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Premier League · Matchweek 2

Momentum

ChelseaBHA
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
2

Venue

Stadium
Stamford Bridge, London
Capacity
34,915
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Xabi Alonso · Fabian Hürzeler
Position
8 · 5
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Michael Oliver

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
22.5° (feels 22.4°)
Wind
8.8
Humidity
59%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 4400 817 12 WWWW
2 Manchester City 4400 826 12 WWWW
3 Leeds United 4220 734 8 WDDW
4 Hull City 4220 523 8 WWDD
5 Brighton & Hove Albion 4211 1358 7 WLDW
6 Chelsea 4211 1091 7 WWLD
7 Brentford 4130 743 6 WDDD
8 Liverpool 4130 642 6 DDWD
9 Everton 4130 532 6 WDDD
10 Ipswich Town 4202 710-3 6 WLLW
11 Nottingham Forest 4121 440 5 LDDW
12 Newcastle United 4121 78-1 5 DWDL
13 Manchester United 4112 770 4 LWDL
14 Sunderland 4112 35-2 4 LWDL
15 AFC Bournemouth 4031 67-1 3 LDDD
16 Crystal Palace 4103 611-5 3 LLWL
17 Tottenham Hotspur 4022 05-5 2 LLDD
18 Fulham 4013 47-3 1 LLLD
19 Aston Villa 4013 17-6 1 LLDL
20 Coventry City 4004 010-10 0 LLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • Relegation

Chelsea

DLWLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 4.83–6.43 · xPts 5.53

  • W A Fulham 3–2 xG 1.92–1.51 UK PL
  • L A Sunderland 1–2 xG 0.81–1.81 UK PL
  • W H Tottenham Hotspur 2–1 xG 0.9–1.36 UK PL
  • L H Manchester City 0–1 xG 0.79–1.19 UK FA Cup
  • D A Liverpool 1–1 xG 0.42–0.57 UK PL

Brighton & Hove Albion

LLDWW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 4 · xG 11.72–3.4 · xPts 11.48

  • W H Tromsø 4–0 xG 2.58–0.38 UEFA ECL
  • W H Aston Villa 4–0 xG 3.19–0.33 UK PL
  • D A Tromsø 0–0 xG 1.9–0.79 UEFA ECL
  • L H Manchester United 0–3 xG 1.25–1.49 UK PL
  • L A Leeds United 0–1 xG 2.8–0.4 UK PL

All meetings · 20 matches since 2017

Chelsea 104 draws6 Brighton & Hove Albion

Goals 36–30 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 65% · over 2.5 70%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Chelsea 40 draws6 Brighton & Hove Albion

Goals 17–25 · 4.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Chelsea 10 draws4 Brighton & Hove Albion

Goals 6–14 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Chelsea 4–3 Brighton & Hove Albion UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Brighton & Hove Albion 3–0 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Chelsea 1–3 Brighton & Hove Albion UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Brighton & Hove Albion 3–0 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Brighton & Hove Albion 2–1 Chelsea UK FA Cup · 4th Round
  • W Chelsea 4–2 Brighton & Hove Albion UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Brighton & Hove Albion 1–2 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Chelsea 3–2 Brighton & Hove Albion UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Chelsea 1–2 Brighton & Hove Albion UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Brighton & Hove Albion 4–1 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
MetricChelsea all · 4Chelsea at home · 2Brighton & Hove Albion all · 4Brighton & Hove Albion away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Chelsea · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.064
Early press (0-15, level)-0.214

Game state

When ahead+0.074
When level-0.074
When behind+0.172
10 min after conceding-0.404
10 min after scoring+0.324

Situations

At home-0.002
Away+0.122
4+ days rest+0.064

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.003
As favourite+0.153

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.234
Conceded when ahead+0.354
Conceded late (76+)-0.274

Ahead vs level +0.14 · Behind vs level +0.24

Brighton & Hove Albion · 6 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: when level +0.95

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.596
Early press (0-15, level)+0.676
Late push (76+, level)+0.942

Game state

When ahead-0.093
When level+0.956
When behind+0.432
10 min after conceding-0.042
10 min after scoring+0.515

Situations

At home+0.463
Away+0.673
3 days rest or fewer+0.232
4+ days rest+0.744

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.232
As favourite+0.744

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.226
Conceded when ahead-0.073
Conceded late (76+)-0.403

Congested vs rested -0.51 · Ahead vs level -1.04 · Behind vs level -0.52

Chelsea

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-13 75%2.02.672.331.921.71
4-2-3-11 25%1.02.02.01.071.35

Brighton & Hove Albion

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%1.753.251.252.351.8

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home +2.4 pts at 2.0h

1.88Home 52% ▲ +1.2 ptsopened 1.923.91Draw 25% · +0.6 ptsopened 3.994.1Away 24% ▼ -1.7 ptsopened 3.81
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 30%40%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.88 ▲ +1.23.91 · +0.64.1 ▼ -1.71.0h
bet3651.83 ▲ +2.93.9 ▼ -1.54.0 ▼ -1.41.0h
Betfair1.91 · +0.53.75 · +0.13.9 · -0.61.0h
BetVictor1.85 ▲ +1.63.9 · -0.83.9 · -0.81.0h
Coral1.8 ▲ +2.93.75 ▼ -1.13.75 ▼ -1.81.0h
Ladbrokes1.8 ▲ +2.93.75 ▼ -1.13.75 ▼ -1.81.0h
Unibet1.92 ▼ -1.03.7 · +0.73.85 · +0.31.0h
WilliamHill1.85 ▲ +2.73.7 · -0.63.8 ▼ -2.01.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.83Home 52% P 52%3.9Draw 24% P 25%4.0Away 24% P 24%

Double Chance

1.25Chelsea or Draw 38%1.28Chelsea or Brighton 37%1.83Draw or Brighton 26%

Draw No Bet

1.41 66%2.752 34%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 59%2.2Under 43% P 41%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49% P 43%1.8Under 51% P 57%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 22.5–25% · 500 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home52%51%53%+2.3
Draw25%25%23%-2.6
Away24%23%24%+0.3

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 55%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.559%59%60%+0.8

Michael Oliver

Career
622 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.53 (3.38 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
20.9 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Premier League (5-year window · 134 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.814.26-0.7715
Fouls / match22.021.6+0.45
Fouls per card5.95.1+1.02 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.220.25-0.4638
Time added8.18.4-0.0823
First card
41' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-25 21 180 3'6
2026-08-22 20 311 34'19
2026-08-11 50 230 43'4
2026-05-24 50 330 13'13
2026-05-17 · Brighton & Hove Albion 10 160 90'10
2026-05-04 50 200 45'8
2026-04-25 40 260 46'5
2026-04-18 · Chelsea 40 250 25'9
2026-04-11 40 301 77'7
2026-04-07 50 240 37'5