KickoffDNA
0 live
Sign in
Premier League · Matchweek 1

Momentum

BHAAston Villa
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer
Capacity
31,876
Surface
grass
Attendance
31,746

Teams

Coaches
Fabian Hürzeler · Unai Emery
Position
14 · 11
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Peter Bankes

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
21.1° (feels 20.7°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
56%

Where to watch · 120

  • Algeria beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Angola DStv Now
  • Anguilla Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Antigua and Barbuda Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Argentina Disney+ Premium
  • Armenia Fast Sports · FAST TV · FastTV
  • Australia Stan Sport
  • Austria Sky Go Austria
  • Bahamas Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Bahrain beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Barbados Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Belgium Play Sports · Play Sports 2
  • Bolivia Disney+ Premium
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina Arena Cloud · Arena Sport 1P · ARENA SPORT PREMIUM 1 · Moja TV
  • Botswana DStv Now
  • Brazil Disney+ Premium
  • British Virgin Islands Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Bulgaria Diema Sport · Play Diema Xtra
  • Cambodia MONOMAX
  • Cameroon DStv Now
  • Canada DAZN · fuboTV · fuboTV Canada
  • Cape Verde DStv Now
  • Cayman Islands Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Chile Disney+ Premium
  • Colombia Disney+ Premium Sur
  • Cuba Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Cyprus Cablenet TV Go · Cytavision on the Go · Cytavision PPV4 · Cytavision Sports 6 · Nova Sports 2
  • Czech Republic Oneplay · Skylink
  • Denmark Viaplay
  • Dominican Republic Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • DR Congo DStv Now
  • Ecuador Disney+ Premium Sur
  • Egypt beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Estonia Go3 Extra Sports Estonia
  • Ethiopia DStv Now
  • Finland Viaplay
  • Ghana DStv Now
  • Greece Nova Sports 2
  • Grenada Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Guadeloupe Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Haiti Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • India JioHotstar
  • Indonesia Vidio · Vidio TV
  • Iran beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Iraq beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Israel Sport 2
  • Ivory Coast DStv Now
  • Jamaica Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Japan U-NEXT
  • Jordan beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Kenya DStv Now
  • Kosovo Arena Sport Premium 2
  • Kuwait beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Laos MONOMAX
  • Latvia Go3 Extra Sports Estonia
  • Lebanon beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Lithuania Go3 Extra Sports Estonia
  • Malaysia Astro Go
  • Malta GO TV Anywhere · TSN 6
  • Mexico Fox One
  • Montenegro Arena Cloud · Arena Sport Premium 2
  • Morocco beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Netherlands Viaplay · Viaplay Netherlands
  • Nigeria DStv Now
  • North Macedonia Arena Cloud · Arena Sport Premium 2
  • Norway Viaplay · Viaplay Norway
  • Oman beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Palestine beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Paraguay Disney+ Premium
  • Peru Disney+ Premium
  • Portugal DAZN · DAZN Eleven 2 Portugal · DAZN Portugal
  • Puerto Rico Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Qatar beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Romania Voyo
  • Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Disney+ Caribbean
  • Saudi Arabia beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Senegal DStv Now
  • Serbia Arena Cloud · Arena Sport Premium 2
  • Singapore StarHub TV+
  • Slovakia Skylink
  • South Korea Coupang Play
  • Spain DAZN
  • Sweden Viaplay Sweden
  • Tanzania DStv Now
  • Thailand MONOMAX
  • Togo DStv Now
  • Trinidad and Tobago Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Tunisia beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Turkey beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Uganda DStv Now
  • United Arab Emirates beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Uruguay Disney+ Premium
  • US Virgin Islands Disney+ Caribbean
  • Venezuela Disney+ Premium Sur
  • Vietnam FPT Play
  • Yemen beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Zimbabwe DStv Now

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 4400 817 12 WWWW
2 Manchester City 4400 826 12 WWWW
3 Brentford 5230 1046 9 WDDDW
4 Leeds United 4220 734 8 WDDW
5 Hull City 4220 523 8 WWDD
6 Brighton & Hove Albion 4211 1358 7 WLDW
7 Chelsea 5212 1012-2 7 WWLDL
8 Liverpool 4130 642 6 DDWD
9 Everton 4130 532 6 WDDD
10 Ipswich Town 4202 710-3 6 WLLW
11 Nottingham Forest 4121 440 5 LDDW
12 Newcastle United 4121 78-1 5 DWDL
13 Manchester United 4112 770 4 LWDL
14 Sunderland 4112 35-2 4 LWDL
15 AFC Bournemouth 4031 67-1 3 LDDD
16 Crystal Palace 4103 611-5 3 LLWL
17 Tottenham Hotspur 4022 05-5 2 LLDD
18 Fulham 4013 47-3 1 LLLD
19 Aston Villa 4013 17-6 1 LLDL
20 Coventry City 4004 010-10 0 LLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • Relegation

