Momentum
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Season context
| Brighton & Hove Albion | at home | Stat | league | away | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70.8 #1 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 48.5 #9 |
| 19.5 #2 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 8.2 #20 |
| 6.0 #1 | – | Shots on target | 4.4 | – | 1.5 #20 |
| 5.5 #6 | – | Corners | 4.6 | – | 3.5 #16 |
| 13.0 #5 | – | Fouls | 11.6 | – | 11.0 #11 |
| 3.0 #2 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 1.0 #18 |
| 12.0 #18 | – | Tackles | 15.5 | – | 15.8 #8 |
| 117.5 #3 | – | Attacks | 96.3 | – | 91.5 #12 |
| 65.8 #1 | – | Dangerous attacks | 47.6 | – | 38.2 #15 |
| 600.0 #2 | – | Passes | 442.3 | – | 424.0 #8 |
| 2.0 #8 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.0 #8 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #1 |
| 1.8 #2 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | 0.2 #17 |
| – #8 | – | Btts | 50.8 | – | – #16 |
| – #3 | – | Cleansheet | 29.5 | – | – #9 |
| – #10 | – | Draw | 34.0 | – | – #10 |
| 2.3 #1 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 0.8 #20 |
| 0.9 #1 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.5 #15 |
| – #14 | – | Failed to score | 29.8 | – | – #3 |
| 3.2 #1 | 2.5 | Goals | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 #18 |
| 1.2 #10 | 0.5 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.8 #6 |
| 0.5 #1 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | – |
| 5.8 #16 | – | Interceptions | 8.4 | – | 5.5 #18 |
| – #10 | – | Lost | 33.2 | – | – #2 |
| 0.2 #1 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | – |
| 7.0 #2 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.5 #19 |
| 4.0 #10 | – | Shots blocked | 3.9 | – | 2.0 #16 |
| 13.2 #1 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.7 | – | 5.2 #19 |
| 9.5 #1 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 4.8 #8 |
| 6.2 #3 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.8 | – | 3.0 #18 |
| – #3 | – | Win | 32.8 | – | – #16 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 39 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.79 (home 1.41 · away 1.38)
- Home / draw / away
- 31% · 36% · 33%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 51% · 51%
- Cards / match
- 4.03 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Brighton & Hove Albion · Last 365 days
Aston Villa · Last 365 days
Absences
Brighton & Hove Albion
- injury Stefanos Tzimas #19 key player attacker · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 33 missed · until 2026-09-01
Aston Villa
- injury Johan Manzambi midfielder · Knee Bruise · 9 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 1
Venue
- Stadium
- The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer
- Capacity
- 31,876
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 31,746
Teams
- Coaches
- Fabian Hürzeler · Unai Emery
- Position
- 14 · 11
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Peter Bankes
Weather
- Conditions
- scattered clouds
- Temperature
- 21.1° (feels 20.7°)
- Wind
- 4.6
- Humidity
- 56%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 | Brentford |
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 4 | Leeds United |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 | WDDW |
| 5 | Hull City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 7 | WLDW |
| 7 | Chelsea |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | WWLDL |
| 8 | Liverpool |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | DDWD |
| 9 | Everton |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | WDDD |
| 10 | Ipswich Town |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 | Nottingham Forest |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | LDDW |
| 12 | Newcastle United |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | DWDL |
| 13 | Manchester United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | LWDL |
| 14 | Sunderland |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | LWDL |
| 15 | AFC Bournemouth |
4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | LDDD |
| 16 | Crystal Palace |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 | LLWL |
| 17 | Tottenham Hotspur |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 | LLDD |
| 18 | Fulham |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | LLLD |
| 19 | Aston Villa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 | LLDL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brentford |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 7 | WDDDW |
| 2 | Arsenal |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Manchester City |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWW |
| 4 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | WLDW |
| 5 | Leeds United |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | WDDW |
| 6 | Everton |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDDD |
| 7 | Hull City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | WWDD |
| 8 | Chelsea |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | WWLDL |
| 9 | Manchester United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | LWDL |
