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Championship · Matchweek 38

Momentum

MillwallWatford
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
38

Venue

Stadium
The Den, London
Capacity
20,146
Surface
grass

Teams

Where to watch

No broadcast listings.

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 West Ham United 7421 20911 14 DWWWW
2 Swansea City 7421 1156 14 WWDLW
3 Middlesbrough 7421 14104 14 WDWWD
4 West Bromwich Albion 7421 1073 14 LDWWD
5 Queens Park Rangers 7331 853 12 WWLDD
6 Charlton Athletic 7331 67-1 12 WDLDD
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6321 14104 11 WWLDW
8 Lincoln City 7322 660 11 WDDWW
9 Southampton (-4) 7421 18810 10 WDDWW
10 Birmingham City 7241 1091 10 WDDLW
11 Millwall 7313 13130 10 LLWLD
12 Stoke City 7313 11110 10 LWWDW
13 Bristol City 7313 1012-2 10 WWWLL
14 Norwich City 7304 13130 9 WLWWL
15 Sheffield United 7232 89-1 9 DWLWL
16 Blackburn Rovers 7223 10100 8 LDLLW
17 Watford 7223 79-2 8 DLLWL
18 Portsmouth 6213 78-1 7 WLLWD
19 Wrexham 7142 711-4 7 LWDDL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7214 712-5 7 LLLLW
21 Cardiff City 7043 711-4 4 DLLDL
22 Derby County 7115 613-7 4 LWLLL
23 Preston North End 7106 613-7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7034 816-8 3 LDLDL
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Millwall

No recent played matches.

Watford

No recent played matches.

All meetings · 23 matches since 2005

Millwall 95 draws9 Watford

Goals 24–29 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 39%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Millwall 62 draws2 Watford

Goals 15–7 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Millwall 40 draws1 Watford

Goals 8–4 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Watford 0–2 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 1–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Watford 1–2 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 2–3 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 1–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Watford 2–2 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Watford 0–2 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 3–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Watford 1–0 Millwall neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Millwall 0–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricMillwall all · 7Millwall at home · 3Watford all · 7Watford away · 3
Results
Matches77
Points per game1.431.14
W / D / L3 / 1 / 32 / 2 / 3
Goals for / match1.861.00
Goals against / match1.861.29
Clean sheets43%0%
Failed to score14%29%
Both teams scored43%71%
Over 2.586%43%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.001.17
xG against / match1.381.78
xG difference0.62-0.60
Finishing vs xG-0.14-0.17
xPts / match1.681.01
Points vs xPts-0.250.13
Game state
Scored first71%43%
PPG when scoring first2.001.67
PPG when conceding first0.000.75
Came back from behind0%25%
Leads held60%50%
Minutes leading37%17%
Minutes level38%44%
Minutes trailing25%39%
First goal (min)2941
First goal conceded (min)3628
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%43%
Goals conceded in 2nd half69%22%
Late goals for (76'+)0.570.29
Late goals against0.290.00
Style
Possession46%43%
Shots14.111.7
On target3.73.7
Shot conversion13%8%
Shots inside box80%73%
Big chances created2.91.7
Corners4.43.4
xG from set plays24%22%
Goals from headers17%29%
Pressure index11.59.3
Dominant minutes48.142.6
Pass accuracy75%79%
Fouls11.111.1
Cards1.572.57

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Millwall

0–15'20
16–30'12
31–45'32
46–60'34
61–75'03
76–90'42

Watford

0–15'22
16–30'23
31–45'02
46–60'02
61–75'10
76–90'20

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Millwall · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.017
Early press (0-15, level)+0.217

Game state

When ahead+0.045
When level+0.017
When behind-0.133
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.546

Situations

Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.043
Away-0.044
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest+0.135

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.054
v bottom-tier opponents-0.073
Evenly matched+0.104
As underdog-0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.275
Conceded late (76+)-0.035

Congested vs rested -0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.14

Watford · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.097
Early press (0-15, level)-0.117
Late push (76+, level)-0.453
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.193

Game state

When ahead-0.144
When level-0.157
When behind+0.004
10 min after conceding-0.177
10 min after scoring-0.015

Situations

At home-0.234
Away+0.093
3 days rest or fewer+0.062
4+ days rest-0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.024
v bottom-tier opponents-0.122
As underdog-0.085

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.277
Conceded when ahead+0.454
Conceded late (76+)-0.017

Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level +0.16

Millwall

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-33 43%2.02.01.672.721.57
4-2-3-13 43%1.332.331.671.861.29
3-1-4-21 14%0.00.03.00.241.06

Watford

Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 86%0.830.831.331.031.75
4-1-4-11 14%3.02.01.02.021.93

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

No pre-match odds recorded.