Rating 7.0 (76th pct) · G+A 2 + 2 (67% of team goals) · 89% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 18
Momentum
– Derby CountyWatford –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Waiting for statistics…
Season context
| Derby County | at home | Stat | league | away | Watford |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.3 #14 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 46.0 #17 |
| 11.6 #20 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 11.6 #19 |
| 3.3 #19 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 3.6 #18 |
| 6.4 #3 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 3.6 #23 |
| 13.3 #3 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 11.8 #6 |
| 3.0 #3 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 0.9 #24 |
| 14.3 #16 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 14.8 #11 |
| 108.6 #2 | – | Attacks | 93.4 | – | 84.6 #19 |
| 60.0 #3 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 38.8 #22 |
| 393.4 #14 | – | Passes | 418.2 | – | 389.0 #16 |
| 2.3 #6 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 2.9 #2 |
| 0.7 #17 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 0.4 #24 |
| – #19 | – | Btts | 65.5 | – | – #13 |
| – #14 | – | Cleansheet | 21.7 | – | – #19 |
| – #18 | – | Draw | 28.6 | – | – #16 |
| 1.1 #20 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.1 #19 |
| -0.2 #17 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.2 #16 |
| – #1 | – | Failed to score | 21.3 | – | – #6 |
| 0.9 #21 | 0.8 | Goals | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.9 #20 |
| 1.9 #2 | 2.0 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 #18 |
| 0.3 #1 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #8 |
| 7.9 #15 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 10.0 #5 |
| – #2 | – | Lost | 35.6 | – | – #6 |
| 6.7 #22 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #21 |
| 3.6 #16 | – | Shots blocked | 3.9 | – | 4.0 #11 |
| 7.9 #18 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 8.0 #17 |
| 4.7 #19 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 4.0 #20 |
| 3.7 #17 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 3.6 #18 |
| – #20 | – | Win | 35.8 | – | – #19 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Derby County · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 6.92 (60th pct) · G+A 2 + 1 (50% of team goals) · 72% of minutes
Rating 7.14 · G+A 1 + 1 (33% of team goals) · 43% of minutes
Watford · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 6.95 (64th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (29% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Rating 6.97 (76th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.81 (37th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 18
Venue
- Stadium
- Pride Park Stadium, Derby
- Capacity
- 33,597
- Surface
- grass
Teams
Where to watch
No broadcast listings.
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Bristol City |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 | WWLLW |
| 6 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 7 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 8 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 9 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 11 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 12 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 13 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 | LLWLL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | LLWLL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 16 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 17 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 18 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 19 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWLLW |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 21 | Watford |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 | LLWLL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Derby County
LWLLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 9 · xG 4.42–11.11 · xPts 4.07
- L
H
Birmingham City
1–2
xG 1.18–2.63
UK CHAMP
- L
H
West Bromwich Albion
0–1
xG 1.37–0.77
UK CHAMP
- L
A
West Ham United
0–3
xG 0.15–3.74
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Portsmouth
2–0
xG 0.9–1.02
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Swansea City
0–3
xG 0.82–2.96
UK CHAMP
LDLWLLL 1W 1D 5L · 4 pts (0.57 ppg) · GF 6 GA 13 · xG 7.71–15.12 · xPts 6.48
- L
H
Birmingham City
1–2
xG 1.18–2.63
UK CHAMP
- L
H
West Bromwich Albion
0–1
xG 1.37–0.77
UK CHAMP
- L
A
West Ham United
0–3
xG 0.15–3.74
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Portsmouth
2–0
xG 0.9–1.02
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Swansea City
0–3
xG 0.82–2.96
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Cardiff City
2–2
xG 1.81–2.64
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Charlton Athletic
1–2
xG 1.48–1.37
UK CHAMP
Watford
LLWLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 7 · xG 5.38–9.57 · xPts 4.31
- L
A
Bristol City
0–1
xG 0.55–1.59
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Stoke City
1–2
xG 0.43–1.53
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Preston North End
2–1
xG 2.02–1.93
UK CHAMP
- L
A
West Bromwich Albion
0–1
xG 1.26–1.43
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Swansea City
0–2
xG 1.11–3.08
UK CHAMP
WDDLLWLL 2W 2D 4L · 8 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 8.78–14.03 · xPts 7.72
- L
A
Bristol City
0–1
xG 0.55–1.59
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Stoke City
1–2
xG 0.43–1.53
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Preston North End
2–1
xG 2.02–1.93
UK CHAMP
- L
A
West Bromwich Albion
0–1
xG 1.26–1.43
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Swansea City
0–2
xG 1.11–3.08
UK CHAMP
- D
H
West Ham United
1–1
xG 1.61–1.07
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Wrexham
1–1
xG 0.55–1.83
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Southampton
2–1
xG 1.24–1.56
UK CHAMP
All meetings · 22 matches since 2005
Goals 35–35 · 3.18 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 68%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 15–19 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 4–11 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L Watford 2–0 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Derby County 2–3 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Derby County 0–2 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Watford 2–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Watford 2–1 Derby County neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Derby County 0–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Derby County 2–2 Watford neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Watford 1–2 Derby County neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Derby County 4–2 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Watford 2–3 Derby County neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Derby County all · 7 | Derby County at home · 4 | Watford all · 7 | Watford away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 0.57 | – | 1.14 | – |
