Rating 7.36 (98th pct) · G+A 5 + 8 (12% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 2.28 ppg with (47) · 2.7 without (10)
Premier League · Matchweek 3
Momentum
– ArsenalChelsea –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Arsenal | at home | Stat | league | away | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.2 #6 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 47.2 #11 |
| 13.5 #10 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 14.4 #9 |
| 5.5 #3 | – | Shots on target | 4.4 | – | 5.2 #8 |
| 4.8 #8 | – | Corners | 4.6 | – | 6.6 #2 |
| 10.0 #15 | – | Fouls | 11.6 | – | 8.6 #19 |
| 4.5 #1 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 1.2 #16 |
| 11.2 #19 | – | Tackles | 15.5 | – | 15.6 #10 |
| 104.0 #5 | – | Attacks | 96.3 | – | 95.6 #11 |
| 54.2 #7 | – | Dangerous attacks | 47.6 | – | 47.4 #10 |
| 498.2 #7 | – | Passes | 442.3 | – | 415.8 #9 |
| 1.5 #13 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.8 #10 |
| 1.5 #4 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | 1.8 #1 |
| – #16 | – | Btts | 50.8 | – | – #2 |
| – #1 | – | Cleansheet | 29.5 | – | – #15 |
| – #16 | – | Draw | 34.0 | – | – #15 |
| 1.9 #5 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.5 #11 |
| 0.1 #9 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.5 #4 |
| – #14 | – | Failed to score | 29.8 | – | – #13 |
| 2.0 #2 | 2.5 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.0 #2 |
| 0.2 #20 | 0.5 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 2.3 | 2.4 #4 |
| – | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.4 #5 |
| 8.0 #13 | – | Interceptions | 8.4 | – | 10.0 #5 |
| – #14 | – | Lost | 33.2 | – | – #9 |
| 0.2 #1 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | – |
| 7.0 #3 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #9 |
| 4.2 #8 | – | Shots blocked | 3.9 | – | 4.6 #6 |
| 9.0 #9 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.7 | – | 9.4 #8 |
| 3.8 #19 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 4.6 #12 |
| 4.5 #9 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.8 | – | 5.0 #7 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 32.8 | – | – #7 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 39 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.79 (home 1.41 · away 1.38)
- Home / draw / away
- 31% · 36% · 33%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 51% · 51%
- Cards / match
- 4.03 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Arsenal · Last 365 days
Rating 7.21 (93th pct) · G+A 12 + 8 (18% of team goals) · 63% of minutes
Team 2.51 ppg with (37) · 2.05 without (20)
Rating 7.13 (95th pct) · G+A 4 + 5 (8% of team goals) · 76% of minutes
Team 2.26 ppg with (43) · 2.64 without (14)
Chelsea · 2026/2027 · Premier League
Rating 7.53 (94th pct) · G+A 2 + 2 (40% of team goals) · 98% of minutes
Rating 7.68 (100th pct) · G+A 3 + 3 (60% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Rating 7.42 (81th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (40% of team goals) · 98% of minutes
Absences
Arsenal
- injury William Saliba #12 key player defender · Back Injury · 7 missed
Chelsea
- injury Jordan Henderson #16 key player midfielder · Forearm Fracture
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 3
Venue
- Stadium
- Emirates Stadium, London
- Capacity
- 60,704
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 60,240
Teams
- Coaches
- Mikel Arteta · Xabi Alonso
- Position
- 3 · 4
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Chris Kavanagh
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 22.9° (feels 22.5°)
- Wind
- 5.7
- Humidity
- 49%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Brentford |
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 4 |  Leeds United |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 | WDDW |
| 5 |  Hull City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 6 |  Brighton & Hove Albion |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 7 | WLDW |
| 7 |  Chelsea |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | WWLDL |
| 8 |  Liverpool |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | DDWD |
| 9 |  Everton |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | WDDD |
| 10 |  Ipswich Town |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 |  Nottingham Forest |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | LDDW |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | DWDL |
| 13 |  Manchester United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | LWDL |
| 14 |  Sunderland |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | LWDL |
| 15 |  AFC Bournemouth |
4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | LDDD |