Brighton & Hove Albion

LWLLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 9.36–5.27 · xPts 9.44

  • D A Tromsø 0–0 xG 1.9–0.79 UEFA ECL
  • L H Manchester United 0–3 xG 1.25–1.49 UK PL
  • L A Leeds United 0–1 xG 2.8–0.4 UK PL
  • W H Wolverhampton Wanderers 3–0 xG 1.93–0.34 UK PL
  • L A Newcastle United 1–3 xG 1.49–2.25 UK PL

Aston Villa

DWWWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 12 GA 7 · xG 7.33–4.25 · xPts 7.57

  • L A Paris Saint Germain 1–2 UEFA S Cup
  • W A Manchester City 2–1 xG 1.97–1.32 UK PL
  • W A SC Freiburg 3–0 xG 1.92–0.24 UEFA EL
  • W H Liverpool 4–2 xG 1.99–1.12 UK PL
  • D A Burnley 2–2 xG 1.45–1.57 UK PL

All meetings · 18 matches since 2010

Brighton & Hove Albion 35 draws10 Aston Villa

Goals 21–33 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Brighton & Hove Albion 21 draws7 Aston Villa

Goals 13–22 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Brighton & Hove Albion 11 draws3 Aston Villa

Goals 9–10 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Brighton & Hove Albion 4–0 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Aston Villa 1–0 Brighton & Hove Albion UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Brighton & Hove Albion 3–4 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Brighton & Hove Albion 0–3 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Aston Villa 2–2 Brighton & Hove Albion UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Brighton & Hove Albion 1–0 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Aston Villa 6–1 Brighton & Hove Albion UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Aston Villa 2–1 Brighton & Hove Albion UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Brighton & Hove Albion 1–2 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Brighton & Hove Albion 0–2 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
MetricBrighton & Hove Albion all · 4Brighton & Hove Albion at home · 2Aston Villa all · 4Aston Villa away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Brighton & Hove Albion · 6 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: when level +0.95

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.596
Early press (0-15, level)+0.676
Late push (76+, level)+0.942

Game state

When ahead-0.093
When level+0.956
When behind+0.432
10 min after conceding-0.042
10 min after scoring+0.515

Situations

At home+0.463
Away+0.673
3 days rest or fewer+0.232
4+ days rest+0.744

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.232
As favourite+0.744

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.226
Conceded when ahead-0.073
Conceded late (76+)-0.403

Congested vs rested -0.51 · Ahead vs level -1.04 · Behind vs level -0.52

Aston Villa · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: when behind -0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.455
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.762

Game state

When level+0.125
When behind-0.623
10 min after conceding-0.484
10 min after scoring+0.382

Situations

At home-0.392
Away+0.163
4+ days rest-0.134

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.353
Evenly matched-0.133

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.175
Conceded late (76+)-0.064

Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.74

Brighton & Hove Albion

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%1.753.251.252.351.8

Aston Villa

Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%0.250.251.750.791.88

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 3.0d before kick-off · 72 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.0 pts at 6.0h

2.28Home 43% · -0.9 ptsopened 2.223.56Draw 27% · +0.9 ptsopened 3.663.24Away 30% · +0.1 ptsopened 3.23
2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%45%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.28 · -0.93.56 · +0.93.24 · +0.11.0h
bet3652.1 ▲ +2.33.6 · +0.23.4 ▼ -2.51.0h
Betfair2.25 · -0.33.5 ▲ +1.23.25 · -0.91.0h
BetVictor2.25 ▼ -1.13.3 ▲ +2.93.25 ▼ -1.81.0h
Coral2.2 · +0.93.4 ▲ +1.53.25 ▼ -2.51.0h
Ladbrokes2.1 ▲ +2.63.4 · +0.53.3 ▼ -3.11.0h
Unibet2.28 ▼ -1.03.5 ▲ +1.13.05 · -0.11.0h
WilliamHill2.25 · -0.53.3 ▲ +1.13.1 · -0.71.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 45% P 43%3.6Draw 27% P 27%3.4Away 28% P 30%

Double Chance

1.36Brighton or Draw 35%1.28Brighton or Aston Villa 37%1.66Draw or Aston Villa 28%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 52%2.0Under 47% P 48%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56% P 58%2.1Under 44% P 42%
4.52.1Over 44% P 38%1.66Under 56% P 62%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 30–32.5% · 232 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home43%43%45%+1.8
Draw27%26%25%-0.8
Away30%31%30%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 66%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

Peter Bankes

Career
284 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
4.08 (3.94 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
21.1 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.18
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Premier League (5-year window · 86 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.474.26+0.4769
Fouls / match21.421.6+0.10
Fouls per card4.95.1-0.75 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.25-0.6527
Time added8.68.4+0.3465
First card
39' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.24

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-14 10 160 75'12
2026-03-07 51 170 23'9
2026-03-04 71 311 26'15
2026-02-28 30 180 85'8
2026-02-22 30 280 27'15
2026-02-11 · Brighton & Hove Albion · Aston Villa 50 240 2'8
2026-02-06 20 210 61'10
2026-01-24 10 170 79'7
2026-01-07 61 170 22'11
2026-01-03 10 211 85'12