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Premier League · Matchweek 2

Momentum

LiverpoolNFO
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
2

Venue

Stadium
Anfield, Liverpool
Capacity
61,276
Surface
grass
Attendance
60,415

Teams

Coaches
Andoni Iraola · Oliver Glasner
Position
11 · 15
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Samuel Barrott

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
17.1° (feels 17.2°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
88%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 4400 817 12 WWWW
2 Manchester City 4400 826 12 WWWW
3 Leeds United 4220 734 8 WDDW
4 Hull City 4220 523 8 WWDD
5 Brighton & Hove Albion 4211 1358 7 WLDW
6 Chelsea 4211 1091 7 WWLD
7 Brentford 4130 743 6 WDDD
8 Liverpool 4130 642 6 DDWD
9 Everton 4130 532 6 WDDD
10 Ipswich Town 4202 710-3 6 WLLW
11 Nottingham Forest 4121 440 5 LDDW
12 Newcastle United 4121 78-1 5 DWDL
13 Manchester United 4112 770 4 LWDL
14 Sunderland 4112 35-2 4 LWDL
15 AFC Bournemouth 4031 67-1 3 LDDD
16 Crystal Palace 4103 611-5 3 LLWL
17 Tottenham Hotspur 4022 05-5 2 LLDD
18 Fulham 4013 47-3 1 LLLD
19 Aston Villa 4013 17-6 1 LLDL
20 Coventry City 4004 010-10 0 LLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • Relegation

Liverpool

LDLDD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 11 · xG 9.27–8.28 · xPts 7.38

  • D A Newcastle United 2–2 xG 3.64–1.27 UK PL
  • D H Brentford 1–1 xG 2.81–1.38 UK PL
  • L A Aston Villa 2–4 xG 1.12–1.99 UK PL
  • D H Chelsea 1–1 xG 0.57–0.42 UK PL
  • L A Manchester United 2–3 xG 1.14–3.22 UK PL

Nottingham Forest

LDLDL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 10 · xG 6.45–10.15 · xPts 5.49

  • L H Leeds United 0–1 xG 0.88–0.75 UK PL
  • D H AFC Bournemouth 1–1 xG 1.94–1.17 UK PL
  • L A Manchester United 2–3 xG 1.67–3.87 UK PL
  • D H Newcastle United 1–1 xG 1.51–1.3 UK PL
  • L A Aston Villa 0–4 xG 0.46–3.07 UEFA EL

All meetings · 10 matches since 2022

Liverpool 52 draws3 Nottingham Forest

Goals 12–10 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 40%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Liverpool 52 draws3 Nottingham Forest

Goals 12–10 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Liverpool 12 draws2 Nottingham Forest

Goals 4–7 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Liverpool 2–2 Nottingham Forest UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Nottingham Forest 0–1 Liverpool UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Liverpool 0–3 Nottingham Forest UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Nottingham Forest 1–1 Liverpool UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Liverpool 0–1 Nottingham Forest UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Nottingham Forest 0–1 Liverpool UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Liverpool 3–0 Nottingham Forest UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Liverpool 3–2 Nottingham Forest UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Nottingham Forest 1–0 Liverpool UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Nottingham Forest 0–1 Liverpool UK FA Cup · Quarter-finals
MetricLiverpool all · 4Liverpool at home · 2Nottingham Forest all · 4Nottingham Forest away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Liverpool · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: when behind +0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.115
Early press (0-15, level)-0.325
Late push (76+, level)+0.113
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.202

Game state

When ahead-0.172
When level-0.075
When behind+0.573
10 min after conceding+0.453
10 min after scoring+0.474

Situations

At home-0.043
Away+0.342
4+ days rest+0.174

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.043
As favourite+0.115

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.215
Conceded when ahead-0.072
Conceded late (76+)-0.405

Congested vs rested -0.30 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level +0.64

Nottingham Forest · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.064
Early press (0-15, level)-0.434
Late push (76+, level)-0.394

Game state

When ahead+0.652
When level-0.094
10 min after conceding-0.523
10 min after scoring+0.742

Situations

At home-0.262
Away+0.372
4+ days rest+0.064

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.372
Evenly matched+0.093

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.004
Conceded when ahead-0.202
Conceded late (76+)-0.354

Ahead vs level +0.75 · Behind vs level -0.62

Liverpool

Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%1.51.51.01.91.39

Nottingham Forest

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-14 100%1.251.01.01.61.23

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: home -2.0 pts at 2.1d

1.48Home 65% ▲ +1.0 ptsopened 1.54.81Draw 20% · +0.1 ptsopened 4.816.61Away 15% ▼ -1.1 ptsopened 6.13
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%60%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.48 ▲ +1.04.81 · +0.16.61 ▼ -1.130m
bet3651.45 ▲ +1.94.75 · -0.56.5 ▼ -1.430m
Betfair1.44 ▲ +1.54.75 · -0.66.5 · -0.930m
BetVictor1.44 ▲ +1.24.8 ▼ -1.46.5 · +0.330m
Coral1.4 ▲ +2.74.6 ▼ -1.26.0 ▼ -1.630m
Ladbrokes1.4 ▲ +2.74.6 ▼ -1.26.0 ▼ -1.630m
Unibet1.43 · +0.74.9 · -0.76.75 · -0.030m
WilliamHill1.44 · +0.34.5 · -0.46.0 · +0.130m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.45Home 65% P 65%4.75Draw 20% P 20%6.5Away 15% P 15%

Double Chance

1.11Liverpool or Draw 42%1.18Liverpool or Nottm Forest 40%2.62Draw or Nottm Forest 18%

Draw No Bet

1.161 81%5.02 19%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.5Over 64% P 63%2.62Under 36% P 37%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.629 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

2.51.57Over 59% P 67%2.25Under 41% P 33%
3.51.83Over 50% P 48%1.83Under 50% P 52%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 65–67.5% · away 12.5–15% · 566 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home65%66%69%+3.3
Draw20%20%20%-0.7
Away15%14%11%-2.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 58%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.563%64%63%-0.4

Samuel Barrott

Career
113 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
3.87 (3.82 yellow · 0.02 red)
Fouls / match
20.2 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Premier League (5-year window · 62 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.14.26-0.2235
Fouls / match19.921.6-0.66
Fouls per card5.05.1-0.53 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.260.25-0.0558
Time added9.38.4+0.9492
First card
36' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.17

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-20 20 180 36'4
2026-08-06 40 230 39'6
2026-07-28 40 180 50'10
2026-05-24 10 190 45'9
2026-05-17 40 121 83'14
2026-05-11 50 190 10'11
2026-05-03 70 240 27'6
2026-04-25 40 230 57'10
2026-04-19 40 220 66'9
2026-04-04 30 200 27'7