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Championship · Matchweek 16

Momentum

SouthamptonDerby County
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
16

Venue

Stadium
St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
Capacity
32,384
Surface
grass

Teams

Where to watch

No broadcast listings.

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 West Ham United 7421 20911 14 DWWWW
2 Swansea City 7421 1156 14 WWDLW
3 Middlesbrough 7421 14104 14 WDWWD
4 West Bromwich Albion 7421 1073 14 LDWWD
5 Queens Park Rangers 7331 853 12 WWLDD
6 Charlton Athletic 7331 67-1 12 WDLDD
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6321 14104 11 WWLDW
8 Lincoln City 7322 660 11 WDDWW
9 Southampton (-4) 7421 18810 10 WDDWW
10 Birmingham City 7241 1091 10 WDDLW
11 Millwall 7313 13130 10 LLWLD
12 Stoke City 7313 11110 10 LWWDW
13 Bristol City 7313 1012-2 10 WWWLL
14 Norwich City 7304 13130 9 WLWWL
15 Sheffield United 7232 89-1 9 DWLWL
16 Blackburn Rovers 7223 10100 8 LDLLW
17 Watford 7223 79-2 8 DLLWL
18 Portsmouth 6213 78-1 7 WLLWD
19 Wrexham 7142 711-4 7 LWDDL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7214 712-5 7 LLLLW
21 Cardiff City 7043 711-4 4 DLLDL
22 Derby County 7115 613-7 4 LWLLL
23 Preston North End 7106 613-7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7034 816-8 3 LDLDL
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Southampton

WDDWW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 14 GA 5 · xG 8.7–9.59 · xPts 6.47

  • W H Bristol City 4–1 xG 1.95–2.43 UK CHAMP
  • W H Swansea City 3–1 xG 1.72–1.34 UK CHAMP
  • D A Lincoln City 1–1 xG 0.79–2.88 UK CHAMP
  • D A Birmingham City 1–1 xG 1.02–1.42 UK CHAMP
  • W H Millwall 5–1 xG 3.23–1.52 UK CHAMP

Derby County

LWLLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 9 · xG 4.42–11.11 · xPts 4.07

  • L H Birmingham City 1–2 xG 1.18–2.63 UK CHAMP
  • L H West Bromwich Albion 0–1 xG 1.37–0.77 UK CHAMP
  • L A West Ham United 0–3 xG 0.15–3.74 UK CHAMP
  • W A Portsmouth 2–0 xG 0.9–1.02 UK CHAMP
  • L H Swansea City 0–3 xG 0.82–2.96 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 18 matches since 2000

Southampton 69 draws3 Derby County

Goals 27–20 · 2.61 per match · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Southampton 45 draws1 Derby County

Goals 18–12 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Southampton 23 draws0 Derby County

Goals 11–6 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Southampton 2–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Derby County 1–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 2–2 Derby County pens None–None UK FA Cup · 3rd Round Replays
  • D Derby County 2–2 Southampton neutral UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
  • W Southampton 4–0 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Derby County 1–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 1–1 Derby County neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Derby County 0–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Derby County 2–3 Southampton pens None–None UK CHAMP · Play-offs - 1st Round · leg 2/2
  • L Southampton 1–2 Derby County neutral UK CHAMP · Play-offs - 1st Round · leg 1/2
MetricSouthampton all · 7Southampton at home · 4Derby County all · 7Derby County away · 3
Results
Matches77
Points per game2.000.57
W / D / L4 / 2 / 11 / 1 / 5
Goals for / match2.570.86
Goals against / match1.141.86
Clean sheets0%14%
Failed to score0%43%
Both teams scored100%43%
Over 2.571%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.801.10
xG against / match1.672.16
xG difference0.13-1.06
Finishing vs xG0.78-0.24
xPts / match1.480.93
Points vs xPts0.52-0.35
Game state
Scored first71%43%
PPG when scoring first2.201.00
PPG when conceding first1.500.25
Came back from behind50%17%
Leads held67%33%
Minutes leading41%18%
Minutes level45%34%
Minutes trailing14%48%
First goal (min)3226
First goal conceded (min)4524
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%33%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.860.00
Late goals against0.140.57
Style
Possession58%50%
Shots15.711.7
On target4.63.3
Shot conversion16%7%
Shots inside box72%67%
Big chances created2.71.6
Corners6.06.4
xG from set plays28%21%
Goals from headers11%0%
Pressure index14.611.7
Dominant minutes54.747.9
Pass accuracy87%78%
Fouls8.313.0
Cards1.432.29

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Southampton

0–15'22
16–30'12
31–45'50
46–60'22
61–75'21
76–90'61

Derby County

0–15'02
16–30'32
31–45'13
46–60'10
61–75'12
76–90'04

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.59

Derby County · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.31

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.157
Early press (0-15, level)+0.297
Late push (76+, level)-0.552
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.315

Game state

When ahead-0.053
When level-0.057
When behind-0.256
10 min after conceding-0.286
10 min after scoring+0.254

Situations

At home-0.174
Away-0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.212
4+ days rest-0.125

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.223
v bottom-tier opponents-0.033
Evenly matched-0.193
As underdog-0.153

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.203
Conceded late (76+)+0.207

Congested vs rested -0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.20

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 100%2.02.571.141.81.67

Derby County

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 86%0.670.831.831.042.29
5-3-21 14%0.01.02.01.481.37

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

No pre-match odds recorded.