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Championship · Matchweek 8

Momentum

WOLWBA
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton
Capacity
32,050
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
César Peixoto · James Morrison
Position
7 · 4
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
16.2° (feels 15.2°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
51%

Where to watch · 5

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 West Ham United 7421 20911 14 DWWWW
2 Swansea City 7421 1156 14 WWDLW
3 Middlesbrough 7421 14104 14 WDWWD
4 West Bromwich Albion 7421 1073 14 LDWWD
5 Queens Park Rangers 7331 853 12 WWLDD
6 Charlton Athletic 7331 67-1 12 WDLDD
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6321 14104 11 WWLDW
8 Lincoln City 7322 660 11 WDDWW
9 Southampton (-4) 7421 18810 10 WDDWW
10 Birmingham City 7241 1091 10 WDDLW
11 Millwall 7313 13130 10 LLWLD
12 Stoke City 7313 11110 10 LWWDW
13 Bristol City 7313 1012-2 10 WWWLL
14 Norwich City 7304 13130 9 WLWWL
15 Sheffield United 7232 89-1 9 DWLWL
16 Blackburn Rovers 7223 10100 8 LDLLW
17 Watford 7223 79-2 8 DLLWL
18 Portsmouth 6213 78-1 7 WLLWD
19 Wrexham 7142 711-4 7 LWDDL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7214 712-5 7 LLLLW
21 Cardiff City 7043 711-4 4 DLLDL
22 Derby County 7115 613-7 4 LWLLL
23 Preston North End 7106 613-7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7034 816-8 3 LDLDL
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Wolverhampton Wanderers

WWLDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 12 GA 8 · xG 8.7–6.09 · xPts 8.62

  • W A Sheffield United 1–0 xG 2.04–0.85 UK CHAMP
  • D A Birmingham City 2–2 xG 1.64–1.69 UK CHAMP
  • L A West Ham United 2–4 xG 1.0–2.1 UK CHAMP
  • W H Stoke City 4–1 xG 2.44–0.7 UK CHAMP
  • W A Preston North End 3–1 xG 1.59–0.75 UK CHAMP

West Bromwich Albion

LDWWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 6.06–5.72 · xPts 7.15

  • D H Queens Park Rangers 1–1 xG 1.72–0.58 UK CHAMP
  • W A Derby County 1–0 xG 0.77–1.37 UK CHAMP
  • W H Watford 1–0 xG 1.43–1.26 UK CHAMP
  • D H Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 0.82–0.49 UK CHAMP
  • L A Middlesbrough 1–3 xG 1.32–2.01 UK CHAMP

thin sample 1 meeting in 2024 · 0 in this competition · 1 elsewhere

Last 1

Wolverhampton Wanderers 10 draws0 West Bromwich Albion

Goals 2–0 · West Bromwich Albion hosting: 0W 0D 1L

All-time since 2006: 14 meetings · Wolverhampton Wanderers 3 · draws 3 · West Bromwich Albion 8

  • Wolverhampton Wanderers haven't beaten West Bromwich Albion since Jan 2024
  • West Bromwich Albion haven't beaten Wolverhampton Wanderers since Jan 2021

Fixture specialists

  • 1 Matheus Cunha Wolverhampton Wanderers · last Jan 2024
  • 1 Pedro Neto Wolverhampton Wanderers · last Jan 2024

Last meeting · 2024-01-28 · UK FA Cup

West Bromwich Albion 0-2 Wolverhampton Wanderers · ref Thomas Bramall

  • 38' Pedro Neto assist Matt Doherty 0–1
  • 78' Matheus Cunha assist Max Kilman 0–2

· corners 15 · cards 2

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·

Match result

48.2%Wolverhampton Wanderers P 52%26.4%Draw P 26%25.5%West Bromwich Albion P 22%

Over / under 2.5

46.4%Over 2.5 P 50%53.6%Under 2.5 P 50%

Both teams to score

50.1%Yes49.9%No

Expected

Wolverhampton Wanderers goals
1.51 (0–3)
West Bromwich Albion goals
1.02 (0–2)
Corners
9.65 (6–14)
Cards
4.24 (2–7)

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

43.6%Wolverhampton Wanderers25.9%Draw30.5%West Bromwich Albion

Over / under 2.5

52.8%Over 2.547.1%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

56.3%Yes43.7%No

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 14 matches since 2006

Wolverhampton Wanderers 33 draws8 West Bromwich Albion

Goals 13–24 · 2.64 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Wolverhampton Wanderers 23 draws5 West Bromwich Albion

Goals 10–15 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Wolverhampton Wanderers 11 draws3 West Bromwich Albion

