Rating 7.08 (94th pct) · G+A 16 + 6 (31% of team goals) · 72% of minutes
Team 1.72 ppg with (36) · 1.57 without (14)
Premier League · Matchweek 3
Momentum
– Hull CityAston Villa –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Hull City | at home | Stat | league | away | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.2 #20 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 48.5 #9 |
| 9.5 #19 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 8.2 #20 |
| 3.8 #14 | – | Shots on target | 4.4 | – | 1.5 #20 |
| 2.5 #19 | – | Corners | 4.6 | – | 3.5 #16 |
| 10.0 #15 | – | Fouls | 11.6 | – | 11.0 #11 |
| 0.8 #19 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 1.0 #18 |
| 16.2 #5 | – | Tackles | 15.5 | – | 15.8 #8 |
| 71.2 #20 | – | Attacks | 96.3 | – | 91.5 #12 |
| 31.5 #20 | – | Dangerous attacks | 47.6 | – | 38.2 #15 |
| 253.5 #20 | – | Passes | 442.3 | – | 424.0 #8 |
| 3.2 #1 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.0 #8 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #1 |
| 1.0 #8 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | 0.2 #17 |
| – #16 | – | Btts | 50.8 | – | – #16 |
| – #1 | – | Cleansheet | 29.5 | – | – #9 |
| – #5 | – | Draw | 34.0 | – | – #10 |
| 0.9 #19 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 0.8 #20 |
| 0.4 #6 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.5 #15 |
| – #7 | – | Failed to score | 29.8 | – | – #3 |
| 1.2 #13 | 1.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 #18 |
| 0.5 #18 | 0.0 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.8 #6 |
| 9.5 #7 | – | Interceptions | 8.4 | – | 5.5 #18 |
| – #14 | – | Lost | 33.2 | – | – #2 |
| 6.8 #11 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.5 #19 |
| 1.2 #20 | – | Shots blocked | 3.9 | – | 2.0 #16 |
| 5.0 #20 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.7 | – | 5.2 #19 |
| 4.5 #13 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 4.8 #8 |
| 4.5 #9 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.8 | – | 3.0 #18 |
| – #3 | – | Win | 32.8 | – | – #16 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 39 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.79 (home 1.41 · away 1.38)
- Home / draw / away
- 31% · 36% · 33%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 51% · 51%
- Cards / match
- 4.03 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Hull City · Last 365 days
Rating 6.96 (74th pct) · G+A 13 + 4 (24% of team goals) · 58% of minutes
Team 1.53 ppg with (32) · 1.94 without (18)
Rating 6.84 (39th pct) · G+A 2 + 3 (7% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 1.88 ppg with (40) · 0.9 without (10)
Aston Villa · Last 365 days
Rating 6.93 (56th pct) · G+A 12 + 9 (22% of team goals) · 62% of minutes
Team 1.79 ppg with (39) · 2.17 without (18)
Rating 6.97 (65th pct) · G+A 11 + 8 (20% of team goals) · 61% of minutes
Team 2.05 ppg with (39) · 1.61 without (18)
Rating 6.83 (50th pct) · G+A 3 + 4 (7% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Team 1.93 ppg with (44) · 1.85 without (13)
Absences
Hull City
- injury Abdülkadir Ömür midfielder · Fitness · 64 missed
- injury Darko Gyabi #13 key player midfielder · Groin Injury · 33 missed
- injury Eliot Matazo midfielder · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 13 missed · until 2026-11-30
- injury Joe Gelhardt #2 key player attacker · Ankle Injury · 4 missed
Aston Villa
- injury Amadou Onana #4 key player midfielder · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 10 missed
- injury Brian Madjo attacker · Ankle Injury · 3 missed
- injury Johan Manzambi midfielder · Knee Bruise · 10 missed
- suspension João Gomes #18 key player midfielder · Red Card Suspension · 2 missed · until 2026-09-20
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 3
Venue
- Stadium
- MKM Stadium, Hull
- Capacity
- 25,586
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 24,425
Teams
- Coaches
- Sergej Jakirović · Unai Emery
- Position
- 3 · 20
- Formation
- 5-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Michael Oliver
Weather
- Conditions
- scattered clouds
- Temperature
- 18.7° (feels 18.2°)
- Wind
- 4.1
- Humidity
- 60%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Brentford |
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 4 |  Leeds United |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 | WDDW |
| 5 |  Hull City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 6 |  Brighton & Hove Albion |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 7 | WLDW |
| 7 |  Chelsea |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | WWLDL |
| 8 |  Liverpool |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | DDWD |
| 9 |  Everton |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | WDDD |
| 10 |  Ipswich Town |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 |  Nottingham Forest |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | LDDW |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | DWDL |