| W / D / L | 1 / 1 / 5 | – | 2 / 2 / 3 | – |
| Goals for / match | 0.86 | – | 1.00 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.86 | – | 1.29 | – |
| Clean sheets | 14% | – | 0% | – |
| Failed to score | 43% | – | 29% | – |
| Both teams scored | 43% | – | 71% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | – | 43% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.10 | – | 1.17 | – |
| xG against / match | 2.16 | – | 1.78 | – |
| xG difference | -1.06 | – | -0.60 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.24 | – | -0.17 | – |
| xPts / match | 0.93 | – | 1.01 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.35 | – | 0.13 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 43% | – | 43% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.00 | – | 1.67 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.25 | – | 0.75 | – |
| Came back from behind | 17% | – | 25% | – |
| Leads held | 33% | – | 50% | – |
| Minutes leading | 18% | – | 17% | – |
| Minutes level | 34% | – | 44% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 48% | – | 39% | – |
| First goal (min) | 26 | – | 41 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 24 | – | 28 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 33% | – | 43% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 46% | – | 22% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.00 | – | 0.29 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.57 | – | 0.00 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | – | 43% | – |
| Shots | 11.7 | – | 11.7 | – |
| On target | 3.3 | – | 3.7 | – |
| Shot conversion | 7% | – | 8% | – |
| Shots inside box | 67% | – | 73% | – |
| Big chances created | 1.6 | – | 1.7 | – |
| Corners | 6.4 | – | 3.4 | – |
| xG from set plays | 21% | – | 22% | – |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | 29% | – |
| Pressure index | 11.7 | – | 9.3 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 47.9 | – | 42.6 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | – | 79% | – |
| Fouls | 13.0 | – | 11.1 | – |
| Cards | 2.29 | – | 2.57 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Derby County
0–15'02
16–30'32
31–45'13
46–60'10
61–75'12
76–90'04
Watford
0–15'22
16–30'23
31–45'02
46–60'02
61–75'10
76–90'20
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Derby County · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.31
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.157
Early press (0-15, level)+0.297
Late push (76+, level)-0.552
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.315
Game state
When ahead-0.053
When level-0.057
When behind-0.256
10 min after conceding-0.286
10 min after scoring+0.254
Situations
At home-0.174
Away-0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.212
4+ days rest-0.125
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.223
v bottom-tier opponents-0.033
Evenly matched-0.193
As underdog-0.153
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.203
Conceded late (76+)+0.207
Congested vs rested -0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.20
Watford · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.097
Early press (0-15, level)-0.117
Late push (76+, level)-0.453
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.193
Game state
When ahead-0.144
When level-0.157
When behind+0.004
10 min after conceding-0.177
10 min after scoring-0.015
Situations
At home-0.234
Away+0.093
3 days rest or fewer+0.062
4+ days rest-0.155
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.024
v bottom-tier opponents-0.122
As underdog-0.085
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.277
Conceded when ahead+0.454
Conceded late (76+)-0.017
Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level +0.16
Derby County
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 86% | 0.67 | 0.83 | 1.83 | 1.04 | 2.29 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 14% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.48 | 1.37 |
Watford
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 86% | 0.83 | 0.83 | 1.33 | 1.03 | 1.75 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 14% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.02 | 1.93 |
| Metric | Derby County all · 10 | Derby County at home · 10 | Watford all · 10 | Watford away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.70 | 1.60 | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 7 | 5 / 1 / 4 | 2 / 2 / 6 | 1 / 2 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.30 | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| Goals against / match | 1.90 | 1.20 | 2.10 | 2.10 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 20% | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 60% | 60% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.19 | 1.68 | 1.17 | 1.21 |
| xG against / match | 2.12 | 1.38 | 1.82 | 1.94 |
| xG difference | -0.93 | 0.30 | -0.64 | -0.72 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.09 | -0.38 | -0.37 | -0.51 |
| xPts / match | 0.95 | 1.63 | 0.99 | 0.98 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.26 | -0.03 | -0.19 | -0.48 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 60% | 30% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.75 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.43 | 0.13 |
| Came back from behind | 22% | 33% | 14% | 12% |
| Leads held | 40% | 71% | 50% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 19% | 31% | 12% | 6% |
| Minutes level | 36% | 43% | 36% | 36% |
| Minutes trailing | 45% | 26% | 52% | 58% |
| First goal (min) | 27 | 32 | 42 | 54 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 28 | 29 | 24 | 26 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 46% | 46% | 50% | 71% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 53% | 33% | 38% | 43% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 49% | 53% | 43% | 49% |
| Shots | 12.2 | 15.0 | 11.5 | 11.3 |
| On target | 4.0 | 4.1 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% |
| Shots inside box | 70% | 64% | 72% | 58% |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 6.5 | 3.0 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 35% | 31% | 17% | 17% |
| Goals from headers | 9% | 23% | 25% | 14% |
