Momentum
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Nottingham Forest | at home | Stat | league | away | Tottenham Hotspur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.8 #15 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 59.8 #5 |
| 14.5 #8 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 12.8 #12 |
| 3.5 #15 | – | Shots on target | 4.4 | – | 3.0 #19 |
| 2.8 #18 | – | Corners | 4.6 | – | 6.8 #1 |
| 15.8 #1 | – | Fouls | 11.6 | – | 14.2 #3 |
| 2.2 #5 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 1.8 #11 |
| 20.5 #2 | – | Tackles | 15.5 | – | 14.5 #13 |
| 73.2 #19 | – | Attacks | 96.3 | – | 104.0 #5 |
| 40.5 #12 | – | Dangerous attacks | 47.6 | – | 58.8 #5 |
| 342.2 #19 | – | Passes | 442.3 | – | 536.8 #5 |
| 2.8 #3 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.0 #18 |
| 0.8 #13 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | – |
| – #8 | – | Btts | 50.8 | – | – #19 |
| – #9 | – | Cleansheet | 29.5 | – | – #3 |
| – #5 | – | Draw | 34.0 | – | – #5 |
| 1.6 #10 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 0.9 #16 |
| -0.6 #16 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.9 #20 |
| – #4 | – | Failed to score | 29.8 | – | – #1 |
| 1.0 #15 | 0.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 #19 |
| 1.0 #13 | 0.5 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 #10 |
| 5.2 #19 | – | Interceptions | 8.4 | – | 5.8 #16 |
| – #10 | – | Lost | 33.2 | – | – #5 |
| 0.2 #1 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | – |
| 6.9 #6 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #13 |
| 3.5 #12 | – | Shots blocked | 3.9 | – | 4.2 #8 |
| 9.0 #9 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.7 | – | 7.5 #14 |
| 7.5 #3 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 5.5 #5 |
| 5.5 #5 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.8 | – | 5.2 #6 |
| – #9 | – | Win | 32.8 | – | – #16 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 39 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.79 (home 1.41 · away 1.38)
- Home / draw / away
- 31% · 36% · 33%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 51% · 51%
- Cards / match
- 4.03 (reds 0.1)
Trends
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Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Nottingham Forest · Last 365 days
Tottenham Hotspur · Last 365 days
Absences
Nottingham Forest
- injury Nicolò Savona #9 key player defender · Knee Injury · 23 missed · until 2026-10-11
- injury Nicolò Savona #9 key player defender · Knee Injury · 23 missed · until 2026-10-11
Tottenham Hotspur
- injury Wilson Odobert #6 key player attacker · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 25 missed · until 2026-11-28
- injury Wilson Odobert #6 key player attacker · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 26 missed · until 2026-11-28
- injury Xavi Simons #2 key player midfielder · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 15 missed · until 2027-02-20
- injury Xavi Simons #2 key player midfielder · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 16 missed · until 2027-02-20
Commentary
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In-Play Odds
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Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 3
Venue
- Stadium
- The City Ground, Nottingham
- Capacity
- 30,445
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 30,686
Teams
- Coaches
- Oliver Glasner · Roberto De Zerbi
- Position
- 15 · 19
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Craig Pawson
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 20.1° (feels 19.6°)
- Wind
- 3.6
- Humidity
- 56%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 | Brentford |
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 4 | Leeds United |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 | WDDW |
| 5 | Hull City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 7 | WLDW |
| 7 | Chelsea |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | WWLDL |
| 8 | Liverpool |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | DDWD |
| 9 | Everton |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | WDDD |
| 10 | Ipswich Town |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 | Nottingham Forest |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | LDDW |
| 12 | Newcastle United |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | DWDL |
| 13 | Manchester United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | LWDL |
| 14 | Sunderland |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | LWDL |
| 15 | AFC Bournemouth |
4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | LDDD |
| 16 | Crystal Palace |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 | LLWL |
| 17 | Tottenham Hotspur |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 | LLDD |
| 18 | Fulham |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | LLLD |
| 19 | Aston Villa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 | LLDL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brentford |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 7 | WDDDW |
| 2 | Arsenal |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Manchester City |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWW |
| 4 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | WLDW |
| 5 | Leeds United |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | WDDW |
| 6 | Everton |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDDD |
| 7 | Hull City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | WWDD |
| 8 | Chelsea |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | WWLDL |
| 9 | Manchester United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | LWDL |
| 10 | Ipswich Town |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Sunderland |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LWDL |
| 12 | Newcastle United |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DWDL |
| 13 | AFC Bournemouth |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | LDDD |
| 14 | Liverpool |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | DDWD |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LDDW |
| 16 | Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | LLDD |
| 17 | Fulham |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Aston Villa |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Crystal Palace |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LLWL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WWWW |
| 2 | Arsenal |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Liverpool |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | DDWD |
| 4 | Nottingham Forest |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | LDDW |
| 5 | Hull City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWDD |
| 6 | Leeds United |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | WDDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | WLDW |
| 8 | Crystal Palace |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | LLWL |
| 9 | Newcastle United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | DWDL |
| 10 | Ipswich Town |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Chelsea |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | WWLDL |
| 12 | Brentford |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | WDDDW |
| 13 | Everton |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | WDDD |
| 14 | AFC Bournemouth |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | LDDD |
| 15 | Sunderland |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LWDL |
| 16 | Fulham |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LLLD |
| 17 | Manchester United |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | LWDL |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | LLDD |
| 19 | Aston Villa |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- Relegation
Nottingham Forest
DLDLD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 8.4–8.96 · xPts 7.01
- D
A
Liverpool
2–2
xG 2.41–1.87
UK PL - L
H
Leeds United
0–1
xG 0.88–0.75
UK PL - D
H
AFC Bournemouth
1–1
xG 1.94–1.17
UK PL - L
A
Manchester United
2–3
xG 1.67–3.87
UK PL - D
H
Newcastle United
1–1
xG 1.51–1.3
UK PL
DLDLD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 8.4–8.96 · xPts 7.01
- D
A
Liverpool
2–2
xG 2.41–1.87
UK PL - L
H
Leeds United
0–1
xG 0.88–0.75
UK PL - D
H
AFC Bournemouth
1–1
xG 1.94–1.17
UK PL - L
A
Manchester United
2–3
xG 1.67–3.87
UK PL - D
H
Newcastle United
1–1
xG 1.51–1.3
UK PL
Tottenham Hotspur
DLWLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 8 · xG 6.21–8.01 · xPts 6.92
- L
H
Newcastle United
0–2
xG 1.28–0.94
UK PL - L
A
Brentford
0–3
xG 0.52–4.16
UK PL - W
H
Everton
1–0
xG 1.24–0.51
UK PL - L
A
Chelsea
1–2
xG 1.36–0.9
UK PL - D
H
Leeds United
1–1
xG 1.81–1.5
UK PL
DLWLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 8 · xG 6.21–8.01 · xPts 6.92
- L
H
Newcastle United
0–2
xG 1.28–0.94
UK PL - L
A
Brentford
0–3
xG 0.52–4.16
UK PL - W
H
Everton
1–0
xG 1.24–0.51
UK PL - L
A
Chelsea
1–2
xG 1.36–0.9
UK PL - D
H
Leeds United
1–1
xG 1.81–1.5
UK PL
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).
All meetings · 9 matches since 2022
Goals 11–11 · 2.44 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 56%
Last 10 · 9 matches
Goals 11–11 · 2.44 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 56%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 9–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- D Nottingham Forest 0–0 Tottenham Hotspur UK PL · Regular Season
- W Tottenham Hotspur 0–3 Nottingham Forest UK PL · Regular Season
- W Nottingham Forest 3–0 Tottenham Hotspur UK PL · Regular Season
- W Tottenham Hotspur 1–2 Nottingham Forest UK PL · Regular Season
- W Nottingham Forest 1–0 Tottenham Hotspur UK PL · Regular Season
- L Tottenham Hotspur 3–1 Nottingham Forest UK PL · Regular Season
- L Nottingham Forest 0–2 Tottenham Hotspur UK PL · Regular Season
- L Tottenham Hotspur 3–1 Nottingham Forest UK PL · Regular Season
- L Nottingham Forest 0–2 Tottenham Hotspur UK PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Nottingham Forest all · 4 | Nottingham Forest at home · 2 | Tottenham Hotspur all · 4 | Tottenham Hotspur away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Nottingham Forest · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.52
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level +0.75 · Behind vs level -0.62
Tottenham Hotspur · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.51
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Behind vs level -0.54
Nottingham Forest
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 100% | 1.25 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.23 |
Tottenham Hotspur
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 100% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.25 | 0.94 | 1.79 |