| 16 |  Crystal Palace |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 | LLWL |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 | LLDD |
| 18 |  Fulham |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | LLLD |
| 19 |  Aston Villa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 | LLDL |
| 20 |  Coventry City |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brentford |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 7 | WDDDW |
| 2 | Arsenal |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Manchester City |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWW |
| 4 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | WLDW |
| 5 | Leeds United |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | WDDW |
| 6 | Everton |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDDD |
| 7 | Hull City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | WWDD |
| 8 | Chelsea |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | WWLDL |
| 9 | Manchester United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | LWDL |
| 10 | Ipswich Town |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Sunderland |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LWDL |
| 12 | Newcastle United |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DWDL |
| 13 | AFC Bournemouth |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | LDDD |
| 14 | Liverpool |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | DDWD |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LDDW |
| 16 | Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | LLDD |
| 17 | Fulham |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Aston Villa |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Crystal Palace |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LLWL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WWWW |
| 2 | Arsenal |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Liverpool |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | DDWD |
| 4 | Nottingham Forest |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | LDDW |
| 5 | Hull City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWDD |
| 6 | Leeds United |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | WDDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | WLDW |
| 8 | Crystal Palace |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | LLWL |
| 9 | Newcastle United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | DWDL |
| 10 | Ipswich Town |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Chelsea |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | WWLDL |
| 12 | Brentford |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | WDDDW |
| 13 | Everton |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | WDDD |
| 14 | AFC Bournemouth |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | LDDD |
| 15 | Sunderland |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LWDL |
| 16 | Fulham |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LLLD |
| 17 | Manchester United |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | LWDL |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | LLDD |
| 19 | Aston Villa |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- Relegation
Arsenal
WWDWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 2 · xG 7.58–4.1 · xPts 9.42
- W
A
Aston Villa
1–0
xG 1.25–0.43
UK PL
- W
H
Coventry City
3–0
xG 2.08–0.19
UK PL
- D
A
Paris Saint Germain
1–1 lost on pens None–None
xG 0.43–2.17
UEFA CL - W
A
Crystal Palace
2–1
xG 2.42–0.93
UK PL
- W
H
Burnley
1–0
xG 1.4–0.39
UK PL
WWWDWW 5W 1D 0L · 16 pts (2.67 ppg) · GF 9 GA 2 · xG 9.05–5.02 · xPts 11.19
- W
A
Aston Villa
1–0
xG 1.25–0.43
UK PL
- W
H
Coventry City
3–0
xG 2.08–0.19
UK PL
- D
A
Paris Saint Germain
1–1 lost on pens None–None
xG 0.43–2.17
UEFA CL
- W
A
Crystal Palace
2–1
xG 2.42–0.93
UK PL
- W
H
Burnley
1–0
xG 1.4–0.39
UK PL
- W
A
West Ham United
1–0
xG 1.47–0.92
UK PL
Chelsea
LWLWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 10 GA 9 · xG 7.78–7.22 · xPts 6.81
- W
H
Brighton & Hove Albion
4–3
xG 3.37–1.36
UK PL
- W
A
Fulham
3–2
xG 1.92–1.51
UK PL
- L
A
Sunderland
1–2
xG 0.81–1.81
UK PL
- W
H
Tottenham Hotspur
2–1
xG 0.9–1.36
UK PL
- L
H
Manchester City
0–1
xG 0.79–1.19
UK FA Cup
DLWLWW 3W 1D 2L · 10 pts (1.67 ppg) · GF 11 GA 10 · xG 8.2–7.79 · xPts 7.93
- W
H
Brighton & Hove Albion
4–3
xG 3.37–1.36
UK PL
- W
A
Fulham
3–2
xG 1.92–1.51
UK PL
- L
A
Sunderland
1–2
xG 0.81–1.81
UK PL
- W
H
Tottenham Hotspur
2–1
xG 0.9–1.36
UK PL
- L
H
Manchester City
0–1
xG 0.79–1.19
UK FA Cup
- D
A
Liverpool
1–1
xG 0.42–0.57
UK PL
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).
