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Premier League · Matchweek 3

Momentum

BrentfordSunderland
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
3

Venue

Stadium
Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford
Capacity
17,250
Surface
grass
Attendance
17,131

Teams

Coaches
Keith Andrews · Régis Le Bris
Position
6 · 12
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Thomas Bramall

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
23.6° (feels 23.1°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
42%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 4400 817 12 WWWW
2 Manchester City 4400 826 12 WWWW
3 Leeds United 4220 734 8 WDDW
4 Hull City 4220 523 8 WWDD
5 Brighton & Hove Albion 4211 1358 7 WLDW
6 Chelsea 4211 1091 7 WWLD
7 Brentford 4130 743 6 WDDD
8 Liverpool 4130 642 6 DDWD
9 Everton 4130 532 6 WDDD
10 Ipswich Town 4202 710-3 6 WLLW
11 Nottingham Forest 4121 440 5 LDDW
12 Newcastle United 4121 78-1 5 DWDL
13 Manchester United 4112 770 4 LWDL
14 Sunderland 4112 35-2 4 LWDL
15 AFC Bournemouth 4031 67-1 3 LDDD
16 Crystal Palace 4103 611-5 3 LLWL
17 Tottenham Hotspur 4022 05-5 2 LLDD
18 Fulham 4013 47-3 1 LLLD
19 Aston Villa 4013 17-6 1 LLDL
20 Coventry City 4004 010-10 0 LLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • Relegation

Brentford

LDDWD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 9.63–9.53 · xPts 6.95

  • D A Leeds United 1–1 xG 1.84–1.12 UK PL
  • W H Tottenham Hotspur 3–0 xG 4.16–0.52 UK PL
  • D A Liverpool 1–1 xG 1.38–2.81 UK PL
  • D H Crystal Palace 2–2 xG 1.9–1.79 UK PL
  • L A Manchester City 0–3 xG 0.35–3.3 UK PL

Sunderland

DWWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 6.13–4.8 · xPts 7.73

  • W H Fulham 1–0 xG 1.14–0.7 UK PL
  • L A Ipswich Town 1–2 xG 0.91–1.39 UK PL
  • W H Chelsea 2–1 xG 1.81–0.81 UK PL
  • W A Everton 3–1 xG 0.85–1.1 UK PL
  • D H Manchester United 0–0 xG 1.41–0.79 UK PL

No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).

All meetings · 5 matches since 2017

Brentford 22 draws1 Sunderland

Goals 10–6 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 10 · 5 matches

Brentford 22 draws1 Sunderland

Goals 10–6 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Brentford 22 draws1 Sunderland

Goals 10–6 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Brentford 1–1 Sunderland UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Brentford 3–0 Sunderland UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Sunderland 2–1 Brentford UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Sunderland 0–2 Brentford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Brentford 3–3 Sunderland neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBrentford all · 4Brentford at home · 2Sunderland all · 4Sunderland away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Brentford · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.034
Early press (0-15, level)+0.454
Late push (76+, level)-0.493

Game state

When ahead+0.104
When level-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.303
10 min after scoring+0.274

Situations

At home-0.112
Away+0.142
4+ days rest+0.034

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.112
As favourite-0.112
Evenly matched+0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.174
Conceded when ahead-0.384
Conceded late (76+)+0.073

Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level +1.12

Sunderland · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.00) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.005
Early press (0-15, level)-0.235
Late push (76+, level)+0.062
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.223

Game state

When ahead-0.022
When level+0.075
When behind-0.253
10 min after conceding-0.413
10 min after scoring+0.434

Situations

At home+0.133
Away-0.182
4+ days rest+0.005

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.074
Evenly matched-0.102
As underdog-0.072

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.125
Conceded when ahead-0.152
Conceded late (76+)-0.135

Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.32

Brentford

Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 3 · scoring 6 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%1.51.751.01.941.53

Sunderland

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%1.00.751.251.561.37

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -3.2 pts at 9.0h

1.72Home 56% ▼ -3.8 ptsopened 1.613.9Draw 25% ▲ +1.3 ptsopened 4.125.07Away 19% ▲ +2.5 ptsopened 5.83
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%60%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.72 ▼ -3.83.9 ▲ +1.35.07 ▲ +2.510m
bet3651.7 ▼ -1.13.8 ▲ +1.55.0 · -0.310m
Betfair1.65 ▼ -1.23.9 · +0.75.5 · +0.510m
BetVictor1.7 ▼ -4.03.9 ▲ +1.14.8 ▲ +2.910m
Coral1.67 ▼ -4.03.6 ▲ +1.74.6 ▲ +2.310m
Ladbrokes1.67 ▼ -4.03.6 ▲ +1.74.6 ▲ +2.310m
Unibet1.66 ▼ -3.33.8 ▲ +1.85.5 ▲ +1.410m
WilliamHill1.7 ▼ -2.13.7 · +0.94.75 ▲ +1.210m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.7Home 56% P 56%3.8Draw 25% P 25%5.0Away 19% P 19%

Double Chance

1.16Brentford or Draw 40%1.25Brentford or Sunderland 37%2.1Draw or Sunderland 22%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53%2.0No 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 53%2.0Under 47% P 47%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54% P 54%2.0Under 46% P 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home56%56%53%-2.8
Draw25%25%26%+1.0
Away19%19%21%+1.8

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%54%+0.8

Thomas Bramall

Career
131 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
3.73 (3.6 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
21.7 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Premier League (5-year window · 53 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.364.26+0.2654
Fouls / match22.421.6+0.68
Fouls per card5.35.1+0.07 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.320.25+0.7177
Time added8.58.4+0.2654
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.19

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-21 20 230 27'7
2026-05-10 20 180 30'6
2026-05-01 70 240 27'9
2026-04-18 60 230 52'11
2026-04-11 30 180 30'10
2026-03-15 51 231 26'10
2026-03-07 60 220 60'8
2026-03-03 30 230 22'9
2026-03-01 60 250 61'10
2026-02-21 70 250 9'9