Rating 7.08 (88th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (14% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 8
Momentum
– WrexhamSouthampton –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Waiting for statistics…
Season context
| Wrexham | at home | Stat | league | away | Southampton |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.3 #12 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 57.7 #4 |
| 11.1 #21 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 15.9 #4 |
| 3.3 #19 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 4.6 #8 |
| 5.1 #14 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 6.0 #7 |
| 11.4 #8 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 8.4 #24 |
| 1.3 #21 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 2.4 #8 |
| 14.1 #17 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 12.0 #23 |
| 96.7 #7 | – | Attacks | 93.5 | – | 96.3 #9 |
| 46.3 #9 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 42.1 #18 |
| 459.4 #8 | – | Passes | 418.1 | – | 487.6 #6 |
| 1.1 #21 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 1.4 #16 |
| 0.9 #13 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 2.0 #1 |
| – #15 | – | Btts | 66.3 | – | – #1 |
| – #6 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #18 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 28.9 | – | – #9 |
| 1.4 #14 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.8 #5 |
| -0.4 #20 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.7 #1 |
| – #7 | – | Failed to score | 21.0 | – | – #18 |
| 1.0 #17 | 1.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.0 | 2.6 #2 |
| 1.6 #9 | 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 #19 |
| 0.1 #11 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #11 |
| 9.3 #9 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 7.6 #17 |
| – #13 | – | Lost | 35.5 | – | – #17 |
| – | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #2 |
| 6.8 #13 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.0 #2 |
| 3.0 #18 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 4.9 #2 |
| 8.6 #13 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 11.6 #4 |
| 4.9 #18 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 6.4 #3 |
| 2.6 #23 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 4.3 #11 |
| – #20 | – | Win | 35.6 | – | – #1 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Wrexham · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.0 (75th pct) · G+A 2 + 1 (43% of team goals) · 63% of minutes
Rating 7.06 (83th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (29% of team goals) · 56% of minutes
Southampton · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.32 (96th pct) · G+A 3 + 4 (39% of team goals) · 89% of minutes
Rating 7.44 (100th pct) · G+A 7 + 0 (39% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
Rating 7.39 (97th pct) · G+A 2 + 2 (22% of team goals) · 85% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 8
Venue
- Stadium
- Racecourse Ground, Racecourse Ground
- Capacity
- 10,771
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Phil Parkinson · Tonda Eckert
- Position
- 19 · 9
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Weather
- Conditions
- light rain
- Temperature
- 19.0° (feels 18.8°)
- Wind
- 7.1
- Humidity
- 71%
Where to watch · 6
England
Sky Sports+
Greece
MagentaSport 3
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Republic of Ireland
Sky Sports+
Scotland
Sky Sports+
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 6 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 7 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 8 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 11 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 12 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 13 |  Bristol City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | DLLWL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 16 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 17 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 18 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 19 | Bristol City |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Watford |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | DLLWL |
| 21 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Wrexham
LWDDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 9 · xG 6.07–7.09 · xPts 6.6
- L
A
West Ham United
0–6
xG 0.43–2.52
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Burnley
1–1
xG 1.76–1.57
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Swansea City
0–0
xG 0.94–0.87
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Millwall
3–0
xG 1.06–0.24
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Birmingham City
1–2
xG 1.88–1.89
UK CHAMP
DDLWDDL 1W 4D 2L · 7 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 11 · xG 9.59–8.71 · xPts 10.67