| Metric | Nottingham Forest all · 10 | Nottingham Forest at home · 10 | Tottenham Hotspur all · 10 | Tottenham Hotspur away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.30 | 0.80 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 4 / 3 | 3 / 5 / 2 | 3 / 4 / 3 | 2 / 2 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 1.20 | 0.90 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 0.60 | 1.10 | 1.70 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 10% | 40% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.57 | 1.41 | 1.11 | 1.02 |
| xG against / match | 1.78 | 0.94 | 1.21 | 1.65 |
| xG difference | -0.21 | 0.47 | -0.10 | -0.63 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.37 | -0.51 | -0.31 | -0.22 |
| xPts / match | 1.34 | 1.68 | 1.43 | 1.10 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.04 | -0.28 | -0.13 | -0.30 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 30% | 50% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.20 | 2.33 | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.25 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 60% | 0% | 14% |
| Leads held | 60% | 75% | 60% | 100% |
| Minutes leading | 23% | 15% | 20% | 10% |
| Minutes level | 60% | 78% | 61% | 38% |
| Minutes trailing | 17% | 6% | 20% | 52% |
| First goal (min) | 45 | 51 | 50 | 58 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 60 | 61 | 50 | 31 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 67% | 67% | 50% | 62% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 86% | 67% | 64% | 35% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.60 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 45% | 49% | 56% | 50% |
| Shots | 12.5 | 14.5 | 13.1 | 10.6 |
| On target | 4.0 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 3.5 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 6% | 6% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 61% | 68% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 2.9 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| Corners | 3.4 | 4.9 | 6.9 | 4.7 |
| xG from set plays | 36% | 28% | 37% | 26% |
| Goals from headers | 18% | 12% | 25% | 25% |
| Pressure index | 10.7 | 12.6 | 13.9 | 11.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 46.0 | 54.1 | 54.0 | 48.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 81% | 86% | 83% |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 12.0 | 13.5 | 13.0 |
| Cards | 1.80 | 1.30 | 2.50 | 2.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham Hotspur
Nottingham Forest
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 50% | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.58 | 1.25 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 40% | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.25 | 1.83 | 2.11 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.46 | 3.07 |
Tottenham Hotspur
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.11 | 1.25 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.16 | 0.86 |
| Metric | Nottingham Forest all · 55 | Nottingham Forest at home · 27 | Tottenham Hotspur all · 48 | Tottenham Hotspur away · 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 55 | 27 | 48 | 24 |
| Points per game | 1.33 | 1.22 | 1.06 | 1.08 |
| W / D / L | 19 / 16 / 20 | 8 / 9 / 10 | 12 / 15 / 21 | 6 / 8 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.36 | 1.15 | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | 0.96 | 1.60 | 1.71 |
| Clean sheets | 31% | 37% | 27% | 29% |
| Failed to score | 33% | 41% | 23% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 46% | 37% | 58% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 37% | 62% | 62% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.52 | 1.64 | 1.26 | 1.10 |
| xG against / match | 1.40 | 1.19 | 1.50 | 1.72 |
| xG difference | 0.12 | 0.46 | -0.23 | -0.62 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.15 | -0.50 | 0.03 | 0.15 |
| xPts / match | 1.47 | 1.66 | 1.29 | 1.07 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.14 | -0.44 | -0.23 | 0.01 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 36% | 30% | 42% | 38% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.60 | 2.50 | 2.00 | 2.11 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.53 | 0.60 | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 33% | 28% | 33% |
| Leads held | 76% | 73% | 57% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 24% | 21% | 19% | 15% |
| Minutes level | 53% | 62% | 47% | 48% |
| Minutes trailing | 23% | 18% | 34% | 37% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 38 | 46 | 47 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 46 | 38 | 35 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | 61% | 61% | 63% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 54% | 58% | 51% | 49% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.36 | 0.30 | 0.38 | 0.46 |
| Late goals against | 0.31 | 0.33 | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 51% | 50% | 49% |
| Shots | 14.2 | 15.7 | 12.0 | 10.3 |
| On target | 4.8 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 3.7 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 7% | 11% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 60% | 69% | 67% |
| Big chances created | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 5.8 | 5.5 | 4.6 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 32% | 33% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 19% | 10% | 25% | 34% |
