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Premier League · Matchweek 2

Momentum

MUNIpswich Town
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
2

Venue

Stadium
Old Trafford, Manchester
Capacity
74,879
Surface
grass
Attendance
74,148

Teams

Coaches
Michael Carrick · Gary O'Neil
Position
16 · 10
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Craig Pawson

Weather

Conditions
very heavy rain
Temperature
17.7° (feels 17.9°)
Wind
1.5
Humidity
88%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 4400 817 12 WWWW
2 Manchester City 4400 826 12 WWWW
3 Leeds United 4220 734 8 WDDW
4 Hull City 4220 523 8 WWDD
5 Brighton & Hove Albion 4211 1358 7 WLDW
6 Chelsea 4211 1091 7 WWLD
7 Brentford 4130 743 6 WDDD
8 Liverpool 4130 642 6 DDWD
9 Everton 4130 532 6 WDDD
10 Ipswich Town 4202 710-3 6 WLLW
11 Nottingham Forest 4121 440 5 LDDW
12 Newcastle United 4121 78-1 5 DWDL
13 Manchester United 4112 770 4 LWDL
14 Sunderland 4112 35-2 4 LWDL
15 AFC Bournemouth 4031 67-1 3 LDDD
16 Crystal Palace 4103 611-5 3 LLWL
17 Tottenham Hotspur 4022 05-5 2 LLDD
18 Fulham 4013 47-3 1 LLLD
19 Aston Villa 4013 17-6 1 LLDL
20 Coventry City 4004 010-10 0 LLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • Relegation

Manchester United

WDWWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 6 · xG 11.55–6.46 · xPts 9.44

  • L A Hull City 0–2 xG 2.18–0.99 UK PL
  • W A Brighton & Hove Albion 3–0 xG 1.49–1.25 UK PL
  • W H Nottingham Forest 3–2 xG 3.87–1.67 UK PL
  • D A Sunderland 0–0 xG 0.79–1.41 UK PL
  • W H Liverpool 3–2 xG 3.22–1.14 UK PL

Ipswich Town

WW 2W 0D 0L · 6 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 1 · xG 4.08–1.63 · xPts 4.22

  • W H Sunderland 2–1 xG 1.39–0.91 UK PL
  • W H Queens Park Rangers 3–0 xG 2.68–0.72 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 7 matches since 2000

Manchester United 52 draws0 Ipswich Town

Goals 17–6 · 3.29 per match · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 7 matches

Manchester United 52 draws0 Ipswich Town

Goals 17–6 · 3.29 per match · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 43%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Manchester United 41 draws0 Ipswich Town

Goals 14–5 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Manchester United 5–2 Ipswich Town UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Manchester United 3–2 Ipswich Town UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 1–1 Manchester United UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 0–1 Manchester United UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Manchester United 4–0 Ipswich Town UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Manchester United 2–0 Ipswich Town UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 1–1 Manchester United UK PL · Regular Season
MetricManchester United all · 4Manchester United at home · 2Ipswich Town all · 4Ipswich Town away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Manchester United · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.34) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.84

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.345
Early press (0-15, level)+0.515
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.042

Game state

When ahead+0.483
When level+0.305
When behind+0.313
10 min after conceding-0.054
10 min after scoring+0.843

Situations

At home+0.313
Away+0.372
4+ days rest+0.524

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.152
v mid-tier opponents+0.793
As favourite+0.524

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.175
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)+0.023

Congested vs rested -0.75 · Ahead vs level +0.18 · Behind vs level +0.01

Ipswich Town · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.494
Late push (76+, level)-0.762

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.364
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.143

Situations

At home-0.202
Away-0.302
4+ days rest-0.254

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents-0.282
As underdog-0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.034
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)-0.123

Ahead vs level +0.36 · Behind vs level +0.12

Manchester United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%1.01.751.752.050.93

Ipswich Town

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%1.51.752.51.291.72

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.1 pts at 2.5h

1.37Home 70% ▲ +3.5 ptsopened 1.445.31Draw 18% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 4.978.38Away 12% ▼ -2.3 ptsopened 6.98
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 10%20%30%40%50%60%70%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.37 ▲ +3.55.31 ▼ -1.28.38 ▼ -2.330m
bet3651.36 ▲ +3.65.25 ▼ -2.87.5 · -0.830m
Betfair1.36 ▲ +1.65.0 · +0.48.5 ▼ -2.130m
BetVictor1.33 ▲ +4.55.25 ▼ -2.38.5 ▼ -2.230m
Coral1.33 ▲ +3.85.25 ▼ -2.87.0 · -0.930m
Ladbrokes1.33 ▲ +3.85.25 ▼ -2.87.0 · -0.930m
Unibet1.37 ▲ +2.05.1 ▼ -1.28.0 · -0.830m
WilliamHill1.36 ▲ +3.44.8 ▼ -1.47.5 ▼ -2.030m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.36Home 69% P 70%5.25Draw 18% P 18%7.5Away 13% P 12%

Double Chance

1.08Man Utd or Draw 44%1.16Man Utd or Ipswich 41%3.25Draw or Ipswich 15%

Draw No Bet

1.111 85%6.52 15%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53%2.0No 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.5Over 64% P 63%2.62Under 36% P 37%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.52.1Over 44% P 45%1.66Under 56% P 55%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 70–72.5% · away 10–12.5% · 534 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home70%71%75%+4.2
Draw18%18%15%-2.5
Away12%11%9%-1.7

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 62%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.563%64%63%-0.4

Craig Pawson

Career
441 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.82 (3.68 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
20.5 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Premier League (5-year window · 105 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.144.26-0.1542
Fouls / match22.421.6+0.68
Fouls per card5.65.1+0.47 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.280.25+0.1762
Time added8.88.4+0.5277
First card
42' on average
Card timing
9% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.37

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-24 20 180 33'15
2026-05-09 60 340 67'9
2026-05-02 40 201 59'11
2026-04-25 10 180 90'9
2026-04-21 20 210 45'5
2026-04-05 50 311 40'15
2026-03-03 30 190 60'9
2026-02-27 60 310 45'11
2026-02-22 20 192 41'16
2026-02-08 61 291 42'9