Rating 6.92 (71th pct) · G+A 17 + 2 (30% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 1.44 ppg with (34) · 1.11 without (9)
Premier League · Matchweek 4
Momentum
– Leeds UnitedNEW –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Leeds United | at home | Stat | league | away | Newcastle United |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.8 #15 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 47.0 #11 |
| 12.0 #14 | – | Shots total | 13.5 | – | 9.8 #18 |
| 4.0 #11 | – | Shots on target | 4.4 | – | 3.2 #17 |
| 4.5 #9 | – | Corners | 4.5 | – | 4.5 #9 |
| 10.8 #13 | – | Fouls | 11.7 | – | 14.2 #3 |
| 2.2 #5 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 1.8 #11 |
| 18.2 #4 | – | Tackles | 15.4 | – | 13.8 #16 |
| 91.0 #13 | – | Attacks | 96.3 | – | 78.8 #18 |
| 35.2 #17 | – | Dangerous attacks | 47.7 | – | 38.5 #14 |
| 344.0 #18 | – | Passes | 441.4 | – | 386.5 #14 |
| 1.2 #16 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.8 #3 |
| 1.0 #8 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | 1.5 #4 |
| – #3 | – | Btts | 52.5 | – | – #3 |
| – #8 | – | Cleansheet | 28.8 | – | – #8 |
| – #5 | – | Draw | 35.0 | – | – #5 |
| 1.5 #12 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 0.9 #17 |
| 0.3 #7 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.8 #2 |
| – #13 | – | Failed to score | 28.8 | – | – #13 |
| 1.8 #5 | 2.5 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.8 #5 |
| 0.8 #16 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2.0 #5 |
| 0.2 #5 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #5 |
| 10.8 #3 | – | Interceptions | 8.4 | – | 4.5 #20 |
| – #14 | – | Lost | 32.5 | – | – #9 |
| 6.9 #6 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #17 |
| 4.5 #6 | – | Shots blocked | 3.9 | – | 2.0 #16 |
| 8.0 #12 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.7 | – | 5.5 #18 |
| 3.5 #20 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 4.5 #13 |
| 4.0 #15 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.8 | – | 4.2 #14 |
| – #3 | – | Win | 32.5 | – | – #8 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 39 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.79 (home 1.41 · away 1.38)
- Home / draw / away
- 31% · 36% · 33%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 51% · 51%
- Cards / match
- 4.03 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Leeds United · Last 365 days
Rating 7.24 (95th pct) · G+A 6 + 3 (14% of team goals) · 64% of minutes
Team 1.21 ppg with (29) · 1.71 without (14)
Rating 6.98 (70th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (3% of team goals) · 96% of minutes
Newcastle United · Last 365 days
Rating 6.91 (53th pct) · G+A 17 + 5 (24% of team goals) · 66% of minutes
Team 1.53 ppg with (32) · 1.19 without (21)
Rating 6.89 (66th pct) · G+A 5 + 0 (5% of team goals) · 95% of minutes
Rating 6.75 (31th pct) · G+A 2 + 5 (8% of team goals) · 61% of minutes
Team 1.36 ppg with (33) · 1.45 without (20)
Absences
Newcastle United
- injury Dan Burn #3 key player defender · Ankle Injury · 5 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 4
Venue
- Stadium
- Elland Road, Leeds
- Capacity
- 40,242
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 36,693
Teams
- Coaches
- Daniel Farke · Matthias Jaissle
- Position
- 3 · 12
- Formation
- 3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Michael Salisbury
Weather
- Conditions
- few clouds
- Temperature
- 20.5° (feels 20.5°)
- Wind
- 4.6
- Humidity
- 75%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Leeds United |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 | WDDW |
| 4 |  Hull City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 5 |  Brighton & Hove Albion |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 7 | WLDW |
| 6 |  Chelsea |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 | WWLD |
| 7 |  Brentford |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WDDD |
| 8 |  Liverpool |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | DDWD |
| 9 |  Everton |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | WDDD |
| 10 |  Ipswich Town |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 |  Nottingham Forest |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | LDDW |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | DWDL |
| 13 |  Manchester United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | LWDL |
| 14 |  Sunderland |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | LWDL |
| 15 |  AFC Bournemouth |
4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | LDDD |
| 16 |  Crystal Palace |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 | LLWL |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 | LLDD |
| 18 |  Fulham |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | LLLD |
| 19 |  Aston Villa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 | LLDL |
| 20 |  Coventry City |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | WLDW |
| 4 | Leeds United |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | WDDW |
