KickoffDNA
0 live
Sign in
Premier League · Matchweek 4

Momentum

LiverpoolFulham
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
4

Venue

Stadium
Anfield, Liverpool
Capacity
61,276
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Andoni Iraola · Arbeloa
Position
7 · 19
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Thomas Bramall

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
20.3° (feels 20.5°)
Wind
8.2
Humidity
82%

Where to watch · 97

  • Albania Super Sport 4 HD
  • Algeria beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Anguilla Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Antigua and Barbuda Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Argentina Disney+ Premium
  • Armenia Fast Sports · FAST TV
  • Australia Stan Sport
  • Austria Sky Go · Sky Sports Premier League
  • Bahamas Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Bahrain beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Barbados Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Bolivia Disney+ Premium
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina Arena Cloud · Arena Sport 5 · Moja TV
  • Brazil Disney+ Premium
  • British Virgin Islands Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Bulgaria Diema Sport 2 · DIEMA SPORT 2 HD · Play Diema Xtra
  • Cambodia MONOMAX
  • Canada DAZN · fuboTV
  • Cayman Islands Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Chile Disney+ Premium
  • Colombia Disney+ Premium Sur
  • Croatia Arena Sport 3 · MAX To Go
  • Cuba Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Cyprus Cablenet TV Go · Cytavision on the Go · Cytavision Sports 3HD · Cytavision Sports 4K
  • Czech Republic Oneplay · Skylink
  • Denmark Viaplay · Viaplay Denmark
  • Dominican Republic Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Ecuador Disney+ Premium Sur
  • Egypt beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Estonia Go3 Extra Sports Estonia
  • Finland Viaplay
  • Greece NovaSports Premier League
  • Grenada Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Guadeloupe Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Haiti Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • India JioHotstar
  • Indonesia Vidio · Vidio TV
  • Iran beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Iraq beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Israel Sport 2
  • Jamaica Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Japan U-NEXT
  • Jordan beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Kuwait beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Laos MONOMAX
  • Latvia Go3 Extra Sports Estonia
  • Lebanon beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Lithuania Go3 Extra Sports Estonia
  • Malaysia Astro Go
  • Malta TSN7 Malta
  • Morocco beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Netherlands Viaplay · Viaplay Netherlands
  • Norway Viaplay
  • Oman beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Palestine beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Paraguay Disney+ Premium
  • Peru Disney+ Premium
  • Poland Canal+ · Canal+ Extra 1
  • Portugal DAZN · DAZN Portugal
  • Puerto Rico Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Qatar beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Romania Voyo
  • Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Disney+ Caribbean
  • Saudi Arabia beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Singapore StarHub TV+
  • Slovakia Skylink
  • South Korea Coupang Play
  • Spain DAZN
  • Sweden Viaplay · Viaplay Sweden
  • Thailand MONOMAX
  • Trinidad and Tobago Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Tunisia beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Turkey beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • United Arab Emirates beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Uruguay Disney+ Premium
  • US Virgin Islands Disney+ Caribbean
  • Venezuela Disney+ Premium Sur
  • Vietnam FPT Play
  • Yemen beIN SPORTS CONNECT

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 4400 817 12 WWWW
2 Manchester City 4400 826 12 WWWW
3 Brentford 5230 1046 9 WDDDW
4 Leeds United 4220 734 8 WDDW
5 Hull City 4220 523 8 WWDD
6 Brighton & Hove Albion 4211 1358 7 WLDW
7 Chelsea 5212 1012-2 7 WWLDL
8 Liverpool 4130 642 6 DDWD
9 Everton 4130 532 6 WDDD
10 Ipswich Town 4202 710-3 6 WLLW
11 Nottingham Forest 4121 440 5 LDDW
12 Newcastle United 4121 78-1 5 DWDL
13 Manchester United 4112 770 4 LWDL
14 Sunderland 4112 35-2 4 LWDL
15 AFC Bournemouth 4031 67-1 3 LDDD
16 Crystal Palace 4103 611-5 3 LLWL
17 Tottenham Hotspur 4022 05-5 2 LLDD
18 Fulham 4013 47-3 1 LLLD
19 Aston Villa 4013 17-6 1 LLDL
20 Coventry City 4004 010-10 0 LLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • Relegation

Liverpool

DDDWW 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 6 · xG 10.49–6.7 · xPts 8.88

  • W H Atlético de Madrid 2–1 xG 1.46–0.6 UEFA CL
  • W A Ipswich Town 2–0 xG 0.71–1.03 UK PL
  • D H Nottingham Forest 2–2 xG 1.87–2.41 UK PL
  • D A Newcastle United 2–2 xG 3.64–1.27 UK PL
  • D H Brentford 1–1 xG 2.81–1.38 UK PL

Fulham

DWLLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 9.53–5.55 · xPts 8.95

  • L H Crystal Palace 2–3 xG 3.89–1.04 UK PL
  • L A Sunderland 0–1 xG 0.7–1.14 UK PL
  • L H Chelsea 2–3 xG 1.51–1.92 UK PL
  • W H Newcastle United 2–0 xG 1.73–0.39 UK PL
  • D A Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–1 xG 1.7–1.05 UK PL