Goals 6–11 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W West Bromwich Albion 0–2 Wolverhampton Wanderers UK FA Cup · 4th Round
  • D West Bromwich Albion 1–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Wolverhampton Wanderers 2–3 West Bromwich Albion UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–5 West Bromwich Albion UK PL · Regular Season
  • L West Bromwich Albion 2–0 Wolverhampton Wanderers UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Wolverhampton Wanderers 3–1 West Bromwich Albion UK PL · Regular Season
  • D West Bromwich Albion 1–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Wolverhampton Wanderers 0–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D West Bromwich Albion 0–0 Wolverhampton Wanderers neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L West Bromwich Albion 1–0 Wolverhampton Wanderers neutral UK CHAMP · Play-offs - 1st Round · leg 1/2
MetricWolverhampton Wanderers all · 6Wolverhampton Wanderers at home · 2West Bromwich Albion all · 7West Bromwich Albion away · 3
Results
Matches67
Points per game1.832.00
W / D / L3 / 2 / 14 / 2 / 1
Goals for / match2.331.43
Goals against / match1.671.00
Clean sheets17%29%
Failed to score0%0%
Both teams scored83%71%
Over 2.583%43%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.751.39
xG against / match1.151.34
xG difference0.600.05
Finishing vs xG0.580.04
xPts / match1.781.43
Points vs xPts0.050.57
Game state
Scored first67%57%
PPG when scoring first2.002.50
PPG when conceding first1.501.33
Came back from behind67%67%
Leads held60%80%
Minutes leading34%31%
Minutes level45%61%
Minutes trailing22%8%
First goal (min)3044
First goal conceded (min)3551
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half50%60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half40%71%
Late goals for (76'+)0.670.14
Late goals against0.170.29
Style
Possession55%53%
Shots15.510.1
On target4.34.0
Shot conversion15%14%
Shots inside box71%68%
Big chances created2.71.4
Corners6.04.6
xG from set plays33%25%
Goals from headers7%11%
Pressure index13.112.3
Dominant minutes53.849.1
Pass accuracy84%85%
Fouls11.29.7
Cards1.002.43

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Wolverhampton Wanderers

0–15'21
16–30'32
31–45'23
46–60'12
61–75'21
76–90'41

West Bromwich Albion

0–15'01
16–30'20
31–45'21
46–60'21
61–75'32
76–90'12

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Wolverhampton Wanderers · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.156
Early press (0-15, level)-0.196
Late push (76+, level)-0.173
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.262

Game state

When ahead+0.205
When level+0.206
When behind-0.063
10 min after conceding-0.165
10 min after scoring+0.446

Situations

At home-0.062
Away+0.244
4+ days rest+0.135

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.272
v bottom-tier opponents+0.033
As favourite+0.214

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.066
Conceded when ahead-0.155
Conceded late (76+)-0.176

Congested vs rested +0.11 · Ahead vs level +0.00 · Behind vs level -0.26

West Bromwich Albion · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.147
Early press (0-15, level)+0.027
Late push (76+, level)-0.292

Game state

When ahead+0.085
When level+0.197
When behind-0.033
10 min after conceding-0.105
10 min after scoring+0.387

Situations

At home+0.274
Away-0.043
3 days rest or fewer+0.052
4+ days rest+0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.003
v bottom-tier opponents+0.234
As favourite+0.224
As underdog-0.072

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.047
Conceded when ahead-0.165
Conceded late (76+)-0.257

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.11 · Behind vs level -0.22

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 8 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 83%2.02.41.61.741.22
4-3-31 17%1.02.02.01.790.79

West Bromwich Albion

Current: unbeaten 4 · winless 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-24 57%2.51.250.51.161.42
4-4-1-12 29%1.52.02.01.671.55
4-2-3-11 14%1.01.01.01.720.58

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 80 snapshots · last 41.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.5 pts at 2.8d

1.83Home 52% ▼ -3.1 ptsopened 1.723.69Draw 26% ▲ +1.2 ptsopened 3.864.28Away 22% ▲ +1.9 ptsopened 4.65
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.83 ▼ -3.13.69 ▲ +1.24.28 ▲ +1.941.0h
bet3651.8 · +0.13.7 · -0.74.33 · +0.641.0h
Betfair1.75 · +0.13.7 · +0.74.5 · -0.841.0h
BetVictor1.8 ▼ -1.23.7 · +0.24.33 ▲ +1.141.0h
Coral1.8 · -0.13.6 · +0.74.5 · -0.541.0h
Ladbrokes1.8 · +0.23.6 · +0.14.4 · -0.341.0h
WilliamHill1.8 ▼ -1.43.4 · +0.84.2 · +0.741.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 41.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.8Home 53% P 52%3.7Draw 26% P 26%4.33Away 22% P 22%

Double Chance

1.2Wolverhampton or Draw 39%1.28Wolverhampton or West Brom 37%1.95Draw or West Brom 24%

Draw No Bet

1.331 71%3.252 29%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51%1.9No 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 50%1.9Under 50% P 50%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

5.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 20–22.5% · 722 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home52%51%55%+3.6
Draw26%27%26%-1.4
Away22%21%19%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 47%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.550%51%51%-0.1