| 5 | Brentford |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | WDDD |
| 6 | Everton |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDDD |
| 7 | Hull City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | WWDD |
| 8 | Chelsea |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | WWLD |
| 9 | Manchester United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | LWDL |
| 10 | Ipswich Town |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Sunderland |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LWDL |
| 12 | Newcastle United |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DWDL |
| 13 | AFC Bournemouth |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | LDDD |
| 14 | Liverpool |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | DDWD |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LDDW |
| 16 | Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | LLDD |
| 17 | Fulham |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Aston Villa |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Crystal Palace |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LLWL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WWWW |
| 2 | Arsenal |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Liverpool |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | DDWD |
| 4 | Nottingham Forest |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | LDDW |
| 5 | Hull City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWDD |
| 6 | Leeds United |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | WDDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | WLDW |
| 8 | Chelsea |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | WWLD |
| 9 | Crystal Palace |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | LLWL |
| 10 | Newcastle United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | DWDL |
| 11 | Ipswich Town |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | WLLW |
| 12 | Brentford |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | WDDD |
| 13 | Everton |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | WDDD |
| 14 | AFC Bournemouth |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | LDDD |
| 15 | Sunderland |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LWDL |
| 16 | Fulham |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LLLD |
| 17 | Manchester United |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | LWDL |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | LLDD |
| 19 | Aston Villa |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- Relegation
Leeds United
WLWDD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 5 · xG 6.06–10.72 · xPts 4.39
- D
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
1–1
xG 2.02–2.36
UK PL
- D
H
Brentford
1–1
xG 1.12–1.84
UK PL
- W
A
Nottingham Forest
1–0
xG 0.75–0.88
UK PL
- L
A
West Ham United
0–3
xG 1.77–2.84
UK PL - W
H
Brighton & Hove Albion
1–0
xG 0.4–2.8
UK PL
WLWDD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 5 · xG 6.06–10.72 · xPts 4.39
- D
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
1–1
xG 2.02–2.36
UK PL
- D
H
Brentford
1–1
xG 1.12–1.84
UK PL
- W
A
Nottingham Forest
1–0
xG 0.75–0.88
UK PL
- L
A
West Ham United
0–3
xG 1.77–2.84
UK PL
- W
H
Brighton & Hove Albion
1–0
xG 0.4–2.8
UK PL
Newcastle United
WLDWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 4.94–9.44 · xPts 4.32
- D
H
AFC Bournemouth
2–2
xG 0.76–1.36
UK PL
- W
A
Tottenham Hotspur
2–0
xG 0.94–1.28
UK PL
- D
H
Liverpool
2–2
xG 1.27–3.64
UK PL
- L
A
Fulham
0–2
xG 0.39–1.73
UK PL
- W
H
West Ham United
3–1
xG 1.59–1.42
UK PL
WLDWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 4.94–9.44 · xPts 4.32
- D
H
AFC Bournemouth
2–2
xG 0.76–1.36
UK PL
- W
A
Tottenham Hotspur
2–0
xG 0.94–1.28
UK PL
- D
H
Liverpool
2–2
xG 1.27–3.64
UK PL
- L
A
Fulham
0–2
xG 0.39–1.73
UK PL
- W
H
West Ham United
3–1
xG 1.59–1.42
UK PL
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
41.4%Leeds United P 41%25.0%Draw P 28%33.5%Newcastle United P 31%
Over / under 2.5
55.9%Over 2.5 P 56%44.1%Under 2.5 P 44%
Both teams to score
59.0%Yes41.0%No
Expected
- Leeds United goals
- 1.55 (0–3)
- Newcastle United goals
- 1.37 (0–3)
- Corners
- 10.31 (6–15)
- Cards
- 4.23 (2–7)
Earlier: day before — 41.4% / 25.0% / 33.5%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
37.4%Leeds United24.8%Draw37.8%Newcastle United
Over / under 2.5
54.6%Over 2.545.4%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
57.9%Yes42.1%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | home | 0.881 | 0.518 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.581 | 0.389 |
| btts | yes | 0.527 | 0.336 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 19 matches since 2000
Goals 28–33 · 3.21 per match · BTTS 63% · over 2.5 58%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 18–13 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 9–7 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- W Leeds United 4–1 Newcastle United UK PL · Regular Season
- L Newcastle United 4–3 Leeds United UK PL · Regular Season
