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Premier League · Matchweek 3

Momentum

EvertonMUN
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
3

Venue

Stadium
Hill Dickinson Stadium
Capacity
52,888
Surface
grass
Attendance
52,302

Teams

Coaches
David Moyes · Michael Carrick
Position
10 · 12
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

John Brooks

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
23.8° (feels 23.8°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
59%

Where to watch · 73

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 4400 817 12 WWWW
2 Manchester City 4400 826 12 WWWW
3 Leeds United 4220 734 8 WDDW
4 Hull City 4220 523 8 WWDD
5 Brighton & Hove Albion 4211 1358 7 WLDW
6 Chelsea 4211 1091 7 WWLD
7 Brentford 4130 743 6 WDDD
8 Liverpool 4130 642 6 DDWD
9 Everton 4130 532 6 WDDD
10 Ipswich Town 4202 710-3 6 WLLW
11 Nottingham Forest 4121 440 5 LDDW
12 Newcastle United 4121 78-1 5 DWDL
13 Manchester United 4112 770 4 LWDL
14 Sunderland 4112 35-2 4 LWDL
15 AFC Bournemouth 4031 67-1 3 LDDD
16 Crystal Palace 4103 611-5 3 LLWL
17 Tottenham Hotspur 4022 05-5 2 LLDD
18 Fulham 4013 47-3 1 LLLD
19 Aston Villa 4013 17-6 1 LLDL
20 Coventry City 4004 010-10 0 LLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • Relegation

Everton

DLLWD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 5.83–9.32 · xPts 4.84

  • D A AFC Bournemouth 1–1 xG 1.14–2.66 UK PL
  • W H Crystal Palace 2–0 xG 1.45–1.79 UK PL
  • L A Tottenham Hotspur 0–1 xG 0.51–1.24 UK PL
  • L H Sunderland 1–3 xG 1.1–0.85 UK PL
  • D A Crystal Palace 2–2 xG 1.64–2.78 UK PL

Manchester United

DWWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 6 · xG 12.66–6.19 · xPts 9.78

  • W H Ipswich Town 5–2 xG 4.33–0.88 UK PL
  • L A Hull City 0–2 xG 2.18–0.99 UK PL
  • W A Brighton & Hove Albion 3–0 xG 1.49–1.25 UK PL
  • W H Nottingham Forest 3–2 xG 3.87–1.67 UK PL
  • D A Sunderland 0–0 xG 0.79–1.41 UK PL

No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).

All meetings · 56 matches since 2000

Everton 914 draws33 Manchester United

Goals 55–100 · 2.77 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Everton 12 draws7 Manchester United

Goals 7–21 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Everton 12 draws2 Manchester United

Goals 5–9 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Everton 2–2 Manchester United UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Everton 0–1 Manchester United UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Manchester United 0–1 Everton UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Everton 2–2 Manchester United UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Manchester United 4–0 Everton UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Manchester United 2–0 Everton UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Everton 0–3 Manchester United UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Manchester United 2–0 Everton UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Manchester United 3–1 Everton UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
  • L Everton 1–2 Manchester United UK PL · Regular Season
MetricEverton all · 4Everton at home · 2Manchester United all · 4Manchester United away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Everton · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.20) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.204
Early press (0-15, level)-0.564
Late push (76+, level)+0.053
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.662

Game state

When level-0.144
When behind-0.302
10 min after conceding-0.152
10 min after scoring-0.173

Situations

At home-0.182
Away-0.222
4+ days rest-0.204

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.262
v mid-tier opponents-0.142
As underdog-0.183

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.014
Conceded late (76+)-0.084

Ahead vs level -0.15 · Behind vs level -0.16

Manchester United · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.34) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.84

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.345
Early press (0-15, level)+0.515
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.042

Game state

When ahead+0.483
When level+0.305
When behind+0.313
10 min after conceding-0.054
10 min after scoring+0.843

Situations

At home+0.313
Away+0.372
4+ days rest+0.524

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.152
v mid-tier opponents+0.793
As favourite+0.524

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.175
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)+0.023

Congested vs rested -0.75 · Ahead vs level +0.18 · Behind vs level +0.01

Everton

Current: unbeaten 4 · winless 3 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-13 75%1.671.671.01.221.77
4-1-4-11 25%1.00.00.01.310.7

Manchester United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%1.01.751.752.050.93

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: away +1.7 pts at 3.0d

3.83Home 26% ▼ -4.5 ptsopened 3.223.88Draw 25% ▼ -2.1 ptsopened 3.551.98Away 49% ▲ +6.6 ptsopened 2.26
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 30%40%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle3.83 ▼ -4.53.88 ▼ -2.11.98 ▲ +6.610m
bet3653.75 ▼ -4.83.8 ▼ -1.71.9 ▲ +6.510m
Betfair3.1 · -0.53.75 ▼ -1.32.15 ▲ +1.810m
BetVictor3.6 ▼ -3.73.9 ▼ -2.31.93 ▲ +5.910m
Coral3.4 ▼ -4.73.6 ▼ -1.51.91 ▲ +6.210m
Ladbrokes3.4 ▼ -4.73.6 ▼ -1.51.91 ▲ +6.210m
Unibet3.35 ▼ -2.83.5 · +0.72.12 ▲ +2.110m
WilliamHill3.6 ▼ -4.83.6 ▼ -2.01.95 ▲ +6.910m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.75Home 25% P 26%3.8Draw 25% P 25%1.9Away 50% P 49%

Double Chance

1.8Everton or Draw 26%1.28Everton or Man Utd 37%1.25Draw or Man Utd 37%

Draw No Bet

2.621 35%1.442 65%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 59%2.2Under 43% P 41%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.52.1Over 44% P 39%1.66Under 56% P 61%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 47.5–50% · 285 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home26%26%24%-2.2
Draw25%25%27%+1.9
Away49%49%49%+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 56%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.559%59%60%+0.8

John Brooks

Career
221 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
4.22 (4.09 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
22.9 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.27
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Premier League (5-year window · 77 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.814.26+1.1185
Fouls / match21.721.6+0.30
Fouls per card4.65.1-1.32 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.330.25+0.7685
Time added8.18.4-0.0823
First card
30' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
52% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.12

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-27 70 251 37'7
2026-08-24 50 190 5'6
2026-07-30 71 331 35'5
2026-05-17 · Everton 30 230 25'9
2026-05-09 30 200 24'8
2026-05-02 40 290 39'6
2026-04-11 101 191 66'9
2026-02-12 50 230 4'6
2026-02-01 · Manchester United 30 151 20'12
2026-01-22 30 240 18'6