Rating 7.07 (93th pct) · G+A 20 + 8 (37% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Team 1.24 ppg with (45) · 1.7 without (10)
Premier League · Matchweek 1
Momentum
– NFOLeeds United –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Nottingham Forest | at home | Stat | league | away | Leeds United |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.8 #15 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 43.8 #15 |
| 14.5 #9 | – | Shots total | 13.5 | – | 12.0 #14 |
| 3.5 #15 | – | Shots on target | 4.4 | – | 4.0 #11 |
| 2.8 #18 | – | Corners | 4.5 | – | 4.5 #9 |
| 15.8 #1 | – | Fouls | 11.7 | – | 10.8 #13 |
| 2.2 #5 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 2.2 #5 |
| 20.5 #2 | – | Tackles | 15.4 | – | 18.2 #4 |
| 73.2 #19 | – | Attacks | 96.3 | – | 91.0 #13 |
| 40.5 #12 | – | Dangerous attacks | 47.7 | – | 35.2 #17 |
| 342.2 #19 | – | Passes | 441.4 | – | 344.0 #18 |
| 2.8 #3 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.2 #16 |
| 0.8 #12 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | 1.0 #8 |
| – #8 | – | Btts | 52.5 | – | – #3 |
| – #8 | – | Cleansheet | 28.8 | – | – #8 |
| – #5 | – | Draw | 35.0 | – | – #5 |
| 1.6 #11 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.5 #12 |
| -0.6 #16 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.3 #7 |
| – #4 | – | Failed to score | 28.8 | – | – #13 |
| 1.0 #15 | 0.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.8 #5 |
| 1.0 #13 | 0.5 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.8 #16 |
| – | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #5 |
| 5.2 #19 | – | Interceptions | 8.4 | – | 10.8 #3 |
| – #9 | – | Lost | 32.5 | – | – #14 |
| 0.2 #1 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | – |
| 6.9 #6 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #6 |
| 3.5 #12 | – | Shots blocked | 3.9 | – | 4.5 #6 |
| 9.0 #9 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.7 | – | 8.0 #12 |
| 7.5 #3 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 3.5 #20 |
| 5.5 #5 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.8 | – | 4.0 #15 |
| – #8 | – | Win | 32.5 | – | – #3 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 39 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.79 (home 1.41 · away 1.38)
- Home / draw / away
- 31% · 36% · 33%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 51% · 51%
- Cards / match
- 4.03 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Nottingham Forest · Last 365 days
Rating 6.98 (69th pct) · G+A 2 + 4 (8% of team goals) · 86% of minutes
Team 1.28 ppg with (46) · 1.56 without (9)
Rating 6.9 (68th pct) · G+A 15 + 5 (27% of team goals) · 68% of minutes
Team 1.28 ppg with (39) · 1.44 without (16)
Leeds United · Last 365 days
Rating 6.92 (71th pct) · G+A 17 + 2 (30% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 1.44 ppg with (34) · 1.11 without (9)
Rating 7.24 (95th pct) · G+A 6 + 3 (14% of team goals) · 64% of minutes
Team 1.21 ppg with (29) · 1.71 without (14)
Rating 6.98 (70th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (3% of team goals) · 96% of minutes
Absences
Nottingham Forest
- injury Dilane Bakwa attacker · Unknown Injury · 79 missed
- injury Eric da Silva Moreira defender · Unknown Injury · 2 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 1
Venue
- Stadium
- The City Ground, Nottingham
- Capacity
- 30,445
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 30,739
Teams
- Coaches
- Oliver Glasner · Daniel Farke
- Position
- 14 · 15
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Robert Jones
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 20.4° (feels 19.8°)
- Wind
- 1.5
- Humidity
- 48%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Leeds United |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 | WDDW |
| 4 |  Hull City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 5 |  Brighton & Hove Albion |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 7 | WLDW |
| 6 |  Chelsea |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 | WWLD |
| 7 |  Brentford |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WDDD |
| 8 |  Liverpool |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | DDWD |
| 9 |  Everton |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | WDDD |
| 10 |  Ipswich Town |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 |  Nottingham Forest |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | LDDW |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | DWDL |
| 13 |  Manchester United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | LWDL |
| 14 |  Sunderland |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | LWDL |
| 15 |  AFC Bournemouth |
4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | LDDD |
| 16 |  Crystal Palace |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 | LLWL |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 | LLDD |
| 18 |  Fulham |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | LLLD |
| 19 |  Aston Villa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 | LLDL |