| 13 |  Manchester United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | LWDL |
| 14 |  Sunderland |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | LWDL |
| 15 |  AFC Bournemouth |
4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | LDDD |
| 16 |  Crystal Palace |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 | LLWL |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 | LLDD |
| 18 |  Fulham |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | LLLD |
| 19 |  Aston Villa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 | LLDL |
| 20 |  Coventry City |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brentford |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 7 | WDDDW |
| 2 | Arsenal |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Manchester City |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWW |
| 4 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | WLDW |
| 5 | Leeds United |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | WDDW |
| 6 | Everton |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDDD |
| 7 | Hull City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | WWDD |
| 8 | Chelsea |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | WWLDL |
| 9 | Manchester United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | LWDL |
| 10 | Ipswich Town |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Sunderland |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LWDL |
| 12 | Newcastle United |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DWDL |
| 13 | AFC Bournemouth |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | LDDD |
| 14 | Liverpool |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | DDWD |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LDDW |
| 16 | Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | LLDD |
| 17 | Fulham |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Aston Villa |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Crystal Palace |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LLWL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WWWW |
| 2 | Arsenal |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Liverpool |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | DDWD |
| 4 | Nottingham Forest |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | LDDW |
| 5 | Hull City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWDD |
| 6 | Leeds United |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | WDDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | WLDW |
| 8 | Crystal Palace |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | LLWL |
| 9 | Newcastle United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | DWDL |
| 10 | Ipswich Town |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Chelsea |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | WWLDL |
| 12 | Brentford |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | WDDDW |
| 13 | Everton |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | WDDD |
| 14 | AFC Bournemouth |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | LDDD |
| 15 | Sunderland |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LWDL |
| 16 | Fulham |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LLLD |
| 17 | Manchester United |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | LWDL |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | LLDD |
| 19 | Aston Villa |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- Relegation
Hull City
DWWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 0 · xG 5.15–5.89 · xPts 6.22
- W
A
Coventry City
1–0
xG 0.55–1.18
UK PL
- W
H
Manchester United
2–0
xG 0.99–2.18
UK PL
- W
H
Middlesbrough
1–0
xG 1.22–0.75
UK CHAMP - W
A
Millwall
2–0
xG 1.93–1.02
UK CHAMP - D
H
Millwall
0–0
xG 0.46–0.76
UK CHAMP
DWWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 0 · xG 5.15–5.89 · xPts 6.22
- W
A
Coventry City
1–0
xG 0.55–1.18
UK PL
- W
H
Manchester United
2–0
xG 0.99–2.18
UK PL
- W
H
Middlesbrough
1–0
xG 1.22–0.75
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Millwall
2–0
xG 1.93–1.02
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Millwall
0–0
xG 0.46–0.76
UK CHAMP
Aston Villa
WWLLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 4.65–6.01 · xPts 5.13
- L
H
Arsenal
0–1
xG 0.43–1.25
UK PL
- L
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
0–4
xG 0.33–3.19
UK PL
- L
A
Paris Saint Germain
1–2
UEFA S Cup - W
A
Manchester City
2–1
xG 1.97–1.32
UK PL
- W
A
SC Freiburg
3–0
xG 1.92–0.24
UEFA EL
DWWWLLL 3W 1D 3L · 10 pts (1.43 ppg) · GF 12 GA 12 · xG 8.09–8.69 · xPts 8.38
- L
H
Arsenal
0–1
xG 0.43–1.25
UK PL
- L
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
0–4
xG 0.33–3.19
UK PL
- L
A
Paris Saint Germain
1–2
UEFA S Cup
- W
A
Manchester City
2–1
xG 1.97–1.32
UK PL
- W
A
SC Freiburg
3–0
xG 1.92–0.24
UEFA EL
- W
H
Liverpool
4–2
xG 1.99–1.12
UK PL
- D
A
Burnley
2–2
xG 1.45–1.57
UK PL
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).
