Rating 7.01 (86th pct) · G+A 16 + 1 (23% of team goals) · 61% of minutes
Team 1.42 ppg with (33) · 1.27 without (22)
Premier League · Matchweek 4
Momentum
– CRYIpswich Town –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Crystal Palace | at home | Stat | league | away | Ipswich Town |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.0 #17 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 44.2 #13 |
| 10.2 #16 | – | Shots total | 13.5 | – | 11.2 #15 |
| 3.5 #15 | – | Shots on target | 4.4 | – | 4.8 #9 |
| 2.2 #20 | – | Corners | 4.5 | – | 3.5 #16 |
| 9.0 #18 | – | Fouls | 11.7 | – | 11.5 #10 |
| 2.2 #5 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 2.0 #8 |
| 23.8 #1 | – | Tackles | 15.4 | – | 15.5 #10 |
| 90.0 #14 | – | Attacks | 96.3 | – | 89.8 #15 |
| 35.2 #17 | – | Dangerous attacks | 47.7 | – | 37.5 #16 |
| 409.5 #9 | – | Passes | 441.4 | – | 395.5 #12 |
| 0.8 #20 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.8 #11 |
| 0.2 #1 | – | Redcards | 0.2 | – | – |
| 1.0 #8 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | 1.5 #4 |
| – #3 | – | Btts | 52.5 | – | – #3 |
| – #15 | – | Cleansheet | 28.8 | – | – #15 |
| – #16 | – | Draw | 35.0 | – | – #16 |
| 1.1 #15 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.3 #13 |
| 0.4 #5 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.5 #4 |
| – #7 | – | Failed to score | 28.8 | – | – #7 |
| 1.5 #10 | 1.5 | Goals | 1.4 | 2.5 | 1.8 #5 |
| 2.8 #1 | 3.5 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 3.5 | 2.5 #2 |
| – | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #5 |
| 10.8 #3 | – | Interceptions | 8.4 | – | 9.5 #6 |
| – #2 | – | Lost | 32.5 | – | – #5 |
| 6.7 #17 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #15 |
| 1.8 #18 | – | Shots blocked | 3.9 | – | 1.8 #18 |
| 7.5 #14 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.7 | – | 6.5 #17 |
| 5.0 #6 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 4.8 #9 |
| 2.8 #20 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.8 | – | 4.8 #8 |
| – #8 | – | Win | 32.5 | – | – #3 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 39 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.79 (home 1.41 · away 1.38)
- Home / draw / away
- 31% · 36% · 33%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 51% · 51%
- Cards / match
- 4.03 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Crystal Palace · Last 365 days
Rating 6.9 (52th pct) · G+A 5 + 5 (14% of team goals) · 89% of minutes
Team 1.4 ppg with (48) · 1.14 without (7)
Rating 6.99 (73th pct) · G+A 1 + 7 (11% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Team 1.44 ppg with (43) · 1.08 without (12)
Ipswich Town · Last 365 days
Rating 7.02 (87th pct) · G+A 4 + 5 (11% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 1.85 ppg with (34) · 1.85 without (13)
Rating 6.99 (78th pct) · G+A 15 + 1 (20% of team goals) · 55% of minutes
Team 1.77 ppg with (22) · 1.92 without (25)
Rating 7.0 (86th pct) · G+A 3 + 2 (6% of team goals) · 64% of minutes
Team 1.81 ppg with (31) · 1.94 without (16)
Absences
Crystal Palace
- injury Ismaïla Sarr #1 key player attacker · Groin Injury · 4 missed
Ipswich Town
- injury Azor Matusiwa #5 key player midfielder · Knee Surgery · 10 missed
- injury Kasey McAteer #15 key player midfielder · Unknown Injury · 10 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 4
Venue
- Stadium
- Selhurst Park, London
- Capacity
- 25,456
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 25,122
Teams
- Coaches
- Pierre Sage · Gary O'Neil
- Position
- 16 · 10
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Chris Kavanagh
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 22.7° (feels 22.8°)
- Wind
- 5.7
- Humidity
- 66%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Leeds United |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 | WDDW |
| 4 |  Hull City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 5 |  Brighton & Hove Albion |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 7 | WLDW |
| 6 |  Chelsea |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 | WWLD |
| 7 |  Brentford |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WDDD |
| 8 |  Liverpool |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | DDWD |
| 9 |  Everton |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | WDDD |
| 10 |  Ipswich Town |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 |  Nottingham Forest |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | LDDW |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | DWDL |
| 13 |  Manchester United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | LWDL |
| 14 |  Sunderland |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | LWDL |
| 15 |  AFC Bournemouth |
4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | LDDD |
| 16 |  Crystal Palace |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 | LLWL |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 | LLDD |