- D Leeds United 0–0 Newcastle United UK PL · Regular Season
- D Leeds United 2–2 Newcastle United UK PL · Regular Season
- D Newcastle United 0–0 Leeds United UK PL · Regular Season
- L Leeds United 0–1 Newcastle United UK PL · Regular Season
- D Newcastle United 1–1 Leeds United UK PL · Regular Season
- W Newcastle United 1–2 Leeds United neutral UK PL · Regular Season
- W Leeds United 5–2 Newcastle United UK PL · Regular Season
- D Newcastle United 1–1 Leeds United neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Leeds United all · 4 | Leeds United at home · 2 | Newcastle United all · 4 | Newcastle United away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Leeds United · 4 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.73
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.184
Early press (0-15, level)-0.104
Late push (76+, level)-0.473
Game state
When ahead+0.173
When level-0.264
10 min after conceding-0.642
10 min after scoring+0.734
Situations
At home-0.092
Away-0.242
4+ days rest-0.184
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.313
Evenly matched-0.143
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.174
Conceded when ahead+0.023
Conceded late (76+)+0.113
Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level -0.14
Newcastle United · 4 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.19) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.28
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.194
Early press (0-15, level)+0.074
Late push (76+, level)-0.142
Game state
When ahead-0.342
When level-0.014
When behind-0.222
10 min after conceding-0.283
10 min after scoring-0.063
Situations
At home-0.372
Away+0.062
4+ days rest-0.194
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.372
Evenly matched+0.062
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.244
Conceded when ahead+0.442
Conceded late (76+)-0.133
Ahead vs level -0.33 · Behind vs level -0.21
Leeds United
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 50% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.93 | 1.36 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 50% | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.99 | 1.57 |
Newcastle United
Current: winless 2 · scoring 4 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 100% | 1.25 | 1.75 | 2.0 | 0.93 | 2.06 |
| Metric | Leeds United all · 10 | Leeds United at home · 10 | Newcastle United all · 10 | Newcastle United away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 4 / 2 | 6 / 2 / 2 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 3 / 1 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 1.40 | 1.80 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 1.10 | 0.60 | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% | 10% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 50% | 60% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.35 | 1.71 | 1.20 | 1.28 |
| xG against / match | 1.65 | 1.30 | 1.85 | 1.83 |
| xG difference | -0.30 | 0.41 | -0.65 | -0.55 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.05 | 0.09 | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| xPts / match | 1.24 | 1.65 | 1.01 | 0.99 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.36 | 0.35 | 0.19 | 0.01 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 60% | 50% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.60 | 3.00 | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.60 | 0.33 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 60% | 33% | 20% | 0% |
| Leads held | 80% | 100% | 60% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 22% | 37% | 31% | 26% |
| Minutes level | 60% | 51% | 33% | 35% |
| Minutes trailing | 18% | 11% | 37% | 38% |
| First goal (min) | 57 | 41 | 45 | 41 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 59 | 67 | 42 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 64% | 44% | 60% | 33% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 82% | 67% | 50% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 50% | 49% | 49% |
| Shots | 11.7 | 14.4 | 11.5 | 11.1 |
| On target | 3.8 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 5.2 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 12% | 13% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 65% | 62% | 62% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 37% | 32% | 27% | 34% |
| Goals from headers | 8% | 6% | 13% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 9.8 | 13.5 | 9.3 | 10.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 42.2 | 53.9 | 45.6 | 46.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 75% | 79% | 81% | 83% |
| Fouls | 10.7 | 10.0 | 11.3 | 10.7 |
| Cards | 1.80 | 1.40 | 2.10 | 2.20 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Leeds United
0–15'20
16–30'01
31–45'31
46–60'32
61–75'23
76–90'44
Newcastle United
0–15'32
16–30'21
31–45'15
46–60'12
61–75'52
76–90'34
Leeds United
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 6 60% | 1.83 | 1.67 | 1.17 | 1.6 | 1.85 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 1.25 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.97 | 1.34 |