| 20 |  Coventry City |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | WLDW |
| 4 | Leeds United |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | WDDW |
| 5 | Brentford |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | WDDD |
| 6 | Everton |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDDD |
| 7 | Hull City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | WWDD |
| 8 | Chelsea |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | WWLD |
| 9 | Manchester United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | LWDL |
| 10 | Ipswich Town |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Sunderland |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LWDL |
| 12 | Newcastle United |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DWDL |
| 13 | AFC Bournemouth |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | LDDD |
| 14 | Liverpool |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | DDWD |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LDDW |
| 16 | Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | LLDD |
| 17 | Fulham |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Aston Villa |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Crystal Palace |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LLWL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WWWW |
| 2 | Arsenal |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Liverpool |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | DDWD |
| 4 | Nottingham Forest |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | LDDW |
| 5 | Hull City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWDD |
| 6 | Leeds United |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | WDDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | WLDW |
| 8 | Chelsea |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | WWLD |
| 9 | Crystal Palace |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | LLWL |
| 10 | Newcastle United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | DWDL |
| 11 | Ipswich Town |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | WLLW |
| 12 | Brentford |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | WDDD |
| 13 | Everton |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | WDDD |
| 14 | AFC Bournemouth |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | LDDD |
| 15 | Sunderland |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LWDL |
| 16 | Fulham |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LLLD |
| 17 | Manchester United |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | LWDL |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | LLDD |
| 19 | Aston Villa |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 20 | Coventry City |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- Relegation
Nottingham Forest
WLDLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 7.59–12.0 · xPts 5.14
- D
H
AFC Bournemouth
1–1
xG 1.94–1.17
UK PL
- L
A
Manchester United
2–3
xG 1.67–3.87
UK PL
- D
H
Newcastle United
1–1
xG 1.51–1.3
UK PL
- L
A
Aston Villa
0–4
xG 0.46–3.07
UEFA EL
- W
A
Chelsea
3–1
xG 2.02–2.6
UK PL
WWWLDLD 3W 2D 2L · 11 pts (1.57 ppg) · GF 13 GA 10 · xG 10.16–13.76 · xPts 8.42
- D
H
AFC Bournemouth
1–1
xG 1.94–1.17
UK PL
- L
A
Manchester United
2–3
xG 1.67–3.87
UK PL
- D
H
Newcastle United
1–1
xG 1.51–1.3
UK PL
- L
A
Aston Villa
0–4
xG 0.46–3.07
UEFA EL
- W
A
Chelsea
3–1
xG 2.02–2.6
UK PL
- W
H
Aston Villa
1–0
xG 1.69–0.82
UEFA EL
- W
A
Sunderland
5–0
xG 0.89–0.94
UK PL
Leeds United
LWDWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 6.33–8.64 · xPts 5.94
- L
A
West Ham United
0–3
xG 1.77–2.84
UK PL - W
H
Brighton & Hove Albion
1–0
xG 0.4–2.8
UK PL
- D
A
Tottenham Hotspur
1–1
xG 1.5–1.81
UK PL
- W
H
Burnley
3–1
xG 1.93–0.51
UK PL - L
A
Chelsea
0–1
xG 0.74–0.68
UK FA Cup
LWDWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 6.33–8.64 · xPts 5.94
- L
A
West Ham United
0–3
xG 1.77–2.84
UK PL
- W
H
Brighton & Hove Albion
1–0
xG 0.4–2.8
UK PL
- D
A
Tottenham Hotspur
1–1
xG 1.5–1.81
UK PL
- W
H
Burnley
3–1
xG 1.93–0.51
UK PL
- L
A
Chelsea
0–1
xG 0.74–0.68
UK FA Cup
All meetings · 25 matches since 2010
Goals 38–35 · 2.92 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 44%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 14–11 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 6–7 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L Nottingham Forest 0–1 Leeds United UK PL · Regular Season
- L Leeds United 3–1 Nottingham Forest UK PL · Regular Season
- W Nottingham Forest 3–1 Leeds United UK PL · Regular Season
- L Leeds United 2–1 Nottingham Forest UK PL · Regular Season
- W Nottingham Forest 1–0 Leeds United UK PL · Regular Season