| 18 |  Fulham |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | LLLD |
| 19 |  Aston Villa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 | LLDL |
| 20 |  Coventry City |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | WLDW |
| 4 | Leeds United |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | WDDW |
| 5 | Brentford |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | WDDD |
| 6 | Everton |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDDD |
| 7 | Hull City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | WWDD |
| 8 | Chelsea |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | WWLD |
| 9 | Manchester United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | LWDL |
| 10 | Ipswich Town |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Sunderland |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LWDL |
| 12 | Newcastle United |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DWDL |
| 13 | AFC Bournemouth |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | LDDD |
| 14 | Liverpool |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | DDWD |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LDDW |
| 16 | Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | LLDD |
| 17 | Fulham |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Aston Villa |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Crystal Palace |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LLWL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WWWW |
| 2 | Arsenal |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Liverpool |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | DDWD |
| 4 | Nottingham Forest |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | LDDW |
| 5 | Hull City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWDD |
| 6 | Leeds United |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | WDDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | WLDW |
| 8 | Chelsea |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | WWLD |
| 9 | Crystal Palace |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | LLWL |
| 10 | Newcastle United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | DWDL |
| 11 | Ipswich Town |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | WLLW |
| 12 | Brentford |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | WDDD |
| 13 | Everton |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | WDDD |
| 14 | AFC Bournemouth |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | LDDD |
| 15 | Sunderland |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LWDL |
| 16 | Fulham |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LLLD |
| 17 | Manchester United |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | LWDL |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | LLDD |
| 19 | Aston Villa |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- Relegation
Crystal Palace
LWLLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 10 · xG 6.25–10.49 · xPts 5.06
- W
A
Fulham
3–2
xG 1.04–3.89
UK PL
- L
H
Manchester City
1–4
xG 0.62–1.99
UK PL
- L
A
Everton
0–2
xG 1.79–1.45
UK PL
- W
H
Rayo Vallecano
1–0
xG 1.87–0.75
UEFA ECL - L
H
Arsenal
1–2
xG 0.93–2.42
UK PL
DLWLLW 2W 1D 3L · 7 pts (1.17 ppg) · GF 8 GA 12 · xG 8.04–12.39 · xPts 6.39
- W
A
Fulham
3–2
xG 1.04–3.89
UK PL
- L
H
Manchester City
1–4
xG 0.62–1.99
UK PL
- L
A
Everton
0–2
xG 1.79–1.45
UK PL
- W
H
Rayo Vallecano
1–0
xG 1.87–0.75
UEFA ECL
- L
H
Arsenal
1–2
xG 0.93–2.42
UK PL
- D
A
Brentford
2–2
xG 1.79–1.9
UK PL
Ipswich Town
WLL 1W 0D 2L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 3.31–5.95 · xPts 3.47
- L
H
Liverpool
0–2
xG 1.03–0.71
UK PL
- L
A
Manchester United
2–5
xG 0.88–4.33
UK PL
- W
H
Sunderland
2–1
xG 1.39–0.91
UK PL
WLL 1W 0D 2L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 3.31–5.95 · xPts 3.47
- L
H
Liverpool
0–2
xG 1.03–0.71
UK PL
- L
A
Manchester United
2–5
xG 0.88–4.33
UK PL
- W
H
Sunderland
2–1
xG 1.39–0.91
UK PL
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
49.0%Crystal Palace P 45%23.4%Draw P 27%27.6%Ipswich Town P 28%
Over / under 2.5
60.4%Over 2.5 P 56%39.6%Under 2.5 P 44%
Both teams to score
61.3%Yes38.7%No
Expected
- Crystal Palace goals
- 1.81 (0–4)
- Ipswich Town goals
- 1.31 (0–3)
- Corners
- 8.35 (5–12)
- Cards
- 4.35 (2–7)
Earlier: day before — 49.0% / 23.4% / 27.6%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
40.6%Crystal Palace26.5%Draw33.0%Ipswich Town
Over / under 2.5
49.6%Over 2.550.4%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
52.4%Yes47.6%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | away | 1.288 | 0.82 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.504 | 0.314 |
| btts | yes | 0.489 | 0.299 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 19 matches since 2005