All meetings · 14 matches since 2006
Goals 8–19 · 1.93 per match · BTTS 36% · over 2.5 36%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 8–13 · 2.1 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 4–6 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- D Hull City 0–0 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- D Aston Villa 2–2 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Hull City 1–3 Aston Villa UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Hull City 0–0 Aston Villa UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Aston Villa 1–1 Hull City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Hull City 2–0 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- L Aston Villa 2–1 Hull City UK PL · Regular Season
- L Aston Villa 3–1 Hull City UK PL · Regular Season
- D Hull City 0–0 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- L Hull City 0–2 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Hull City all · 4 | Hull City at home · 2 | Aston Villa all · 4 | Aston Villa away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Hull City · 4 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503
Game state
When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133
Situations
At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.573
Conceded late (76+)+0.274
Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08
Aston Villa · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: when behind -0.62
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.455
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.762
Game state
When level+0.125
When behind-0.623
10 min after conceding-0.484
10 min after scoring+0.382
Situations
At home-0.392
Away+0.163
4+ days rest-0.134
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.353
Evenly matched-0.133
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.175
Conceded late (76+)-0.064
Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.74
Hull City
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-4-1 | 4 100% | 2.0 | 1.25 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.44 |
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 100% | 0.25 | 0.25 | 1.75 | 0.79 | 1.88 |
| Metric | Hull City all · 10 | Hull City at home · 10 | Aston Villa all · 10 | Aston Villa away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 5 / 4 / 1 | 5 / 4 / 1 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 3 / 3 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals against / match | 0.70 | 0.80 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 60% | 50% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 30% | 30% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 40% | 80% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.22 | 1.28 | 1.41 | 1.36 |
| xG against / match | 1.35 | 1.21 | 1.49 | 1.43 |
| xG difference | -0.13 | 0.07 | -0.07 | -0.06 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.08 | 0.12 | 0.25 | -0.14 |
| xPts / match | 1.30 | 1.41 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.59 | 0.49 | 0.15 | -0.07 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.60 | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.33 | 2.00 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| Came back from behind | 75% | 67% | 33% | 33% |
| Leads held | 71% | 83% | 80% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 22% | 24% | 22% | 19% |
| Minutes level | 69% | 73% | 50% | 52% |
| Minutes trailing | 9% | 3% | 28% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 46 | 30 | 43 | 35 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 26 | 31 | 29 | 29 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 46% | 36% | 50% | 33% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | 38% | 50% | 29% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Late goals against | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 37% | 41% | 47% | 51% |
| Shots | 10.2 | 11.0 | 13.0 | 13.4 |
| On target | 3.9 | 3.8 | 4.6 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 69% | 68% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 2.3 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| Corners | 3.9 | 2.6 | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| xG from set plays | 36% | 38% | 31% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 15% | 15% | 12% | 8% |
| Pressure index | 7.7 | 8.5 | 11.8 | 13.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 37.0 | 44.5 | 45.9 | 50.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 68% | 68% | 84% | 85% |
| Fouls | 9.3 | 9.9 | 10.7 | 10.0 |
| Cards | 2.30 | 1.90 | 2.20 | 1.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Hull City
0–15'01
16–30'42
31–45'30
46–60'02
61–75'32
76–90'30
Aston Villa
0–15'12
16–30'15
31–45'61
46–60'44
61–75'32
76–90'12
Hull City
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-4-1 | 4 40% | 2.0 | 1.25 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.44 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.36 | 1.49 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.57 | 0.89 |
