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Premier League · Matchweek 2

Momentum

Leeds UnitedBrentford
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
2

Venue

Stadium
Elland Road, Leeds
Capacity
40,242
Surface
grass
Attendance
35,974

Teams

Coaches
Daniel Farke · Keith Andrews
Position
10 · 6
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Tony Harrington

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
18.2° (feels 18.2°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
84%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 4400 817 12 WWWW
2 Manchester City 4400 826 12 WWWW
3 Brentford 5230 1046 9 WDDDW
4 Leeds United 4220 734 8 WDDW
5 Hull City 4220 523 8 WWDD
6 Brighton & Hove Albion 4211 1358 7 WLDW
7 Chelsea 5212 1012-2 7 WWLDL
8 Liverpool 4130 642 6 DDWD
9 Everton 4130 532 6 WDDD
10 Ipswich Town 4202 710-3 6 WLLW
11 Nottingham Forest 4121 440 5 LDDW
12 Newcastle United 4121 78-1 5 DWDL
13 Manchester United 4112 770 4 LWDL
14 Sunderland 4112 35-2 4 LWDL
15 AFC Bournemouth 4031 67-1 3 LDDD
16 Crystal Palace 4103 611-5 3 LLWL
17 Tottenham Hotspur 4022 05-5 2 LLDD
18 Fulham 4013 47-3 1 LLLD
19 Aston Villa 4013 17-6 1 LLDL
20 Coventry City 4004 010-10 0 LLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • Relegation

Leeds United

DWLW 2W 1D 1L · 7 pts (1.75 ppg) · GF 3 GA 4 · xG 4.42–8.33 · xPts 3.45

  • W A Nottingham Forest 1–0 xG 0.75–0.88 UK PL
  • L A West Ham United 0–3 xG 1.77–2.84 UK PL
  • W H Brighton & Hove Albion 1–0 xG 0.4–2.8 UK PL
  • D A Tottenham Hotspur 1–1 xG 1.5–1.81 UK PL

Brentford

WLDDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 6 · xG 9.66–9.44 · xPts 7.05

  • W H Tottenham Hotspur 3–0 xG 4.16–0.52 UK PL
  • D A Liverpool 1–1 xG 1.38–2.81 UK PL
  • D H Crystal Palace 2–2 xG 1.9–1.79 UK PL
  • L A Manchester City 0–3 xG 0.35–3.3 UK PL
  • W H West Ham United 3–0 xG 1.87–1.02 UK PL

All meetings · 19 matches since 2014

Leeds United 49 draws6 Brentford

Goals 16–24 · 2.11 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 21%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Leeds United 26 draws2 Brentford

Goals 10–13 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Leeds United 04 draws1 Brentford

Goals 4–7 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Leeds United 1–1 Brentford UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Leeds United 0–0 Brentford UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Brentford 1–1 Leeds United UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Leeds United 0–0 Brentford UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Brentford 5–2 Leeds United UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Brentford 1–2 Leeds United UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Leeds United 2–2 Brentford UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Brentford 1–1 Leeds United neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Leeds United 1–0 Brentford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Brentford 2–0 Leeds United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricLeeds United all · 4Leeds United at home · 2Brentford all · 5Brentford away · 2
Results
Matches5
Points per game1.80
W / D / L2 / 3 / 0
Goals for / match2.00
Goals against / match0.80
Clean sheets40%
Failed to score0%
Both teams scored60%
Over 2.560%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.98
xG against / match1.40
xG difference0.58
Finishing vs xG0.02
xPts / match1.61
Points vs xPts0.19
Game state
Scored first100%
PPG when scoring first1.80
Came back from behind100%
Leads held40%
Minutes leading39%
Minutes level60%
Minutes trailing1%
First goal (min)41
First goal conceded (min)66
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half75%
Late goals for (76'+)0.40
Late goals against0.40
Style
Possession45%
Shots16.2
On target4.6
Shot conversion12%
Shots inside box74%
Big chances created3.4
Corners4.4
xG from set plays45%
Goals from headers20%
Pressure index11.4
Dominant minutes50.8
Pass accuracy78%
Fouls14.4
Cards2.20

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Brentford

0–15'10
16–30'00
31–45'31
46–60'31
61–75'10
76–90'22

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Leeds United · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.73

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.184
Early press (0-15, level)-0.104
Late push (76+, level)-0.473

Game state

When ahead+0.173
When level-0.264
10 min after conceding-0.642
10 min after scoring+0.734

Situations

At home-0.082
Away-0.242
4+ days rest-0.184

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.313
Evenly matched-0.143

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.174
Conceded when ahead+0.023
Conceded late (76+)+0.113

Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level -0.14

Brentford · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.05) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.055
Early press (0-15, level)+0.405
Late push (76+, level)-0.493

Game state

When ahead+0.065
When level+0.045
10 min after conceding-0.293
10 min after scoring+0.285

Situations

At home-0.023
Away+0.142
4+ days rest+0.055

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.052
v mid-tier opponents-0.112
As favourite-0.112
Evenly matched+0.143

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.095
Conceded when ahead-0.125
Conceded late (76+)+0.264

Ahead vs level +0.02 · Behind vs level +1.06

Leeds United

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-12 50%2.01.00.50.931.36
3-5-22 50%2.02.51.01.991.57

Brentford

Current: unbeaten 7 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 100%1.82.00.81.981.4

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.0 pts at 2.0h

2.71Home 36% ▼ -1.9 ptsopened 2.563.4Draw 29% · +0.8 ptsopened 3.482.75Away 35% ▲ +1.1 ptsopened 2.82
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.71 ▼ -1.93.4 · +0.82.75 ▲ +1.11.0h
bet3652.9 ▼ -5.33.4 · +0.52.35 ▲ +4.81.0h
Betfair2.6 ▼ -1.13.4 · +0.02.75 ▲ +1.11.0h
BetVictor2.6 · -0.73.5 ▼ -1.02.63 ▲ +1.71.0h
Coral2.62 ▼ -1.93.3 · -0.12.45 ▲ +2.01.0h
Ladbrokes2.62 ▼ -1.93.3 · -0.12.45 ▲ +2.01.0h
Unibet2.55 · -0.13.4 · -0.52.75 · +0.61.0h
WilliamHill2.62 ▼ -1.93.25 · +0.32.62 ▲ +1.51.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.9Home 32% P 36%3.4Draw 28% P 29%2.35Away 40% P 35%

Double Chance

1.44Leeds or Draw 33%1.33Leeds or Brentford 36%1.5Draw or Brentford 32%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 49%1.83Under 50% P 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 35–37.5% · 584 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home36%36%35%-0.6
Draw29%28%28%+0.2
Away35%36%36%+0.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 53%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Tony Harrington

Career
272 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
3.38 (3.26 yellow · 0.07 red)
Fouls / match
22.7 · 6.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.27
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Premier League (5-year window · 48 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.884.26-0.6519
Fouls / match21.921.6+0.37
Fouls per card5.95.1+1.05 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.230.25-0.4142
Time added9.18.4+0.7788
First card
33' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.2

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-22 40 321 34'9
2026-01-18 30 280 23'7
2026-01-11 30 251 45'6
2026-01-06 30 241 61'8
2026-01-01 50 170 19'10
2025-12-28 · Leeds United 10 160 61'8
2025-12-03 · Brentford 10 160 65'9
2025-11-24 21 210 13'8
2025-10-25 20 290 3'7
2025-10-18 20 220 39'9