Rating 7.06 (91th pct) · G+A 21 + 5 (27% of team goals) · 71% of minutes
Team 1.32 ppg with (41) · 2.07 without (14)
Premier League · Matchweek 4
Momentum
– ChelseaHull City –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Chelsea | at home | Stat | league | away | Hull City |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.2 #13 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 29.2 #20 |
| 15.0 #5 | – | Shots total | 13.5 | – | 9.5 #19 |
| 6.0 #1 | – | Shots on target | 4.4 | – | 3.8 #14 |
| 5.2 #6 | – | Corners | 4.5 | – | 2.5 #19 |
| 9.0 #18 | – | Fouls | 11.7 | – | 10.0 #15 |
| 1.0 #16 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 0.8 #19 |
| 14.2 #13 | – | Tackles | 15.4 | – | 16.2 #6 |
| 91.8 #11 | – | Attacks | 96.3 | – | 71.2 #20 |
| 44.2 #10 | – | Dangerous attacks | 47.7 | – | 31.5 #20 |
| 389.5 #13 | – | Passes | 441.4 | – | 253.5 #20 |
| 2.2 #7 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 3.2 #1 |
| 2.2 #1 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | 1.0 #8 |
| – #1 | – | Btts | 52.5 | – | – #16 |
| – #15 | – | Cleansheet | 28.8 | – | – #1 |
| – #10 | – | Draw | 35.0 | – | – #5 |
| 1.7 #7 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 0.9 #19 |
| 0.8 #3 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.4 #6 |
| – #13 | – | Failed to score | 28.8 | – | – #7 |
| 2.5 #2 | 3.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 #13 |
| 2.2 #4 | 2.5 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 #18 |
| 0.2 #5 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | – |
| 9.2 #8 | – | Interceptions | 8.4 | – | 9.5 #6 |
| – #9 | – | Lost | 32.5 | – | – #14 |
| 6.9 #6 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #11 |
| 4.0 #9 | – | Shots blocked | 3.9 | – | 1.2 #20 |
| 9.8 #7 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.7 | – | 5.0 #20 |
| 5.0 #6 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 4.5 #13 |
| 5.2 #6 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.8 | – | 4.5 #9 |
| – #3 | – | Win | 32.5 | – | – #3 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 39 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.79 (home 1.41 · away 1.38)
- Home / draw / away
- 31% · 36% · 33%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 51% · 51%
- Cards / match
- 4.03 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Chelsea · Last 365 days
Rating 7.0 (76th pct) · G+A 10 + 10 (20% of team goals) · 72% of minutes
Team 1.57 ppg with (40) · 1.46 without (13)
Rating 7.08 (92th pct) · G+A 2 + 6 (8% of team goals) · 57% of minutes
Team 1.53 ppg with (30) · 1.57 without (23)
Hull City · Last 365 days
Rating 7.08 (94th pct) · G+A 16 + 6 (31% of team goals) · 72% of minutes
Team 1.72 ppg with (36) · 1.57 without (14)
Rating 6.96 (74th pct) · G+A 13 + 4 (24% of team goals) · 58% of minutes
Team 1.53 ppg with (32) · 1.94 without (18)
Rating 6.84 (41th pct) · G+A 2 + 3 (7% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 1.88 ppg with (40) · 0.9 without (10)
Absences
Chelsea
- injury Jordan Henderson midfielder · Forearm Fracture
- injury Marco Palestra defender · Unknown Injury · 5 missed
- injury Moisés Caicedo #4 key player midfielder · Unknown Injury · 3 missed
Hull City
- injury Abdülkadir Ömür midfielder · Fitness · 65 missed
- injury Darko Gyabi #13 key player midfielder · Groin Injury · 35 missed
- injury Eliot Matazo midfielder · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 15 missed · until 2026-11-30
- injury Jens Hjertø-Dahl midfielder · Broken Toe · 46 missed
- injury Joe Gelhardt #2 key player attacker · Ankle Injury · 6 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 4
Venue
- Stadium
- Stamford Bridge, London
- Capacity
- 34,915
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 39,352
Teams
- Coaches
- Xabi Alonso · Sergej Jakirović
- Position
- 4 · 3
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 5-4-1
Referee
Farai Hallam
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 23.2° (feels 23.3°)
- Wind
- 9.8
- Humidity
- 65%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Leeds United |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 | WDDW |
| 4 |  Hull City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 5 |  Brighton & Hove Albion |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 7 | WLDW |
| 6 |  Chelsea |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 | WWLD |
| 7 |  Brentford |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WDDD |
| 8 |  Liverpool |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | DDWD |
| 9 |  Everton |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | WDDD |
| 10 |  Ipswich Town |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 |  Nottingham Forest |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | LDDW |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | DWDL |
| 13 |  Manchester United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | LWDL |
| 14 |  Sunderland |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | LWDL |
| 15 |  AFC Bournemouth |
4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | LDDD |