- L
A
West Ham United
0–6
xG 0.43–2.52
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Burnley
1–1
xG 1.76–1.57
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Swansea City
0–0
xG 0.94–0.87
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Millwall
3–0
xG 1.06–0.24
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Birmingham City
1–2
xG 1.88–1.89
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Watford
1–1
xG 1.83–0.55
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Cardiff City
1–1
xG 1.69–1.07
UK CHAMP
Southampton
WDDWW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 14 GA 5 · xG 8.7–9.59 · xPts 6.47
- W
H
Bristol City
4–1
xG 1.95–2.43
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Swansea City
3–1
xG 1.72–1.34
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Lincoln City
1–1
xG 0.79–2.88
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Birmingham City
1–1
xG 1.02–1.42
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Millwall
5–1
xG 3.23–1.52
UK CHAMP
LWWDDWW 4W 2D 1L · 14 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 18 GA 8 · xG 12.57–11.66 · xPts 10.36
- W
H
Bristol City
4–1
xG 1.95–2.43
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Swansea City
3–1
xG 1.72–1.34
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Lincoln City
1–1
xG 0.79–2.88
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Birmingham City
1–1
xG 1.02–1.42
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Millwall
5–1
xG 3.23–1.52
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Stoke City
3–1
xG 2.31–0.83
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Watford
1–2
xG 1.56–1.24
UK CHAMP
thin sample 2 meetings 2025–2026
Last 2
Goals 2–7 · Wrexham hosting: 0W 0D 1L · Southampton hosting: 1W 0D 0L
At Racecourse Ground: 1 meeting · Wrexham 0 · draws 0 · Southampton 1 · 6.0 goals per match · last away win Apr 2026
All-time since 2025: 2 meetings · Wrexham 0 · draws 0 · Southampton 2
This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days
| Metric | Fixture | League | Δ | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 4.50 | 2.62 | +1.88 | 2 |
| Both teams score | 100% | 58% | +42% | 2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 52% | +48% | 2 |
| Corners | 8.5 | 10.4 | -1.9 | 2 |
| Cards | 4.5 | 4.1 | +0.4 | 2 |
1 with 4+ goals · 2.00 first-half goals per match
How these games go · 2 with event data
| Wrexham | Southampton | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 |
| Scored first and won | 0 | 1 |
| Won from behind | 0 | 1 |
first goal on average in minute 17 · a side came back in 1 · goal after the 75th minute in 2 · penalty scored in 1
When the goals come · all goals, 2 meetings
0-15'1
16-30'2
31-45'1
46-60'0
61-75'1
76-90'4
1 equaliser · 1 penalty · 1 header
Expected goals · last 2 with xG
Deserved on xG: Wrexham 0 · level 0 · Southampton 2 — actual wins in those games 0 / 2
Fixture specialists
- 2 Josh Windass Wrexham · in 2 games · last Apr 2026
- 1 Ross Stewart Southampton · last Apr 2026
- 1 Cyle Larin Southampton · last Apr 2026
- 1 Kuryu Matsuki Southampton · last Apr 2026
- 1 Finn Azaz Southampton · last Apr 2026
Last meeting · 2026-04-07 · UK CHAMP
Wrexham 1-5 Southampton · ref Gavin Ward
- 12' Kuryu Matsuki assist Finn Azaz 0–1
- 22' Flynn Downes 0–2
- 34' Josh Windass assist Kieffer Moore 1–2
- 61' Cyle Larin 1–3
- 81' Ross Stewart assist Welington 1–4
- 83' Finn Azaz assist Shea Emmanuel Charles 1–5
xG 0.89 – 2.31 · corners 7 · cards 5
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·
Match result
32.8%Wrexham P 32%24.0%Draw P 27%43.2%Southampton P 41%
Over / under 2.5
60.3%Over 2.5 P 55%39.7%Under 2.5 P 45%
Both teams to score
62.3%Yes37.7%No
Expected
- Wrexham goals
- 1.44 (0–3)
- Southampton goals
- 1.68 (0–3)
- Corners
- 10.11 (6–15)
- Cards
- 3.66 (1–6)
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
29.0%Wrexham25.7%Draw45.3%Southampton
Over / under 2.5
51.1%Over 2.548.9%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
54.6%Yes45.4%No
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 2 matches since 2025
Goals 2–7 · 4.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Last 10 · 2 matches
Goals 2–7 · 4.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Last 5 · 2 matches
Goals 2–7 · 4.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- L Wrexham 1–5 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Southampton 2–1 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Wrexham all · 7 | Wrexham at home · 3 | Southampton all · 7 | Southampton away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 1.00 | – | 2.00 | – |
| W / D / L | 1 / 4 / 2 | – | 4 / 2 / 1 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.00 | – | 2.57 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.57 | – | 1.14 | – |
| Clean sheets | 29% | – | 0% | – |
