KickoffDNA
0 live
Sign in
Premier League · Matchweek 4

Momentum

TOTEverton
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
4

Venue

Stadium
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Capacity
62,850
Surface
grass
Attendance
60,477

Teams

Coaches
Roberto De Zerbi · David Moyes
Position
18 · 9
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Darren England

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
21.3° (feels 21.4°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
72%

Where to watch · 96

  • Albania Super Sport 3 HD
  • Algeria beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Andorra Canal+ Foot
  • Anguilla Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Antigua and Barbuda Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Argentina Disney+ Premium
  • Armenia Fast Sports · FAST TV
  • Australia Stan Sport
  • Austria Sky Go · Sky Sports Premier League
  • Bahamas Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Bahrain beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Barbados Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Bolivia Disney+ Premium
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina Arena Cloud · Arena Sport 1 · Moja TV
  • Brazil Disney+ Premium
  • British Virgin Islands Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Bulgaria Diema Sport 2 · DIEMA SPORT 2 HD · Play Diema Xtra
  • Cambodia MONOMAX
  • Canada DAZN · fuboTV
  • Cayman Islands Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Chile Disney+ Premium
  • Colombia Disney+ Premium Sur
  • Croatia Arena Sport 1 · MAX To Go
  • Cuba Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Czech Republic Oneplay · Skylink
  • Denmark Viaplay · Viaplay Denmark
  • Dominican Republic Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Ecuador Disney+ Premium Sur
  • Egypt beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Estonia Go3 Extra Sports Estonia
  • Finland Viaplay
  • France Canal+ Foot
  • Greece NovaSports Premier League
  • Grenada Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Guadeloupe Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Haiti Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • India JioHotstar
  • Indonesia Vidio · Vidio TV
  • Iran beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Iraq beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Israel Sport 1
  • Jamaica Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Japan U-NEXT
  • Jordan beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Kuwait beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Laos MONOMAX
  • Latvia Go3 Extra Sports Estonia
  • Lebanon beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Lithuania Go3 Extra Sports Estonia
  • Malaysia Astro Go
  • Malta GO TV Anywhere · TSN 2
  • Monaco Canal+ Foot
  • Morocco beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Netherlands Viaplay · Viaplay Netherlands
  • Norway Viaplay
  • Oman beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Palestine beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Paraguay Disney+ Premium
  • Peru Disney+ Premium
  • Poland Canal+ · Canal+ Extra 1
  • Portugal DAZN
  • Puerto Rico Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Qatar beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Romania Voyo
  • Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Disney+ Caribbean
  • Saudi Arabia beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Singapore StarHub TV+
  • Slovakia Skylink
  • South Korea Coupang Play
  • Spain DAZN
  • Sweden Viaplay · Viaplay Sweden
  • Thailand MONOMAX
  • Trinidad and Tobago Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Tunisia beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Turkey beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • United Arab Emirates beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Uruguay Disney+ Premium
  • US Virgin Islands Disney+ Caribbean
  • Venezuela Disney+ Premium Sur
  • Vietnam FPT Play
  • Yemen beIN SPORTS CONNECT

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 4400 817 12 WWWW
2 Manchester City 4400 826 12 WWWW
3 Leeds United 4220 734 8 WDDW
4 Hull City 4220 523 8 WWDD
5 Brighton & Hove Albion 4211 1358 7 WLDW
6 Chelsea 4211 1091 7 WWLD
7 Brentford 4130 743 6 WDDD
8 Liverpool 4130 642 6 DDWD
9 Everton 4130 532 6 WDDD
10 Ipswich Town 4202 710-3 6 WLLW
11 Nottingham Forest 4121 440 5 LDDW
12 Newcastle United 4121 78-1 5 DWDL
13 Manchester United 4112 770 4 LWDL
14 Sunderland 4112 35-2 4 LWDL
15 AFC Bournemouth 4031 67-1 3 LDDD
16 Crystal Palace 4103 611-5 3 LLWL
17 Tottenham Hotspur 4022 05-5 2 LLDD
18 Fulham 4013 47-3 1 LLLD
19 Aston Villa 4013 17-6 1 LLDL
20 Coventry City 4004 010-10 0 LLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • Relegation

Tottenham Hotspur

LWLLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 2 GA 7 · xG 5.66–7.25 · xPts 7.1

  • D A Nottingham Forest 0–0 xG 1.26–0.74 UK PL
  • L H Newcastle United 0–2 xG 1.28–0.94 UK PL
  • L A Brentford 0–3 xG 0.52–4.16 UK PL
  • W H Everton 1–0 xG 1.24–0.51 UK PL
  • L A Chelsea 1–2 xG 1.36–0.9 UK PL

Everton

LLWDD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 5.26–7.39 · xPts 5.56

  • D H Manchester United 2–2 xG 1.07–0.84 UK PL
  • D A AFC Bournemouth 1–1 xG 1.14–2.66 UK PL
  • W H Crystal Palace 2–0 xG 1.45–1.79 UK PL
  • L A Tottenham Hotspur 0–1 xG 0.51–1.24 UK PL
  • L H Sunderland 1–3 xG 1.1–0.85 UK PL