| 10 | Ipswich Town |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Sunderland |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LWDL |
| 12 | Newcastle United |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DWDL |
| 13 | AFC Bournemouth |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | LDDD |
| 14 | Liverpool |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | DDWD |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LDDW |
| 16 | Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | LLDD |
| 17 | Fulham |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Aston Villa |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Crystal Palace |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LLWL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WWWW |
| 2 | Arsenal |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Liverpool |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | DDWD |
| 4 | Nottingham Forest |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | LDDW |
| 5 | Hull City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWDD |
| 6 | Leeds United |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | WDDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | WLDW |
| 8 | Crystal Palace |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | LLWL |
| 9 | Newcastle United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | DWDL |
| 10 | Ipswich Town |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Chelsea |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | WWLDL |
| 12 | Brentford |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | WDDDW |
| 13 | Everton |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | WDDD |
| 14 | AFC Bournemouth |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | LDDD |
| 15 | Sunderland |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LWDL |
| 16 | Fulham |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LLLD |
| 17 | Manchester United |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | LWDL |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | LLDD |
| 19 | Aston Villa |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- Relegation
Brighton & Hove Albion
LWLLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 9.36–5.27 · xPts 9.44
- D
A
Tromsø
0–0
xG 1.9–0.79
UEFA ECL - L
H
Manchester United
0–3
xG 1.25–1.49
UK PL - L
A
Leeds United
0–1
xG 2.8–0.4
UK PL - W
H
Wolverhampton Wanderers
3–0
xG 1.93–0.34
UK PL - L
A
Newcastle United
1–3
xG 1.49–2.25
UK PL
LWLLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 9.36–5.27 · xPts 9.44
- D
A
Tromsø
0–0
xG 1.9–0.79
UEFA ECL - L
H
Manchester United
0–3
xG 1.25–1.49
UK PL - L
A
Leeds United
0–1
xG 2.8–0.4
UK PL - W
H
Wolverhampton Wanderers
3–0
xG 1.93–0.34
UK PL - L
A
Newcastle United
1–3
xG 1.49–2.25
UK PL
Aston Villa
DWWWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 12 GA 7 · xG 7.33–4.25 · xPts 7.57
- L
A
Paris Saint Germain
1–2
UEFA S Cup - W
A
Manchester City
2–1
xG 1.97–1.32
UK PL - W
A
SC Freiburg
3–0
xG 1.92–0.24
UEFA EL - W
H
Liverpool
4–2
xG 1.99–1.12
UK PL - D
A
Burnley
2–2
xG 1.45–1.57
UK PL
LLLWDWWWL 4W 1D 4L · 13 pts (1.44 ppg) · GF 17 GA 11 · xG 12.63–8.61 · xPts 13.11
- L
A
Paris Saint Germain
1–2
UEFA S Cup - W
A
Manchester City
2–1
xG 1.97–1.32
UK PL - W
A
SC Freiburg
3–0
xG 1.92–0.24
UEFA EL - W
H
Liverpool
4–2
xG 1.99–1.12
UK PL - D
A
Burnley
2–2
xG 1.45–1.57
UK PL - W
H
Nottingham Forest
4–0
xG 3.07–0.46
UEFA EL - L
H
Tottenham Hotspur
1–2
xG 0.48–0.85
UK PL - L
A
Nottingham Forest
0–1
xG 0.82–1.69
UEFA EL - L
A
Fulham
0–1
xG 0.94–1.36
UK PL
All meetings · 18 matches since 2010
Goals 21–33 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 56%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 13–22 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 9–10 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- W Brighton & Hove Albion 4–0 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- L Aston Villa 1–0 Brighton & Hove Albion UK PL · Regular Season
- L Brighton & Hove Albion 3–4 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- L Brighton & Hove Albion 0–3 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- D Aston Villa 2–2 Brighton & Hove Albion UK PL · Regular Season
- W Brighton & Hove Albion 1–0 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- L Aston Villa 6–1 Brighton & Hove Albion UK PL · Regular Season
- L Aston Villa 2–1 Brighton & Hove Albion UK PL · Regular Season
- L Brighton & Hove Albion 1–2 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- L Brighton & Hove Albion 0–2 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Brighton & Hove Albion all · 4 | Brighton & Hove Albion at home · 2 | Aston Villa all · 4 | Aston Villa away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Brighton & Hove Albion · 6 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: when level +0.95
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested -0.51 · Ahead vs level -1.04 · Behind vs level -0.52
Aston Villa · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: when behind -0.62
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.74
Brighton & Hove Albion
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 100% | 1.75 | 3.25 | 1.25 | 2.35 | 1.8 |
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 100% | 0.25 | 0.25 | 1.75 | 0.79 | 1.88 |