Newcastle United
Current: winless 2 · scoring 4 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 70% | 1.71 | 2.0 | 1.57 | 1.27 | 1.81 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.39 | 1.73 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.91 | 3.25 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.82 | 0.83 |
| Metric | Leeds United all · 43 | Leeds United at home · 20 | Newcastle United all · 53 | Newcastle United away · 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 43 | 20 | 53 | 26 |
| Points per game | 1.37 | 1.75 | 1.40 | 1.12 |
| W / D / L | 14 / 17 / 12 | 10 / 5 / 5 | 21 / 11 / 21 | 8 / 5 / 13 |
| Goals for / match | 1.49 | 1.80 | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 1.35 | 1.15 | 1.60 | 1.65 |
| Clean sheets | 19% | 25% | 19% | 19% |
| Failed to score | 23% | 20% | 13% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 60% | 72% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 65% | 72% | 62% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.73 | 1.80 | 1.67 | 1.41 |
| xG against / match | 1.66 | 1.31 | 1.63 | 1.59 |
| xG difference | 0.07 | 0.49 | 0.04 | -0.18 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| xPts / match | 1.46 | 1.70 | 1.39 | 1.24 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.08 | 0.05 | 0.00 | -0.12 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 49% | 60% | 64% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 2.58 | 1.85 | 1.69 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.74 | 0.43 | 0.53 | 0.45 |
| Came back from behind | 46% | 38% | 22% | 19% |
| Leads held | 58% | 77% | 57% | 53% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 35% | 33% | 28% |
| Minutes level | 53% | 50% | 42% | 39% |
| Minutes trailing | 19% | 15% | 25% | 33% |
| First goal (min) | 42 | 40 | 36 | 35 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 51 | 58 | 45 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 47% | 49% | 41% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 71% | 74% | 62% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.28 | 0.35 | 0.42 | 0.23 |
| Late goals against | 0.44 | 0.35 | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 48% | 51% | 51% |
| Shots | 13.2 | 14.2 | 13.1 | 12.0 |
| On target | 4.4 | 4.7 | 5.1 | 4.6 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 13% | 13% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 68% | 68% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 2.6 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 5.6 | 5.7 | 5.1 |
| xG from set plays | 42% | 39% | 43% | 39% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 15% | 16% | 13% |
| Pressure index | 12.3 | 13.1 | 15.0 | 13.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 46.2 | 50.3 | 52.9 | 49.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 79% | 82% | 83% |
| Fouls | 10.7 | 10.3 | 10.2 | 9.3 |
| Cards | 1.77 | 1.65 | 1.91 | 2.08 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Leeds United
0–15'84
16–30'78
31–45'165
46–60'119
61–75'1013
76–90'1219
Newcastle United
0–15'177
16–30'137
31–45'1718
46–60'816
61–75'1613
76–90'2123
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Leeds United · 43 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.93
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0343
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2543
Late push (76+, level)-0.3220
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.2613
Game state
When ahead-0.0124
When level+0.0343
When behind+0.0921
10 min after conceding-0.2933
10 min after scoring+0.4633
Situations
With ten men+0.242
At home-0.0420
Away+0.0923
3 days rest or fewer-0.124
4+ days rest+0.0539
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1128
v mid-tier opponents+0.1510
v bottom-tier opponents+0.933
As favourite+0.369
Evenly matched+0.0715
As underdog-0.1419
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1843
Conceded when ahead+0.2524
Conceded late (76+)+0.0740
Congested vs rested -0.17 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.05
Newcastle United · 53 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: v mid-tier opponents +0.50
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1453
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2753
Late push (76+, level)-0.0322
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1522
Game state
When ahead+0.1036
When level+0.2253
When behind+0.0827
10 min after conceding-0.1340
10 min after scoring+0.3845
Situations
With ten men+0.482
Against ten men+0.702
At home+0.1527
Away+0.1426
3 days rest or fewer+0.2416
4+ days rest+0.1037
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.0037
v mid-tier opponents+0.509
v bottom-tier opponents+1.022
As favourite+0.3225
Evenly matched+0.0720
As underdog-0.228
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0153
Conceded when ahead+0.0136
Conceded late (76+)-0.1547
Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level -0.14
Leeds United