| 16 |  Crystal Palace |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 | LLWL |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 | LLDD |
| 18 |  Fulham |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | LLLD |
| 19 |  Aston Villa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 | LLDL |
| 20 |  Coventry City |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | WLDW |
| 4 | Leeds United |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | WDDW |
| 5 | Brentford |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | WDDD |
| 6 | Everton |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDDD |
| 7 | Hull City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | WWDD |
| 8 | Chelsea |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | WWLD |
| 9 | Manchester United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | LWDL |
| 10 | Ipswich Town |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Sunderland |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LWDL |
| 12 | Newcastle United |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DWDL |
| 13 | AFC Bournemouth |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | LDDD |
| 14 | Liverpool |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | DDWD |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LDDW |
| 16 | Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | LLDD |
| 17 | Fulham |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Aston Villa |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Crystal Palace |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LLWL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WWWW |
| 2 | Arsenal |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Liverpool |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | DDWD |
| 4 | Nottingham Forest |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | LDDW |
| 5 | Hull City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWDD |
| 6 | Leeds United |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | WDDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | WLDW |
| 8 | Chelsea |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | WWLD |
| 9 | Crystal Palace |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | LLWL |
| 10 | Newcastle United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | DWDL |
| 11 | Ipswich Town |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | WLLW |
| 12 | Brentford |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | WDDD |
| 13 | Everton |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | WDDD |
| 14 | AFC Bournemouth |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | LDDD |
| 15 | Sunderland |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LWDL |
| 16 | Fulham |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LLLD |
| 17 | Manchester United |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | LWDL |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | LLDD |
| 19 | Aston Villa |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- Relegation
Chelsea
WLWWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 11 GA 10 · xG 7.46–8.3 · xPts 6.11
- L
A
Arsenal
1–2
xG 0.47–2.26
UK PL
- W
H
Brighton & Hove Albion
4–3
xG 3.37–1.36
UK PL
- W
A
Fulham
3–2
xG 1.92–1.51
UK PL
- L
A
Sunderland
1–2
xG 0.81–1.81
UK PL
- W
H
Tottenham Hotspur
2–1
xG 0.9–1.36
UK PL
LWLWWL 3W 0D 3L · 9 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 11 GA 11 · xG 8.25–9.48 · xPts 7.15
- L
A
Arsenal
1–2
xG 0.47–2.26
UK PL
- W
H
Brighton & Hove Albion
4–3
xG 3.37–1.36
UK PL
- W
A
Fulham
3–2
xG 1.92–1.51
UK PL
- L
A
Sunderland
1–2
xG 0.81–1.81
UK PL
- W
H
Tottenham Hotspur
2–1
xG 0.9–1.36
UK PL
- L
H
Manchester City
0–1
xG 0.79–1.19
UK FA Cup
Hull City
WWWD 3W 1D 0L · 10 pts (2.5 ppg) · GF 4 GA 0 · xG 3.47–5.45 · xPts 4.11
- D
H
Aston Villa
0–0
xG 0.71–1.34
UK PL
- W
A
Coventry City
1–0
xG 0.55–1.18
UK PL
- W
H
Manchester United
2–0
xG 0.99–2.18
UK PL
- W
H
Middlesbrough
1–0
xG 1.22–0.75
UK CHAMP
WWWD 3W 1D 0L · 10 pts (2.5 ppg) · GF 4 GA 0 · xG 3.47–5.45 · xPts 4.11
- D
H
Aston Villa
0–0
xG 0.71–1.34
UK PL
- W
A
Coventry City
1–0
xG 0.55–1.18
UK PL
- W
H
Manchester United
2–0
xG 0.99–2.18
UK PL
- W
H
Middlesbrough
1–0
xG 1.22–0.75
UK CHAMP
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
70.3%Chelsea P 80%16.9%Draw P 13%12.8%Hull City P 7%
Over / under 2.5
68.7%Over 2.5 P 66%31.3%Under 2.5 P 34%
Both teams to score
58.6%Yes41.4%No
Expected
- Chelsea goals
- 2.53 (1–5)
- Hull City goals
- 1.01 (0–2)
- Corners
- 10.44 (6–15)
- Cards
- 5.49 (2–9)
Earlier: day before — 70.3% / 16.9% / 12.8%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
59.5%Chelsea22.1%Draw18.4%Hull City
Over / under 2.5
57.0%Over 2.543.0%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
55.5%Yes44.5%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | draw | 1.778 | 1.201 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.376 | 0.196 |
| btts | yes | 0.534 | 0.343 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 14 matches since 2008