- W Nottingham Forest 2–0 Leeds United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Leeds United 1–1 Nottingham Forest UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Nottingham Forest 4–2 Leeds United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Leeds United 1–1 Nottingham Forest UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Leeds United 0–0 Nottingham Forest UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Nottingham Forest all · 4 | Nottingham Forest at home · 2 | Leeds United all · 4 | Leeds United away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Nottingham Forest · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.52
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.064
Early press (0-15, level)-0.434
Late push (76+, level)-0.394
Game state
When ahead+0.652
When level-0.094
10 min after conceding-0.523
10 min after scoring+0.742
Situations
At home-0.262
Away+0.372
4+ days rest+0.064
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.372
Evenly matched+0.093
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.004
Conceded when ahead-0.202
Conceded late (76+)-0.354
Ahead vs level +0.75 · Behind vs level -0.62
Leeds United · 4 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.73
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.184
Early press (0-15, level)-0.104
Late push (76+, level)-0.473
Game state
When ahead+0.173
When level-0.264
10 min after conceding-0.642
10 min after scoring+0.734
Situations
At home-0.092
Away-0.242
4+ days rest-0.184
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.313
Evenly matched-0.143
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.174
Conceded when ahead+0.023
Conceded late (76+)+0.113
Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level -0.14
Nottingham Forest
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 100% | 1.25 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.23 |
Leeds United
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 50% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.93 | 1.36 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 50% | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.99 | 1.57 |
| Metric | Nottingham Forest all · 10 | Nottingham Forest at home · 10 | Leeds United all · 10 | Leeds United away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 4 / 3 | 3 / 5 / 2 | 4 / 4 / 2 | 2 / 6 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.20 | 0.90 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 0.60 | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 10% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.57 | 1.41 | 1.35 | 1.60 |
| xG against / match | 1.78 | 0.94 | 1.65 | 1.86 |
| xG difference | -0.21 | 0.47 | -0.30 | -0.26 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.37 | -0.51 | 0.05 | -0.60 |
| xPts / match | 1.34 | 1.68 | 1.24 | 1.23 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.04 | -0.28 | 0.36 | -0.03 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 30% | 50% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.20 | 2.33 | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.25 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 60% | 60% | 50% |
| Leads held | 60% | 75% | 80% | 40% |
| Minutes leading | 23% | 15% | 22% | 28% |
| Minutes level | 60% | 78% | 60% | 58% |
| Minutes trailing | 17% | 6% | 18% | 14% |
| First goal (min) | 45 | 51 | 57 | 44 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 60 | 61 | 59 | 65 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 67% | 67% | 64% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 86% | 67% | 82% | 92% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.60 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 45% | 49% | 44% | 42% |
| Shots | 12.5 | 14.5 | 11.7 | 12.5 |
| On target | 4.0 | 4.1 | 3.8 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 6% | 12% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 61% | 64% | 71% |
| Big chances created | 2.9 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 3.4 | 4.9 | 4.1 | 3.3 |
| xG from set plays | 36% | 28% | 37% | 45% |
| Goals from headers | 18% | 12% | 8% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 10.7 | 12.6 | 9.8 | 9.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 46.0 | 54.1 | 42.2 | 40.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 81% | 75% | 74% |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 12.0 | 10.7 | 12.6 |
| Cards | 1.80 | 1.30 | 1.80 | 2.60 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Nottingham Forest
0–15'21
16–30'10
31–45'11
46–60'34
61–75'22
76–90'36
Leeds United
0–15'20
16–30'01
31–45'31
46–60'32
61–75'23
76–90'44
Nottingham Forest
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 50% | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.58 | 1.25 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 40% | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.25 | 1.83 | 2.11 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.46 | 3.07 |
Leeds United
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 6 60% | 1.83 | 1.67 | 1.17 | 1.6 | 1.85 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 1.25 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.97 | 1.34 |
| Metric | Nottingham Forest all · 55 | Nottingham Forest at home · 27 | Leeds United all · 43 | Leeds United away · 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 55 | 27 | 43 | 23 |