| Failed to score | 29% | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | 57% | – | 100% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | – | 71% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.37 | – | 1.80 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.24 | – | 1.67 | – |
| xG difference | 0.13 | – | 0.13 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.37 | – | 0.78 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.52 | – | 1.48 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.52 | – | 0.52 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 29% | – | 71% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | – | 2.20 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | – | 1.50 | – |
| Came back from behind | 50% | – | 50% | – |
| Leads held | 50% | – | 67% | – |
| Minutes leading | 24% | – | 41% | – |
| Minutes level | 50% | – | 45% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | – | 14% | – |
| First goal (min) | 32 | – | 32 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 34 | – | 45 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 57% | – | 56% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 54% | – | 50% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.00 | – | 0.86 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.43 | – | 0.14 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | – | 58% | – |
| Shots | 11.3 | – | 15.7 | – |
| On target | 3.4 | – | 4.6 | – |
| Shot conversion | 9% | – | 16% | – |
| Shots inside box | 77% | – | 72% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | – | 2.7 | – |
| Corners | 5.1 | – | 6.0 | – |
| xG from set plays | 30% | – | 28% | – |
| Goals from headers | 14% | – | 11% | – |
| Pressure index | 10.9 | – | 14.6 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 47.6 | – | 54.7 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | – | 87% | – |
| Fouls | 11.3 | – | 8.3 | – |
| Cards | 1.14 | – | 1.43 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Wrexham
0–15'12
16–30'22
31–45'01
46–60'31
61–75'12
76–90'03
Southampton
0–15'22
16–30'12
31–45'50
46–60'22
61–75'21
76–90'61
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Wrexham · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044
Game state
When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135
Situations
At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165
Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04
Southampton · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393
Game state
When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297
Situations
At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446
Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.59
Wrexham
Current: winless 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 86% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.67 | 1.32 | 1.27 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 14% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.69 | 1.07 |
Southampton
Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 100% | 2.0 | 2.57 | 1.14 | 1.8 | 1.67 |
| Metric | Wrexham all · 10 | Wrexham at home · 10 | Southampton all · 10 | Southampton away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.10 | 1.20 | 2.10 | 1.60 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 5 / 3 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 6 / 3 / 1 | 4 / 4 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.50 | 2.30 | 1.70 |
| Goals against / match | 1.60 | 1.80 | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 0% | 10% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 80% | 90% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% | 70% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.42 | 1.43 | 1.84 | 1.40 |
| xG against / match | 1.39 | 1.47 | 1.62 | 1.91 |
| xG difference | 0.03 | -0.04 | 0.22 | -0.51 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.32 | 0.07 | 0.46 | 0.30 |
| xPts / match | 1.45 | 1.36 | 1.52 | 1.11 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.35 | -0.16 | 0.58 | 0.49 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 40% | 60% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | 2.25 | 2.33 | 1.83 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 43% | 67% | 50% |
| Leads held | 50% | 60% | 75% | 57% |
| Minutes leading | 22% | 24% | 36% | 28% |
| Minutes level | 55% | 46% | 50% | 54% |
| Minutes trailing | 23% | 30% | 14% | 18% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 37 | 31 | 49 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 28 | 25 | 42 | 54 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 36% | 33% | 54% | 71% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 44% | 50% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 50% | 55% | 52% |
| Shots | 12.3 | 12.6 | 15.4 | 12.6 |
