66Bournemouth or Draw 28%1.25Bournemouth or Liverpool 37%1.36Draw or Liverpool 34%
Draw No Bet
2.251 41%1.572 59%
Both Teams To Score
1.44Yes 65%2.62No 35%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.5Over 64% P 63%2.62Under 36% P 37%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%
Number of Cards
3.51.9Over 49% P 51%1.8Under 51% P 49%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 42.5–45% · 201 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 31% | 31% | 31% | -0.1 |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | 26% | +0.2 |
| Away | 44% | 43% | 43% | -0.1 |
In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 65% · over 2.5 64%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 64% | 63% | -0.4 |
Michael Oliver
- Career
- 622 matches · 18 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.53 (3.38 yellow · 0.08 red)
- Fouls / match
- 20.9 · 4.9 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.29
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 134 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.81 | 4.26 | -0.78 | 15 |
| Fouls / match | 22.0 | 21.6 | +0.45 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.9 | 5.1 | +1.03 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.22 | 0.25 | -0.47 | 38 |
| Time added | 8.1 | 8.4 | -0.08 | 23 |
- First card
- 41' on average
- Card timing
- 12% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 46% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.11
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 23' | 7 |
| 2026-09-08 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 39' | 5 |
| 2026-09-05 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 39' | 4 |
| 2026-08-30 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 55' | 7 |
| 2026-08-25 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 3' | 6 |
| 2026-08-22 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 34' | 19 |
| 2026-08-11 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 43' | 4 |
| 2026-05-24 | 5 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 13' | 13 |
| 2026-05-17 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 90' | 10 |
| 2026-05-04 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 45' | 8 |