| Pressure index | 15.3 | 17.0 | 13.9 | 12.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 52.6 | 57.6 | 48.1 | 42.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 83% | 82% | 82% |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 11.1 | 12.2 | 11.7 |
| Cards | 1.76 | 1.52 | 2.63 | 2.33 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham Hotspur
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Nottingham Forest · 55 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: v mid-tier opponents +0.61
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level -0.03
Tottenham Hotspur · 48 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: as favourite +0.56
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level +0.20 · Behind vs level -0.23
Nottingham Forest
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 32 58% | 1.41 | 1.38 | 1.0 | 1.51 | 1.27 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 14% | 1.25 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.52 | 1.22 |
| 4-4-2 | 6 11% | 1.67 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.66 | 1.71 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.17 | 2.81 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 4% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.41 | 2.07 |
Tottenham Hotspur
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 29 60% | 1.41 | 1.28 | 1.1 | 1.27 | 1.37 |
| 4-3-3 | 6 12% | 0.67 | 1.17 | 1.67 | 1.28 | 1.75 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 8% | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.75 | 1.27 | 1.77 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 3 6% | 0.0 | 1.67 | 3.0 | 1.26 | 1.25 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 6% | 0.33 | 0.67 | 2.0 | 1.11 | 1.77 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: away +1.7 pts at 3.0h
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.52 · +1.0 | 3.53 · -0.6 | 2.88 · -0.4 | 10m |
| bet365 | 2.7 ▼ -2.6 | 3.3 · +0.7 | 2.62 ▲ +1.9 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.4 ▲ +2.0 | 3.4 · -0.5 | 2.9 ▼ -1.4 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 2.45 · +0.6 | 3.5 ▼ -1.2 | 2.75 · +0.6 | 10m |
| Coral | 2.5 · -1.0 | 3.2 · -0.2 | 2.6 ▲ +1.1 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 2.5 · -1.0 | 3.2 · -0.2 | 2.6 ▲ +1.1 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.4 ▲ +2.0 | 3.4 · -0.6 | 2.9 ▼ -1.4 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 2.45 ▲ +1.1 | 3.3 · -0.2 | 2.8 · -0.9 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +3.1 pts at 2.0h
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.61 ▲ +5.7 | 2.2 ▼ -5.7 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.67 ▲ +2.3 | 2.15 ▼ -2.3 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.57 ▲ +4.8 | 2.25 ▼ -4.8 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.68 ▲ +1.7 | 2.07 ▼ -1.7 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.62 ▲ +5.6 | 2.2 ▼ -5.6 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: under -2.4 pts at 3.0h · late move: under -1.0 pts inside the final hour
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.79 ▲ +6.5 | 2.12 ▼ -6.5 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.8 ▲ +5.3 | 2.0 ▼ -5.3 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.87 ▲ +2.7 | 1.87 ▼ -2.7 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.7 ▲ +5.8 | 1.99 ▼ -5.8 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.91 ▲ +2.2 | 1.87 ▼ -2.2 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Both Teams To Score
Goals Over/Under
Total Corners
Number of Cards
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 32.5–35% · 572 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 39% | 39% | 39% | +0.4 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 28% | +0.1 |
| Away | 34% | 34% | 33% | -0.5 |
In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 46%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 54% | 55% | +0.8 |
Craig Pawson
- Career
- 441 matches · 18 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.82 (3.68 yellow · 0.08 red)
- Fouls / match
- 20.5 · 4.8 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.23
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 104 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.16 | 4.26 | -0.12 | 42 |
| Fouls / match | 22.5 | 21.6 | +0.70 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.6 | 5.1 | +0.46 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.28 | 0.25 | +0.20 | 62 |
| Time added | 8.8 | 8.4 | +0.51 | 73 |
- First card
- 41' on average
- Card timing
- 9% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 46% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.37
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 33' | 10 |
| 2026-05-24 · Nottingham Forest | 2 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 33' | 15 |
| 2026-05-09 | 6 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 67' | 9 |
| 2026-05-02 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 59' | 11 |
| 2026-04-25 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 90' | 9 |
| 2026-04-21 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 45' | 5 |
| 2026-04-05 | 5 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 40' | 15 |
| 2026-03-03 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 60' | 9 |
| 2026-02-27 | 6 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 45' | 11 |
| 2026-02-22 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 41' | 16 |

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