| On target | 3.8 | 3.9 | 4.4 | 4.1 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 12% | 15% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 71% | 68% | 71% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 5.3 | 5.9 | 5.2 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 28% | 31% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 20% | 36% | 17% | 29% |
| Pressure index | 10.9 | 11.2 | 14.2 | 12.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 46.3 | 45.4 | 56.0 | 51.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 80% | 85% | 82% |
| Fouls | 12.4 | 10.6 | 9.1 | 9.5 |
| Cards | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.70 | 1.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Wrexham
0–15'13
16–30'43
31–45'22
46–60'31
61–75'12
76–90'05
Southampton
0–15'33
16–30'12
31–45'60
46–60'33
61–75'21
76–90'71
Wrexham
Current: winless 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 7 70% | 1.0 | 1.14 | 1.71 | 1.42 | 1.43 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.29 | 1.41 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.69 | 1.07 |
Southampton
Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 2.0 | 2.33 | 1.0 | 1.78 | 1.7 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 0.92 |
| Metric | Wrexham all · 51 | Wrexham at home · 26 | Southampton all · 55 | Southampton away · 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 51 | 26 | 55 | 28 |
| Points per game | 1.53 | 1.62 | 1.89 | 1.54 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 18 / 13 | 11 / 9 / 6 | 30 / 14 / 11 | 12 / 7 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.45 | 1.73 | 1.91 | 1.75 |
| Goals against / match | 1.43 | 1.54 | 1.18 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 28% | 23% | 22% | 11% |
| Failed to score | 16% | 4% | 9% | 7% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 73% | 74% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 50% | 66% | 68% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.24 | 1.55 | 1.63 | 1.52 |
| xG against / match | 1.40 | 1.32 | 1.41 | 1.65 |
| xG difference | -0.16 | 0.23 | 0.22 | -0.13 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.21 | 0.18 | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| xPts / match | 1.28 | 1.53 | 1.50 | 1.30 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.25 | 0.08 | 0.39 | 0.24 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 51% | 58% | 62% | 61% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.08 | 2.13 | 2.29 | 1.82 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.95 | 0.91 | 1.28 | 1.10 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 57% | 50% | 36% |
| Leads held | 62% | 61% | 73% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 30% | 29% | 36% | 30% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 47% | 50% | 51% |
| Minutes trailing | 23% | 24% | 15% | 19% |
| First goal (min) | 36 | 37 | 39 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 36 | 46 | 50 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 53% | 49% | 53% | 59% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 55% | 50% | 63% | 67% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.31 | 0.42 | 0.44 | 0.46 |
| Late goals against | 0.45 | 0.42 | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 50% | 55% | 54% |
| Shots | 11.5 | 14.0 | 13.9 | 12.8 |
| On target | 3.8 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 4.8 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 12% | 14% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 67% | 68% | 70% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 2.7 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 5.4 | 5.6 | 5.1 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 35% | 29% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 25% | 35% | 19% | 19% |
| Pressure index | 10.5 | 13.1 | 16.6 | 14.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 43.3 | 50.4 | 56.9 | 53.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 80% | 83% | 82% |
| Fouls | 10.0 | 9.6 | 10.1 | 10.7 |
| Cards | 1.51 | 1.35 | 1.75 | 1.96 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Wrexham
0–15'910
16–30'1310
31–45'1312
46–60'159
61–75'89
76–90'1621
Southampton
0–15'156
16–30'189
31–45'159
46–60'1914
61–75'1412
76–90'2215
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Wrexham · 51 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0251
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0151
Late push (76+, level)-0.1725
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0115
Game state
When ahead+0.0432
When level-0.0451
When behind-0.0825
10 min after conceding-0.2237
10 min after scoring+0.3643
Situations
Against ten men+0.482
At home+0.0126
Away-0.0525
3 days rest or fewer+0.0417
4+ days rest-0.0534
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.333
v mid-tier opponents-0.0924
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0819