All meetings · 59 matches since 2000
Goals 80–85 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 63% · over 2.5 56%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 22–9 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 7–4 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- W Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
- W Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
- D Chelsea 1–1 Arsenal UK PL · Regular Season
- W Arsenal 1–0 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
- D Chelsea 1–1 Arsenal UK PL · Regular Season
- W Arsenal 5–0 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
- D Chelsea 2–2 Arsenal UK PL · Regular Season
- W Arsenal 3–1 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
- W Chelsea 0–1 Arsenal UK PL · Regular Season
- W Chelsea 2–4 Arsenal UK PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Arsenal all · 4 | Arsenal at home · 2 | Chelsea all · 5 | Chelsea away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | – | – | 5 | – |
| Points per game | – | – | 1.40 | – |
| W / D / L | – | – | 2 / 1 / 2 | – |
| Goals for / match | – | – | 2.00 | – |
| Goals against / match | – | – | 2.40 | – |
| Clean sheets | – | – | 0% | – |
| Failed to score | – | – | 20% | – |
| Both teams scored | – | – | 80% | – |
| Over 2.5 | – | – | 100% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | – | – | 1.54 | – |
| xG against / match | – | – | 1.72 | – |
| xG difference | – | – | -0.18 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | – | – | 0.46 | – |
| xPts / match | – | – | 1.23 | – |
| Points vs xPts | – | – | 0.17 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | – | – | 80% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | – | – | 1.75 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | – | – | 0.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | – | – | 33% | – |
| Leads held | – | – | 50% | – |
| Minutes leading | – | – | 45% | – |
| Minutes level | – | – | 33% | – |
| Minutes trailing | – | – | 22% | – |
| First goal (min) | – | – | 4 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | – | – | 34 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | – | – | 30% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | – | – | 58% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | – | – | 0.00 | – |
| Late goals against | – | – | 0.60 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | – | – | 47% | – |
| Shots | – | – | 14.4 | – |
| On target | – | – | 5.2 | – |
| Shot conversion | – | – | 14% | – |
| Shots inside box | – | – | 65% | – |
| Big chances created | – | – | 2.8 | – |
| Corners | – | – | 6.6 | – |
| xG from set plays | – | – | 27% | – |
| Goals from headers | – | – | 0% | – |
| Pressure index | – | – | 14.1 | – |
| Dominant minutes | – | – | 52.0 | – |
| Pass accuracy | – | – | 81% | – |
| Fouls | – | – | 8.6 | – |
| Cards | – | – | 1.80 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Chelsea
0–15'50
16–30'03
31–45'22
46–60'12
61–75'22
76–90'03
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Arsenal · 5 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.56) · stands out: v top-tier opponents +0.68
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.565
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Game state
When ahead+0.275
When level+0.625
10 min after scoring+0.555
Situations
At home+0.622
Away+0.543
3 days rest or fewer+0.642
4+ days rest+0.513
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.683
v mid-tier opponents+0.342
As favourite+0.565
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.355
Conceded when ahead-0.355
Conceded late (76+)-0.364
Congested vs rested +0.13 · Ahead vs level -0.35 · Behind vs level +1.77
Chelsea · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.09) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.33
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.095
Early press (0-15, level)+0.185
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.342
Game state
When ahead+0.074
When level-0.045
When behind+0.323
10 min after conceding-0.335
10 min after scoring+0.324
Situations
At home-0.002
Away+0.163
4+ days rest+0.095
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.064
As favourite+0.153
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.215
Conceded when ahead+0.354
Conceded late (76+)-0.335
Ahead vs level +0.11 · Behind vs level +0.36
Arsenal
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 5 · scoring 14 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 100% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.25 | 1.93 | 0.72 |
Chelsea
Current: winless 3 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 80% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.66 | 1.81 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 20% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.07 | 1.35 |
| Metric | Arsenal all · 10 | Arsenal at home · 10 | Chelsea all · 10 | Chelsea away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.80 | 2.50 | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| W / D / L | 9 / 1 / 0 | 8 / 1 / 1 | 3 / 2 / 5 | 3 / 1 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.50 | 1.60 |
| Goals against / match | 0.30 | 0.30 | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Clean sheets | 70% | 80% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 20% | 80% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 40% | 80% | 90% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.84 | 1.88 | 1.32 | 1.21 |
| xG against / match | 0.85 | 0.67 | 1.55 | 1.54 |
| xG difference | 0.98 | 1.21 | -0.23 | -0.33 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.34 | -0.28 | 0.18 | 0.39 |
| xPts / match | 1.98 | 2.15 | 1.18 | 1.13 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.82 | 0.35 | -0.08 | -0.13 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 90% | 70% | 50% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.78 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 3.00 | 1.50 | 0.20 | 0.88 |