Goals 31–7 · 2.71 per match · BTTS 36% · over 2.5 50%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 25–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 14–3 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- D Chelsea 2–2 Hull City UK PL · Regular Season
- W Hull City 0–4 Chelsea UK FA Cup · Round 4
- W Hull City 1–2 Chelsea UK FA Cup · 4th Round
- W Chelsea 4–0 Hull City UK FA Cup · 5th Round
- W Chelsea 2–0 Hull City UK PL · Regular Season
- W Hull City 0–2 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
- W Hull City 2–3 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
- W Chelsea 2–0 Hull City UK PL · Regular Season
- W Hull City 0–2 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
- W Chelsea 2–0 Hull City UK PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Chelsea all · 4 | Chelsea at home · 2 | Hull City all · 4 | Hull City away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Chelsea · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.40
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.064
Early press (0-15, level)-0.214
Game state
When ahead+0.074
When level-0.074
When behind+0.172
10 min after conceding-0.404
10 min after scoring+0.324
Situations
At home-0.002
Away+0.122
4+ days rest+0.064
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.003
As favourite+0.153
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.234
Conceded when ahead+0.354
Conceded late (76+)-0.274
Ahead vs level +0.14 · Behind vs level +0.24
Hull City · 4 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503
Game state
When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133
Situations
At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.583
Conceded late (76+)+0.274
Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08
Chelsea
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 75% | 2.0 | 2.67 | 2.33 | 1.92 | 1.71 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 25% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.07 | 1.35 |
Hull City
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-4-1 | 4 100% | 2.0 | 1.25 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.44 |
| Metric | Chelsea all · 10 | Chelsea at home · 10 | Hull City all · 10 | Hull City away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.30 | 1.90 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 4 | 4 / 1 / 5 | 5 / 4 / 1 | 3 / 3 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.60 | 1.70 | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| Goals against / match | 1.70 | 1.70 | 0.70 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 40% | 20% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 40% | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 70% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.30 | 1.82 | 1.22 | 1.14 |
| xG against / match | 1.42 | 1.16 | 1.35 | 1.86 |
| xG difference | -0.11 | 0.67 | -0.13 | -0.72 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.30 | -0.12 | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| xPts / match | 1.24 | 1.65 | 1.30 | 1.03 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.16 | -0.35 | 0.59 | 0.17 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 50% | 50% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.17 | 2.60 | 2.60 | 1.83 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.25 | 0.00 | 1.33 | 0.25 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 17% | 75% | 33% |
| Leads held | 67% | 80% | 71% | 43% |
| Minutes leading | 38% | 37% | 22% | 27% |
| Minutes level | 32% | 29% | 69% | 55% |
| Minutes trailing | 30% | 34% | 9% | 18% |
| First goal (min) | 26 | 24 | 46 | 36 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 32 | 39 | 26 | 44 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 38% | 47% | 46% | 42% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 47% | 53% | 57% | 71% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 52% | 37% | 41% |
| Shots | 11.9 | 14.5 | 10.2 | 11.1 |
| On target | 4.2 | 5.1 | 3.9 | 3.5 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 12% | 13% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 61% | 63% | 65% | 61% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 2.0 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 6.5 | 3.9 | 5.2 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 32% | 36% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 7% | 18% | 15% | 18% |
| Pressure index | 11.8 | 14.8 | 7.7 | 8.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.5 | 54.3 | 37.0 | 38.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 85% | 68% | 69% |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 10.5 | 9.3 | 11.1 |
| Cards | 3.30 | 1.90 | 2.30 | 3.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Chelsea
0–15'53
16–30'24
31–45'32
46–60'24
61–75'33
76–90'11
Hull City
0–15'01
16–30'42
31–45'30
46–60'02
61–75'32
76–90'30
Chelsea
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.13 | 1.21 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.64 | 1.58 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.81 | 1.81 |
Hull City