Goals 29–23 · 2.74 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 53%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 16–12 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 9–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L Crystal Palace 2–3 Ipswich Town UK PL · Regular Season
- W Crystal Palace 1–0 Ipswich Town UK PL · Regular Season
- W Ipswich Town 0–1 Crystal Palace UK PL · Regular Season
- L Ipswich Town 3–0 Crystal Palace UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Crystal Palace 5–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Crystal Palace 1–1 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Ipswich Town 0–1 Crystal Palace UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Ipswich Town 2–1 Crystal Palace UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Crystal Palace 1–2 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Crystal Palace 3–1 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Crystal Palace all · 4 | Crystal Palace at home · 2 | Ipswich Town all · 4 | Ipswich Town away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Crystal Palace · 5 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.21) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.59
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.215
Early press (0-15, level)-0.055
Late push (76+, level)+1.262
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.593
Game state
When ahead-0.023
When level-0.065
When behind-0.404
10 min after conceding-0.434
10 min after scoring+0.124
Situations
At home-0.143
Away-0.292
4+ days rest-0.215
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.333
As favourite+0.032
As underdog-0.402
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.145
Conceded when ahead+0.133
Conceded late (76+)-0.224
Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.34
Ipswich Town · 4 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.494
Late push (76+, level)-0.762
Game state
When ahead+0.003
When level-0.364
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.143
Situations
At home-0.202
Away-0.302
4+ days rest-0.254
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents-0.282
As underdog-0.263
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.034
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)-0.123
Ahead vs level +0.36 · Behind vs level +0.12
Crystal Palace
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 100% | 0.75 | 1.5 | 2.75 | 1.09 | 2.29 |
Ipswich Town
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 100% | 1.5 | 1.75 | 2.5 | 1.29 | 1.72 |
| Metric | Crystal Palace all · 10 | Crystal Palace at home · 10 | Ipswich Town all · 10 | Ipswich Town away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.10 | 1.70 | 1.50 | 1.80 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 5 | 5 / 2 / 3 | 4 / 3 / 3 | 5 / 3 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.60 | 1.80 | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals against / match | 2.00 | 1.30 | 1.70 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 10% | 30% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 80% | 70% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.47 | 1.74 | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| xG against / match | 1.87 | 1.40 | 1.53 | 1.62 |
| xG difference | -0.40 | 0.34 | 0.10 | 0.01 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.13 | 0.06 | -0.03 | 0.17 |
| xPts / match | 1.20 | 1.55 | 1.52 | 1.47 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.10 | 0.15 | -0.02 | 0.33 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 50% | 40% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.75 | 2.40 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.67 | 1.00 | 1.40 | 1.75 |
| Came back from behind | 29% | 40% | 57% | 67% |
| Leads held | 60% | 83% | 67% | 62% |
| Minutes leading | 23% | 27% | 21% | 26% |
| Minutes level | 38% | 46% | 52% | 56% |
| Minutes trailing | 39% | 27% | 27% | 18% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 43 | 28 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 27 | 28 | 28 | 32 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 56% | 56% | 50% | 61% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 45% | 46% | 47% | 53% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 43% | 45% | 51% | 53% |
| Shots | 11.9 | 12.4 | 13.2 | 13.0 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.2 | 5.0 | 4.9 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 12% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 74% | 74% | 64% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 3.1 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 2.8 |
| Corners | 3.5 | 3.6 | 5.0 | 5.1 |
| xG from set plays | 26% | 34% | 22% | 32% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 25% | 12% | 11% |
| Pressure index | 8.6 | 11.3 | 12.6 | 13.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 41.5 | 47.8 | 52.7 | 53.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 82% | 82% | 80% |
| Fouls | 8.9 | 10.9 | 11.5 | 13.2 |