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.41 | 1.49 |
| Metric | Hull City all · 50 | Hull City at home · 27 | Aston Villa all · 57 | Aston Villa away · 30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 50 | 27 | 57 | 30 |
| Points per game | 1.68 | 1.63 | 1.91 | 1.70 |
| W / D / L | 24 / 12 / 14 | 12 / 8 / 7 | 34 / 7 / 16 | 15 / 6 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.42 | 1.30 | 1.67 | 1.43 |
| Goals against / match | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.19 | 1.33 |
| Clean sheets | 34% | 37% | 30% | 23% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 30% | 18% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 52% | 56% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 48% | 58% | 57% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.31 | 1.41 | 1.46 | 1.29 |
| xG against / match | 1.61 | 1.43 | 1.25 | 1.39 |
| xG difference | -0.30 | -0.02 | 0.21 | -0.10 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.11 | -0.11 | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| xPts / match | 1.23 | 1.36 | 1.51 | 1.31 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.44 | 0.27 | 0.44 | 0.45 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 56% | 44% | 56% | 43% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.29 | 2.42 | 2.53 | 2.31 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.88 | 1.00 | 1.13 | 1.27 |
| Came back from behind | 36% | 36% | 38% | 44% |
| Leads held | 73% | 80% | 83% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 31% | 28% | 32% | 26% |
| Minutes level | 54% | 56% | 48% | 52% |
| Minutes trailing | 15% | 16% | 20% | 22% |
| First goal (min) | 34 | 31 | 40 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 41 | 40 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 44% | 40% | 56% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 46% | 56% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.22 | 0.15 | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| Late goals against | 0.28 | 0.22 | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 43% | 44% | 52% | 52% |
| Shots | 10.8 | 11.2 | 12.7 | 11.9 |
| On target | 3.8 | 3.7 | 4.8 | 4.3 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 12% | 13% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 68% | 65% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 4.2 | 5.0 | 4.7 |
| xG from set plays | 23% | 29% | 29% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 16% | 12% | 17% | 19% |
| Pressure index | 8.8 | 9.6 | 15.0 | 14.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 38.5 | 43.0 | 52.0 | 48.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 71% | 72% | 85% | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.2 | 10.7 | 10.6 | 10.5 |
| Cards | 2.70 | 2.15 | 1.67 | 1.97 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Hull City
0–15'97
16–30'1510
31–45'1610
46–60'99
61–75'1111
76–90'1114
Aston Villa
0–15'99
16–30'128
31–45'2113
46–60'1714
61–75'1411
76–90'2213
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Hull City · 50 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: against ten men -0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1150
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1150
Late push (76+, level)-0.2421
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3712
Game state
When ahead-0.0933
When level-0.0850
When behind-0.2522
10 min after conceding-0.3232
10 min after scoring+0.2339
Situations
With ten men+0.253
Against ten men-0.433
At home-0.1527
Away-0.0523
3 days rest or fewer-0.0715
4+ days rest-0.1235
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.384
v mid-tier opponents-0.1226
v bottom-tier opponents-0.1115
As favourite+0.206
Evenly matched-0.0720
As underdog-0.2124
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2850
Conceded when ahead+0.3733
Conceded late (76+)+0.1846
Congested vs rested +0.06 · Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level -0.17
Aston Villa · 57 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.19) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.48
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1957
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2157
Late push (76+, level)+0.3316
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0615
Game state
When ahead+0.2541
When level+0.2357
When behind+0.0126
10 min after conceding-0.0940
10 min after scoring+0.4846
Situations
Against ten men+0.102
At home+0.1627
Away+0.2230
3 days rest or fewer+0.1020
4+ days rest+0.2537
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0733
v mid-tier opponents+0.2213
v bottom-tier opponents+0.262
As favourite+0.4025
Evenly matched+0.0822
As underdog-0.0510
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0457
Conceded when ahead-0.1741
Conceded late (76+)-0.2652
Congested vs rested -0.15 · Ahead vs level +0.02 · Behind vs level -0.22
