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Premier League · Matchweek 3
Ipswich TownIpswich Town
0–2
FT
LiverpoolLiverpool

Momentum

– Ipswich TownLiverpool –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
3

Venue

Stadium
Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich
Capacity
29,673
Surface
grass
Attendance
30,019

Teams

Coaches
Gary O'Neil · Andoni Iraola
Position
12 · 13
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Darren England

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
16.4° (feels 15.9°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
68%

Where to watch · 335

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 4400 817 12 WWWW
2 Manchester City 4400 826 12 WWWW
3 Brentford 5230 1046 9 WDDDW
4 Leeds United 4220 734 8 WDDW
5 Hull City 4220 523 8 WWDD
6 Brighton & Hove Albion 4211 1358 7 WLDW
7 Chelsea 5212 1012-2 7 WWLDL
8 Liverpool 4130 642 6 DDWD
9 Everton 4130 532 6 WDDD
10 Ipswich Town 4202 710-3 6 WLLW
11 Nottingham Forest 4121 440 5 LDDW
12 Newcastle United 4121 78-1 5 DWDL
13 Manchester United 4112 770 4 LWDL
14 Sunderland 4112 35-2 4 LWDL
15 AFC Bournemouth 4031 67-1 3 LDDD
16 Crystal Palace 4103 611-5 3 LLWL
17 Tottenham Hotspur 4022 05-5 2 LLDD
18 Fulham 4013 47-3 1 LLLD
19 Aston Villa 4013 17-6 1 LLDL
20 Coventry City 4004 010-10 0 LLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • Relegation

Ipswich Town

WL 1W 0D 1L · 3 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 2.28–5.24 · xPts 1.87

  • L A Manchester United 2–5 xG 0.88–4.33 UK PL
  • W H Sunderland 2–1 xG 1.39–0.91 UK PL

Liverpool

DLDDD 0W 4D 1L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 10 · xG 10.0–7.47 · xPts 8.06

  • D H Nottingham Forest 2–2 xG 1.87–2.41 UK PL
  • D A Newcastle United 2–2 xG 3.64–1.27 UK PL
  • D H Brentford 1–1 xG 2.81–1.38 UK PL
  • L A Aston Villa 2–4 xG 1.12–1.99 UK PL
  • D H Chelsea 1–1 xG 0.57–0.42 UK PL

No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).

All meetings · 7 matches since 2000

Ipswich Town 11 draws5 Liverpool

Goals 3–20 · 3.29 per match · BTTS 29% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 7 matches

Ipswich Town 11 draws5 Liverpool

Goals 3–20 · 3.29 per match · BTTS 29% · over 2.5 43%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Ipswich Town 00 draws5 Liverpool

Goals 1–19 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Ipswich Town 0–2 Liverpool UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Liverpool 4–1 Ipswich Town UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Ipswich Town 0–2 Liverpool UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Liverpool 5–0 Ipswich Town UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Ipswich Town 0–6 Liverpool UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 1–1 Liverpool UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Liverpool 0–1 Ipswich Town UK PL · Regular Season
MetricIpswich Town all · 4Ipswich Town at home · 2Liverpool all · 4Liverpool away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Ipswich Town · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.494
Late push (76+, level)-0.762

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.364
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.143

Situations

At home-0.202
Away-0.302
4+ days rest-0.254

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents-0.282
As underdog-0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.034
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)-0.123

Ahead vs level +0.36 · Behind vs level +0.12

Liverpool · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: when behind +0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.115
Early press (0-15, level)-0.325
Late push (76+, level)+0.113
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.202

Game state

When ahead-0.172
When level-0.075
When behind+0.573
10 min after conceding+0.453
10 min after scoring+0.474

Situations

At home-0.043
Away+0.342
4+ days rest+0.174

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.043
As favourite+0.115

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.215
Conceded when ahead-0.072
Conceded late (76+)-0.405

Congested vs rested -0.30 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level +0.64

Ipswich Town

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%1.51.752.51.291.72

Liverpool

Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%1.51.51.01.91.39

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: away -1.6 pts at 6.0h

6.12Home 16% ▼ -4.9 ptsopened 4.584.8Draw 20% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 4.451.5Away 64% ▲ +6.1 ptsopened 1.63
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%60%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle6.12 ▼ -4.94.8 ▼ -1.21.5 ▲ +6.110m
bet3654.75 ▲ +1.94.5 · -0.81.6 ▼ -1.110m
Betfair5.5 ▼ -1.44.75 ▼ -2.31.5 ▲ +3.710m
BetVictor6.0 ▼ -2.85.0 ▼ -3.21.45 ▲ +6.010m
Coral4.4 ▲ +1.64.2 · -0.11.6 ▼ -1.510m
Ladbrokes4.4 ▲ +1.64.2 · -0.11.6 ▼ -1.510m
Unibet5.6 · -1.04.8 ▼ -3.61.52 ▲ +4.610m
WilliamHill5.5 ▼ -2.34.6 ▼ -2.81.5 ▲ +5.210m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.75Home 20% P 16%4.5Draw 21% P 20%1.6Away 59% P 64%

Double Chance

2.62Ipswich or Draw 18%1.16Ipswich or Liverpool 41%1.14Draw or Liverpool 41%

Draw No Bet

4.331 22%1.22 78%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 66% P 67%2.75Under 34% P 33%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56% P 60%2.1Under 44% P 40%
4.52.2Over 42% P 41%1.61Under 58% P 59%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 15–17.5% · away 62.5–65% · 188 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home16%16%17%+1.1
Draw20%21%26%+4.9
Away64%63%57%-6.0

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 53%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.567%66%69%+3.2

Darren England

Career
247 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
3.94 (3.83 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
22.8 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Premier League (5-year window · 85 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.384.26+0.3058
Fouls / match21.921.6+0.42
Fouls per card5.15.1-0.42 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.25-0.6131
Time added8.58.4+0.2654
First card
40' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 40% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.09

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-22 30 190 34'8
2026-05-24 · Liverpool 50 180 78'13
2026-05-16 40 280 29'8
2026-05-03 · Liverpool 40 230 49'9
2026-04-24 70 280 51'10
2026-04-20 30 250 21'8
2026-03-21 · Liverpool 100 220 25'16
2026-03-08 50 290 25'9
2026-03-04 40 160 45'12
2026-03-01 61 250 59'13