| Cards | 1.20 | 0.90 | 2.00 | 2.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Crystal Palace
0–15'32
16–30'12
31–45'37
46–60'45
61–75'10
76–90'44
Ipswich Town
0–15'24
16–30'41
31–45'24
46–60'22
61–75'04
76–90'62
Crystal Palace
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 7 70% | 0.71 | 1.57 | 2.43 | 1.41 | 2.16 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.97 | 1.06 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.92 | 1.52 |
Ipswich Town
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.63 | 1.53 |
| Metric | Crystal Palace all · 55 | Crystal Palace at home · 28 | Ipswich Town all · 47 | Ipswich Town away · 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 55 | 28 | 47 | 24 |
| Points per game | 1.36 | 1.39 | 1.85 | 1.50 |
| W / D / L | 21 / 12 / 22 | 10 / 9 / 9 | 25 / 12 / 10 | 10 / 6 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.35 | 1.36 | 1.70 | 1.71 |
| Goals against / match | 1.36 | 1.21 | 1.15 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 39% | 34% | 29% |
| Failed to score | 24% | 29% | 15% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 50% | 57% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 57% | 55% | 54% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.68 | 1.84 | 1.79 | 1.60 |
| xG against / match | 1.34 | 1.23 | 1.10 | 1.35 |
| xG difference | 0.35 | 0.61 | 0.69 | 0.25 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.34 | -0.48 | -0.09 | 0.11 |
| xPts / match | 1.59 | 1.75 | 1.83 | 1.58 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.23 | -0.35 | 0.02 | -0.08 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 54% | 50% | 53% | 42% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.93 | 2.07 | 2.72 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.60 | 0.56 | 0.84 | 0.75 |
| Came back from behind | 24% | 31% | 52% | 43% |
| Leads held | 64% | 67% | 83% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 27% | 25% | 32% | 22% |
| Minutes level | 49% | 51% | 50% | 54% |
| Minutes trailing | 24% | 24% | 18% | 24% |
| First goal (min) | 39 | 41 | 40 | 46 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 41 | 42 | 40 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 47% | 53% | 56% | 71% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 55% | 56% | 50% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.33 | 0.43 | 0.51 | 0.54 |
| Late goals against | 0.27 | 0.21 | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 49% | 55% | 55% |
| Shots | 12.8 | 13.7 | 15.0 | 13.5 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 4.7 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 10% | 11% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 73% | 73% | 66% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 3.1 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 2.4 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 4.6 | 5.8 | 5.1 |
| xG from set plays | 35% | 38% | 28% | 32% |
| Goals from headers | 24% | 31% | 14% | 22% |
| Pressure index | 12.6 | 13.2 | 18.1 | 15.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.0 | 49.3 | 61.4 | 55.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 79% | 81% | 81% |
| Fouls | 11.2 | 10.9 | 11.0 | 11.8 |
| Cards | 1.93 | 1.71 | 1.91 | 2.46 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Crystal Palace
0–15'95
16–30'103
31–45'2026
46–60'919
61–75'87
76–90'1715
Ipswich Town
0–15'116
16–30'75
31–45'1716
46–60'138
61–75'811
76–90'248
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Crystal Palace · 55 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.29
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0255
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0255
Late push (76+, level)-0.0121
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1526
Game state
When ahead+0.0233
When level+0.0355
When behind-0.1529
10 min after conceding-0.2939
10 min after scoring+0.2542
Situations
With ten men-0.074
Against ten men-0.016
At home-0.0328
Away+0.0027
3 days rest or fewer-0.1819
4+ days rest+0.0736
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2329
v mid-tier opponents+0.1410
v bottom-tier opponents+0.242
As favourite+0.2025
Evenly matched-0.1315
As underdog-0.2615
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1255
Conceded when ahead+0.1233
Conceded late (76+)+0.0353
Congested vs rested -0.25 · Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level -0.18
Ipswich Town · 47 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.42) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.89
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4247
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2847
Late push (76+, level)+0.5018
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0913
Game state
When ahead+0.5730
When level+0.4047
When behind+0.2021
10 min after conceding-0.1329
10 min after scoring+0.8939
Situations
Against ten men-0.303
At home+0.4323
Away+0.4124
3 days rest or fewer+0.7515