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 14 33% | 1.79 | 1.71 | 1.07 | 1.73 | 1.51 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 11 26% | 1.55 | 1.45 | 1.27 | 2.01 | 1.91 |
| 4-3-3 | 8 19% | 0.87 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.68 | 1.53 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 7% | 1.67 | 1.0 | 0.33 | 1.5 | 0.67 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 7% | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.38 | 2.5 |
Newcastle United
Current: winless 2 · scoring 4 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 33 62% | 1.42 | 1.76 | 1.64 | 1.81 | 1.51 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 26% | 1.57 | 2.21 | 1.71 | 1.62 | 1.9 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 6% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.0 | 0.99 | 1.82 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.82 | 0.83 |
| 4-5-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.87 | 1.94 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.6 pts at 3.3d
2.36Home 41% ▲ +1.4 ptsopened 2.433.52Draw 28% · +0.3 ptsopened 3.533.13Away 31% ▼ -1.7 ptsopened 2.95
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.36 ▲ +1.4 | 3.52 · +0.3 | 3.13 ▼ -1.7 | 10m |
| bet365 | 2.35 · +0.6 | 3.5 · -0.1 | 2.9 · -0.5 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.3 ▲ +1.9 | 3.4 · +0.1 | 3.0 ▼ -2.1 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 2.3 · +0.9 | 3.5 · +0.6 | 3.0 ▼ -1.5 | 10m |
| Coral | 2.25 ▲ +3.3 | 3.5 · -0.8 | 3.0 ▼ -2.5 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 2.25 ▲ +3.3 | 3.5 · -0.8 | 3.0 ▼ -2.5 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.35 · +0.5 | 3.45 · +0.0 | 3.0 · -0.5 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 2.3 ▲ +1.5 | 3.3 · -0.2 | 2.9 ▼ -1.3 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +1.2 pts at 3.0h
1.57Yes 59% ▲ +1.2 ptsopened 1.612.25No 41% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 2.2
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.57 ▲ +1.2 | 2.25 ▼ -1.2 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.53 ▲ +1.9 | 2.38 ▼ -1.9 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.5 ▲ +2.4 | 2.38 ▼ -2.4 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.62 · +0.3 | 2.18 · -0.3 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.57 ▲ +2.3 | 2.3 ▼ -2.3 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over +2.0 pts at 3.0h
1.74Over 56% ▲ +2.6 ptsopened 1.812.21Under 44% ▼ -2.6 ptsopened 2.07
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.74 ▲ +2.6 | 2.21 ▼ -2.6 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.72 · +0.0 | 2.1 · +0.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.75 · +0.9 | 2.1 · -0.9 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.66 ▲ +1.9 | 2.05 ▼ -1.9 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.81 · +0.4 | 1.98 · -0.4 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.35Home 40% P 41%3.5Draw 27% P 28%2.9Away 33% P 31%
Double Chance
1.36Leeds or Draw 34%1.28Leeds or Newcastle 37%1.61Draw or Newcastle 29%
Draw No Bet
1.661 56%2.12 44%
Both Teams To Score
1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.72Over 55% P 56%2.1Under 45% P 44%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%
Number of Cards
3.51.66Over 56% P 56%2.1Under 44% P 44%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 41% | 41% | 41% | -0.1 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 26% | -1.9 |
| Away | 31% | 31% | 33% | +2.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 56% | 56% | -0.2 |
Michael Salisbury
- Career
- 139 matches · 12 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.52 (3.35 yellow · 0.14 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.6 · 5.9 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.26
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 62 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.16 | 4.26 | -0.11 | 46 |
| Fouls / match | 22.7 | 21.6 | +0.83 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.5 | 5.1 | +0.27 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.37 | 0.25 | +1.31 | 92 |
| Time added | 8.9 | 8.4 | +0.60 | 81 |
- First card
- 37' on average
- Card timing
- 14% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.26
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | 8 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 16' | 8 |
| 2026-08-30 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 35' | 5 |
| 2026-05-17 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 78' | 9 |
| 2026-05-09 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 36' | 7 |
| 2026-04-22 · Leeds United | 3 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 25' | 8 |
| 2026-04-12 | 4 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 11' | 7 |
| 2026-04-03 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 18' | 10 |
| 2026-03-21 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 16' | 5 |
| 2026-02-01 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 31' | 7 |
| 2026-01-24 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 45' | 7 |