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.36 | 1.49 |
| 5-4-1 | 4 40% | 2.0 | 1.25 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.44 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.57 | 0.89 |
| Metric | Chelsea all · 53 | Chelsea at home · 27 | Hull City all · 50 | Hull City away · 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 53 | 27 | 50 | 23 |
| Points per game | 1.55 | 1.63 | 1.68 | 1.74 |
| W / D / L | 24 / 10 / 19 | 13 / 5 / 9 | 24 / 12 / 14 | 12 / 4 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.85 | 1.78 | 1.42 | 1.57 |
| Goals against / match | 1.45 | 1.30 | 1.22 | 1.22 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 30% | 34% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 15% | 18% | 20% | 9% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 52% | 56% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 63% | 56% | 65% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.85 | 2.03 | 1.31 | 1.19 |
| xG against / match | 1.32 | 1.21 | 1.61 | 1.82 |
| xG difference | 0.52 | 0.82 | -0.30 | -0.63 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.00 | -0.25 | 0.11 | 0.37 |
| xPts / match | 1.63 | 1.78 | 1.23 | 1.08 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.08 | -0.15 | 0.45 | 0.66 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 58% | 70% | 56% | 70% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.19 | 2.11 | 2.29 | 2.19 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.62 | 0.50 | 0.88 | 0.71 |
| Came back from behind | 34% | 25% | 36% | 36% |
| Leads held | 69% | 62% | 73% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 34% | 42% | 31% | 35% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 39% | 54% | 52% |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | 19% | 15% | 14% |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 28 | 34 | 36 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 36 | 43 | 42 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 46% | 44% | 47% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 52% | 57% | 56% | 68% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.32 | 0.26 | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.28 | 0.26 | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 58% | 43% | 42% |
| Shots | 13.9 | 15.0 | 10.8 | 10.4 |
| On target | 5.0 | 4.9 | 3.8 | 4.0 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 12% | 13% | 15% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 63% | 66% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 2.9 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 6.9 | 4.4 | 4.7 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 31% | 23% | 14% |
| Goals from headers | 15% | 19% | 16% | 20% |
| Pressure index | 18.3 | 20.8 | 8.8 | 8.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 57.6 | 62.5 | 38.5 | 33.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 87% | 71% | 71% |
| Fouls | 11.2 | 11.0 | 11.2 | 11.8 |
| Cards | 2.64 | 2.33 | 2.70 | 3.35 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Chelsea
0–15'1113
16–30'1611
31–45'1913
46–60'2012
61–75'1513
76–90'1515
Hull City
0–15'97
16–30'1510
31–45'1610
46–60'99
61–75'1111
76–90'1114
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Chelsea · 53 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.32) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +1.43
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3253
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1653
Late push (76+, level)+0.3220
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0219
Game state
When ahead+0.3734
When level+0.4153
When behind+0.1229
10 min after conceding-0.1340
10 min after scoring+0.5445
Situations
With ten men-0.077
Against ten men+0.503
At home+0.3027
Away+0.3426
3 days rest or fewer+0.3921
4+ days rest+0.2732
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.1732
v mid-tier opponents+0.3010
v bottom-tier opponents+1.433
As favourite+0.4835
Evenly matched+0.1411
As underdog-0.187
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0653
Conceded when ahead-0.1434
Conceded late (76+)-0.3045
Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level -0.29
Hull City · 50 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: against ten men -0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1150
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1050
Late push (76+, level)-0.2421
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3712
Game state
When ahead-0.0933
When level-0.0750
When behind-0.2522
10 min after conceding-0.3232
10 min after scoring+0.2339
Situations
With ten men+0.253
Against ten men-0.433
At home-0.1527
Away-0.0623
3 days rest or fewer-0.0715
4+ days rest-0.1235
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.384
v mid-tier opponents-0.1226
v bottom-tier opponents-0.1115
As favourite+0.206
Evenly matched-0.0720
As underdog-0.2124
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2850
Conceded when ahead+0.3733
Conceded late (76+)+0.1846
Congested vs rested +0.06 · Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level -0.17