4+ days rest+0.2632
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents+0.2824
v bottom-tier opponents+0.3814
As favourite+0.5133
Evenly matched+0.3311
As underdog-0.263
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2147
Conceded when ahead-0.3530
Conceded late (76+)-0.4043
Congested vs rested +0.49 · Ahead vs level +0.17 · Behind vs level -0.20
Crystal Palace
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 38 69% | 1.05 | 1.16 | 1.55 | 1.54 | 1.45 |
| 3-4-3 | 16 29% | 2.19 | 1.88 | 0.81 | 2.08 | 1.05 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.92 | 1.52 |
Ipswich Town
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 47 100% | 1.85 | 1.7 | 1.15 | 1.79 | 1.1 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -3.0 pts at 50m · late move: home -4.0 pts inside the final hour
2.16Home 45% ▼ -4.9 ptsopened 1.933.62Draw 27% ▲ +1.7 ptsopened 3.833.47Away 28% ▲ +3.2 ptsopened 3.88
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.16 ▼ -4.9 | 3.62 ▲ +1.7 | 3.47 ▲ +3.2 | 10m |
| bet365 | 2.15 ▼ -6.0 | 3.75 ▼ -1.7 | 3.1 ▲ +7.7 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.15 ▼ -6.1 | 3.4 ▲ +2.9 | 3.4 ▲ +3.2 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 2.1 ▼ -4.9 | 3.7 · -0.1 | 3.3 ▲ +5.0 | 10m |
| Coral | 1.85 · +0.9 | 3.8 · -0.6 | 3.9 · -0.3 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.85 · +0.4 | 3.75 · -0.5 | 3.8 · +0.1 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.86 · -0.0 | 3.8 · +0.3 | 4.0 · -0.3 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 2.05 ▼ -4.9 | 3.5 · +0.7 | 3.25 ▲ +4.1 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +3.1 pts at 30m · late move: yes +3.1 pts inside the final hour
1.61Yes 58% ▲ +4.4 ptsopened 1.752.2No 42% ▼ -4.4 ptsopened 2.0
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.61 ▲ +4.4 | 2.2 ▼ -4.4 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.5 ▲ +9.9 | 2.5 ▼ -9.9 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.55 ▲ +5.2 | 2.25 ▼ -5.2 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.7 · +0.7 | 2.05 · -0.7 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.62 ▲ +4.3 | 2.2 ▼ -4.3 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over +2.4 pts at 4.0h
1.75Over 56% ▲ +4.0 ptsopened 1.882.2Under 44% ▼ -4.0 ptsopened 2.01
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.75 ▲ +4.0 | 2.2 ▼ -4.0 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.72 ▲ +5.0 | 2.1 ▼ -5.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.7 ▲ +4.4 | 2.15 ▼ -4.4 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.66 ▲ +4.4 | 2.06 ▼ -4.4 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.8 · +0.7 | 2.0 · -0.7 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.15Home 44% P 45%3.75Draw 25% P 27%3.1Away 31% P 28%
Double Chance
1.25Crystal Palace or Draw 38%1.25Crystal Palace or Ipswich 38%1.9Draw or Ipswich 25%
Draw No Bet
1.41 66%2.752 34%
Both Teams To Score
1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.72Over 55% P 56%2.1Under 45% P 44%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
3.51.61Over 58% P 63%2.2Under 42% P 37%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 27.5–30% · 305 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 45% | 46% | 50% | +4.6 |
| Draw | 27% | 26% | 23% | -2.4 |
| Away | 28% | 28% | 26% | -2.2 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 55%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 56% | 56% | -0.2 |
Chris Kavanagh
- Career
- 340 matches · 16 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.95 (3.82 yellow · 0.09 red)
- Fouls / match
- 20.9 · 5.0 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.21
- Cards to home side
- 45%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 103 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.48 | 4.26 | +0.49 | 77 |
| Fouls / match | 21.5 | 21.6 | +0.16 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.0 | 5.1 | -0.51 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.28 | 0.25 | +0.24 | 65 |
| Time added | 8.3 | 8.4 | +0.09 | 38 |
- First card
- 34' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.33
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | 6 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 14' | 9 |
| 2026-08-29 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 21' | 7 |
| 2026-08-20 | 5 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 21' | 5 |
| 2026-05-24 | 10 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 42' | 12 |
| 2026-05-15 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 39' | 11 |
| 2026-05-10 | 7 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 34' | 9 |
| 2026-05-02 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 22' | 9 |
| 2026-04-27 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 6' | 7 |
| 2026-04-19 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 22' | 13 |
| 2026-04-12 | 4 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 12' | 9 |