Hull City
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 33 66% | 1.7 | 1.55 | 1.24 | 1.44 | 1.71 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 7 14% | 1.29 | 0.86 | 1.57 | 1.09 | 1.49 |
| 5-4-1 | 4 8% | 2.0 | 1.25 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.44 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 4% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.09 | 1.08 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 2 4% | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.25 | 1.52 |
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 53 93% | 1.83 | 1.6 | 1.23 | 1.45 | 1.22 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 5% | 3.0 | 2.67 | 0.67 | 1.66 | 2.08 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.37 | 0.4 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: away +2.0 pts at 1.5h · late move: away -1.4 pts inside the final hour
4.24Home 23% · +0.8 ptsopened 4.333.8Draw 26% · +0.5 ptsopened 3.821.91Away 51% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 1.84
Home Draw Away consensus of 6 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.24 · +0.8 | 3.8 · +0.5 | 1.91 ▼ -1.2 | 10m |
| bet365 | 4.1 · -0.5 | 3.6 · +0.8 | 1.85 · -0.3 | 10m |
| Betfair | 4.0 · -0.4 | 3.7 · +0.5 | 1.87 · -0.1 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 4.2 · -0.1 | 3.7 · -0.2 | 1.83 · +0.2 | 10m |
| Unibet | 4.1 · +0.5 | 3.6 · +0.7 | 1.88 ▼ -1.2 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 4.0 · +0.2 | 3.6 · -0.5 | 1.85 · +0.4 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: no -1.3 pts at 6.5h
1.75Yes 53% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.752.0No 47% · +0.0 ptsopened 2.0
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.75 · +0.0 | 2.0 · +0.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.73 · +0.0 | 2.1 · +0.0 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.7 · +0.0 | 2.0 · +0.0 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.75 · -0.4 | 1.98 · +0.4 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.75 · -0.3 | 2.05 · +0.3 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over +4.8 pts at 9.5h
1.91Over 52% · +0.6 ptsopened 1.892.06Under 48% · -0.6 ptsopened 1.99
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.91 · +0.6 | 2.06 · -0.6 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.9 ▼ -2.6 | 1.9 ▲ +2.6 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.87 ▼ -2.7 | 1.87 ▲ +2.7 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.79 · -0.4 | 1.88 · +0.4 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.89 ▼ -1.1 | 1.89 ▲ +1.1 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
4.1Home 23% P 23%3.6Draw 26% P 26%1.85Away 51% P 51%
Double Chance
1.9Hull or Draw 25%1.28Hull or Aston Villa 37%1.22Draw or Aston Villa 39%
Draw No Bet
3.251 29%1.332 71%
Both Teams To Score
1.75Yes 53%2.0No 47%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.9Over 50% P 52%1.9Under 50% P 48%
Total Corners
7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%
Number of Cards
3.51.8Over 51% P 52%1.9Under 49% P 48%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 50–52.5% · 348 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 23% | 24% | 27% | +3.4 |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | 29% | +3.7 |
| Away | 51% | 51% | 44% | -7.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 54%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |
Michael Oliver
- Career
- 622 matches · 18 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.53 (3.38 yellow · 0.08 red)
- Fouls / match
- 20.9 · 4.9 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.29
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 134 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.81 | 4.26 | -0.78 | 15 |
| Fouls / match | 22.0 | 21.6 | +0.45 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.9 | 5.1 | +1.03 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.22 | 0.25 | -0.47 | 38 |
| Time added | 8.1 | 8.4 | -0.08 | 23 |
- First card
- 41' on average
- Card timing
- 12% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 46% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.11
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 55' | 7 |
| 2026-08-25 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 3' | 6 |
| 2026-08-22 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 34' | 19 |
| 2026-08-11 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 43' | 4 |
| 2026-05-24 | 5 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 13' | 13 |
| 2026-05-17 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 90' | 10 |
| 2026-05-04 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 45' | 8 |
| 2026-04-25 · Aston Villa | 4 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 46' | 5 |
| 2026-04-18 | 4 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 25' | 9 |
| 2026-04-11 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 77' | 7 |