| Came back from behind | 100% | 50% | 29% | 33% |
| Leads held | 90% | 100% | 60% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 44% | 48% | 30% | 18% |
| Minutes level | 54% | 46% | 36% | 38% |
| Minutes trailing | 2% | 6% | 33% | 45% |
| First goal (min) | 44 | 33 | 27 | 28 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 52 | 10 | 35 | 21 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 53% | 31% | 40% | 43% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 67% | 33% | 55% | 58% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 56% | 54% | 50% | 53% |
| Shots | 14.5 | 16.7 | 12.3 | 12.0 |
| On target | 4.7 | 5.6 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 10% | 12% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 60% | 62% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 3.0 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 6.7 | 5.4 | 5.2 |
| xG from set plays | 22% | 40% | 31% | 18% |
| Goals from headers | 7% | 12% | 0% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 15.7 | 17.2 | 12.3 | 10.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 60.2 | 64.7 | 48.5 | 46.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 86% | 83% | 86% |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 9.4 | 11.0 | 9.4 |
| Cards | 1.80 | 0.80 | 3.00 | 2.60 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Arsenal
0–15'21
16–30'20
31–45'30
46–60'50
61–75'11
76–90'21
Chelsea
0–15'53
16–30'14
31–45'32
46–60'24
61–75'34
76–90'13
Arsenal
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 5 · scoring 14 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 2.78 | 1.56 | 0.33 | 1.89 | 0.91 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.39 |
Chelsea
Current: winless 3 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 50% | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1.49 | 1.69 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 1.25 | 1.5 | 1.75 | 1.24 | 1.32 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.81 | 1.81 |
| Metric | Arsenal all · 57 | Arsenal at home · 27 | Chelsea all · 54 | Chelsea away · 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 57 | 27 | 54 | 27 |
| Points per game | 2.35 | 2.56 | 1.52 | 1.41 |
| W / D / L | 41 / 11 / 5 | 22 / 3 / 2 | 24 / 10 / 20 | 11 / 5 / 11 |
| Goals for / match | 1.93 | 2.11 | 1.81 | 1.85 |
| Goals against / match | 0.67 | 0.56 | 1.48 | 1.67 |
| Clean sheets | 51% | 59% | 24% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 5% | 7% | 17% | 15% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 41% | 61% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 56% | 72% | 82% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.96 | 2.09 | 1.83 | 1.63 |
| xG against / match | 0.93 | 0.72 | 1.34 | 1.47 |
| xG difference | 1.03 | 1.37 | 0.49 | 0.16 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.03 | 0.02 | -0.01 | 0.22 |
| xPts / match | 2.00 | 2.21 | 1.61 | 1.43 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.35 | 0.35 | -0.09 | -0.03 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 74% | 82% | 57% | 44% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.74 | 2.86 | 2.19 | 2.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.33 | 1.33 | 0.59 | 0.64 |
| Came back from behind | 62% | 50% | 33% | 39% |
| Leads held | 87% | 96% | 69% | 79% |
| Minutes leading | 43% | 50% | 33% | 25% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 43% | 41% | 43% |
| Minutes trailing | 8% | 7% | 26% | 32% |
| First goal (min) | 39 | 34 | 33 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 41 | 41 | 36 | 30 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 56% | 49% | 52% | 58% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 53% | 54% | 51% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.35 | 0.41 | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| Late goals against | 0.18 | 0.15 | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 56% | 56% | 57% | 56% |
| Shots | 15.1 | 16.5 | 13.9 | 12.8 |
| On target | 5.4 | 5.7 | 5.0 | 5.0 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 13% | 13% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 70% | 66% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 3.4 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 2.8 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 6.1 | 6.0 | 5.0 |
| xG from set plays | 33% | 33% | 29% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 22% | 18% | 15% | 11% |
| Pressure index | 22.8 | 26.7 | 18.2 | 15.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 66.2 | 71.0 | 57.5 | 52.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 85% | 87% | 86% |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 10.6 | 11.1 | 11.2 |
| Cards | 1.42 | 1.07 | 2.59 | 2.85 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Arsenal
0–15'155
16–30'143
31–45'208
46–60'216
61–75'206
76–90'2010
Chelsea
0–15'1113
16–30'1611
31–45'1913
46–60'2012
61–75'1514
76–90'1517
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Arsenal · 57 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.58) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.85
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.5857
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4557
Late push (76+, level)+0.1319
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.857
Game state
When ahead+0.6047
When level+0.5557
When behind+0.7713
10 min after conceding+0.4327
10 min after scoring+0.8354
Situations
Against ten men+0.093
At home+0.7027
Away+0.4930
3 days rest or fewer+0.7224
4+ days rest+0.5033
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.4833
v mid-tier opponents+0.7812
v bottom-tier opponents+0.263
As favourite+0.6351
Evenly matched+0.355
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2657
Conceded when ahead-0.3047
