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Premier League · Matchweek 3

Momentum

MCICVC
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
3

Venue

Stadium
Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Capacity
52,900
Surface
grass
Attendance
60,765

Teams

Coaches
Enzo Maresca · Frank Lampard
Position
1 · 17
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Paul Tierney

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
18.3° (feels 17.9°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
65%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 4400 817 12 WWWW
2 Manchester City 4400 826 12 WWWW
3 Leeds United 4220 734 8 WDDW
4 Hull City 4220 523 8 WWDD
5 Brighton & Hove Albion 4211 1358 7 WLDW
6 Chelsea 4211 1091 7 WWLD
7 Brentford 4130 743 6 WDDD
8 Liverpool 4130 642 6 DDWD
9 Everton 4130 532 6 WDDD
10 Ipswich Town 4202 710-3 6 WLLW
11 Nottingham Forest 4121 440 5 LDDW
12 Newcastle United 4121 78-1 5 DWDL
13 Manchester United 4112 770 4 LWDL
14 Sunderland 4112 35-2 4 LWDL
15 AFC Bournemouth 4031 67-1 3 LDDD
16 Crystal Palace 4103 611-5 3 LLWL
17 Tottenham Hotspur 4022 05-5 2 LLDD
18 Fulham 4013 47-3 1 LLLD
19 Aston Villa 4013 17-6 1 LLDL
20 Coventry City 4004 010-10 0 LLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • Relegation

Manchester City

WDLWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 8.32–5.98 · xPts 8.52

  • W A Crystal Palace 4–1 xG 1.99–0.62 UK PL
  • W H AFC Bournemouth 2–1 xG 2.13–0.57 UK PL
  • L H Aston Villa 1–2 xG 1.32–1.97 UK PL
  • D A AFC Bournemouth 1–1 xG 1.69–2.03 UK PL
  • W A Chelsea 1–0 xG 1.19–0.79 UK FA Cup

Coventry City

LL 0W 0D 2L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 0 GA 4 · xG 1.37–2.63 · xPts 2.08

  • L H Hull City 0–1 xG 1.18–0.55 UK PL
  • L A Arsenal 0–3 xG 0.19–2.08 UK PL

No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).

All meetings · 3 matches since 2000

Manchester City 11 draws1 Coventry City

Goals 3–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Manchester City 11 draws1 Coventry City

Goals 3–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 33%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Manchester City 11 draws1 Coventry City

Goals 3–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 33%

Recent meetings

  • W Manchester City 1–0 Coventry City UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Coventry City 1–1 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Manchester City 1–2 Coventry City UK PL · Regular Season
MetricManchester City all · 4Manchester City at home · 2Coventry City all · 4Coventry City away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Manchester City · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.41) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.60

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.415
Early press (0-15, level)+0.025

Game state

When ahead+0.395
When level+0.535
10 min after conceding-0.042
10 min after scoring+0.605

Situations

At home+0.222
Away+0.543
4+ days rest+0.314

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.443
v mid-tier opponents+0.362
As favourite+0.444

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.385
Conceded when ahead-0.435
Conceded late (76+)-0.525

Congested vs rested +0.49 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.43

Coventry City · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.28

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.104
Early press (0-15, level)-0.284
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.242

Game state

When level+0.024
When behind-0.224
10 min after conceding-0.264

Situations

At home+0.102
Away-0.342
4+ days rest-0.104

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.163
As underdog-0.163

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.462

Behind vs level -0.24

Manchester City

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 18 · clean sheets 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%3.02.00.51.680.69

Coventry City

Current: winless 4 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-12 50%0.00.03.01.112.16
4-2-3-11 25%0.00.01.01.180.55
4-1-4-11 25%0.00.03.00.192.08

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.7 pts at 2.0h · late move: home +1.5 pts inside the final hour

1.17Home 81% ▲ +1.3 ptsopened 1.28.03Draw 12% · -0.2 ptsopened 7.9514.23Away 7% ▼ -1.0 ptsopened 12.43
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%

Home Draw Away consensus of 6 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.17 ▲ +1.38.03 · -0.214.23 ▼ -1.010m
bet3651.18 ▲ +2.07.5 · +0.113.0 ▼ -2.110m
Betfair1.15 ▲ +3.38.5 ▼ -2.116.0 ▼ -1.210m
BetVictor1.15 ▲ +2.47.5 · -0.717.0 ▼ -1.610m
Unibet1.16 ▲ +2.38.5 ▼ -1.516.0 · -0.810m
WilliamHill1.2 ▲ +1.87.0 · -0.713.0 ▼ -1.110m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.18Home 80% P 81%7.5Draw 13% P 12%13.0Away 7% P 7%

Double Chance

1.05Man City or Draw 45%1.08Man City or Coventry 44%4.5Draw or Coventry 11%

Draw No Bet

1.051 91%11.02 9%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50%1.9No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.36Over 70% P 69%3.2Under 30% P 31%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%6.5Over 14 13%

Number of Cards

2.51.72Over 54% P 57%2.0Under 46% P 43%
3.52.1Over 44% P 37%1.66Under 56% P 63%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 80–82.5% · away 5–7.5% · 442 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home81%81%83%+1.6
Draw12%13%11%-1.8
Away7%6%6%+0.2

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 45% · over 2.5 65%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.569%69%69%+0.6

Paul Tierney

Career
356 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
3.43 (3.32 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
19.7 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.19
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Premier League (5-year window · 89 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.034.26-0.3627
Fouls / match21.421.6+0.15
Fouls per card5.45.1+0.24 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.25-0.6031
Time added8.18.4-0.0823
First card
35' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.1

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-29 10 210 61'6
2026-08-22 10 200 30'11
2026-05-18 40 230 28'9
2026-05-10 20 270 49'9
2026-05-02 41 220 24'7
2026-04-18 10 210 6'8
2026-04-13 51 270 18'9
2026-03-22 10 100 45'7
2026-03-14 40 190 23'13
2026-02-18 30 140 45'14