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Premier League · Matchweek 1

Momentum

BrentfordTOT
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford
Capacity
17,250
Surface
grass
Attendance
17,180

Teams

Coaches
Keith Andrews · Roberto De Zerbi
Position
12 · 13
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Michael Oliver

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
20.7° (feels 19.9°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
41%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 4400 817 12 WWWW
2 Manchester City 4400 826 12 WWWW
3 Brentford 5230 1046 9 WDDDW
4 Leeds United 4220 734 8 WDDW
5 Hull City 4220 523 8 WWDD
6 Brighton & Hove Albion 4211 1358 7 WLDW
7 Chelsea 5212 1012-2 7 WWLDL
8 Liverpool 4130 642 6 DDWD
9 Everton 4130 532 6 WDDD
10 Ipswich Town 4202 710-3 6 WLLW
11 Nottingham Forest 4121 440 5 LDDW
12 Newcastle United 4121 78-1 5 DWDL
13 Manchester United 4112 770 4 LWDL
14 Sunderland 4112 35-2 4 LWDL
15 AFC Bournemouth 4031 67-1 3 LDDD
16 Crystal Palace 4103 611-5 3 LLWL
17 Tottenham Hotspur 4022 05-5 2 LLDD
18 Fulham 4013 47-3 1 LLLD
19 Aston Villa 4013 17-6 1 LLDL
20 Coventry City 4004 010-10 0 LLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • Relegation

Brentford

LWLDD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 6.86–10.14 · xPts 5.65

  • D A Liverpool 1–1 xG 1.38–2.81 UK PL
  • D H Crystal Palace 2–2 xG 1.9–1.79 UK PL
  • L A Manchester City 0–3 xG 0.35–3.3 UK PL
  • W H West Ham United 3–0 xG 1.87–1.02 UK PL
  • L A Manchester United 1–2 xG 1.36–1.22 UK PL

Tottenham Hotspur

WWDLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 6.21–4.08 · xPts 8.41

  • W H Everton 1–0 xG 1.24–0.51 UK PL
  • L A Chelsea 1–2 xG 1.36–0.9 UK PL
  • D H Leeds United 1–1 xG 1.81–1.5 UK PL
  • W A Aston Villa 2–1 xG 0.85–0.48 UK PL
  • W A Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–0 xG 0.96–0.7 UK PL

All meetings · 11 matches since 2021

Brentford 24 draws5 Tottenham Hotspur

Goals 13–17 · 2.73 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Brentford 24 draws4 Tottenham Hotspur

Goals 13–15 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Brentford 11 draws3 Tottenham Hotspur

Goals 4–7 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Brentford 3–0 Tottenham Hotspur UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Brentford 0–0 Tottenham Hotspur UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Tottenham Hotspur 2–0 Brentford UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Brentford 0–2 Tottenham Hotspur UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Tottenham Hotspur 3–1 Brentford UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Tottenham Hotspur 3–2 Brentford UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Brentford 2–2 Tottenham Hotspur UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Tottenham Hotspur 1–3 Brentford UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Brentford 2–2 Tottenham Hotspur UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Brentford 0–0 Tottenham Hotspur UK PL · Regular Season
MetricBrentford all · 5Brentford at home · 3Tottenham Hotspur all · 4Tottenham Hotspur away · 2
Results
Matches5
Points per game1.80
W / D / L2 / 3 / 0
Goals for / match2.00
Goals against / match0.80
Clean sheets40%
Failed to score0%
Both teams scored60%
Over 2.560%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.98
xG against / match1.40
xG difference0.58
Finishing vs xG0.02
xPts / match1.61
Points vs xPts0.19
Game state
Scored first100%
PPG when scoring first1.80
Came back from behind100%
Leads held40%
Minutes leading39%
Minutes level60%
Minutes trailing1%
First goal (min)41
First goal conceded (min)66
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half75%
Late goals for (76'+)0.40
Late goals against0.40
Style
Possession45%
Shots16.2
On target4.6
Shot conversion12%
Shots inside box74%
Big chances created3.4
Corners4.4
xG from set plays45%
Goals from headers20%
Pressure index11.4
Dominant minutes50.8
Pass accuracy78%
Fouls14.4
Cards2.20

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Brentford

0–15'10
16–30'00
31–45'31
46–60'31
61–75'10
76–90'22

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Brentford · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.05) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.055
Early press (0-15, level)+0.405
Late push (76+, level)-0.493

Game state

When ahead+0.065
When level+0.045
10 min after conceding-0.293
10 min after scoring+0.285

Situations

At home-0.023
Away+0.142
4+ days rest+0.055

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.052
v mid-tier opponents-0.112
As favourite-0.112
Evenly matched+0.143

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.095
Conceded when ahead-0.125
Conceded late (76+)+0.264

Ahead vs level +0.02 · Behind vs level +1.06

Tottenham Hotspur · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.51

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.034
Early press (0-15, level)+0.514
Late push (76+, level)-0.242

Game state

When level+0.144
When behind-0.402
10 min after conceding-0.492

Situations

At home-0.092
Away+0.182
4+ days rest+0.034

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.223
Evenly matched-0.012

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.034
Conceded late (76+)-0.043

Behind vs level -0.54

Brentford

Current: unbeaten 7 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 100%1.82.00.81.981.4

Tottenham Hotspur

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%0.50.01.250.941.79

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 2.1d before kick-off · 52 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: away -2.7 pts at 9.5h

2.16Home 45% ▲ +5.7 ptsopened 2.473.74Draw 26% · -0.2 ptsopened 3.73.33Away 29% ▼ -5.5 ptsopened 2.79
2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%45%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.16 ▲ +5.73.74 · -0.23.33 ▼ -5.530m
bet3652.15 ▲ +5.23.75 ▼ -1.23.1 ▼ -4.130m
Betfair2.15 ▲ +5.23.7 · -0.43.3 ▼ -4.830m
BetVictor2.1 ▲ +6.33.7 · -1.03.25 ▼ -5.330m
Coral2.1 ▲ +6.33.6 · -0.93.25 ▼ -5.430m
Ladbrokes2.1 ▲ +5.83.6 · -0.63.25 ▼ -5.130m
Unibet2.17 ▲ +5.33.6 · -0.13.15 ▼ -5.230m
WilliamHill2.1 ▲ +5.83.5 · -0.63.2 ▼ -5.230m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.15Home 44% P 45%3.75Draw 25% P 26%3.1Away 31% P 29%

Double Chance

1.33Brentford or Draw 35%1.25Brentford or Tottenham 37%1.7Draw or Tottenham 27%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 55%2.2Under 43% P 45%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58% P 55%2.2Under 42% P 45%
4.52.1Over 44% P 36%1.66Under 56% P 64%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home45%44%43%-0.3
Draw26%28%30%+2.4
Away29%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%54%55%+0.8

Michael Oliver

Career
622 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.53 (3.38 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
20.9 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Premier League (5-year window · 134 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.814.26-0.7815
Fouls / match22.021.6+0.45
Fouls per card5.95.1+1.03 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.220.25-0.4738
Time added8.18.4-0.0823
First card
41' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-11 50 230 43'4
2026-05-24 · Tottenham Hotspur 50 330 13'13
2026-05-17 10 160 90'10
2026-05-04 50 200 45'8
2026-04-25 40 260 46'5
2026-04-18 40 250 25'9
2026-04-11 40 301 77'7
2026-04-07 50 240 37'5
2026-04-04 60 252 24'3
2026-03-22 · Tottenham Hotspur 30 260 53'7