| Points per game | 1.33 | 1.22 | 1.37 | 1.04 |
| W / D / L | 19 / 16 / 20 | 8 / 9 / 10 | 14 / 17 / 12 | 4 / 12 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.36 | 1.15 | 1.49 | 1.22 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | 0.96 | 1.35 | 1.52 |
| Clean sheets | 31% | 37% | 19% | 13% |
| Failed to score | 33% | 41% | 23% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 46% | 37% | 65% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 37% | 56% | 48% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.52 | 1.64 | 1.73 | 1.67 |
| xG against / match | 1.40 | 1.19 | 1.66 | 1.96 |
| xG difference | 0.12 | 0.46 | 0.07 | -0.30 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.15 | -0.50 | -0.24 | -0.45 |
| xPts / match | 1.47 | 1.66 | 1.46 | 1.25 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.14 | -0.44 | -0.08 | -0.20 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 36% | 30% | 49% | 39% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.60 | 2.50 | 2.00 | 1.22 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.53 | 0.60 | 0.74 | 0.92 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 33% | 46% | 50% |
| Leads held | 76% | 73% | 58% | 36% |
| Minutes leading | 24% | 21% | 28% | 22% |
| Minutes level | 53% | 62% | 53% | 55% |
| Minutes trailing | 23% | 18% | 19% | 23% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 38 | 42 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 46 | 51 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | 61% | 52% | 57% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 54% | 58% | 71% | 69% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.36 | 0.30 | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| Late goals against | 0.31 | 0.33 | 0.44 | 0.52 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 51% | 46% | 45% |
| Shots | 14.2 | 15.7 | 13.2 | 12.4 |
| On target | 4.8 | 4.6 | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 7% | 11% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 60% | 68% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 2.4 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 5.8 | 4.7 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 32% | 42% | 45% |
| Goals from headers | 19% | 10% | 12% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 15.3 | 17.0 | 12.3 | 11.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 52.6 | 57.6 | 46.2 | 42.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 83% | 78% | 77% |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 11.1 | 10.7 | 11.1 |
| Cards | 1.76 | 1.52 | 1.77 | 1.87 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Nottingham Forest
0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1013
46–60'1512
61–75'107
76–90'2017
Leeds United
0–15'84
16–30'78
31–45'165
46–60'119
61–75'1013
76–90'1219
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Nottingham Forest · 55 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: v mid-tier opponents +0.61
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1755
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0355
Late push (76+, level)-0.0923
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0423
Game state
When ahead+0.1925
When level+0.1855
When behind+0.1530
10 min after conceding-0.0638
10 min after scoring+0.4737
Situations
With ten men+0.102
At home+0.1027
Away+0.2628
3 days rest or fewer+0.1622
4+ days rest+0.1933
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0131
v mid-tier opponents+0.6110
v bottom-tier opponents+0.242
As favourite+0.6015
Evenly matched+0.1520
As underdog-0.1220
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0055
Conceded when ahead+0.0225
Conceded late (76+)-0.2051
Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level -0.03
Leeds United · 43 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.93
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0343
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2543
Late push (76+, level)-0.3220
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.2613
Game state
When ahead-0.0124
When level+0.0343
When behind+0.0921
10 min after conceding-0.2933
10 min after scoring+0.4633
Situations
With ten men+0.242
At home-0.0420
Away+0.0923
3 days rest or fewer-0.124
4+ days rest+0.0539
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1128
v mid-tier opponents+0.1510
v bottom-tier opponents+0.933
As favourite+0.369
Evenly matched+0.0715
As underdog-0.1419
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1843
Conceded when ahead+0.2524
Conceded late (76+)+0.0740
Congested vs rested -0.17 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.05
Nottingham Forest
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 32 58% | 1.41 | 1.38 | 1.0 | 1.51 | 1.27 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 14% | 1.25 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.52 | 1.22 |