Conceded late (76+)-0.4048
Congested vs rested +0.22 · Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level +0.23
Chelsea · 54 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.32) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +1.43
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3254
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1754
Late push (76+, level)+0.3220
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0720
Game state
When ahead+0.3734
When level+0.4054
When behind+0.1330
10 min after conceding-0.1341
10 min after scoring+0.5445
Situations
With ten men-0.077
Against ten men+0.503
At home+0.3027
Away+0.3427
3 days rest or fewer+0.3921
4+ days rest+0.2733
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.1733
v mid-tier opponents+0.3010
v bottom-tier opponents+1.433
As favourite+0.4835
Evenly matched+0.1512
As underdog-0.187
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0554
Conceded when ahead-0.1434
Conceded late (76+)-0.3046
Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level -0.26
Arsenal
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 5 · scoring 14 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 29 51% | 2.34 | 1.9 | 0.66 | 2.01 | 0.99 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 27 47% | 2.33 | 1.96 | 0.67 | 1.9 | 0.82 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.22 | 2.32 |
Chelsea
Current: winless 3 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 41 76% | 1.56 | 1.73 | 1.29 | 1.83 | 1.25 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 11% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.17 | 1.59 | 1.71 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 7% | 1.5 | 2.75 | 1.75 | 2.42 | 1.37 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.81 | 1.81 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.62 | 2.02 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.4 pts at 3.0d
1.7Home 57% · +0.7 ptsopened 1.723.88Draw 25% · -0.8 ptsopened 3.765.3Away 18% · +0.0 ptsopened 5.3
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.7 · +0.7 | 3.88 · -0.8 | 5.3 · +0.0 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.7 · -0.6 | 3.9 · -0.6 | 4.75 ▲ +1.2 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.7 ▲ +1.3 | 3.9 · -0.7 | 5.0 · -0.5 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.67 ▲ +1.1 | 3.8 · +0.5 | 5.25 ▼ -1.5 | 10m |
| Coral | 1.67 ▲ +1.1 | 3.8 ▼ -2.0 | 4.4 · +0.9 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.67 ▲ +1.1 | 3.8 ▼ -2.0 | 4.4 · +0.9 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.7 · -0.0 | 3.8 · -0.3 | 5.0 · +0.4 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.7 ▲ +1.2 | 3.7 ▼ -1.3 | 4.8 · +0.1 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: yes -3.9 pts at 8.5h
1.8Yes 52% ▼ -1.3 ptsopened 1.751.95No 48% ▲ +1.3 ptsopened 2.0
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.8 ▼ -1.3 | 1.95 ▲ +1.3 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.62 ▲ +3.3 | 2.25 ▼ -3.3 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.67 ▲ +1.1 | 2.05 ▼ -1.1 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.7 ▲ +1.3 | 2.06 ▼ -1.3 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.73 · +0.9 | 2.05 · -0.9 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over -3.6 pts at 9.5h
1.75Over 55% ▲ +2.3 ptsopened 1.822.16Under 45% ▼ -2.3 ptsopened 2.05
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.75 ▲ +2.3 | 2.16 ▼ -2.3 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.72 ▲ +2.3 | 2.1 ▼ -2.3 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.67 ▲ +3.6 | 2.15 ▼ -3.6 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.7 · +0.9 | 1.99 · -0.9 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.74 ▲ +1.7 | 2.07 ▼ -1.7 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.7Home 56% P 57%3.9Draw 24% P 25%4.75Away 20% P 18%
Double Chance
1.18Arsenal or Draw 40%1.25Arsenal or Chelsea 38%2.1Draw or Chelsea 22%
Draw No Bet
1.281 73%3.52 27%
Both Teams To Score
1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%
Total Corners
9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%
Number of Cards
4.51.8Over 51% P 54%1.9Under 49% P 46%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 57% | 56% | 53% | -2.8 |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 26% | +1.0 |
| Away | 18% | 19% | 21% | +1.8 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 56% | 56% | -0.2 |
Chris Kavanagh
- Career
- 340 matches · 16 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.95 (3.82 yellow · 0.09 red)
- Fouls / match
- 20.9 · 5.0 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.21
- Cards to home side
- 45%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 103 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.48 | 4.26 | +0.49 | 77 |
| Fouls / match | 21.5 | 21.6 | +0.16 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.0 | 5.1 | -0.51 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.28 | 0.25 | +0.23 | 65 |
| Time added | 8.3 | 8.4 | +0.09 | 38 |
- First card
- 34' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.33
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 21' | 7 |
| 2026-08-20 | 5 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 21' | 5 |
| 2026-05-24 · Chelsea | 10 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 42' | 12 |
| 2026-05-15 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 39' | 11 |
| 2026-05-10 · Arsenal | 7 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 34' | 9 |
| 2026-05-02 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 22' | 9 |
| 2026-04-27 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 6' | 7 |
| 2026-04-19 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 22' | 13 |
| 2026-04-12 · Chelsea | 4 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 12' | 9 |
| 2026-03-21 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 37' | 6 |