| Metric | Brighton & Hove Albion all · 10 | Brighton & Hove Albion at home · 10 | Aston Villa all · 10 | Aston Villa away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.90 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 4 | 6 / 1 / 3 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 3 / 3 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 2.10 | 1.90 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | 0.80 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 40% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 30% | 30% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 30% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.14 | 1.85 | 1.41 | 1.36 |
| xG against / match | 1.28 | 0.84 | 1.49 | 1.43 |
| xG difference | 0.85 | 1.01 | -0.07 | -0.06 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.04 | 0.05 | 0.25 | -0.14 |
| xPts / match | 1.89 | 1.98 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.49 | -0.08 | 0.15 | -0.07 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 60% | 30% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.20 | 0.25 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| Came back from behind | 20% | 25% | 33% | 33% |
| Leads held | 100% | 100% | 80% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 33% | 51% | 22% | 19% |
| Minutes level | 37% | 24% | 50% | 52% |
| Minutes trailing | 31% | 25% | 28% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 18 | 43 | 35 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 31 | 27 | 29 | 29 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 48% | 32% | 50% | 33% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 33% | 25% | 50% | 29% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 69% | 62% | 47% | 51% |
| Shots | 18.3 | 15.2 | 13.0 | 13.4 |
| On target | 5.8 | 5.5 | 4.6 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 12% | 12% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 70% | 68% | 68% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 3.4 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| Corners | 6.5 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| xG from set plays | 25% | 21% | 31% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 26% | 28% | 12% | 8% |
| Pressure index | 21.5 | 17.8 | 11.8 | 13.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 69.4 | 66.0 | 45.9 | 50.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 86% | 84% | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.2 | 12.1 | 10.7 | 10.0 |
| Cards | 1.40 | 2.00 | 2.20 | 1.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Brighton & Hove Albion
Aston Villa
Brighton & Hove Albion
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 1.22 | 1.89 | 1.33 | 2.09 | 1.38 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.58 | 0.38 |
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.41 | 1.49 |
| Metric | Brighton & Hove Albion all · 42 | Brighton & Hove Albion at home · 20 | Aston Villa all · 57 | Aston Villa away · 30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 42 | 20 | 57 | 30 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.80 | 1.91 | 1.70 |
| W / D / L | 17 / 12 / 13 | 10 / 6 / 4 | 34 / 7 / 16 | 15 / 6 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.60 | 1.80 | 1.67 | 1.43 |
| Goals against / match | 1.17 | 0.95 | 1.19 | 1.33 |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 35% | 30% | 23% |
| Failed to score | 24% | 20% | 18% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% | 56% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 60% | 58% | 57% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.62 | 1.70 | 1.46 | 1.29 |
| xG against / match | 1.39 | 1.15 | 1.25 | 1.39 |
| xG difference | 0.23 | 0.55 | 0.21 | -0.10 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.03 | 0.10 | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| xPts / match | 1.53 | 1.71 | 1.51 | 1.31 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.03 | 0.09 | 0.44 | 0.45 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 45% | 60% | 56% | 43% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.47 | 2.42 | 2.53 | 2.31 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.65 | 0.86 | 1.13 | 1.27 |
| Came back from behind | 41% | 50% | 38% | 44% |
| Leads held | 81% | 77% | 83% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 30% | 43% | 32% | 26% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 37% | 48% | 52% |
| Minutes trailing | 27% | 21% | 20% | 22% |
| First goal (min) | 42 | 34 | 40 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 42 | 40 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 55% | 44% | 56% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 45% | 42% | 56% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.45 | 0.40 | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| Late goals against | 0.26 | 0.20 | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 59% | 52% | 52% |
| Shots | 14.5 | 15.1 | 12.7 | 11.9 |
| On target | 4.9 | 5.1 | 4.8 | 4.3 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 64% | 65% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 2.6 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 5.3 | 5.0 | 4.7 |