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·

Match result

37.7%Tottenham Hotspur P 48%27.2%Draw P 26%35.1%Everton P 26%

Over / under 2.5

47.0%Over 2.5 P 55%53.0%Under 2.5 P 45%

Both teams to score

52.2%Yes47.8%No

Expected

Tottenham Hotspur goals
1.3 (0–3)
Everton goals
1.25 (0–3)
Corners
10.55 (6–15)
Cards
4.85 (2–8)

Earlier: day before — 37.7% / 27.2% / 35.1%

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

38.5%Tottenham Hotspur25.2%Draw36.3%Everton

Over / under 2.5

55.7%Over 2.544.3%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

57.3%Yes42.7%No

Scored

MarketObservedLog lossBrier
1x2draw1.3030.796
bttsno0.7390.546
ou_2_5under0.6350.442

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 54 matches since 2000

Tottenham Hotspur 2420 draws10 Everton

Goals 92–57 · 2.76 per match · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Tottenham Hotspur 63 draws1 Everton

Goals 22–7 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Tottenham Hotspur 31 draws1 Everton

Goals 10–3 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Tottenham Hotspur 0–0 Everton UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Tottenham Hotspur 1–0 Everton UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Everton 0–3 Tottenham Hotspur UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Everton 3–2 Tottenham Hotspur UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Tottenham Hotspur 4–0 Everton UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Everton 2–2 Tottenham Hotspur UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Tottenham Hotspur 2–1 Everton UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Everton 1–1 Tottenham Hotspur UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Tottenham Hotspur 2–0 Everton UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Tottenham Hotspur 5–0 Everton UK PL · Regular Season
MetricTottenham Hotspur all · 4Tottenham Hotspur at home · 2Everton all · 4Everton away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Tottenham Hotspur · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.51

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.034
Early press (0-15, level)+0.514
Late push (76+, level)-0.242

Game state

When level+0.144
When behind-0.402
10 min after conceding-0.492

Situations

At home-0.092
Away+0.182
4+ days rest+0.034

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.223
Evenly matched-0.012

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.034
Conceded late (76+)-0.043

Behind vs level -0.54

Everton · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.20) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.204
Early press (0-15, level)-0.564
Late push (76+, level)+0.053
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.662

Game state

When level-0.144
When behind-0.302
10 min after conceding-0.152
10 min after scoring-0.173

Situations

At home-0.182
Away-0.222
4+ days rest-0.204

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.262
v mid-tier opponents-0.142
As underdog-0.183

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.014
Conceded late (76+)-0.084

Ahead vs level -0.15 · Behind vs level -0.16

Tottenham Hotspur

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%0.50.01.250.941.79

Everton

Current: unbeaten 4 · winless 3 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-13 75%1.671.671.01.221.77
4-1-4-11 25%1.00.00.01.310.7

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.4 pts at 10.5h

2.05Home 48% · +0.3 ptsopened 2.043.71Draw 26% · +0.2 ptsopened 3.693.77Away 26% · -0.5 ptsopened 3.65
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%45%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.05 · +0.33.71 · +0.23.77 · -0.510m
bet3651.95 · +0.73.7 ▼ -1.83.6 ▲ +1.110m
Betfair1.95 · +0.63.5 · -0.33.6 · -0.310m
BetVictor2.0 · +0.73.6 ▼ -1.13.6 · +0.410m
Coral2.0 · +0.43.6 · -0.63.6 · +0.210m
Ladbrokes2.0 · +0.13.6 · -0.83.5 · +0.710m
Unibet2.02 · +0.43.5 · -0.43.7 · -0.010m
WilliamHill1.95 · +0.63.4 · -0.33.5 · -0.310m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.95Home 48% P 48%3.7Draw 25% P 26%3.6Away 26% P 26%

Double Chance

1.28Tottenham or Draw 37%1.25Tottenham or Everton 37%1.8Draw or Everton 26%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 34%3.612 - 14 25%6.5Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50% P 45%1.83Under 50% P 55%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 25–27.5% · 375 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home48%48%47%-1.0
Draw26%26%27%+1.9
Away26%26%25%-0.9

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 57%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%54%54%+0.8

Darren England

Career
247 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
3.94 (3.83 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
22.8 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Premier League (5-year window · 86 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.444.26+0.4165
Fouls / match21.921.6+0.39
Fouls per card5.05.1-0.58 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.220.25-0.5035
Time added8.58.4+0.2654
First card
40' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 40% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.09

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-09-04 40 190 10'7
2026-08-22 30 190 34'8
2026-05-24 50 180 78'13
2026-05-16 40 280 29'8
2026-05-03 40 230 49'9
2026-04-24 70 280 51'10
2026-04-20 30 250 21'8
2026-03-21 100 220 25'16
2026-03-08 50 290 25'9
2026-03-04 40 160 45'12