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Premier League · Matchweek 1

Momentum

FulhamChelsea
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
Craven Cottage, London
Capacity
25,700
Surface
grass
Attendance
27,461

Teams

Coaches
Arbeloa · Xabi Alonso
Position
11 · 12
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

John Brooks

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
17.1° (feels 16.6°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
68%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 4400 817 12 WWWW
2 Manchester City 4400 826 12 WWWW
3 Leeds United 4220 734 8 WDDW
4 Hull City 4220 523 8 WWDD
5 Brighton & Hove Albion 4211 1358 7 WLDW
6 Chelsea 4211 1091 7 WWLD
7 Brentford 4130 743 6 WDDD
8 Liverpool 4130 642 6 DDWD
9 Everton 4130 532 6 WDDD
10 Ipswich Town 4202 710-3 6 WLLW
11 Nottingham Forest 4121 440 5 LDDW
12 Newcastle United 4121 78-1 5 DWDL
13 Manchester United 4112 770 4 LWDL
14 Sunderland 4112 35-2 4 LWDL
15 AFC Bournemouth 4031 67-1 3 LDDD
16 Crystal Palace 4103 611-5 3 LLWL
17 Tottenham Hotspur 4022 05-5 2 LLDD
18 Fulham 4013 47-3 1 LLLD
19 Aston Villa 4013 17-6 1 LLDL
20 Coventry City 4004 010-10 0 LLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • Relegation

Fulham

LLDW 1W 1D 2L · 4 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 5 · xG 5.43–5.24 · xPts 6.18

  • W H Newcastle United 2–0 xG 1.73–0.39 UK PL
  • D A Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–1 xG 1.7–1.05 UK PL
  • L H AFC Bournemouth 0–1 xG 1.52–0.89 UK PL
  • L A Arsenal 0–3 xG 0.48–2.9 UK PL

Chelsea

LDLWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 5.51–6.94 · xPts 5.61

  • L A Sunderland 1–2 xG 0.81–1.81 UK PL
  • W H Tottenham Hotspur 2–1 xG 0.9–1.36 UK PL
  • L H Manchester City 0–1 xG 0.79–1.19 UK FA Cup
  • D A Liverpool 1–1 xG 0.42–0.57 UK PL
  • L H Nottingham Forest 1–3 xG 2.6–2.02 UK PL

All meetings · 39 matches since 2001

Fulham 411 draws24 Chelsea

Goals 30–64 · 2.41 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Fulham 31 draws6 Chelsea

Goals 9–15 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Fulham 20 draws3 Chelsea

Goals 7–9 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Fulham 2–3 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Fulham 2–1 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Chelsea 2–0 Fulham UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Fulham 1–2 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Chelsea 1–2 Fulham UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Chelsea 1–0 Fulham UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Fulham 0–2 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Chelsea 0–0 Fulham UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Fulham 2–1 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Chelsea 2–0 Fulham UK PL · Regular Season
MetricFulham all · 4Fulham at home · 2Chelsea all · 4Chelsea away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Fulham · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.30

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.034
Early press (0-15, level)-0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.382
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.303

Game state

When level+0.114
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding+0.043
10 min after scoring+1.202

Situations

At home+0.322
Away-0.272
4+ days rest+0.034

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.072
v mid-tier opponents+0.142
As underdog-0.072

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.014
Conceded late (76+)-0.134

Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level -0.34

Chelsea · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.064
Early press (0-15, level)-0.214

Game state

When ahead+0.074
When level-0.074
When behind+0.172
10 min after conceding-0.404
10 min after scoring+0.324

Situations

At home-0.002
Away+0.122
4+ days rest+0.064

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.003
As favourite+0.153

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.234
Conceded when ahead+0.354
Conceded late (76+)-0.274

Ahead vs level +0.14 · Behind vs level +0.24

Fulham

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%0.251.01.751.731.37

Chelsea

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-13 75%2.02.672.331.921.71
4-2-3-11 25%1.02.02.01.071.35

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 4.2d before kick-off · 101 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: away -1.8 pts at 7.0h

4.14Home 23% ▼ -2.0 ptsopened 3.793.79Draw 26% ▲ +1.1 ptsopened 3.931.91Away 51% · +0.9 ptsopened 1.93
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle4.14 ▼ -2.03.79 ▲ +1.11.91 · +0.91.0h
bet3653.9 · -0.63.7 · +0.41.9 · +0.11.0h
Betfair4.0 · -0.93.7 · +0.41.91 · +0.51.0h
BetVictor3.75 · -0.53.6 ▲ +1.61.95 ▼ -1.01.0h
Coral4.0 ▼ -2.53.6 ▲ +1.21.91 ▲ +1.31.0h
Ladbrokes3.9 ▼ -2.53.6 · +1.01.91 ▲ +1.51.0h
Unibet4.0 · +0.23.75 ▲ +1.41.88 ▼ -1.61.0h
WilliamHill3.9 ▼ -1.73.5 ▲ +1.11.91 · +0.61.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.9Home 24% P 23%3.7Draw 26% P 26%1.9Away 50% P 51%

Double Chance

1.9Fulham or Draw 25%1.25Fulham or Chelsea 38%1.25Draw or Chelsea 38%

Draw No Bet

2.751 34%1.42 66%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 53%2.0Under 47% P 47%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49% P 47%1.8Under 51% P 53%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 50–52.5% · 348 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home23%24%27%+3.4
Draw26%25%29%+3.7
Away51%51%44%-7.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 54%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%54%+0.8

John Brooks

Career
221 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
4.22 (4.09 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
22.9 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.27
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Premier League (5-year window · 77 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.814.26+1.1185
Fouls / match21.721.6+0.30
Fouls per card4.65.1-1.32 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.330.25+0.7685
Time added8.18.4-0.0823
First card
30' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
52% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.12

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-07-30 71 331 35'5
2026-05-17 30 230 25'9
2026-05-09 30 200 24'8
2026-05-02 40 290 39'6
2026-04-11 101 191 66'9
2026-02-12 50 230 4'6
2026-02-01 · Fulham 30 151 20'12
2026-01-22 30 240 18'6
2026-01-17 · Chelsea 50 171 36'10
2026-01-10 70 361 45'7