| 4-4-2 | 6 11% | 1.67 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.66 | 1.71 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.17 | 2.81 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 4% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.91 | 0.84 |
Leeds United
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 14 33% | 1.79 | 1.71 | 1.07 | 1.73 | 1.51 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 11 26% | 1.55 | 1.45 | 1.27 | 2.01 | 1.91 |
| 4-3-3 | 8 19% | 0.87 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.68 | 1.53 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 7% | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.38 | 2.5 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 7% | 1.67 | 1.0 | 0.33 | 1.5 | 0.67 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 2.0d before kick-off · 49 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.0 pts at 14.0h
2.4Home 41% ▼ -1.3 ptsopened 2.313.29Draw 30% ▲ +1.5 ptsopened 3.453.26Away 30% · -0.2 ptsopened 3.22
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.4 ▼ -1.3 | 3.29 ▲ +1.5 | 3.26 · -0.2 | 1.0h |
| bet365 | 2.3 · -0.9 | 3.3 · +0.9 | 3.2 · +0.0 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 2.3 · +0.2 | 3.3 ▲ +1.0 | 3.25 ▼ -1.2 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 2.3 · -0.3 | 3.3 ▲ +1.2 | 3.13 · -0.9 | 1.0h |
| Coral | 2.3 · -0.1 | 3.25 ▲ +1.2 | 3.1 ▼ -1.1 | 1.0h |
| Ladbrokes | 2.3 · -0.3 | 3.2 ▲ +1.5 | 3.1 ▼ -1.2 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 2.32 · -0.4 | 3.3 · -0.0 | 3.15 · +0.4 | 1.0h |
| WilliamHill | 2.3 · -0.7 | 3.2 · +0.6 | 3.1 · +0.1 | 1.0h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 2.0d before kick-off · 49 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: no +1.3 pts at 4.0h
1.8Yes 52% ▼ -1.3 ptsopened 1.751.95No 48% ▲ +1.3 ptsopened 2.0
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.8 ▼ -1.3 | 1.95 ▲ +1.3 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 1.75 ▼ -3.0 | 2.0 ▲ +2.9 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.78 ▼ -2.0 | 1.93 ▲ +2.0 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 1.72 · +0.4 | 2.02 · -0.4 | 1.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.8 ▼ -2.2 | 1.95 ▲ +2.2 | 1.0h |
Pinnacle · opened 2.0d before kick-off · 49 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: over -1.8 pts at 3.0h
2.17Over 45% ▼ -4.8 ptsopened 1.961.76Under 55% ▲ +4.8 ptsopened 1.93
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.17 ▼ -4.8 | 1.76 ▲ +4.8 | 1.0h |
| bet365 | 2.1 ▼ -5.0 | 1.72 ▲ +5.0 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 2.1 ▼ -4.5 | 1.75 ▲ +4.5 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.98 ▼ -2.7 | 1.71 ▲ +2.7 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 1.98 · +0.0 | 1.82 · +0.0 | 1.0h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.3Home 41% P 41%3.3Draw 29% P 30%3.2Away 30% P 30%
Double Chance
1.36Nottm Forest or Draw 35%1.33Nottm Forest or Leeds 35%1.57Draw or Leeds 30%
Draw No Bet
1.611 58%2.22 42%
Both Teams To Score
1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.1Over 45% P 45%1.72Under 55% P 55%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
3.51.72Over 54% P 51%2.0Under 46% P 49%
4.52.2Over 42% P 33%1.61Under 58% P 67%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 27.5–30% · 815 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 41% | 41% | 42% | +0.5 |
| Draw | 30% | 30% | 27% | -2.4 |
| Away | 30% | 29% | 31% | +1.9 |
In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 43%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 44% | 43% | -1.2 |
Robert Jones
- Career
- 222 matches · 15 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.84 (3.75 yellow · 0.05 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.9 · 5.9 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.27
- Cards to home side
- 47%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 95 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.51 | 4.26 | +0.55 | 81 |
| Fouls / match | 23.0 | 21.6 | +1.00 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.3 | 5.1 | -0.05 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.3 | 0.25 | +0.52 | 69 |
| Time added | 8.7 | 8.4 | +0.43 | 73 |
- First card
- 32' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.23
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 64' | 13 |
| 2026-05-03 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 6' | 8 |
| 2026-04-25 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 14' | 8 |
| 2026-04-12 | 6 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 28' | 16 |
| 2026-04-06 | 5 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 23' | 4 |
| 2026-02-10 · Leeds United | 8 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 8' | 9 |
| 2026-02-01 | 6 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 11' | 13 |
| 2026-01-17 | 6 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 17' | 6 |
| 2025-12-30 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 28' | 10 |
| 2025-12-27 · Nottingham Forest | 3 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 36' | 6 |