| Pressure index | 11.3 | 14.4 | 8.7 | 8.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.4 | 57.3 | 38.3 | 39.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 78% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 12.9 | 12.2 | 11.9 | 11.5 |
| Cards | 2.60 | 2.40 | 2.50 | 2.60 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Derby County
0–15'13
16–30'42
31–45'14
46–60'22
61–75'14
76–90'24
Watford
0–15'23
16–30'25
31–45'05
46–60'14
61–75'12
76–90'22
Derby County
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 0.78 | 1.11 | 1.89 | 1.16 | 2.21 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.48 | 1.37 |
Watford
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 0.83 | 0.83 | 1.33 | 1.03 | 1.75 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.79 | 1.83 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.13 | 2.51 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.02 | 1.93 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.61 | 1.41 |
| Metric | Derby County all · 49 | Derby County at home · 26 | Watford all · 49 | Watford away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 49 | 26 | 49 | 25 |
| Points per game | 1.39 | 1.38 | 1.22 | 0.80 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 8 / 21 | 10 / 6 / 10 | 15 / 15 / 19 | 4 / 8 / 13 |
| Goals for / match | 1.35 | 1.19 | 1.14 | 0.96 |
| Goals against / match | 1.31 | 1.23 | 1.49 | 1.80 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 27% | 14% | 8% |
| Failed to score | 14% | 12% | 29% | 32% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 62% | 61% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 46% | 49% | 52% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.24 | 1.28 | 1.35 | 1.19 |
| xG against / match | 1.38 | 1.25 | 1.33 | 1.47 |
| xG difference | -0.14 | 0.03 | 0.03 | -0.27 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.10 | -0.09 | -0.21 | -0.23 |
| xPts / match | 1.33 | 1.41 | 1.40 | 1.24 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.06 | -0.03 | -0.17 | -0.44 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 55% | 54% | 26% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.07 | 2.00 | 2.23 | 1.80 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.55 | 0.67 | 0.85 | 0.53 |
| Came back from behind | 28% | 38% | 44% | 32% |
| Leads held | 69% | 67% | 65% | 40% |
| Minutes leading | 30% | 26% | 16% | 8% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 46% | 47% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 27% | 28% | 37% | 47% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 43 | 48 | 53 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 35 | 30 | 25 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 47% | 52% | 59% | 71% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 47% | 44% | 40% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.19 | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| Late goals against | 0.31 | 0.27 | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 48% | 50% | 50% |
| Shots | 11.4 | 12.2 | 13.6 | 11.8 |
| On target | 3.6 | 3.7 | 4.4 | 3.5 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 10% | 8% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 71% | 67% | 60% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 6.0 | 4.9 | 4.5 |
| xG from set plays | 35% | 39% | 26% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 29% | 32% | 14% | 13% |
| Pressure index | 10.9 | 12.0 | 11.0 | 9.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 42.5 | 46.1 | 45.9 | 41.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 77% | 80% | 79% |
| Fouls | 12.4 | 11.8 | 10.7 | 10.4 |
| Cards | 2.49 | 2.23 | 2.16 | 2.28 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Derby County
0–15'712
16–30'126
31–45'1610
46–60'117
61–75'1014
76–90'1015
Watford
0–15'711
16–30'616
31–45'1014
46–60'911
61–75'910
76–90'1511
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Derby County · 49 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.27
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0449
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0249
Late push (76+, level)-0.2616
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2524
Game state
When ahead-0.0629
When level+0.0049
When behind-0.0929
10 min after conceding-0.1737
10 min after scoring+0.2742
Situations
With ten men-0.223
At home-0.0626
Away-0.0223
3 days rest or fewer-0.0115
4+ days rest-0.0634
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.1926
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0915
As favourite+0.2610
Evenly matched-0.0820
As underdog-0.1619
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2349
Conceded when ahead+0.1529
Conceded late (76+)+0.1447
Congested vs rested +0.04 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.09
Watford · 49 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: with ten men -0.27
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0249
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0149
Late push (76+, level)+0.0820
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0419
Game state
When ahead-0.0223
When level+0.0649
When behind-0.0134
10 min after conceding-0.2042
10 min after scoring+0.2433
Situations
With ten men-0.273
At home-0.0424
Away+0.0825
3 days rest or fewer+0.1117
4+ days rest-0.0332
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.0127
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0415
As favourite+0.0714
Evenly matched-0.0320
As underdog+0.0515
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1049
Conceded when ahead+0.1523
Conceded late (76+)-0.1843
Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.07
Derby County
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 30 61% | 1.43 | 1.33 | 1.27 | 1.39 | 1.46 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 16% | 1.88 | 1.63 | 1.25 | 1.01 | 1.14 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 4 8% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.75 | 0.93 | 1.54 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 6% | 0.33 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.96 | 1.0 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.68 | 2.51 |
Watford
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 21 43% | 1.48 | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.25 | 1.32 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 16 33% | 1.13 | 1.06 | 1.19 | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 6% | 2.33 | 2.0 | 1.33 | 3.0 | 1.2 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.79 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.16 | 1.82 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
No pre-match odds recorded.