Chelsea
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 41 77% | 1.56 | 1.73 | 1.29 | 1.83 | 1.25 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 9% | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.73 | 1.63 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 8% | 1.5 | 2.75 | 1.75 | 2.42 | 1.37 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.18 | 1.3 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.62 | 2.02 |
Hull City
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 33 66% | 1.7 | 1.55 | 1.24 | 1.44 | 1.71 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 7 14% | 1.29 | 0.86 | 1.57 | 1.09 | 1.49 |
| 5-4-1 | 4 8% | 2.0 | 1.25 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.44 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 4% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.09 | 1.08 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 2 4% | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.25 | 1.52 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: draw -1.1 pts at 9.0h · late move: home +1.3 pts inside the final hour
1.22Home 80% ▲ +2.4 ptsopened 1.247.5Draw 13% ▼ -2.9 ptsopened 6.0413.5Away 7% · +0.5 ptsopened 14.29
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.22 ▲ +2.4 | 7.5 ▼ -2.9 | 13.5 · +0.5 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.22 ▲ +2.6 | 6.5 ▼ -1.3 | 12.0 ▼ -1.3 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.2 ▲ +2.2 | 7.0 ▼ -1.8 | 13.0 · -0.4 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.2 ▲ +1.3 | 7.0 · -0.8 | 13.0 · -0.5 | 10m |
| Coral | 1.22 ▲ +2.9 | 7.0 ▼ -1.7 | 12.0 ▼ -1.2 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.22 ▲ +2.9 | 7.0 ▼ -1.7 | 12.0 ▼ -1.2 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.22 · -0.1 | 6.75 · +0.5 | 12.5 · -0.3 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.22 · +1.0 | 6.0 ▼ -1.6 | 11.0 · +0.6 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: no -2.0 pts at 30m · late move: no -2.0 pts inside the final hour
1.9Yes 50% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.91.9No 50% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.9
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.87 · -0.4 | 1.87 · +0.4 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.93 ▼ -1.8 | 1.78 ▲ +1.8 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.89 · +0.8 | 1.83 · -0.8 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.85 · +0.0 | 1.85 · +0.0 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: under +2.3 pts at 7.0h · late move: under +2.2 pts inside the final hour
1.44Over 66% · -0.2 ptsopened 1.432.81Under 34% · +0.2 ptsopened 2.82
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.44 · -0.2 | 2.81 · +0.2 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.4 ▲ +2.5 | 3.0 ▼ -2.5 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.36 ▲ +2.2 | 3.2 ▼ -2.2 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.42 · -0.9 | 2.59 · +0.9 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.42 · +0.0 | 2.85 · +0.0 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.22Home 78% P 80%6.5Draw 15% P 13%12.0Away 8% P 7%
Double Chance
1.05Chelsea or Draw 46%1.11Chelsea or Hull 43%4.33Draw or Hull 11%
Draw No Bet
1.051 91%11.02 9%
Both Teams To Score
1.9Yes 50%1.9No 50%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.4Over 68% P 66%3.0Under 32% P 34%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 21%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
3.52.0Over 46% P 42%1.72Under 54% P 58%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 77.5–80% · away 5–7.5% · 360 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 80% | 79% | 82% | +3.0 |
| Draw | 13% | 14% | 13% | -1.5 |
| Away | 7% | 7% | 5% | -1.5 |
In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 63%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 66% | 66% | 69% | +3.2 |
Farai Hallam
- Career
- 52 matches · 4 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.58 (3.52 yellow · 0.0 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.9 · 6.0 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.12
- Cards to home side
- 36%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 6 matches)
Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 3.17 cards, 21.3 fouls per match.
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 62' | 5 |
| 2026-09-02 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 77' | 4 |
| 2026-08-22 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 36' | 6 |
| 2026-08-14 | 4 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 34' | 5 |
| 2026-05-24 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 74' | 10 |
| 2026-05-09 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 55' | 5 |
| 2026-04-24 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 50' | 12 |
| 2026-04-22 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15' | 6 |
| 2026-04-14 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 35' | 5 |
| 2026-04-11 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 2' | 8 |