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·

Match result

58.5%Liverpool P 63%21.6%Draw P 21%20.0%Fulham P 16%

Over / under 2.5

60.5%Over 2.5 P 63%39.5%Under 2.5 P 37%

Both teams to score

58.2%Yes41.8%No

Expected

Liverpool goals
2.03 (0–4)
Fulham goals
1.1 (0–3)
Corners
9.82 (6–14)
Cards
4.45 (2–8)

Earlier: day before — 58.5% / 21.6% / 20.0%

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

59.3%Liverpool22.2%Draw18.4%Fulham

Over / under 2.5

53.9%Over 2.546.1%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

52.4%Yes47.6%No

Scored

MarketObservedLog lossBrier
1x2draw1.5330.997
bttsno0.8730.678
ou_2_5under0.930.733

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 39 matches since 2001

Liverpool 229 draws8 Fulham

Goals 73–37 · 2.82 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 49%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Liverpool 44 draws2 Fulham

Goals 18–14 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Liverpool 13 draws1 Fulham

Goals 8–7 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Liverpool 0–0 Fulham UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Liverpool 2–0 Fulham UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Fulham 2–2 Liverpool UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Fulham 3–2 Liverpool UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Liverpool 2–2 Fulham UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Fulham 1–3 Liverpool UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Liverpool 4–3 Fulham UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Liverpool 1–0 Fulham UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Fulham 2–2 Liverpool UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Liverpool 0–1 Fulham UK PL · Regular Season
MetricLiverpool all · 4Liverpool at home · 2Fulham all · 4Fulham away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Liverpool · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: when behind +0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.115
Early press (0-15, level)-0.325
Late push (76+, level)+0.113
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.202

Game state

When ahead-0.172
When level-0.075
When behind+0.573
10 min after conceding+0.453
10 min after scoring+0.474

Situations

At home-0.043
Away+0.342
4+ days rest+0.174

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.043
As favourite+0.115

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.215
Conceded when ahead-0.072
Conceded late (76+)-0.405

Congested vs rested -0.30 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level +0.64

Fulham · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.30

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.034
Early press (0-15, level)-0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.382
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.303

Game state

When level+0.114
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding+0.043
10 min after scoring+1.202

Situations

At home+0.322
Away-0.272
4+ days rest+0.034

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.072
v mid-tier opponents+0.142
As underdog-0.072

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.014
Conceded late (76+)-0.134

Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level -0.34

Liverpool

Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%1.51.51.01.91.39

Fulham

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%0.251.01.751.731.37

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -2.2 pts at 9.0h

1.54Home 63% ▼ -3.6 ptsopened 1.444.6Draw 21% ▲ +2.8 ptsopened 5.236.2Away 16% · +0.8 ptsopened 6.46
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%60%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.54 ▼ -3.64.6 ▲ +2.86.2 · +0.810m
bet3651.5 ▼ -4.04.5 ▲ +1.95.25 ▲ +2.110m
Betfair1.5 ▼ -2.84.6 ▲ +1.26.0 ▲ +1.610m
BetVictor1.5 ▼ -3.34.6 ▲ +1.25.75 ▲ +2.110m
Coral1.5 · -0.94.8 · +0.55.5 · +0.410m
Ladbrokes1.5 · -0.94.8 · +0.55.5 · +0.410m
Unibet1.46 ▼ -1.04.9 · +0.36.1 · +0.710m
WilliamHill1.5 ▼ -2.54.5 ▲ +1.15.5 ▲ +1.410m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.5Home 62% P 63%4.5Draw 21% P 21%5.25Away 18% P 16%

Double Chance

1.14Liverpool or Draw 41%1.18Liverpool or Fulham 40%2.5Draw or Fulham 19%

Draw No Bet

1.21 78%4.332 22%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 66% P 63%2.75Under 34% P 37%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 34%3.612 - 14 25%6.5Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54% P 50%2.0Under 46% P 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 62.5–65% · away 15–17.5% · 338 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home63%63%64%+0.7
Draw21%21%19%-2.0
Away16%16%17%+1.3

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 62%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.563%64%63%-0.4

Thomas Bramall

Career
131 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
3.73 (3.6 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
21.7 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Premier League (5-year window · 53 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.364.26+0.2654
Fouls / match22.421.6+0.68
Fouls per card5.35.1+0.07 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.320.25+0.7177
Time added8.58.4+0.2654
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.19

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-09-05 50 281 14'14
2026-08-21 20 230 27'7
2026-05-10 20 180 30'6
2026-05-01 70 240 27'9
2026-04-18 60 230 52'11
2026-04-11 30 180 30'10
2026-03-15 51 231 26'10
2026-03-07 60 220 60'8
2026-03-03 · Liverpool 30 230 22'9
2026-03-01 · Fulham 60 250 61'10