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Premier League · Matchweek 3

Momentum

FulhamCRY
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
3

Venue

Stadium
Craven Cottage, London
Capacity
25,700
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Arbeloa · Pierre Sage
Position
16 · 18
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Samuel Barrott

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
23.9° (feels 23.4°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
41%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 4400 817 12 WWWW
2 Manchester City 4400 826 12 WWWW
3 Leeds United 4220 734 8 WDDW
4 Hull City 4220 523 8 WWDD
5 Brighton & Hove Albion 4211 1358 7 WLDW
6 Chelsea 4211 1091 7 WWLD
7 Brentford 4130 743 6 WDDD
8 Liverpool 4130 642 6 DDWD
9 Everton 4130 532 6 WDDD
10 Ipswich Town 4202 710-3 6 WLLW
11 Nottingham Forest 4121 440 5 LDDW
12 Newcastle United 4121 78-1 5 DWDL
13 Manchester United 4112 770 4 LWDL
14 Sunderland 4112 35-2 4 LWDL
15 AFC Bournemouth 4031 67-1 3 LDDD
16 Crystal Palace 4103 611-5 3 LLWL
17 Tottenham Hotspur 4022 05-5 2 LLDD
18 Fulham 4013 47-3 1 LLLD
19 Aston Villa 4013 17-6 1 LLDL
20 Coventry City 4004 010-10 0 LLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • Relegation

Fulham

LDWLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 7.16–5.4 · xPts 8.1

  • L A Sunderland 0–1 xG 0.7–1.14 UK PL
  • L H Chelsea 2–3 xG 1.51–1.92 UK PL
  • W H Newcastle United 2–0 xG 1.73–0.39 UK PL
  • D A Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–1 xG 1.7–1.05 UK PL
  • L H AFC Bournemouth 0–1 xG 1.52–0.89 UK PL

Crystal Palace

DLWLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 7.0–8.5 · xPts 6.14

  • L H Manchester City 1–4 xG 0.62–1.99 UK PL
  • L A Everton 0–2 xG 1.79–1.45 UK PL
  • W H Rayo Vallecano 1–0 xG 1.87–0.75 UEFA ECL
  • L H Arsenal 1–2 xG 0.93–2.42 UK PL
  • D A Brentford 2–2 xG 1.79–1.9 UK PL

No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).

All meetings · 18 matches since 2004

Fulham 46 draws8 Crystal Palace

Goals 22–26 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Fulham 24 draws4 Crystal Palace

Goals 12–14 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Fulham 01 draws4 Crystal Palace

Goals 4–11 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Fulham 2–3 Crystal Palace UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Crystal Palace 1–1 Fulham UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Fulham 1–2 Crystal Palace UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Fulham 0–3 Crystal Palace UK FA Cup · Quarter-finals
  • L Fulham 0–2 Crystal Palace UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Crystal Palace 0–2 Fulham UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Fulham 1–1 Crystal Palace UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Crystal Palace 0–0 Fulham UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Fulham 2–2 Crystal Palace UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Crystal Palace 0–3 Fulham UK PL · Regular Season
MetricFulham all · 4Fulham at home · 2Crystal Palace all · 4Crystal Palace away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Fulham · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.30

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.034
Early press (0-15, level)-0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.382
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.303

Game state

When level+0.114
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding+0.043
10 min after scoring+1.202

Situations

At home+0.322
Away-0.272
4+ days rest+0.034

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.072
v mid-tier opponents+0.142
As underdog-0.072

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.014
Conceded late (76+)-0.134

Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level -0.34

Crystal Palace · 5 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.21) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.59

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.215
Early press (0-15, level)-0.055
Late push (76+, level)+1.262
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.593

Game state

When ahead-0.023
When level-0.065
When behind-0.404
10 min after conceding-0.434
10 min after scoring+0.124

Situations

At home-0.143
Away-0.292
4+ days rest-0.215

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.333
As favourite+0.032
As underdog-0.402

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.145
Conceded when ahead+0.133
Conceded late (76+)-0.224

Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.34

Fulham

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%0.251.01.751.731.37

Crystal Palace

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-14 100%0.751.52.751.092.29

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: away -2.3 pts at 5.0h

2.19Home 44% ▲ +2.4 ptsopened 2.33.35Draw 29% ▲ +1.6 ptsopened 3.523.68Away 26% ▼ -4.0 ptsopened 3.18
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%45%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.19 ▲ +2.43.35 ▲ +1.63.68 ▼ -4.010m
bet3652.2 ▲ +2.13.4 · -0.13.4 ▼ -1.910m
Betfair2.3 ▲ +1.23.4 · -0.03.2 ▼ -1.110m
BetVictor2.1 ▲ +3.63.5 · -0.43.4 ▼ -3.210m
Coral2.1 ▲ +2.13.25 · +0.53.3 ▼ -2.710m
Ladbrokes2.1 ▲ +2.13.25 · +0.53.3 ▼ -2.710m
Unibet2.32 · -0.63.4 · +0.33.05 · +0.310m
WilliamHill2.15 ▲ +2.63.2 ▲ +1.43.5 ▼ -4.010m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.2Home 44% P 44%3.4Draw 28% P 29%3.4Away 28% P 26%

Double Chance

1.28Fulham or Draw 37%1.3Fulham or Crystal Palace 36%1.7Draw or Crystal Palace 28%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53%2.0No 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 48%1.9Under 50% P 52%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54% P 51%2.0Under 46% P 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 25–27.5% · 725 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home44%44%44%-0.2
Draw29%30%28%-1.4
Away26%26%28%+1.6

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Samuel Barrott

Career
113 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
3.87 (3.82 yellow · 0.02 red)
Fouls / match
20.2 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Premier League (5-year window · 62 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.14.26-0.2235
Fouls / match19.921.6-0.66
Fouls per card5.05.1-0.53 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.260.25-0.0558
Time added9.38.4+0.9492
First card
36' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.17

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-29 60 231 44'8
2026-08-20 20 180 36'4
2026-08-06 40 230 39'6
2026-07-28 40 180 50'10
2026-05-24 10 190 45'9
2026-05-17 · Crystal Palace 40 121 83'14
2026-05-11 50 190 10'11
2026-05-03 70 240 27'6
2026-04-25 40 230 57'10
2026-04-19 40 220 66'9