| xG from set plays | 25% | 22% | 29% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 15% | 14% | 17% | 19% |
| Pressure index | 15.5 | 17.3 | 15.0 | 14.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 54.8 | 60.3 | 52.0 | 48.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 85% | 85% | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.2 | 11.0 | 10.6 | 10.5 |
| Cards | 2.12 | 1.70 | 1.67 | 1.97 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Brighton & Hove Albion
Aston Villa
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Brighton & Hove Albion · 42 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.44
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested +0.10 · Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.28
Aston Villa · 57 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.19) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.48
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested -0.15 · Ahead vs level +0.02 · Behind vs level -0.22
Brighton & Hove Albion
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 35 83% | 1.6 | 1.66 | 1.14 | 1.66 | 1.35 |
| 4-3-3 | 6 14% | 1.17 | 1.33 | 1.17 | 1.52 | 1.28 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.99 | 3.32 |
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 53 93% | 1.83 | 1.6 | 1.23 | 1.45 | 1.22 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 5% | 3.0 | 2.67 | 0.67 | 1.66 | 2.08 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.37 | 0.4 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 3.0d before kick-off · 72 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.0 pts at 6.0h
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.28 · -0.9 | 3.56 · +0.9 | 3.24 · +0.1 | 1.0h |
| bet365 | 2.1 ▲ +2.3 | 3.6 · +0.2 | 3.4 ▼ -2.5 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 2.25 · -0.3 | 3.5 ▲ +1.2 | 3.25 · -0.9 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 2.25 ▼ -1.1 | 3.3 ▲ +2.9 | 3.25 ▼ -1.8 | 1.0h |
| Coral | 2.2 · +0.9 | 3.4 ▲ +1.5 | 3.25 ▼ -2.5 | 1.0h |
| Ladbrokes | 2.1 ▲ +2.6 | 3.4 · +0.5 | 3.3 ▼ -3.1 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 2.28 ▼ -1.0 | 3.5 ▲ +1.1 | 3.05 · -0.1 | 1.0h |
| WilliamHill | 2.25 · -0.5 | 3.3 ▲ +1.1 | 3.1 · -0.7 | 1.0h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 3.0d before kick-off · 72 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: yes -1.9 pts at 5.0h
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.66 ▼ -3.1 | 2.1 ▲ +3.0 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 1.62 ▼ -5.4 | 2.2 ▲ +5.4 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.65 ▼ -4.1 | 2.1 ▲ +4.1 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 1.6 ▼ -3.6 | 2.23 ▲ +3.6 | 1.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.65 ▼ -3.6 | 2.2 ▲ +3.6 | 1.0h |
Pinnacle · opened 3.0d before kick-off · 72 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: under +1.5 pts at 46.0h
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.87 ▼ -5.0 | 2.04 ▲ +5.0 | 1.0h |
| bet365 | 1.8 ▼ -4.4 | 2.0 ▲ +4.4 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 1.87 ▼ -6.8 | 1.95 ▲ +6.8 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.81 ▼ -5.4 | 1.86 ▲ +5.4 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 1.76 ▼ -4.7 | 2.05 ▲ +4.7 | 1.0h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Both Teams To Score
Goals Over/Under
Total Corners
Number of Cards
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 30–32.5% · 232 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 43% | 43% | 45% | +1.8 |
| Draw | 27% | 26% | 25% | -0.8 |
| Away | 30% | 31% | 30% | -1.1 |
In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 66%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |
Peter Bankes
- Career
- 284 matches · 16 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.08 (3.94 yellow · 0.1 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.1 · 5.0 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.18
- Cards to home side
- 44%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 86 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.47 | 4.26 | +0.47 | 69 |
| Fouls / match | 21.4 | 21.6 | +0.10 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.9 | 5.1 | -0.75 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.21 | 0.25 | -0.65 | 27 |
| Time added | 8.6 | 8.4 | +0.34 | 65 |
- First card
- 39' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.24
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 75' | 12 |
| 2026-03-07 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 23' | 9 |
| 2026-03-04 | 7 | 1 | 31 | 1 | 26' | 15 |
| 2026-02-28 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 85' | 8 |
| 2026-02-22 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 27' | 15 |
| 2026-02-11 · Brighton & Hove Albion · Aston Villa | 5 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 2' | 8 |
| 2026-02-06 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 61' | 10 |
| 2026-01-24 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 79' | 7 |
| 2026-01-07 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 22' | 11 |
| 2026-01-03 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 85' | 12 |

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