As favourite+0.0011
Evenly matched+0.0223
As underdog-0.1017
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1551
Conceded when ahead+0.1132
Conceded late (76+)-0.0849
Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.07 · Behind vs level -0.04
Southampton · 55 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.24) · stands out: against ten men +0.80
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2455
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2355
Late push (76+, level)+0.3925
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.3711
Game state
When ahead+0.1140
When level+0.2755
When behind+0.4822
10 min after conceding+0.0342
10 min after scoring+0.3849
Situations
Against ten men+0.803
At home+0.1727
Away+0.3228
3 days rest or fewer+0.2420
4+ days rest+0.2435
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.423
v mid-tier opponents+0.3028
v bottom-tier opponents+0.1916
As favourite+0.3231
Evenly matched+0.2819
As underdog-0.295
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0055
Conceded when ahead-0.0440
Conceded late (76+)-0.1949
Congested vs rested -0.00 · Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level +0.21
Wrexham
Current: winless 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 31 61% | 1.52 | 1.48 | 1.45 | 1.22 | 1.33 |
| 3-5-2 | 6 12% | 0.5 | 0.67 | 1.83 | 0.74 | 2.11 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 4 8% | 2.25 | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.47 | 0.84 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 6% | 1.67 | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.34 | 1.59 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 2 4% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.15 | 1.02 |
Southampton
Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 30 54% | 2.2 | 2.17 | 1.03 | 1.57 | 1.4 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 13 24% | 1.15 | 1.69 | 1.69 | 1.84 | 1.43 |
| 3-4-3 | 4 7% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.07 | 1.7 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 6% | 1.33 | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.69 | 0.9 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 4% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.39 | 2.18 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 99 snapshots · last 22.0h before kick-off · biggest step: away -1.8 pts at 4.8d
2.97Home 32% ▲ +2.1 ptsopened 3.143.63Draw 27% · -0.5 ptsopened 3.522.34Away 41% ▼ -1.6 ptsopened 2.23
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.97 ▲ +2.1 | 3.63 · -0.5 | 2.34 ▼ -1.6 | 22.0h |
| bet365 | 2.9 ▲ +2.1 | 3.6 ▼ -1.5 | 2.3 · -0.5 | 22.0h |
| Betfair | 3.0 · +0.4 | 3.5 ▲ +1.1 | 2.25 ▼ -1.4 | 22.0h |
| BetVictor | 2.9 ▲ +2.1 | 3.6 · -0.7 | 2.3 ▼ -1.5 | 22.0h |
| Coral | 2.87 ▲ +1.7 | 3.5 · +1.0 | 2.37 ▼ -2.7 | 22.0h |
| Ladbrokes | 2.87 ▲ +1.3 | 3.5 · +0.7 | 2.3 ▼ -2.0 | 22.0h |
| Unibet | 3.0 · +0.0 | 3.45 · +0.0 | 2.23 · +0.0 | 22.0h |
| WilliamHill | 2.88 ▲ +1.4 | 3.3 · +0.1 | 2.3 ▼ -1.6 | 22.0h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 99 snapshots · last 22.0h before kick-off
1.61Yes 58% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.612.2No 42% · +0.0 ptsopened 2.2
Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.61 · +0.0 | 2.2 · +0.0 | 22.0h |
| Betfair | 1.6 · +0.1 | 2.3 · -0.1 | 22.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.57 ▲ +1.0 | 2.25 ▼ -1.0 | 22.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.62 · +0.0 | 2.15 · +0.0 | 22.0h |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 99 snapshots · last 22.0h before kick-off · biggest step: over +1.8 pts at 22.0h
1.74Over 55% ▲ +1.7 ptsopened 1.782.16Under 45% ▼ -1.7 ptsopened 2.06
Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.74 ▲ +1.7 | 2.16 ▼ -1.7 | 22.0h |
| bet365 | 1.72 ▲ +2.3 | 2.1 ▼ -2.3 | 22.0h |
| Betfair | 1.75 · +0.3 | 2.05 · -0.3 | 22.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.69 ▲ +1.1 | 2.01 ▼ -1.1 | 22.0h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 22.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.9Home 33% P 32%3.6Draw 26% P 27%2.3Away 41% P 41%
Double Chance
1.61Wrexham or Draw 29%1.28Wrexham or Southampton 37%1.36Draw or Southampton 34%
Draw No Bet
2.11 44%1.662 56%
Both Teams To Score
1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%
Total Corners
17.0Under 6 5%4.756 - 8 18%2.759 - 11 32%3.2512 - 14 27%5.0Over 14 18%
Number of Cards
3.52.1Over 44% P 46%1.66Under 56% P 54%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 40–42.5% · 560 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 32% | 31% | 31% | -0.2 |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | 24% | -4.2 |
| Away | 41% | 41% | 46% | +4.4 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 54%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 56% | 56% | -0.2 |